Mortgage and Real Estate News

Daily Mortgage and Real Estate News for Wednesday, January 8th 2025:

By January 8, 2025, there are outstanding changes in the United States mortgage, real estate, and business sectors:

Updating about Mortgage Rates:

Current Rates:

• The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is approximately 6.91%, marking the highest rate since July 2024.

Projections:

• Fixed mortgage rates will not fall until next year, as forecasted by analysts, averaging around 6.4% for 2025.
• This is slightly lower than the annual average of 6.7% last year but still above that historic average between this year and the past six years (2013-2019), which was less than or equal to 4 percent.

Housing Market Trends:

Home Prices:

• Nationally, home prices are projected to rise 3.7% in 2025, followed by 4% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2023.
• This trend will continue due to limited housing inventory and sustained demand.

Sales Activity:

• Existing home sales are expected to increase by about a half percentage point, or nearly one hundred thousand homes, to as many as four million units.
• This is far below the historical annual mean level within our analysis period – eight years (this decade).
• Besides, the housing supply may improve compared with last year’s data, including more new house constructions anticipated to total over a million units.”

Regional Insights:

Hudson Valley, New York:

• A luxurious manor in Hyde Park, initially valued at $45 million in 2021, has been resubmitted for sale at $11.25 million after three years of futile attempts to sell it.
• The considerable price reduction highlights the difficulty encountered in the upper-end real estate industry.

Banking and Financial Services:

TSB Bank Initiative:

• TSB has launched a new 5&5 mortgage scheme that gives tenants a 5% reduction on their first home, provided they put down a minimum 5% deposit.
• This initiative is intended to help renters buy the homes they are already living in, remove any complexities landlords could encounter while selling them off, and offer affordable housing alternatives as property prices rise.

Economic Indicators:

Stock Market Movements:

• On January 8, 2025, the U.S. stock futures are moving downward following a tech sell-off, with NASDAQ, S&P 500, and Dow Jones trending slightly lower.
• Hence, markets and federal agencies will be closed tomorrow for the funeral of former President Jimmy Carter.
• Moderna stock is climbing on expectations of a bird-flu vaccine after the first U.S. death from the disease was reported.
• Bitcoin and crypto stocks are falling as a strong labor report diminishes hopes of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
• Palantir Technologies’ shares continue to decrease because analysts are worried about its high valuation despite its good performance in 2024.

Challenges in Homeownership:

Affordability Issues:

• A twenty-six-year-old Perth resident earning $80,000 per annum experienced difficulty making his loan repayments when he initially could afford them easily.
• When his fixed-rate time lapsed, he had to tune into repayment that became highly increased—having to sell personal things to ensure payment was made regularly.
• This shows how many property owners feel financial pressures due to rising costs plus interest rates.

Market Outlook:

The mortgage and real estate market is characterized by higher mortgage rates, increasing home prices, and a greater focus on affordability and economic indicators. Prospective buyers and sellers should follow these trends to make wise decisions.

Daily Mortgage and Real Estate News for Tuesday, January 7th, 2025:

Some significant developments can be noted in the mortgage and real estate markets as of January 7, 2025:

Mortgage Rates

Current Rates:

The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is 6.91%, up from 6.85% the previous week. This marks the highest rate since July 2024.

Forecast:

• Analysts predict that mortgage rates will remain elevated throughout 2025, averaging around 6.4%.
• This is slightly lower than the 6.7% average in 2024 but still above the historical average of 4% from 2013 to 2019.

Housing Market Trends:

Home Prices:

• Nationally, home prices are projected to rise 3.7% in 2025, followed by 4% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2023.
• This trend is expected to continue due to limited housing inventory and sustained demand.

Sales Activity:

• Existing home sales are expected to increase by 1.5% to 4.07 million units in 2025, which is still below the 2013-2019 average.
• The supply of homes for sale is expected to improve by 11.7%, and new home constructions are projected to surge by 13.8%, reaching 1.1 million new units.

Current Rates:

• The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage rose to 6.91% from 6.85% the previous week, marking the highest since July 2024.

Forecast:

• Mortgage rates are expected to remain elevated throughout 2025, averaging about 6.4%, slightly lower than the average of 6.7% in 2024.
• However, it will still exceed the historical average of about four percent between 2013 and 2019.

Regional Insights:

Wisconsin Market:

• Many predict the Wisconsin real estate market will favor sellers during 2024, with a slow rise in home prices and a 6.5% increase in the number of homes for sale.
• Buyers have more choices today, but it is still competitive.

Climate Hazard Considerations:

Climate-Risk Scores:

• Climate risk assessments are becoming important to homebuyer decision-making processes.
• Platforms like Zillow now provide climate-risk scores, which indicate potential damage from flooding, fires, or winds over the next three decades.
• The scores may affect property prices and buyer behavior, making homes in less risky areas more desirable.

Mortgage rates are higher, climate risks are receiving increased attention, and home prices continue to increase. Prospective buyers and sellers should keep pace with these trends to make informed decisions about their properties.

https://www.youtube.com/live/3rWDfvQUlco

Comprehensive Daily and Weekend Mortgage and Real Estate News Updated from January 3rd through Monday, January 6th, 2025:

January 6, 2025, saw certain patterns and predictions in the mortgage and real estate markets, as stated below:

January 3, 2025

Mortgage Rates Trend:

Mortgage rates slightly increased, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increasing to 6.75%. According to analysts, this is because of stronger-than-expected job growth.

Housing Market Update:

Despite higher interest rates, the National Association of Realtors reported a modest increase in home sales in December, suggesting resilience in the housing market.

January 4, 2025

Fed Meeting Insights:

Following the latest Federal Reserve meeting, officials indicated they may consider pausing further interest rate hikes. Consequently, mortgage rates stabilized for some time after this announcement.

Following the latest Federal Reserve meeting, officials indicated they may consider pausing further interest rate hikes. As a result, mortgage rates stabilized for a period after this announcement.

Reports indicate that institutional investors are increasingly targeting single-family rental properties due to a lack of affordable homes for potential buyers.

January 5th 2025

Real Estate Investment Trends:

Reports show that institutional investors are increasingly targeting single-family rental properties as there is a lack of affordable homes for potential buyers.

Homebuilder Confidence:

The Home Builders Association reported a slight increase in builder confidence, with new construction expected to begin soon due to a backlog of permits.

Foreclosure Rates

Data revealed that foreclosure rates have declined compared to the previous year, suggesting that homeowners are managing their mortgages better despite economic pressures.

January 6, 2025

Mortgage rates have slightly increased, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rising to 6.75%. Analysts attribute this rise to stronger-than-expected job growth.

Despite the higher interest rates, the National Association of Realtors reported a modest increase in home sales for December, suggesting resilience in the housing market.

**Weekend Market Insights:**

Analysts noted that attendance at open houses was robust over the weekend, compared to previous weekends, indicating that home buyers are adapting to existing mortgage rates.

**Regulatory Changes:**

New rules proposed for a more transparent mortgage lending process could significantly impact both lenders and borrowers.

Summary

Although interest rates are rising, the mortgage and real estate markets are showing resilience. Various indicators suggest steady activity and interest from both home buyers and investors. Key trends include slowly increasing mortgage rates, a slight uptick in home sales, and stable new construction anticipated for this year. Additionally, upcoming regulatory changes may reshape the landscape in the months ahead.

For current updates, it is recommended to consult reliable financial news sources and regular real estate market reports.025

Weekend Market Insights

Analysts noted that open house attendance was robust during the weekend compared to previous weekends, meaning home buyers were adjusting themselves to the existing mortgage rates.

Regulatory Changes

New rules proposed for a more transparent mortgage lending process would greatly impact lenders and borrowers.

Summary

Even though interest rates were rising in the economy, Mortgage and Real estate markets showed some resilience, with different indicators pointing to steady activities and interests from both home buyers and investors. Main trends include slowly increasing mortgage rates, house sales picking up slightly, and new construction expected to remain stable this year. Additionally, regulatory changes could shape the landscape in the coming months.

For current updates, reliable financial news sources and regular real estate market reports are recommended.

• This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by  Gustan Cho.
• This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by  Gustan Cho.

BREAKING NEWS UPDATE on GCA FORUMS:

Great Content Authority Forums Launches GCA Forums News

GCA Forums, powered by Gustan Cho Associates, has launched GCA Forums News. Our News department consists of two useful categories for our fast-growing online community:

GCA Forums News

• GCA FORUMS Mortgage and Real Estate News
• GCA FORUMS Headline News.

GCA FORUMS News, which provides a comprehensive overview of key daily news events, will benefit a large percentage of our viewers and members.

Content Consist of National Daily News Summary

Time is essential for our viewers and members of our online community.

• Many GCA FORUMS viewers and members are real estate investors, mortgage and housing professionals, and enthusiasts.
• Keeping time for our viewers and members is important.
• Due to the importance of the knowledge-is-king principle, GCA FORUMS Mortgage and Real Estate News and Headline News were launched.

Highlights of GCA FORUMS Daily Mortgage and Real Estate News

Market Trends:

• Notice of modification on mortgage rates.
• Key components cover fixed and adjustable mortgage rate products.
• Housing inventory, sales, and price analysis.

Frequently Asked Questions on GCA FORUMS Weekend EditionWhat additional insights or highlights will be included in the GCA FORUMS Weekend Edition that differs from the daily news?

• The Weekend Edition offers a comprehensive summary of the week’s key events and trends, capturing the most significant highlights.
• It presents thoughtful analysis and expert opinions, allowing readers to reflect on the week’s mortgage and real estate developments.
• This enhanced content consolidates the week’s news, providing valuable insights and perspectives.

Will there be any special features or guest contributions in the Weekend Edition?

Yes, the Weekend Edition often includes special features and guest contributions from industry experts. These provide in-depth analysis, unique perspectives, and valuable insights that are not typically covered in the daily news updates.

How will users be notified about the publication of the Weekend Edition compared to the daily updates?

• Users will be notified about the Weekend Edition through our regular notification channels, including email alerts, push notifications, and updates on our website and social media platforms.
• This ensures that users are always informed about the latest publications and special features.

GCA FORUMS Mortgage, Real Estate, and Headline News Daily Edition

• Each of these news sections will be updated and published daily from Monday through Friday, ensuring that members have access to the latest developments in the industry throughout the week.

The GCA FORUMS Headline, Mortgage, and Real Estate News Weekend Edition

• The Weekend News Edition provides a thorough and insightful summary of the week’s key events and trends, capturing the most important highlights and offering a comprehensive overview. This allows readers to reflect on the week’s mortgage and real estate developments.
• Enhanced with thoughtful analysis and expert opinions, the weekend content is an invaluable resource for our members seeking to stay informed and make informed decisions in the market.

Lending Guidelines

• New face value of loans eligible for FHA, VA, USDA.
• Lender Overlays and the Mortgage Process

Government and Policy Updates

• Mergers and acquisitions are new policies that bound the supply of mutual consternation, a constellation, and the merged entity.
• Government policies and its actions on mortgage banking rates through new policies set by the Federal Reserve.

Real Estate Market Insights

• Market predictions from both a regional and national perspective on housing construction.
• Advice for buyers, sellers, and investors in the current economy.

GCA FORUMS: Daily Headline Briefings – A Complete Synthesis

Objective

• This component caters to a target audience by providing global, national, or local headlines in business, politics, and economics integrated with coverage of the real estate and/or mortgage sector.

Major Takeaways

Business and Economy

• Regular insights related to stocks, corporate obligations, and their impact (if any) on mortgage rates.
• Turning out the latest developments on mergers, acquisitions, and other related activities with firms focused on the finance and real estate industries.

Politics

This section includes updates on new legislation and other political behavior in the country that affect the housing and consumer lending sectors. It also includes soft updates related to government spending policy, trade talks, and their aftermath.

Social and Environmental Changes

Recent news focused on housing sustainability, technologies designed for smart homes, and city development. Community-driven stories focus on the local affordable housing market, zoning law changes, and infrastructure investments.

Current Events

• A chain of event coverage that cameras social events fluxing to our daily bases.

GCA Forum Members’ Advantages

• Timeliness: Obtain important developments of the day with well-informed industry experts daily.
• Relevance: Industry news is tailor-made and useful to borrowers, realtors, and others.
• Accessibility: There is no cost to perusing news documents on the GCA Forums platform, which promotes equal opportunities for all.
• Engagement: Forums promote interactions around news stories, and related experiences are shared with other site members.

Where to Get the News

• Platform: The GCA Forums website has integrated the latest updates and aged news on their homepage.
• Delivery Options: Users with accounts can request these notifications as emails or text messages.
• Interactive Features: Discuss the day’s important news with other users and professionals.

The Vision Behind the Initiative

The schedule started on these new features. GCA Forums has the following goals:

• Aid its members with greater knowledge.
• Promote better decision-making when dealing with mortgage and real estate.
• Improve its reputation as a reliable source to industry players and borrowers.

GCA Forums’ Daily News

GCA FORUMS Daily News is great for borrowers who want to monitor the market, real estate agents who want to gain a competitive edge, and experts who want to remain in the know.

Be in the know. Make an impact. Go to GCA Forums now and remain updated on market shifts!

Comprehensive Mortgage and Real Estate News Update Summary for Thursday, January 2nd, 2025.

The real estate and mortgage industry has changed since Thursday, January 2, 2025.

Mortgage Rates

Current Rates:

The average 30-year mortgage rate is 6.91%, up from 6.85% last week. This information has been sourced from AP News.

Market Impact:

Reuters reported that increased bond yields and inflationary fear due to expected economic policies have resulted in high rates. These elevated rates might make it hard for people to sell their homes, lowering the housing inventory or making it unaffordable.

Housing Market Activity

Seasonal Slowdown:

• According to the New York Post, December 2024 marked a decline in the housing sector, with homes now selling for 70 days, a five-year record high.
• Moreover, the median listing price dropped from the previous year’s $15,000 to $402,502.

Inventory Levels

The number of available second-hand homes has declined by up to 15% year on year, forcing the average property price in Ireland during the last quarter of 2024 to 332,109 euros, which is 9% more than last year. As of December 1, 2024, fewer than 10,500 second-hand homes were available.

International Developments

• European countries, including Spain, Portugal, and Greece, are discontinuing their golden visa schemes due to housing cost issues.
• Non-lucrative and digital nomad visas are good substitutes for foreign clients seeking residency options.

California Estate

• This transaction sets a new record as the highest residential sale in Cambria’s history.
• What was once $17.22 million is now the new selling price of a 78.5-acre estate just a few steps from California’s Pacific Coast Highway.
• After being on the market for over 15 years, this transaction was sold for quite the price.

Predicted Transactions for 2025

• Economists have set a threshold of roughly a 6.3% rise in mortgage rates through 2025.
• There might be room for further dipping if conditions heat up more.

For the remainder of the calendar year 2025, home supply is set to improve and rise by 11.7%, allowing selling points to move up by a rough percentage of 3.7%.

The mortgage and real estate regions show steady rising market rates alongside seasonal drop in activity levels. However, the landscape is set to reset itself in 2025 to find room for stabilization.

Comprehensive Overview and Summary of Mortgage and Real Estate, and Business News for Wednesday January 1st, 2025.

Below is the summary regarding mortgages, real estate, and business news for Wednesday, January 1, 2025:

Mortgage and Real Estate BriefUnited States:

Housing Market Activity:

A slowdown in the United States housing market was observed in early 2024 owing to stagnated mortgage rates and an increase in home prices. New listings scalped for the first time since June 2023 while the pending home sales growth decelerated.

Mortgage Rates:

Throughout 2024, mortgage rates were chaotic, and as a result, home affordability went downward. By January 2024, rates came down from their peak established in October 2023, which assisted in buying potential buyers.

Home Prices:

From 2023 to 2024, the median sale price of homes continued to rise, reaching $362,113 in January 2025, a 4.2% increase from the previous year. This trend escalated existing affordability barriers for a vast majority of buyers to above unfortunate limits.

Australia:

Home Prices:

In Australia, statistics illustrate that home prices declined by 0.1% in December 2024 compared to the Australian home prices, which saw a monthly rise in Canada two years ago. Major Australian cities like Sydney and Melbourne both observe declines of 0.6% and 0.7%, respectively.

Interest Rates:

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) retained interest rates at 4.35% during 2024, which was 12 years high. Market predictions led to interest rate cuts in 2025, which could, in effect, steer home prices.

United Kingdom:

Mortgage Rates and Cash Buyers

Rising mortgage rates increased the number of cash buyers in the market, accounting for 31% of property sales in early 2024.

The increase in interest rates has led to some homebuyers opting to purchase homes in cash rather than obtain a mortgage because they don’t want to bear the costs of a loan.

Retail UpdateRETAIL/RETAIL HIGHLIGHTS

Contagion from Housing Crisis:

The retail sector in the US had also been severely impacted by the weakened housing market, which led to home durable goods sales collapsing in 2024. Concomitantly, Big Lots and Conn’s reported overstocks, which caused them to shutter more locations than they expanded in the entirety of the year, leading to the overall net store closures of about 1400.

REAL ESTATE

Property Outlook Determinants:

The uncertainties of the economic state led to subdued demand, coupled with higher financing rates, creating an imbalance. Consolidated Offices witnessed a drop in demand due to the patterns of hybrid and remote work. The sector is expected to grapple with refinancing nearly USD 570 billion worth of matured commercial real estate loans by 2025.

PROPERTY/REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT

Single Successful Candidates:

Some outliers managed to profit from market trends with great effort. For example, 30 aged rental property owners in Des Moines, Iowa, earned around 240,000 from rental properties in 2023 while fully employed in the day sector.

Regional Commentary: Shorewood in Wisconsin MSA

Property Trends:

In February 2023, Wisconsin noticed a 6 percent rise in the average housing price, reaching an estimated $265,000.

Sales have become increasing with inventories of 2.5 months worth of supply remaining. Along with this, new listings have also surged by up to 10.1%.

Real estate and business markets are ever-changing, and conditions tend to shift quickly, so to get real-time information, check in with local real estate agents or financial advisors in addition to authentic news sources.

• This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by  Gustan Cho.

Mortgage and Real Estate News Update for December 30th 2024

Until December 30, 2024, trends have emerged and developed in the mortgage and real estate industry as follows:

Current Rates:

• The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is around 6.85%, indicating an upward trend from 6.72%.

Federal Action:

• While the Federal Reserve has cut rates, that has not been reflected in mortgage rates.
• This
  is primarily because the Fed’s benchmark rate cuts have been negated by
  higher 10-year Treasury yields due to inflationary worries, causing
  mortgages to remain higher.

Pending Home Sales:

• The
  US saw a successful November, with purchase contracts of used homes
  rising by 2.2%, the highest level in 21 months, over November.
• This
  signaled the potential recovery of the US housing sector, as not only
  did this mark an increase compared to October, but there was a
  noticeable trend over the past four months.

Regional Variation:

• Moderation in Housing Stock has aided growth in home purchases, with YoY housing inventory rising to over 18%.
• However,
  the South and West regions saw an increase in the sales of Pending
  homes, which was contrasted with a decrease in the Northeast region.

Forecasts of the market for the year 2025

Mortgage Rates:

• As estimated, mortgage rates will stay above the 6% threshold in 2025, with chances of reaching 6.8%.
• These measures assume inflation and a rise in the national debt due to future strategies.

Prices of Homes:

• The estimates suggest that home prices will increase by approximately 3.7% by 2025.
• Such estimates gauge home prices increased by 4% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2023, suggesting appreciation for the rules set.

Construction inventory:

• The
  estimates suggest construction will rise in 2025, with an estimated
  13.8% increase in new construction and an estimated 11.7% increase in
  inventory sales.
• This expansion could provide buyers with ample options, decreasing the competition in the market.

Opinion of the Consumers:

• The sentiment surrounding the housing market is now more optimistic than ever.
• An unprecedented share of respondents think the rates will lower in the coming year.
• At the same time, an appropriate number of them think the housing market will be a good area to invest in.

We are slowly seeing some stability in the mortgage and real estate markets, with slight increases in home sales and the prices of homes, although I wouldn’t hold my breath for those rates to come down anytime soon. For mortgage seekers, and even home buyers and sellers, despite the high competition we face in the market, deep knowledge of economic indicators helps to forecast market trends that promote reliable decision-making in today’s global environment.

• This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by  Gustan Cho.
• This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by  Gustan Cho.

Below is a concise overview of the mortgage, real estate, and business updates for the week of December 23 to December 28, 2024:

Mortgage Rates and Housing Market Trends

Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise:

• For the second time in a row, mortgage rates have surged since July and now stand at 6.85 percent.
• This is an increase from 6.72 percent, which stood last week.
• The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage has also hiked again, breaking 6.61 percent this time last year.
• This also means it will keep increasing, as we saw it hit 6.89 percent in mid-July.
• In addition, 15-year fixed mortgages surged, with rates reported at a whopping 5.92 percent compared to 5.84 percent.
• As we enter the new year, the economy is expected to boost purchase rates to assist with the surging problem of undersupplied homes in the market.

Homeowners Costs Are Increasing

A rising trend indicates that homeowners are now spending more on property taxes and home insurance than they are reportedly spending on mortgages. The average single-family mortgage is set at 32 percent for property taxes and insurance, which breaks records as it’s the highest rate since 2014. The driving factor for this trend is the natural disasters that caused home values to skyrocket.

The Pirates of the Caribbean

Or, as I like to call them, the New York upstate, Omaha, New Orleans, and Miami Pirates that own homes. They are the worst, and so are mortgage holders because they pay more than half of their monthly payments on taxes and insurance. The average rate of this has grown to 7 percent, making owning a single-family single-family home a life of misery. And speaking of home buying in general, mortgage payments are high, no thanks to the recent rate cuts. In both 2014 and now, buying a home is a huge hassle for the rich and the poor, and I can assure you that this is only the start of our problems.

Advancements in the Real Every Field

Let’s start with Rocket Homes

• The CFPB also sued Rocket Homes for its alleged actions, in which the brokers were asked to purchase mortgage holder services from their company.
• The back-and-forth in this lawsuit goes deep, but to keep it short, the JMG Holding firm’s Jason Mitchell also comes into play within these allegations.
• Rocket Homes argues against the CFPB’s stance, enabling them to go at ease again.

Sadly, the CU building has also come under heat to be able sexual misconduct scandals with the inclusion of Master Batters: the brokers, Tal and Oren, go on to expose how eXp is real.

The recent allegations raised questions of integrity within a predominantly female industry sorely constructed by male figures. Detractors note the industry’s rampant culture, where safety precautions and a proper supervision hierarchy that controls malfeasance are non-existent. Pioneers such as the National Association of Realtors have tried devising policies that will help foster a balanced, safe, and upbuilding environment.

The sale of loans in multifamily commercial real estate by HomeStreet Bank

In a transaction that involved Bank of America, HomeStreet Bank went on to sell $990 million in unpaid principal balance of loans for almost $906 million. This translates to a 92% value of the loans. The only reason why this discount was given was due to the current interest rate environment and the lower yield of the loans. The deal is projected to aid HomeStreet in recovering from the multiyear loss and assuage investors worried about the previous halted merger with First Sun Capital Bancorp. Funds raised from the transaction will primarily be focused on addressing debt and looking for cheaper capital. The final date for the completion of the transaction is December 31. On the other hand, Home Street is expected to continue servicing the loans.

Forecast of Commercial Real Estate

The commercial real estate sector has been conditioned by various challenges, including the constant rise in interest rates, constantly decreasing supply, and high production expenses.

The hybrid and remote work trend has severely affected the office space market. And even now, despite a rather remarkable cutback from the Federal Reserve, long-term rates are elevated, making sales and refinancing more complicated than necessary. A massive 570 billion dollars worth of commercial real estate loans are due by 2025. These loans will most likely experience a cash flow deficit, while some may even face massive refinancing difficulties. The assumed Trump administration portrays promising tax structures and lower regulations as policies that further bolster the population’s confidence. The online shopping boom brought a sharp increase in demand for industrial supply. However, this has recently stagnated and is anticipated to bounce back when the newly available supply is subdued and demand rises. The growth of e-commerce stimulates future demand for industrial space. 2025 will likely be the year when this wheel starts rolling again. But we still have to navigate slow economic growth and tough refinancing circumstances.

Expected Housing Market Scenario

Expected changes in the 2025 housing market:

Towards 2025, hope is presented to future real estate hopefuls who have navigated on that tough terrain the last couple of years, as most are expected to find the housing market easier to deal with. There are predictions that mortgage rates will increase slightly over the 6% threshold, which will cause more listings to become available and slow the increase in the value of these listings. As the rate of interest declines, it is expected that more US citizens will be willing to relocate, aiding the housing inventory.

The current housing supply is likely to witness an uptrend growth of about 11.7%, which would dampen the competition with a more controlled price increase. However, they expect a remarkable rate decrease since they are most likely to follow the return on the 10-year treasuries, which may stay high if inflation continues. Overall, during 2025, there are high chances of the rates being more favorable for the buyers due to a high supply, alongside the mortgage rates being slightly lower than they used to be.

The mortgage and real estate markets have fluctuated due to inflation, job statistics, foreclosure, and home prices, all notable developments considering the rising mortgage rates. Here’s the recent trend. The article will also provide information on the ever-changing but somehow related business economics.

Mortgage Rates

30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:

• According to the most current statistics.
• The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased to 6.85%, which has been the highest recorded since mid-July.
• The percentage was 6.72% last week, compared to 6.61% recorded a year ago.
• This is a clear sign of raised bond yields banks use to sell home loans.

15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:

• Closed at 6%, up from 5.92% recorded the previous week.

Employment and Job Losses

In considering the labor force, indicators highlight its potential decay due to students’ inability to find summer jobs, resulting in aggravated unemployment reaching 6.4%.

Inflation

The growing economic debate on whether federal banks should pay particular regard to inflation is apparent, especially considering the recent US statistics indicating inflation is growing to 3.2% annually.

It is projected to keep increasing, impacting mortgage rates and the overall economic spectrum.

Foreclosure Rates

There are no seasonal statistics or trends regarding foreclosures at present. However, the growing interest and inflationary rates can complementarily lead to further foreclosure activity, as people who need to deal with further economic stresses alongside rising home loan interest rates may find themselves unable to cope and eventually file for bankruptcy.

Home Prices

Despite the hike in mortgage rates, home prices remained steady. Due to high demand and low housing inventory, the price of homes in the United States is predicted to increase by 5% this year, higher than the previous prediction of 1.9%.

In the UK, it is estimated that house prices will increase by 1.9%, bringing the average value of a house to £267,500. The increase in market activity is expected to impact the housing market positively.

Factors Influencing the Market

Bond Yields Increased bond yields are the reason mortgage rates are increasing. This affects the low number of homebuyers.

Federal Reserve Policies Other policies cut rates to improve affordability, but in contrast, the rate cuts resulted in increased mortgage rates. This is because the 10-year Treasury bonds have increased yields, which wreaked havoc on mortgage rates.

Housing Inventory

Even with the increased mortgage rates, there is a limited number of houses, which keeps the prices of the homes steady. Owners with low mortgage rates are reluctant to sell their houses, contributing to the low supply.

Implications for Homebuyers and Homeowners

Affordability Challenges Due to the increased price of homes and mortgage rates, the supply of houses has greatly diminished, which has resulted in many unfavorable implications, such as a decrease in mortgage applications.

Increased Costs

The property tax rate has historically been low, around 32% in recent years. Still, as of 2014, mortgage rates and insurance expenses have virtually skyrocketed.

The increased mortgage rates, inflation, and economic instability make it almost impossible for potential buyers and homeowners to afford their properties. With the market as fuzzy as it is, it’s worth getting advice from an expert and staying updated with the latest economic information.

In the mortgage circuit, there have been drastic changes along with fluctuations in the real estate market, all affected by the economic policies that have increased bond yields. As for the current state of the economy, it can be summarized as follows:

Rates on Mortgages

30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:

• Average rates have soared to 6.85%.
• This is the highest increase since July, when they climbed from 6.72% to 6.85%, compared to last week’s and the six-point sixty-one percent a year ago.

15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:

• Instead of 5.92% in the previous week, the rates have spiked to 6.00%.

Housing Market Information

House Prices:

• High price rates combined with even higher mortgage rates have made it nearly impossible for almost all potential buyers to stimulate any chances of homeownership, further supporting the continuing downturn of the housing market.

Inventory Trials:

• Taking November into account, the last reported figure regarding the total number of houses available for sale was 1.37 million, showing a 19.1% increase year after year.

The Following influences the Rate Increase On Mortgages

• Generally speaking, mortgage rates and bond yields display a very tight relationship.
• An increase in bond yields leads to many factors, including an increase in mortgage rates.

Expectations Regarding Inflation

As we all know, inflation is bad news for every industry. It pushes investors to seek larger returns on long-term investments, which increases bond rates.

Policies By The Federal Reserve Bank

Although the Reserve recently cut some rates to facilitate purchasing, mortgage rates have paradoxically skyrocketed instead.

These factors account for the divergence we have seen, and it seems justified in view of rising yields on 10-year Treasury Bonds, which are considered a significant determinant of mortgage rates.

Government Debt Levels

Increasing fiscal deficits enhance the volume of government bonds, causing yields to increase to attract buyers.

Economic Policies

Policy shifts, such as instituting tariffs and tax reductions, could increase economic activity, raise inflation, add to government borrowing, and consequently raise mortgage rates.

Aspects That Influence Homebuyers and the Real Estate Economic Activity & Development:

Challenges on Affordability: Rising mortgage rates and current home prices have generally limited the number of prospective buyers, and mortgage applications have been sluggish.

Market Activity:

• Interest rates have suppressed buyer interest. A slight reduction in interest rates is likely to stimulate some business growth.
• Still, the business environment will remain restrained due to the relatively high prices and low volume of housing available.

The movement in 10-year Treasury yields and mortgage bonds highlights the intricate web of factors that characterize the current economy. These indicators and trends are critical for home buyers or borrowers intending to refinance their homes. Therefore, such transactions should be undertaken only after due consultation with advisers.

Mortgage and Real Estate Update for Wednesday, December 25th, 2024Mortgage Rates Remain Constant As The Holidays Are Upon Us.

30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage:

• Average fixed mortgage rate continues to remain at 6.75 %.
• Analysts don’t anticipate any compelling changes this week.

15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage:

• The average rate on the 15-year is 6.15, which is also a good option for homeowners willing to refinance.

ARM:

• Similar to the 5/1 ARM, rates have remained stable at 6.50 percent while buyers consider the risk of a rate change.

Analysis:

• Towards the end of the year, we usually see a drop in the amount of mortgage applications as people are less likely to look to buy a new home.
• However lenders do suspect that they may see a increase in the early months of 2025 as rates begin to normalise.

Housing Still In Demand During The Winter Season

Lack of Supply:

• The active listing has dropped by 18% year on year which further lowers the options for the buyers in many locations.

Prices:

• Price of homes rose by 4.1% in November 2024 when compared with the last year during the same period.
• This is indicitive of demand in high growth areas.

Top Buy Markets:

• Austin and Orlando are hot places to buy homes while less accessibly prices areas such as Wisconsin and Pittsburgh are more stable.

Trends in the Rental Market

Rents Rates Slowing Down:

• The rental rates for 2024 have seen a rise by 2.3 percent lower than the 5.7 percent rent witnessed in the year 2023.
• This stagnation is due to an increased availability of multi-family houses.

Continued Movement to Suburbs:

• Renters are shifting from apartments to suburban areas due to affordability issues, especially in areas just outside big cities such as Phoenix and Denver.

Increased Costs Affect Builder Confidence

Commencement of New Homes:

• In comparison to last year there has been an increase of 9 percent during November of single family house starts while multi-family starts have remained constant.

Excess Inventory in Some Parts:

• In Texas and Florida, builders are recording high inventories of unsold homes, especially in the luxury sector.

2025 Predictions:

• The builders are not very optimistic but cautious, which is why they want to build affordable housing for most people so that eager entry-level home buyers will choose it.

An Increase in The Rate Of Foreclosure and Bankruptcy

Foreclosure:

• An Increasing economic stress and inflation is leading to a growth in US foreclosure filing and as a result between Q3 to Q4 of two thousand twenty-three there was a 13 percent increase.

Bankruptcies:

• There has been a year over year increase of 18 percent in the filing of personal bankruptcies showing the financial stress faced by the middle-class households.

Areas With the Highest Growth:

States like New Jersey, Illinois, and Nevada need the most scrutiny as they had the highest amount of foreclosure activity.

Broader Trends in Commercial Real Estate Portfolio Looking at the Bigger Picture

Retail Decline:

• The e commerce business has taken over which is why the rates have increased to 12 .8 percent which is causing the brick-and-mortar business to struggle.

Shifting the Office Network:

• Suburbs are seeing an increase in preferences for office spaces.
• Whereas cities are facing higher offices than ever before.
• SFF and NYC are quoted to have a very high vacancy rate cross country comparison shows a significant increase in demand.

E-commerce digitalization effect:

• The E-commerce and improvements in supply chain are the two most key drivers for a growth in demand for logistics and warehouse spaces.

Changes In Policy Affecting Housing

Inspection Report for FHA Loan Limits 2025:

• Prevalent headlines include the federal housing administration loan limits amendment.
• This will see the loan limits in high-cost regions increased to 1.2 million dollars.
• This development allows more buyers to take up markets with expensive places, including New York and California.

Tax Incentives for Affordable Housing:

• Integracare in Hexcel has prepared to lobby Congress and vote to extend the tax incentives for builders seeking to construct affordable housing projects, which is liable to solve the looming shortage of inventory.

Climate Change Effects on Real Estate

Flood Zones:

• The New FEMA flood maps, which will be published in early 2025, will likely categorise additional regions as high-risk, which will lead to an enhancement in the price of flood insurance for homeowners.

Wildfire Areas:

• Wildfires are a reality whose aftermath California, Colorado and other states are adjusting to.
• Wildfires have alternative real estate impacts, such as A
• advancing premiums of insurance and reducing property expenses of affected regions.

Real Estate Investment Trends

• Over time, the popularity of real estate properties designed for short-term rentals has not seemed to drop.
• However, in the bigger cities such as Miami and Los Angeles, some measures are being put in place that control who can purchase these properties.

As for communities made specifically for renters, investors are gradually moving in that direction as there is plenty of demand for such buildings since many people can’t afford to own a house.

Tech in Real Estate

There is a rise in people utilizing remote services to buy houses. People can now talk over platforms and do virtual tours, which reduces the waiting time and makes it more efficient.

When lending, companies have been leaning towards utilizing AI as part of the approving process. It speeds up the process significantly and lowers the amount of time spent on underwriting.

International Buyers Return

Luxury Properties across the United States have been catching the eye of international investors, especially those in New York, Miami & Los Angeles, Canada, Europe & China overseas investors seem to be returning in large numbers.

Make sure to keep an eye open for further updates as there is plenty more room to monitor these trends going into the new year.

Here’s your weekly snapshot of mortgage and real estate headlines for December 24 December 24, 2024:

Mortgage Rate Changes

30-Year Fixed Rates:

• The national average interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage hit 6.75%.
• As a result, predicting competitive rates shortly has become easier.

15-Year Fixed Rates:

• The market continues offering 15-year fixed mortgage rates at around 6.15%.
• Much lower than before.

ARM Rates:

• The popularity of adjustable-rate mortgages has prompted lenders to cut back on their offerings.
• 5/1 ARMs, conversely, have an average interest of 6.50%.
• A flash in the arm is observed and foreseen for early 2025, as inflation is also predicted to remain strong.

Housing Market Analysis

Home Prices:

• Key markets such as Florida, Texas, and California show continued appreciation in median home prices. At the same time, states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania still appear to have leveled out at more sustainable rates.

Inventory Shortages:

• Urban areas, in particular, are experiencing volatile market conditions.
• While demand and, thus, prices continue to stay high, supply remains at historic lows.

Best Buyers’ Markets:

• Buffalo, New York, and Detroit, Michigan, are approaching reasonable prices for new homebuyers.

Here Are The Updates About FHA Loans For 2024

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) raised the loan limit thresholds effective January 1, 2024.

• In low-cost areas, it is set to $500,000.
• The limit is set at $1.2 million in high-cost areas that can afford it, enabling homebuyers to have more choices.

Non-QM Loans Are Getting Popular Among Self-Employed Borrowers

Non-qualified mortgage loans are becoming more popular as more self-employed individuals enter the market. Various lending institutions have a wide variety of condotel and short-term investing options.

Shift in How Commercial Real Estates Are Sought After

The demand for multifamily building loans is increasing as more builders develop a strategy for constructing more projects in urban and suburban locations. Improvement in market conditions has enabled better entry price points for spec building of 1-4 unit real estate.

Private Equity Market with a Focus on Strategic Sourcing: The Midwest

Wisconsin:

• House prices continue to increase near Madison and Racine counties as more people from the area look for cheap housing and a better lifestyle.

Illinois:

• Chicago has a consistent level of interest for FHA loans, thanks to first-time home buyers who require financing and downpayment assistance programs.

Realstock Investor Programs

Realty investors are moving away from all capital cities and looking towards second-hand rental properties, as there is a good demand for rentals. There is still much interest in short-term furnished rental properties for places that are big tourist spots, but policymakers are increasingly holding back investment.

Top Updates to Regulation: There Is

The National Association of REALTORS(r) has settled on paying a realtor and buyer commission adjustments and structure to be in place come 2025. This has been proposed due to a discussion of concern that the agents will become purely marketing specialists, hence, out of the market.

Watch out for more analysis of these trends as the new year progresses.

Below is a comprehensive overview of the national mortgage and real estate market, focusing on specific areas as of December 23, 2024:

Mortgage NewsTrends in Mortgage Rates

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates:

Reports indicate that the rate for 30-year fixed mortgages is 6.79%. This implies a significant decline that has been observed globally. All this has resulted from the announcement made by the Federal Reserve regarding the possible lowering of interest rates in the year 2025.

15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates:

The prevailing rates for this kind of investment are set at 6.11, which can benefit homeowners who want to refinance their land and take out a loan.

Activity Regarding Refinancing

Slowly, as the rates stay on the lower side, they are starting to impact the number of applicant refinance applications; however, they are still much lower than in the pre-2023 timeframe.

Federal Reserve Policy

The recent changes made to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, along with the anticipation that mortgage rates will begin to lower in the first half of 2025 due to a decrease in the federal funds rate, have helped diffuse uncertainty.

Highlights of the Real Estate Market/IndustryPrices of Houses

Trends Nationwide:

Home prices have increased steadily but not excessively in most regions, and major metro areas like Austin, Miami, and Seattle still face a demand-and-supply issue.

Growing Market in Rural Areas:

There has been a noticeable surge in the popularity of affordable housing options in rural regions, including South Dakota, Montana, and certain parts of Texas.

Sales of Current Houses

Recognizably, the two-year spoiler of progress has been broken, and we are now 2.5% up on existing home sales. This, however, was long overdue, for the buyers had progressed along adjusting to the new ‘high mortgage rates’ by how the market conducted itself.

Rental Market Update

Moving up on the scales of the national average rent, single-family rental homes do incite a slight increase in demand. The region of Nashville, alongside Orlando, is experiencing population growth alongside the pit of competition, consequently sending dwellings soaring.

Policy and Legislation Updates

Affordable Housing Initiatives:

The Fed anticipates tax rebates alongside grants to effectively ‘build where they are broken.’ The Biden administration has properly reserved funds and is now allocating them according to its needs.

Zoning Reforms C. Constit 1, supplementary to this chapter, has been enacted to streamline the zoning processes for smaller-scale projects and combat California’s dire housing shortage.

Property Tax Relief

Florida and Texas have stepped up to provide tax relief aid to owners struggling with increasing home valuations.

Industry Innovations and Trends

Green Housing Initiatives:

Created automated homes coupled with solar roofs and energy-conserving materials are in demand, increasing the buyer market, which feels welcomed to the bid.

Technology in Real Estate:

Properties are being bought and sold at a staggering pace as AI and blockchain technologies are employed, enhancing the efficiency of the process alongside increasing transparency within real estate transactions.

Expectations in the Making For 2025

The ongoing economic situation and inflation are said to have contributed to a considerable slowdown in the real estate market. However, this also means that it will take longer for property prices to skyrocket. According to experts, property prices grow around 4%. But that number will vary by 1 or 2% based on the property’s location. This inventory crunch keeps the demand high, contributing to the gradual increase in property prices.

Furthermore, it has also been predicted that the mortgage rates will decrease in mid-2025, with the 30-year fixed mortgage sitting around 6.25%

Buyers:

You’re best off waiting until 2025, as mortgage rates will certainly dip and are predicted to decrease gradually.

Sellers:

The market is leaning towards a seller’s market. If you have trouble selling your home, you can tweak the price, as homes in high-demand areas often sell at suitable rates.

Renters:

With the demand for rental options increasing daily, aspiring homeowners should consider exploring rent-to-own options.

The insights shared above should give you a better understanding of how the real estate and mortgage sector is shifting, keeping in mind the potential stabilization of the sector in 2025.

Mortgage and Real Estate News Weekend Edition: Market Wrap-Up Update (December 16 – December 21, 2024):

Mortgage Rates

Current Rates:

• The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is steady at 6.4% as of December 21, with the average fifteen-year fixed in the 5.8% region.
• The ongoing stability during a slow period provides some relief to home buyers.

Market Influences:

• Inflation figures and the Federal Reserve’s message on the likely direction of interest rates have contributed to fluctuations in existing economic indicators, keeping mortgage rates slightly further tempered.

Home Sales Activity

Existing Home Sales:

• In November, the National Association of Realtors registered a surge of 1.5% in existing home sales.
• This increase signals a boost in buyer activity for that month, caused primarily by seasonal changes and a subsequent boost in buyer activity.

Pending Home Sales:

• The market shows signs of strength going into the new year, as pending home sales also bumped by 2.3% during November.

Housing Inventory

Inventory Levels:

• Despite the increase in sales, housing inventory remains tight.
• The current supply of homes is around 2.7.
• This number is fairly low compared to the historical average of six over the months.

New Listings:

• In December, new listings noted an increase of 4%, which is commendable.
• This further shows that despite sellers’ affordability challenges.
• There is still a willingness to join the real estate bandwagon.

Home Prices

Price Trends:

• The median existing home price has served as a foremost determinant in history.
• The average selling price at the national level was $370,000, down almost two percent compared to the past year.

Regional Variations:

• Particular regions within the Southern and Midwestern parts of America are either showing slight rises in value or stabilization of values, in contrast to the major restructuring occurring within the Californian and New York markets.

Foreclosure Rates

Foreclosure Data:

• Financial strains on borrowers rapidly increase, resulting in foreclosure filings soaring by 10% in the last month.
• Significant activity has been done in foreclosures in Nevada and New Jersey.

Government Response:

• Local governments are trying to implement support measures for families facing foreclosure.
• These measures incorporate counseling services and monetary support.

Regulatory Developments

Federal Reserve Meetings:

• Over the recent months, mortgage rates have demonstrated signs of higher stability than in the past.
• This is due to the federal funds rate remaining steady after the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting.

Legislative Initiatives:

• Congress is paying attention to ongoing discussions on amending housing policies such as zoning laws and increasing funding for affordable housing.

Market Outlook

Outlook Towards 2025:

• Analysts expect the housing market to stabilize further in early 2025 if there are more sellers since there might be more inventory.
• However, other headwinds, like high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, may continue to dampen buyer demand in the property market.

Affordability Constraints:

• The affordability constraint continues to be serious, especially for first-time buyers.
• More attention to the developments of economic factors and interest rate fluctuations will be very important for the housing market’s health in the months close to the elections.

The picture of the mortgage and real estate market between 16 and December 21, 2024, resembles a guarded optimism given the developing challenges. There are signs of home sales picking up modestly and mortgage interest rates stabilizing, which is positive. In contrast, supplies and affordability remain key drivers in the lead-up to the new year. The key economic indicators and regulatory measures have given clues on what to anticipate in housing for 2025.

• This discussion was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  Gustan Cho.
• This discussion was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  Gustan Cho.

Fresh Update on National Mortgage and Real Estate News highlights for December 20, 2024.

National Mortgage And Real Estate News

Trends in Mortgage Rates

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has remained consistent at 6.4, dropping fractionally compared to last week, offering a tiny amount of hope for future buyers in this market.

End of The Year Home Sales Statistics:

Data recently disclosed highlights that existing home sales have grown by 2% as of December, highlighting a slow market recovery as sellers take advantage of lower rates before the start of the new year.

Newly Built Properties

The United States Census Bureau announced a 15% growth in the start of new housing units for November; this can be attributed to the demand for individually owned homes. Builders are meeting the constant demand for housing.

Rates Of Foreclosure

The foreclosure rate continues to be at 0.4 percent, which is still lower than expected. This all hints towards stability in the economy and assistance to homeowners with increased property value in specific areas.

Dynamics Of The Rental Market

Renting, on average across the country, has surged by around 3.5 percent compared to last year. The major areas have significantly more demand because of the gradual change in work-from-home policies and tenants’ desire to be closer to their place of work.

Influences Of New Policies

New Federal housing policies to make properties more affordable and easier to obtain are expected to take effect in early 2025. These policies will affect mortgage rates and the amount of housing available.

Tech in Real Estate

The introduction of AI tools and the option of virtual tours is making real estate purchasing easier. Both buyers and agents are making good use of these add-ons.

Market Predictions for 2025

The younger generation will greatly influence the market, so it is predicted that 2025 will be a very busy and competitive housing market. It would be easy to assume that prices would also increase.

With favorable mortgage rates and encouraging sales and construction of homes, the real estate sector is exhibiting a healthy outlook as we near the end of 2024. When considering 2025, investors and buyers should be aware of market developments and potential legal changes that could impact their choices.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&t=481s&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime

As of December 19, 2024, the U.S. mortgage and real estate markets have made significant progress that affects buyers, sellers, and investors.

Here’s a detailed summary :Trends in Mortgages

Current Averages:

• The typical rate for 30-year fixed mortgages is 6.72 percent, compared to 6.60 percent a week ago.
• This increase is partly fueled by the Fed’s recent prediction that there will be fewer rate cuts in 2025 than anticipated.

Actions of the Federal Reserve

Revised forecasts from the Federal Reserve have altered long-run views of the economy. They are attributed to the recent increase in mortgage rates. The long-run expectations showed caution for investors who were looking for more aggressive cuts in the near future.

Expert Predictions

Economists predict that rates will remain above 6 cents through 2025. Some estimates peak as high as 6.8 cents. These estimates are attributed to the risks of inflation and rising debt issued from the government’s uses.

Dynamics of the Housing Market

Homes on Sale:

• In November, the sale of already-owned homes in America rose for a third month, reaching an annualized rate of 4.2 units.
• Considering the context of last year, this is an increase of 6.1 percent and the highest annual increase since 2021.
• In light of this surge, predictions for the year indicate a house shipment on a scale comparable to 1995.

Home Prices

The transition in the U.S. recession posted buck sales prices of up to $406,100 in November. The data shows an increasing average sales price driven by increased demand in the housing market regardless of unprecedented mortgage rates.

Inventory Levels

By the end of November, inventories comprised 1.33 million homes, a 17.7% increase from current sales. Despite this surge in homes, the market remains competitive, with >30% fewer stocks than those pre-COVID.

Builder Activity

Lennar Corporation:

• A leading bill in home sales, Lennar reported a dip in sales owing to the higher interest rates of mortgages.
• The brand hinted at a shift in strategy to lower prices further.
• However, the current quarter prediction does not seem promising, as earnings from home sales are the lowest in over six years.

Market Predictions

Looking Forward To Buying A House:

• Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran predicts a surge in condo buying activity if loan costs decrease to just 5%.
• This is because Ms Barbara believes that such a decrease in mortgage costs will cause the real estate market to explode.
• Loan costs have decreased to 6.6% from 6% to 7%.

The mortgage rate and the real estate industry in the U.S. are experiencing a combination of increasing mortgage rates, more home sales, and new strategies by builders. Economic drivers, Federal Reserve activities, and other developments should be tracked to make proper decisions in this volatile framework.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime

• This discussion was modified 3 months, 4 weeks ago by  Gustan Cho.

The U.S. mortgage and real estate market is shifting significantly as of December 18, 2024, which affects sellers, buyers, and investors alike. Here’s a comprehensive overview:

Mortgage Rates and Predictions

Let’s look at the current averages step by step. These include the 30-year fixed mortgage, which sits at around 6.78%; the 15-year fixed rate, which sits at 5.94%; and the 5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which average 7.35%. While all this was happening, the Federal Reserve steadily implemented cuts by scaling the benchmark rate to around 4.3%. However, because of the economic woes and low inflation, mortgage rates remained high, above 6%, as many analysts calculated.

Housing Market Activity

7.35% fixed mortgage rates, along with inflation and remodeling costs, severely restricted builders and home buyers alike from pursuing new projects. Most builders’ optimistic stance, hoping for a turn in market conditions, along with the continued price rise even as remodeling costs rose from $350,000 to $370,000 between 2020 and 2021, further restricted activity in the industry.

NewHome Construction

As housing construction felt the initial effects of the CR2 storm in 2021, the sudden rise in temperatures in the fall of 2022, coupled with the lack of consistent supply, felt like a final unlocking of the keyhole to this issue, with building starts in November having risen by 6.4% to an annual rate of an estimated 1 million units.

Although prices have risen, the rate of increase has been moderated compared to previous years.

Home Price Forecast for 2024-2029

Due to increased listings enabling a relatively higher home sales rate, home prices are predicted to remain flat. However, home prices will gradually rise between 2025 and 2029, with an estimated 1% increase yearly.

Housing Market Forecast for 2024

Substantial growth is anticipated in metropolitan housing markets, such as Oxnard, CA, Rochester, NY, and San Diego, CA. Prices and sales will ideally grow due to good economic conditions and stable prices.

Consumer Insights and Issues in the MarketMillennials as Homebuyers

One of the biggest blocks preventing millennials from fully engaging in the market is high home prices and higher mortgage rates. Based on current trends, 30-year-olds have a 43% homeownership rate, compared to 52% for baby boomers of the same age. Perceptions of homeownership or wealth due to economic imbalance within the generation heavily impact the decision-making process.

Concerns About Affordability: Today, as before, affordability continues to be an issue due to increased home prices and high mortgage interest rates. This led to elevated monthly repayments on existing mortgages. The increasing inventory levels would assist many prospective buyers, but the financial problem would remain.

Investment Opportunities

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT): Analysts say total returns on U.S. REITs should fall between 5 and 15 percent in 2025.

American Healthcare REIT, Extra Space Storage, and Cousins Properties are the best choices. These have made sensible investments and displayed steady occupancy rates. Still, their performance could be influenced by high valuations and anticipated changes in tax policies.

The American mortgage and real markets are adjusting to a trying period defined by high rates, low appreciation of home prices, and shifting consumer habits and behaviors. Operators must keep abreast of economic indicators to operate effectively in this economy, including the Federal Reserve’s decisions, policies, and market trends.

As of December 17, 2024, the mortgage and real estate markets are experiencing notable developments across various regions. Here’s a comprehensive overview:

Mortgage Rates and Trends

• Current Averages: The national average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is approximately 6.78%, rising over the past five days.
• This upward trend followed when rates reached their lowest levels since October.
• State Variations: Refinance rates vary by state, with New York, California, and Arkansas offering some of the lowest rates between 6.70% and 6.90%. In contrast, states like Kentucky, Hawaii, and Illinois have higher rates, ranging from 7.02% to 7.09%.
• Expert Predictions: Economists forecast that mortgage rates will remain above 6% into 2025, with some estimates reaching 6.8%. Factors influencing these projections include potential inflation and national debt concerns.

Real Estate Market Highlights

• Luxury Rentals: Miami Heat star Jimmy Butler rents an 8,500-square-foot mansion on Miami Beach’s exclusive Hibiscus Island for over $70,000 monthly. This property features luxurious amenities, including ocean and skyline views, a private dock, and extensive recreational facilities.
• Australian Market Dynamics: In Australia, housing has become the foremost concern in 2024, with costs escalating significantly. Mortgage holders face increased interest rates, leading to financial strain for many. The average monthly mortgage repayment has nearly doubled from $2,291 in 2022 to $4,428 in 2024.
• UK Housing Outlook: The UK propertSignificant25, such as stamp duty threshold alterations effective April 1, potential mortgage rate reductions later in the year. These factors are expected to influence the UK property market, behavior, and market activity.

Market Predictions and Buyer Behavior

• Potential Market Surge: Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran predicts that if mortgage rates drop to around 5%, it could cause a significant increase in homebuying activity, making the housing market “go ballistic.” Mortgage rates have fallen to 6.6% but fluctuate between 6% and 7%.
• Millennial Hesitancy: Millennials born between 1981 and 1996 exhibit caution when entering the housing market. Past economic crises and volatile home prices have led this generation to view homeownership as a speculative asset, contributing to a lower homeownership rate than previous generations.

The mortgage and real estate landscapes are characterized by fluctuating rates, regional disparities, and shifting buyer sentiments. Stakeholders should closely monitor these trends to make informed decisions in this dynamic environment.

As far as the most recent update from December 16, 2024, is concerned, the mortgage and real estate sector is as follows:

Mortgage Rates

Current Statistics: The national average for a fixed-rate mortgage for a period of 30 years has decreased to approximately 6.6%, a reduction from 6.69% recorded a week before.

State Variations: Interest rates differ by state. Some states offer up to 6.68%, while others charge a high 7.09%.

Refinancing Rates

For the past 30 years, refinance mortgages have seen highs of 6.98%, which is eleven basis points greater than before.

Housing Market Trends

Home Sales: Compared to last year, house sales have increased by 22% over a month.

Home Prices: According to NAR, house prices will increase by 2%, and the median rise is estimated to be $410,700 thousand by 2025.

Inventory Levels

With stock inventory expectations low, more than $1.45 million housing unit sales are predicted for 2025 after the pandemic.

Expert InsightsMarket Predictions

Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran claims that if mortgage rates drop near 5%, the housing market will jump and go “ballistic.”

First-Time Buyers: First-time homebuyers account for less than a quarter of the entire market, an all-time low. There is a dire “urgency” for new buyers.

Home Renovations

Spending Trends: Due to the current state of home prices and mortgage rates, homeowners are more likely to spend more on renovations than moving.

Global Perspectives

UK Market: The UK house markets have seen exports slump for two months, resulting in average declines of £6395 in the December market.

China’s Market

During the last 17 months, house prices have depreciated slower than usual in China, which could indicate that the region’s property or real estate market is on its way to recovering and stabilizing.

Home buyers and real estate markets have been riling with activity, resulting in declining mortgage rates and stimulating purchasing and spending on home upgrades. Most experts in the field suggest that further step-downs in mortgage rates lead to much higher activity within the market, especially with those buying homes for the first time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GeSO9zBYeyc

• This discussion was modified 4 months ago by  Gustan Cho.

On December 15, 2024, the U.S. mortgage and real estate market is expected to see the following changes:

Trends in Mortgage Rates and Market Development: Reduction of Current Mortgage Rates

The average fixed mortgage rate for 30 years has dropped from 6.69% to 6.6% for the third week. Potential homebuyers can sigh relief, especially as we enter a low-competition winter period.

People Looking To Purchase Homes Expected To Rise

The NAR estimates selling numbers to be higher than in 2025 with the 6% mortgage stabilization rate. The sale value of previously-sector-owned homes is expected to be $410,700, which is a modest increase of 2%. The availability of additional stock and the increase in the number of people relocating to metro areas are shaping the market.

Regional Market HighlightsOuter Suburbs Advancement

According to Australia’s report, outer suburbs and non-metropolitan regions are comparatively outperforming other metropolitan regions in household demand, and the time taken to sell homes is also significantly less. Two cities in Australia, Perth and Brisbane, have seen a major decline in the median selling time, indicating significant market growth after particular times.

Attraction of Myrtle Beach

Myrtle Beach, SC, is gaining traction with retirees. Between 2020 and 2023, the nation saw the maximum adult growth rate of those over 65.

The local housing market has different types of properties that appeal to a wide range of buyers.

Innovations and Industry ChallengesFrustrations in Mortgage Credit

In November, mortgage credit availability drastically dropped, with government indices dropping to the lowest since 2012. Reduced investor interest has affected the liquidity in the market.

Technological Advancements

There is a growing trend within the mortgage field of enhancing how customers are treated and supported during the lending process. Lenders are adapting new technologies that optimize business processes, lower costs, and address changing consumer needs to enhance and deliver value throughout the customer journey.

Consumer StrategiesApps for Mortgage Overpayment

Owners use Sprive and similar applications to make mortgage overpayments, likely reducing their terms and the total interest paid. These applications are linked to a bank account and offer cash back, and these savings contribute to such payments.

Market Outlook: Predictions for 2025

According to the experts, mortgage prices will stay around 6% in 2025, the new mark. These reductions would allow more buyers to enter the market after the interest rates increased previously. However, affordability will remain a barrier, especially in the more sought-out areas.

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/pQrWdi0KNtE

The housing market forecast looks gloomy. With the average home prices up 100% since 2019 with rates at 7.5% and inflation at historic highs, homebuyers are perplexed as to buying a house now or later. Besides all the above, homeowners insurance is up as 500% and property taxes are skyrocketing.

Watch the attached video.

https://youtu.be/d01s6tsDGaA?si=oRGy90yEOhzXiMCa

Ever since I remember, Florida was the top favorite preferred state to relocate. Retired Americans moved to Florida to live their final days and die there. Is that still the case?

https://youtu.be/heeyfsnW9_k?si=yp74q9MnZcDZFiGg

Where is the housing market headed? What are your thoughts? I want to hear everyone’s thoughts about the housing market forecast. Are we headed towards a housing crisis worse than the 2008 financial crisis? Take the following into consideration:

1. Rates went from 2.5% in 2019 to today’s 7.5%.

2. Inflation at historic rates.

3. Housing prices up 50% or more since 2018.

4. Economic numbers are lies. The Biden Administration have lied about economy and economic growth. Joe Biden said our economy is doing great and Inflation is only a 4% and unemployment rate is only 3.2%. BIG FAT LIES AFTER LIES.

5. Kamala Harris, the first woman who slept her way to the White House touts Bidenomics is GREAT 👍 and that it WORKS: BULLSHIT 🐎 🐴 🎠 🏇 HORSESHIT 🫏 🐴 🫏 🐴

What are mortgage rates today Monday August 5th, 2024. Why is the Dow Jones Industrial Average Down 1,000 points? Why are the 30-year U.S. Treasuries down and what does this mean to mortgage rates? Why is Gold and Silver down and what this mean? What is the Federal Reserve Board thinking?

Starting August 17th, 2024, homebuyers need to sign a Buyer’s Purchase Agreement with a Buyers Real Estate Agent stating the homebuyers will pay the homebuyers real estate agent. Starting August 17, 2024, homebuyers must enter into a written agreement with their buyer’s real estate agent before seeing a house. This is part of the settlement agreement with the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which aims to make this relationship more transparent and formal between buyers and agents.

Key Points About the New Requirement:

Written Agreement:

Before touring homes in person or online, homebuyers must sign a Buyer’s Purchase Agreement with their realtor. The document outlines the agent’s services and how they will be paid​.

Compensation Disclosure:

An agreement should clearly state what compensation the real estate agent representing the buyer will receive. This happened indirectly through the MLS (Multiple Listing Service), which often showed seller compensation offers to buy agents​.

No More Compensation Offers in MLS:

The new rules ban real estate listing offers for compensation in MSL listings. This means buyers and their agents must negotiate directly without involving a third party like the MLS​.

What It Means for Home Buyers and Agents:

More Transparency: Clients now know exactly what service and costs are involved from their agency.

Formalized Relationships: Such requirements establish a more professional working relationship between clients and agencies, leading toward accountability on both sides

Flexibility in Terms of Agreement: Agents can offer different provisions, such as exclusive vs. non-exclusive agreements and contract duration, among others, but compensation should always be objectively ascertainable”​.

https://youtu.be/W_kvg5ciM4Q?si=SFeViOXta8k2QJU5

• This discussion was modified 8 months, 2 weeks ago by  Gustan Cho.

What happened last week that mortgage rates are plummeting. The 30-Year Treasuries dropped to 3.8% which tanked mortgage rates on government loans from 7.0 to 6.0%. 30-year U.S Treasuries were as high as near 5.0% just a few weeks ago. Gold increased to over 2,500 per ounce which is a historic high. Silver did not follow gold prices because banks were short selling Silver like crazy because banks and the Globalists have a huge short position and are afraid of getting margin calls on their Silver short positions. What economic numbers came out that caused the financial markets upside down? Will mortgage rates continue to plummet? Will it be beneficial to refinance now? How about doing Streamline Refinance on FHA and VA Loans? If I do an FHA or VA Streamline Refinance loan, can I do another FHA Streamline or VA Streamline Refinance loan if mortgage rates drop again? What are rates on conventional loans?

Home prices have skyrocketed between 2019 and today in 2024. You don’t have to be a rocket scientist or a genius to know what goes up fast generally comes down. Real Estate have always gone up over time and is considered a very safe investment. However, the safe investment part is that real estate generally goes up over time. Any investment that soars 100% or more over a period of five years will come down to make a correction. Here are the top states where Home Prices will crash in 2024 going into 2025. This is not saying that Home prices will remain low forever. However, due to the fast huge increase in Home prices in such a short time span, you will see a housing correction. It’s brewing now. High mortgage rates and high home prices is yielding high inventory, longer time on the market, price reductions, and sales prices substantially under listed market prices. Here are the top States you can expect Home Prices to CRASH in 2024 into 2025:

5. Washington

4. California

3. Colorado

4. Texas

5. Florida

Please watch the attached informative video clip:

https://youtu.be/bgwWJYEMsNw?si=ekT2NHaYvhfCrPnI

A Southern Suburban Illinois homeowner who used to pay $1,800 in property tax was shocked when the property tax on his single-family modest home in Chicago Heights, Illinois skyrocket to $30,000.

https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/cook-county-homeowner-property-tax-bill-erroneously-skyrockets

fox32chicago.com

Suburban homeowner's property tax bill skyrockets from $1,800 to over $30K

A homeowner in unincorporated Chicago Heights is reeling after receiving a property tax bill that assessed his modest 1950s home at over $1 million.

Dino Hasapis: Real Estate Broker at Compass and National Business Development Manager at Gustan Cho Associates

Dino Hasapis is a prominent real estate broker affiliated with Compass and holds a significant position at Gustan Cho Associates. Here are the details of his professional roles and contributions:

Dino Hasapis Compass Real Estate Chicago

Position: Real Estate Broker

Responsibilities:

• Specializes in residential real estate.
• Helps clients buy, sell, and invest in properties across Chicago and the surrounding areas.
• Known for providing personalized and strategic real estate services.

Gustan Cho Associates

Position: National Business Development Manager

Responsibilities:

• Manages and expands the Verified Preferred Realtor Partner Network (PRPN).
• Works closely with real estate professionals to enhance business growth and client satisfaction.
• Focuses on developing and maintaining strong industry relationships.

Contact Information of Dino Hasapis

Email: dinohasapis@compass.com

Phone:

• Mobile: 847-687-3056
• Office: 312-319-1168

Online Profiles

• Compass Profile: Dino Hasapis at Compass
• Zillow Profile: Dino Hasapis on Zillow
• LinkedIn: Dino Hasapis on LinkedIn

Key Highlights

• Experience: Over 13 years in the real estate industry.
• Sales Record: Proven track record with hundreds of closed sales and significant total sales value.
• Recognition: Recognized as a top producer by the Chicago Association of Realtors.

Services Offered

• Residential Real Estate: Assists with buying, selling, and investing in residential properties.
• Market Analysis: Provides detailed market analysis to help clients make informed decisions.
• Negotiation: Expert negotiation skills to ensure favorable terms for clients.

Summary of Dino Hasapis

Dino Hasapis is a seasoned real estate professional known for his expertise, strategic approach, and dedication to client success. His dual role at Compass and Gustan Cho Associates positions him as a key figure in the real estate industry, offering comprehensive services to meet diverse client needs. For more information or to contact Dino Hasapis, you can visit his profiles on Compass and LinkedIn.

https://gustancho.com/dino/

Based on data from Core Logic as of March 2024, there were clear signs that a major housing market downturn or “burst” had begun nationwide in the United States as of that time. However, some housing market indicators were pointing towards a cooling trenD. Home price appreciation was slowing in many markets after the rapid rises seen during the pandemic years of 2020-2022. Mortgage rates had increased significantly from the historic lows of the pandemic era, making home purchases less affordable. Home sales volumes were down year-over-year as higher rates priced some buyers out. Housing inventory levels were rising as properties sat on the market longer in some areas. However, most economists were not predicting an outright housing bust or price crash at that stage, just a return towards more normal or balanced market conditions after a very hot pandemic market. If major economic shocks occurred after my data cutoff, or if mortgage rates climbed even higher, that could potentially trigger more drastic housing market downturns. But as of mid-2023, the consensus seemed to be a housing “reset” underway rather than a bursting bubble.

Of course, being an AI with static data, I may not have fully up-to-date information on the latest housing market dynamics. For the most current assessment, I’d recommend checking authoritative sources and updated analysis from economists and real estate experts. Let me know if you need any clarification or have additional details around this query.

Home prices in several areas and states have begun to decrease.

Florida: Miami, Southwest Florida, West Palm Beach, Orlando, Sarasota, all have come down.

Texas: Austin Texas is expected to drop.

Ohio: Many cities in Ohio is expected to drop.

Oklahoma: Several cities including Oklahoma City is expected to drop.

Colorado: Denver home prices have started to come down.

California: San Francisco home prices begun to come down.

Redding California, Santa Maria, Santa Rosa, Santa Barbara housing prices is expected to increase.

Chicago, Los Angeles, Phoenix, many areas of New York, and New Jersey is expected to see a drop of home prices.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Siz5s7xNGbU

• This discussion was modified 11 months, 1 week ago by  Gustan Cho.