GCA FORUMS and subforums were founded with one concept in mind: To serve consumers, entrepreneurs, homebuyers, home sellers, real estate investors, and the general public. When people buy or sell a certain house, they move and, therefore, have to start life in that new place. All the partnerships that they have developed with local vendors and merchants will cease to exist ………. Read More
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In the mortgage circuit, there have been drastic changes along with fluctuations in the real estate market, all affected by the economic policies that have increased bond yields. As for the current state of the economy, it can be summarized as follows:
Rates on Mortgages
30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
- Average rates have soared to 6.85%.
- This is the highest increase since July, when they climbed from 6.72% to 6.85%, compared to last week’s and the six-point sixty-one percent a year ago.
15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
- Instead of 5.92% in the previous week, the rates have spiked to 6.00%.
Housing Market Information
House Prices:
- High price rates combined with even higher mortgage rates have made it nearly impossible for almost all potential buyers to stimulate any chances of homeownership, further supporting the continuing downturn of the housing market.
Inventory Trials:
- Taking November into account, the last reported figure regarding the total number of houses available for sale was 1.37 million, showing a 19.1% increase year after year.
The Following influences the Rate Increase On Mortgages
- Generally speaking, mortgage rates and bond yields display a very tight relationship.
- An increase in bond yields leads to many factors, including an increase in mortgage rates.
Expectations Regarding Inflation
As we all know, inflation is bad news for every industry. It pushes investors to seek larger returns on long-term investments, which increases bond rates.
Policies By The Federal Reserve Bank
Although the Reserve recently cut some rates to facilitate purchasing, mortgage rates have paradoxically skyrocketed instead.
These factors account for the divergence we have seen, and it seems justified in view of rising yields on 10-year Treasury Bonds, which are considered a significant determinant of mortgage rates.
Government Debt Levels
Increasing fiscal deficits enhance the volume of government bonds, causing yields to increase to attract buyers.
Economic Policies
Policy shifts, such as instituting tariffs and tax reductions, could increase economic activity, raise inflation, add to government borrowing, and consequently raise mortgage rates.
Aspects That Influence Homebuyers and the Real Estate Economic Activity & Development:
Challenges on Affordability: Rising mortgage rates and current home prices have generally limited the number of prospective buyers, and mortgage applications have been sluggish.
Market Activity:
- Interest rates have suppressed buyer interest. A slight reduction in interest rates is likely to stimulate some business growth.
- Still, the business environment will remain restrained due to the relatively high prices and low volume of housing available.
The movement in 10-year Treasury yields and mortgage bonds highlights the intricate web of factors that characterize the current economy. These indicators and trends are critical for home buyers or borrowers intending to refinance their homes. Therefore, such transactions should be undertaken only after due consultation with advisers.
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Mortgage and Real Estate Update for Wednesday, December 25th, 2024Mortgage Rates Remain Constant As The Holidays Are Upon Us.
30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage:
- Average fixed mortgage rate continues to remain at 6.75 %.
- Analysts don’t anticipate any compelling changes this week.
15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage:
- The average rate on the 15-year is 6.15, which is also a good option for homeowners willing to refinance.
ARM:
- Similar to the 5/1 ARM, rates have remained stable at 6.50 percent while buyers consider the risk of a rate change.
Analysis:
- Towards the end of the year, we usually see a drop in the amount of mortgage applications as people are less likely to look to buy a new home.
- However lenders do suspect that they may see a increase in the early months of 2025 as rates begin to normalise.
Housing Still In Demand During The Winter Season
Lack of Supply:
- The active listing has dropped by 18% year on year which further lowers the options for the buyers in many locations.
Prices:
- Price of homes rose by 4.1% in November 2024 when compared with the last year during the same period.
- This is indicitive of demand in high growth areas.
Top Buy Markets:
- Austin and Orlando are hot places to buy homes while less accessibly prices areas such as Wisconsin and Pittsburgh are more stable.
Trends in the Rental Market
Rents Rates Slowing Down:
- The rental rates for 2024 have seen a rise by 2.3 percent lower than the 5.7 percent rent witnessed in the year 2023.
- This stagnation is due to an increased availability of multi-family houses.
Continued Movement to Suburbs:
- Renters are shifting from apartments to suburban areas due to affordability issues, especially in areas just outside big cities such as Phoenix and Denver.
Increased Costs Affect Builder Confidence
Commencement of New Homes:
- In comparison to last year there has been an increase of 9 percent during November of single family house starts while multi-family starts have remained constant.
Excess Inventory in Some Parts:
- In Texas and Florida, builders are recording high inventories of unsold homes, especially in the luxury sector.
2025 Predictions:
- The builders are not very optimistic but cautious, which is why they want to build affordable housing for most people so that eager entry-level home buyers will choose it.
An Increase in The Rate Of Foreclosure and Bankruptcy
Foreclosure:
- An Increasing economic stress and inflation is leading to a growth in US foreclosure filing and as a result between Q3 to Q4 of two thousand twenty-three there was a 13 percent increase.
Bankruptcies:
- There has been a year over year increase of 18 percent in the filing of personal bankruptcies showing the financial stress faced by the middle-class households.
Areas With the Highest Growth:
States like New Jersey, Illinois, and Nevada need the most scrutiny as they had the highest amount of foreclosure activity.
Broader Trends in Commercial Real Estate Portfolio Looking at the Bigger Picture
Retail Decline:
- The e commerce business has taken over which is why the rates have increased to 12 .8 percent which is causing the brick-and-mortar business to struggle.
Shifting the Office Network:
- Suburbs are seeing an increase in preferences for office spaces.
- Whereas cities are facing higher offices than ever before.
- SFF and NYC are quoted to have a very high vacancy rate cross country comparison shows a significant increase in demand.
E-commerce digitalization effect:
- The E-commerce and improvements in supply chain are the two most key drivers for a growth in demand for logistics and warehouse spaces.
Changes In Policy Affecting Housing
Inspection Report for FHA Loan Limits 2025:
- Prevalent headlines include the federal housing administration loan limits amendment.
- This will see the loan limits in high-cost regions increased to 1.2 million dollars.
- This development allows more buyers to take up markets with expensive places, including New York and California.
Tax Incentives for Affordable Housing:
- Integracare in Hexcel has prepared to lobby Congress and vote to extend the tax incentives for builders seeking to construct affordable housing projects, which is liable to solve the looming shortage of inventory.
Climate Change Effects on Real Estate
Flood Zones:
- The New FEMA flood maps, which will be published in early 2025, will likely categorise additional regions as high-risk, which will lead to an enhancement in the price of flood insurance for homeowners.
Wildfire Areas:
- Wildfires are a reality whose aftermath California, Colorado and other states are adjusting to.
- Wildfires have alternative real estate impacts, such as A
- advancing premiums of insurance and reducing property expenses of affected regions.
Real Estate Investment Trends
- Over time, the popularity of real estate properties designed for short-term rentals has not seemed to drop.
- However, in the bigger cities such as Miami and Los Angeles, some measures are being put in place that control who can purchase these properties.
As for communities made specifically for renters, investors are gradually moving in that direction as there is plenty of demand for such buildings since many people can’t afford to own a house.
Tech in Real Estate
There is a rise in people utilizing remote services to buy houses. People can now talk over platforms and do virtual tours, which reduces the waiting time and makes it more efficient.
When lending, companies have been leaning towards utilizing AI as part of the approving process. It speeds up the process significantly and lowers the amount of time spent on underwriting.
International Buyers Return
Luxury Properties across the United States have been catching the eye of international investors, especially those in New York, Miami & Los Angeles, Canada, Europe & China overseas investors seem to be returning in large numbers.
Make sure to keep an eye open for further updates as there is plenty more room to monitor these trends going into the new year.
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Wednesday Headline news summary: December 25, 2024News Related to the Economy and Financial Affairs
A Decrease in Inflation:
- The US witnessed a slight decrease in the inflation rate.
- The inflation rate was reported to be 4.2% in November.
- However, it decreased to 3.9 % in December, signifying that inflation is slowly being controlled.
The Stock Market Surge:
- Strong holiday consumer spending boosted investor confidence, increasing the stock market.
- The Ordinary Share Index 500 (S&P 500) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average were reported to have experienced increases of 1.3% and 1.1%, respectively.
Retail Sales Growth:
- Last year, the retail industry growth stood at 5.4%, which can be attributed to a rise in online spending and greater demand for expensive goods.
New Developments in Housing and Real Estate.
Mortgage Interest Rate Steady:
- The national average mortgage rate remained close to 6.75% for a 30-year fixed-up mortgage.
- It is expected to remain in the range during the joyous season.
Housing Prices and Inventory:
- Housing prices rose by 4.1 percent compared to the past year.
- However, the housing inventory surpassed critical limitations, decreasing by 18% compared to last December.
Increase in Financial Instability:
- The number of foreclosure applications in the latest quarter surged by 13%.
- Revealing signs of financial instability since housing loan interests and inflation remained highest.
Politics News
Biden’s endorsement drops to below expected: Economic factors do not support satisfaction relative to President Joe Biden’s administration’s handling of inflation. Consequently, his endorsement fell by 34%.
Congress Approves Housing Rental Assistance Bill
A bipartisan approach has resulted in a construction elements amendment with tax credits that will help increase the supply of affordable housing by the end of 2025.
International Affairs
US and China Relations Breakthrough:
- President Biden and China’s Xi Jinping had a talk focusing on trade and climate issues.
- But Taiwan issues remain unresolved.
Ukraine Conflict Updates
America’s support for Ukraine is still strong, and $45 billion in other military and humanitarian support is anticipated for 2025.
Climate and Environment
Severe Winter Storms:
- A severe winter storm affects the Midwest and Northeast regions.
- Leading to the scrapping of over 30,000 flights and dangerous driving conditions.
New FEMA Flood Maps:
- New maps have been altered, increasing the region’s high-risk flood area and shifting the concern to homeowners insurance costs, which could be millions.
Technology and Industry
AI Changing Workplace Dynamics:
- The penetration of Artificial Intelligence into workplaces has doubled in the US over the last 12 months.
- It is particularly used in the logistics, customer service, and financial services industries.
EV Market Growth:
- Electric vehicle registrations increased by 20% over the previous year to federal tax deductions.
- Growing market activity helped sustain the momentum.
Social and Cultural Highlights
Record Charitable Giving:
- During this festive period alone, Americans gave a record-breaking seven billion dollars.
- This resulted in major donations to food banks, relief aid, and education.
Holiday Movie Box Office:
- Avatar 3 is the year’s highest-grossing film, leading the box office with over 1 billion dollars in revenue.
Sports
NFL Playoff Picture:
- While the Kansas City Chiefs have already qualified for the playoffs, the Philadelphia Eagles and many other team races are getting heated in both conferences.
- This outline, dated December 25, 2024, captures the critical moments in US contemporary history in economic, political, and cultural spheres.
Major news outlets and more detailed reports are excellent sources for further information on this story.
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I have always liked former governor Rod Blagojevich of Illinois. However, I think Blagojevich got a bad rap. Barack Hussain Obama is one evil 😈 😳 🤣 son of a bitch crook who had a lot to do with throwing Rod Blagojevich under the bus. After 8 years in the federal penitentiary in Colorado former president Donald Trump pardoned Rod Blagojevich. Obama initiated the demise of Rod Blagojevich. Obama needs to go to HELL.
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If you reside in an area prone to flooding, it is highly advisable to consider obtaining flood insurance. This specialized insurance policy protects your property and belongings in a flood. It is essential to remember that typical homeowners’ insurance policies do not cover damage resulting from floods, making a separate policy mandatory. When evaluating a flood zone, it is imperative to understand the flood risk level of your property and the available coverage options. Some procedures may only protect specific types of water damage, such as damage caused by heavy precipitation, mudflow, or overflowing rivers.
The advantages of Goosehead Insurance and Flood Insurance. As a broker, I have flood options other than your typical Wright or Fema policies and standard governmental programs for homes in flood zones.
I have flood insurance carriers referred to as private flood insurance carriers; just like your standard insurance carriers, this private flood carrier has the financial backing that allows them to rate risk differently.
Now, if you have a home in a flood zone, it may be a scary situation for a buyer. In the eyes of the buyer, we do not want a “let’s go see the next home” attitude, especially if this is a home that the client loves.
Fortunately, being able to shop the private market for flood insurance has changed the game. It is typically priced much better than expected and can help reduce the anticipated closing cost.
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Karine Jean-Pierre lying about how great Lying Cheating Dementia Joe Biden is a great President and saved the U.S. economy after President Donald Trump screwed it up
Karine Jean-Pierre is such a moron idiot.
1:04
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The decision of whether electric cars are worth your money depends on various factors, including your individual needs, preferences, and circumstances. Here are some considerations to help you make an informed decision:
Initial Cost: Electric cars can have a higher upfront cost compared to traditional internal combustion engine vehicles. However, this cost may be offset by government incentives, tax credits, and lower operating costs over time.
Operating Costs: Electric cars generally have lower operating costs than traditional vehicles. They are often more energy-efficient and have fewer moving parts, resulting in lower maintenance expenses. Additionally, electricity is usually cheaper than gasoline on a per-mile basis.
Range and Charging Infrastructure: Consider the driving range of the electric car and the availability of charging infrastructure in your area. If you have a daily commute within the electric car’s range and access to charging stations, it may be a practical choice. Advances in charging infrastructure are continually being made, making electric cars more convenient for many users.
Environmental Impact: Electric cars produce fewer emissions during operation compared to traditional vehicles, especially if the electricity comes from renewable sources. If reducing your carbon footprint is important to you, an electric car may be a good choice.
Resale Value: The resale value of electric cars is influenced by factors such as battery technology, model popularity, and overall market trends. Research the resale values of specific models to gauge their long-term value.
Technology and Features: Electric cars often come with advanced technology and features, including regenerative braking, autopilot capabilities, and smart connectivity. Consider whether these features align with your preferences and needs.
Incentives and Rebates: Many regions offer incentives and rebates for electric vehicle purchases, which can significantly reduce the overall cost. Research the incentives available in your area to see how they may impact your decision.
Infrastructure Development: Consider the rate at which charging infrastructure is expanding in your region. A well-developed charging network enhances the practicality of owning an electric car.
Personal Values: Some people choose electric cars because they align with their environmental values or desire to support sustainable transportation. If these factors are important to you, they may influence your decision.
It’s essential to research and compare specific models, taking into account your driving habits, budget, and local infrastructure. As technology advances and becomes more widespread, electric cars are likely to become an increasingly viable and attractive option for many consumers.
- This discussion was modified 1 year ago by Ollie.
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Here’s your weekly snapshot of mortgage and real estate headlines for December 24 December 24, 2024:
Mortgage Rate Changes
30-Year Fixed Rates:
- The national average interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage hit 6.75%.
- As a result, predicting competitive rates shortly has become easier.
15-Year Fixed Rates:
- The market continues offering 15-year fixed mortgage rates at around 6.15%.
- Much lower than before.
ARM Rates:
- The popularity of adjustable-rate mortgages has prompted lenders to cut back on their offerings.
- 5/1 ARMs, conversely, have an average interest of 6.50%.
- A flash in the arm is observed and foreseen for early 2025, as inflation is also predicted to remain strong.
Housing Market Analysis
Home Prices:
- Key markets such as Florida, Texas, and California show continued appreciation in median home prices. At the same time, states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania still appear to have leveled out at more sustainable rates.
Inventory Shortages:
- Urban areas, in particular, are experiencing volatile market conditions.
- While demand and, thus, prices continue to stay high, supply remains at historic lows.
Best Buyers’ Markets:
- Buffalo, New York, and Detroit, Michigan, are approaching reasonable prices for new homebuyers.
Here Are The Updates About FHA Loans For 2024
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) raised the loan limit thresholds effective January 1, 2024.
- In low-cost areas, it is set to $500,000.
- The limit is set at $1.2 million in high-cost areas that can afford it, enabling homebuyers to have more choices.
Non-QM Loans Are Getting Popular Among Self-Employed Borrowers
Non-qualified mortgage loans are becoming more popular as more self-employed individuals enter the market. Various lending institutions have a wide variety of condotel and short-term investing options.
Shift in How Commercial Real Estates Are Sought After
The demand for multifamily building loans is increasing as more builders develop a strategy for constructing more projects in urban and suburban locations. Improvement in market conditions has enabled better entry price points for spec building of 1-4 unit real estate.
Private Equity Market with a Focus on Strategic Sourcing: The Midwest
Wisconsin:
- House prices continue to increase near Madison and Racine counties as more people from the area look for cheap housing and a better lifestyle.
Illinois:
- Chicago has a consistent level of interest for FHA loans, thanks to first-time home buyers who require financing and downpayment assistance programs.
Realstock Investor Programs
Realty investors are moving away from all capital cities and looking towards second-hand rental properties, as there is a good demand for rentals. There is still much interest in short-term furnished rental properties for places that are big tourist spots, but policymakers are increasingly holding back investment.
Top Updates to Regulation: There Is
The National Association of REALTORS(r) has settled on paying a realtor and buyer commission adjustments and structure to be in place come 2025. This has been proposed due to a discussion of concern that the agents will become purely marketing specialists, hence, out of the market.
Watch out for more analysis of these trends as the new year progresses.
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NATIONAL HEADLINE NEWS FOR TUESDAY, DECEMBER 24TH 2024Inflation Issues Persist Despite a Boost in Consumer Spending as the Holiday Season Begins.
Retail sales increased across the United States by almost 4.8%. Strong consumer spending from online shopping helped fuel this increase and the high demand for entertainment and travel. However, economists maintain that rising price levels, in conjunction with stagnant wage growth, will hinder any potential growth in the next five years or so.
Mortgage Markets Remain Steady As All Eyes Are Directed Towards the Federal Reserve
30-year fixed-rate mortgages have maintained a national average of 6.75%, marking a period of stabilization for a rampant market with fluctuating rates. The Federal Reserve is expected to conduct a meeting at the start of next month, wherein they will decide whether there is a scope for further rate increases, which may act as a barrier in combating inflation. Furthermore, experts anticipate this meeting with caution, as signs indicate economic growth is beginning to stagnate.
Continued Shortages Within Inventory Persist in the Housing Market.
The US housing market is still suffering from an extreme deficit in the number of active listings, which have dropped by roughly 23% compared to December 2023. The resulting combination of increased interest rates and a shortage of homes has made it difficult for homeowners to afford to sell their homes. Once again, this has dire consequences on first-time buyers, as relatively economical homes aren’t abundant in high-demand areas.
US Senate passed 1.2 Trillion Funding Package Bill for Infrastructure.
In a decisive bi-cameral vote, the Senate approved the one-point-two trillion-dollar funding bill covering new highways, IT, and climate. The construction industry stands to gain tremendously from it, leading to multitudes of job creation. However, there are concerns that the bill may not lead to a green future.
US Department of Justice Cracks Down on Big Tech: New and Tough Privacy Laws Come Into Effect
As Meta and Google colluded over Meta’s Giphy acquisitions, the US Department of Justice issued new privacy laws for big tech companies, requiring them to be more open about their data use and more respectful to consumers. Consumer advocates have well received the move. Still, it has raised fears among business leaders around the possible chilling effect it could cause on innovations.
Winter Storms Force 2000 Plus Flight Cancellations Over Christmas Weekend Travel Plans Afterphotos Shot Sorter Job View Photo
A winter storm that impacted America’s Midwest and Northeast regions has made travel before Christmas difficult. More than two thousand flights have been disrupted around the Michigan, Illinois, and New York regions, and treacherous snow is predicted for Christmas day.
The Stocks Reflect a Gain Following the +/- Year-End Rush.
After the approval of the infrastructure bill and the increased holiday retail sales, investors’ positive mood was reflected as both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 showed growth. Afterward, the tech-heavy Nasdaq took a harsh tumble during the week but was later able to recover due to the much-anticipated reports regarding the fourth quarter earnings.
As Cases of Problems Arise, the Hospitals Are Bound to Face Issues.
The healthcare system is facing a severe crisis due to increased cases of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). All hospitals are under substantial pressure with the pediatric wards, particularly under duress regarding the capacity issue. The CDC has warned people to consider taking extra measures and getting vaccinated due to family gatherings.
The USA and China Relations Are Kick Starting as Planned.
President Biden and Xi Jinping are expected to host a virtual meeting this week to discuss trade relations, Taiwan, and other topics related to global security. Analysts see the virtual meeting as a much-needed reduction of tension between the USA and China, fighting a soft war on multiple fronts.
Sports
NFL Playoff Picture Takes Shape:
The NFL regular season ends and the teams compete for the remaining playoff spots. The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs have secured their divisions, while everyone else fights for the wildcards. Everyone is set for the high-profile matches as we enter the holiday weekend.
Entertainment
“Avatar 3” Breaks All Previous Box Office Records James Cameron’s “Avatar 3” has grossed $1 billion in just two weeks, making it the highest-grossing film of 2024. Critics love the film for its incomparable graphics and environmental storyline, making it one of the cultural marvel films of the time.
Holiday Spirit Sees Unprecedented Level of Charity Donations
Charitable organizations have reportedly received donations totaling $6 billion this holiday season, thanks to the globalization of humanitarian issues and tax incentives for donors. Corporations and individual philanthropists have donated to various social causes, from disaster recovery to education.
As these events unfold, more follow-up reporting and analysis will be published.
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Below is a comprehensive overview of the national mortgage and real estate market, focusing on specific areas as of December 23, 2024:
Mortgage NewsTrends in Mortgage Rates
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates:
Reports indicate that the rate for 30-year fixed mortgages is 6.79%. This implies a significant decline that has been observed globally. All this has resulted from the announcement made by the Federal Reserve regarding the possible lowering of interest rates in the year 2025.
15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates:
The prevailing rates for this kind of investment are set at 6.11, which can benefit homeowners who want to refinance their land and take out a loan.
Activity Regarding Refinancing
Slowly, as the rates stay on the lower side, they are starting to impact the number of applicant refinance applications; however, they are still much lower than in the pre-2023 timeframe.
Federal Reserve Policy
The recent changes made to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, along with the anticipation that mortgage rates will begin to lower in the first half of 2025 due to a decrease in the federal funds rate, have helped diffuse uncertainty.
Highlights of the Real Estate Market/IndustryPrices of Houses
Trends Nationwide:
Home prices have increased steadily but not excessively in most regions, and major metro areas like Austin, Miami, and Seattle still face a demand-and-supply issue.
Growing Market in Rural Areas:
There has been a noticeable surge in the popularity of affordable housing options in rural regions, including South Dakota, Montana, and certain parts of Texas.
Sales of Current Houses
Recognizably, the two-year spoiler of progress has been broken, and we are now 2.5% up on existing home sales. This, however, was long overdue, for the buyers had progressed along adjusting to the new ‘high mortgage rates’ by how the market conducted itself.
Rental Market Update
Moving up on the scales of the national average rent, single-family rental homes do incite a slight increase in demand. The region of Nashville, alongside Orlando, is experiencing population growth alongside the pit of competition, consequently sending dwellings soaring.
Policy and Legislation Updates
Affordable Housing Initiatives:
The Fed anticipates tax rebates alongside grants to effectively ‘build where they are broken.’ The Biden administration has properly reserved funds and is now allocating them according to its needs.
Zoning Reforms C. Constit 1, supplementary to this chapter, has been enacted to streamline the zoning processes for smaller-scale projects and combat California’s dire housing shortage.
Property Tax Relief
Florida and Texas have stepped up to provide tax relief aid to owners struggling with increasing home valuations.
Industry Innovations and Trends
Green Housing Initiatives:
Created automated homes coupled with solar roofs and energy-conserving materials are in demand, increasing the buyer market, which feels welcomed to the bid.
Technology in Real Estate:
Properties are being bought and sold at a staggering pace as AI and blockchain technologies are employed, enhancing the efficiency of the process alongside increasing transparency within real estate transactions.
Expectations in the Making For 2025
The ongoing economic situation and inflation are said to have contributed to a considerable slowdown in the real estate market. However, this also means that it will take longer for property prices to skyrocket. According to experts, property prices grow around 4%. But that number will vary by 1 or 2% based on the property’s location. This inventory crunch keeps the demand high, contributing to the gradual increase in property prices.
Furthermore, it has also been predicted that the mortgage rates will decrease in mid-2025, with the 30-year fixed mortgage sitting around 6.25%
Buyers:
You’re best off waiting until 2025, as mortgage rates will certainly dip and are predicted to decrease gradually.
Sellers:
The market is leaning towards a seller’s market. If you have trouble selling your home, you can tweak the price, as homes in high-demand areas often sell at suitable rates.
Renters:
With the demand for rental options increasing daily, aspiring homeowners should consider exploring rent-to-own options.
The insights shared above should give you a better understanding of how the real estate and mortgage sector is shifting, keeping in mind the potential stabilization of the sector in 2025.
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As of December 23, 2024, here are the latest stories making headlines around the globe:
Labor Strikes and Worker Actions
Starbucks Workers Strike:
Employees at Starbucks across major US cities such as Chicago, Seattle, and Los Angeles have gone on strike as part of a campaign organized by Starbucks Workers United (SBWU). SBWU demands that Starbucks make sufficient progress towards wage and working conditions before Christmas Eve by December 24. Starbucks also appeals to its customers not to purchase from their stores during this time as they claim that they represent a horde of over 525 unionized stores in 45 different states.
Public Health Concerns
Avian Influenza Outbreak:
This specific subtype of bird flu, known as H5N1, has recently designed ruffling feathers, causing a stir through spreading from poultry to cattle and infecting raw or uncooked milk. California authorities and many other states have announced states of emergency to expedite their responses toward mitigating this disease. Vaccines and tests accompany the flu, but they are nowhere to be seen as the nation is still grappling with the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, it is essential to abide by established guidelines the managers and supervisors set.
Economic and Financial Updates
Stock Market Movements:
Only U.S. stock index futures experienced slight inflation following the passage of a bill to control the government’s budget, indicating that a shutdown has not occurred. Meanwhile, investors await any further news or developments following the Federal Reserve’s recent announcement regarding the cut in interest rate, which markets have predicted will drop by around two 25-basis points through 2025.
It is worth mentioning that several companies, such as Qualcomm and Apple, have reported an increase in their premarket share due to good news.
Changes in Payments by Social Security
Because of the Christmas holiday season, millions of US citizens will receive their Social Security checks one day sooner, in this case, on Monday. Suffolk County generally pays its checks on the fourth Wednesday of the month; this time, the checks will be paid on December 24. Also, there is SSI, and its January payment will be made on December 31 since it’s supposed to be paid on New Year’s Day. Because of this annual adjustment, due to rising costs, the maximum monthly SSI will go up in 2025 from $943 to $967 in 2025.
Retail and Consumer News
Shopping During the Holiday Season:
December 23 is a holiday, so a number of consumers will go shopping, and most shops, like Walmart and Target, are expected to have their doors open from 7 am to midnight. Target business hours on December 23 are from 7 am to 12 midnight, and on December 24, are from 12 noon to 8 pm. For their part, Walmart hours on December 23 are 6 am to 11 pm, and on December 24, they are 6 am to 8 pm. Both stores will be shut down during the Christmas holidays on the 25th.
Sports Highlights
NFL Victory:
The Washington Commanders finally won their game against the Philadelphia Eagles, bringing their record to 10-5, the best they have achieved since 1991.
In his rookie season, quarterback Jayden Daniels earned historical fame by passing for five touchdowns while rushing for more than 65 yards in a single match. The impact of the victory boosts the playoff chances for the Commanders as they prepare to go head-to-head with the Atlanta Falcons.
College Football Playoffs:
The first round of the College Football Playoffs 2024 was kicked off with the top seeds putting in great performances, headlined by …Ohio State and Notre Dame. These relationships further raise debates on the need to keep a 12-team playoff format, given the range of capabilities on display.
Political Developments
Government Shutdown Averted:
President Biden signed a bipartisan funding bill over the weekend, thus preventing a government shutdown and ensuring that operations are not halted until March 14. Such an action reassures people during the holiday period and also prevents the likelihood of disruptions to federal services.
House Ethics Report on Matt Gaetz:
House Ethics Report of Former Congressman Matt Gaetz released its investigation reports on their findings. The public has received reports from the House Ethics Committee, which received compelling evidence that the former Congressman had sex with an underage sex worker, 17, and was using drugs while he was in office. Such findings seriously impact future relations for Gaetz and are sure to raise issues concerning the ethics of public servants, too.
Such activities mark a vibrant period for different sectors in America as we draw toward the end of the year.
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The United States Congress releases bombshell news on Former Congressman Matt Gaetz. Various allegations and investigations have been centered on former Congressman Matt Gaetz. Here’s a summary of the key points related to these allegations.
Sexual AllegationsInappropriate Conduct with Minors:
Gaetz has been accused of building sexually related connections with young girls below the legal age of consent. One of these claims includes paying for sex, something that he has heavily denied. It all started as a part of the investigation surrounding his conduct and relationships.
Other Investigations
Legal Investigations:
As per reports, the Department of Justice has charged Matt Gaetz with potential cases related to sex trafficking, among other series of allegations under investigation. The bias of this entire procedure was to determine if he had participated in breaching federal laws for sex trafficking minors.
Testimonial Misreports
The allegations against Gaetz were further complicated when witnesses were called to testify against him.
Personal Misconducts
Partying:
In several instances, Matt Gaetz has been observed drinking excessive amounts of alcohol and acting inappropriately with partygoers who witnessed the misconduct.
Drugs:
Drugs, including crack, have been smoked by Gaetz and made part of his use history, although facts and sources around these remain vague.
Political Impact
Party Response:
As a result of the allegations, considerable scrutiny has emerged within the Republican Party—some of its members have repudiated Gaetz. In contrast, others have stated that there is no reason to feel guilt as no formal charges have been made against him.
Media Coverage
The matter has undoubtedly attracted much media attention and added to the controversies surrounding Gaetz’s political endeavors.
Gaetz’s Denials
He stood resolute that all the accusations against him were politically touched, unqualified, and wrongly founded by denying their authenticity. He has contended that the allegations are made against him as a tactic to vilify him because he is assertive about different issues and cracks down on various people in the political arena.
The allegations against Gaetz have these proof, which are very serious, which include the alleged inappropriate behavior of having sex with multiple underage teenage girls, drug abuse, and much more. While investigations have been conducted, Gaetz denied the allegations and labeled them politically motivated. It’s a combination of legal and political issues that add to the matter and constantly change.
https://youtu.be/mQrcJltHCn4?si=_006moZmvv2Ib3Un
- This discussion was modified 3 weeks, 4 days ago by Gustan Cho.
- This discussion was modified 3 weeks, 4 days ago by Gustan Cho.
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ILLINOIS GOV. JB PRITZKER signs 270 silly Bills impacting elections, hunting, mortgages, and tons of ridiculous unnecessary bureaucratic B.S. Thats what Democrat do. For 2025, Gov. JB Pritzker of Illinois has passed 270 bills drafting laws on various topics, including AI, property taxes, and digital driver’s licenses. A law governing personal and economic transactions is apparent when looking at the following bullet points:
Legislation Overview:
AI and Digital Rights specializing in employment: Bills such as House Bill 3773 and House Bill 4762 aim to protect individuals by ensuring they do not use AI-generated replicas of them maliciously or without consent.
Property Taxes and Financials: Senate Bill 3455 looks to reorganize the structure governing property taxes, and measures to revise calculations relating to motor fuel taxes are also present.
Environmental and Public Health, which improves health standards across various industries: Laws including a ban on using small plastic containers in hotels and introducing climate change education in schools also exist.
Immigration Policies and Related Procedures:
Protection for Immigrants in Practice: Pritzker states that Illinois is and shall remain a friendly place for immigrants. Thankfully, certain laws ensure a degree of restraint between local law enforcement and ICE. This also includes measures like the TRUST Act and other protections for undocumented immigrants.
Pritzker’s Position On ICE:
King Pritzker has made it clear that he will shelter illegal immigrants in Illinois, including those that have some criminal records, from any deportation attempts made by ICE. He has said that he will take to court any attempts by the federal government to carry out mass deportations within Illinois and other states, hinting that such activities would have to go through him or seek judicial approval first.
Reactions and Implications:
Political and Legal Challenges: His view is going to create huge legal wars between the state’s immigration authorities and that of the federal government, gaining autonomy in such matters and potentially revolutionizing the relationship existing between the sanctuary states and the US federal immigration bodies.
Public Discourse: This has generated several different reactions, with some interpreting it as support for the fight for immigrants’ rights, while others consider it as a defiance of the oppression posed by the US federal government, which may hurt security issues and the relationship between the states and the federal government.
Physical Description Comments:
Notably, Pritzker is physically portrayed, yet it should be emphasized that such ad hominem remarks are usually out of context to the personal policies and decisions made around his law and only take away an opportunity for more constructive debate about the possible consequences of his law as time goes on.
What is clear from the amalgamation of these new laws and Pritzker’s immigration policies is that there seems to be a desire to persist on the progressive policies in Illinois. The people of Illinois may not see eye to eye with the federal authorities in the course of the next government headed by Donald Trump, as he has stated that he will apply strict immigration policies. This may be a ‘problem’ in legal and political tussles or in the case of administrative issues that experience jurisdictional conflicts between state and federal governments.
https://youtu.be/_4vwBUM6jeY?si=G7muRBcfw4vudRu-
- This discussion was modified 1 month, 2 weeks ago by Gustan Cho.
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It is human nature to easily be tempted into corruption due to greed. There is overwhelming evidence Joe Biden is an obvious corrupt politician. How can a politician without ever having a job and a family of no wealth can become a multi millionaire as a career politician. Here is a clip about the Joe Biden Crime Family
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The U.S. mortgage and real estate market is shifting significantly as of December 18, 2024, which affects sellers, buyers, and investors alike. Here’s a comprehensive overview:
Mortgage Rates and Predictions
Let’s look at the current averages step by step. These include the 30-year fixed mortgage, which sits at around 6.78%; the 15-year fixed rate, which sits at 5.94%; and the 5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which average 7.35%. While all this was happening, the Federal Reserve steadily implemented cuts by scaling the benchmark rate to around 4.3%. However, because of the economic woes and low inflation, mortgage rates remained high, above 6%, as many analysts calculated.
Housing Market Activity
7.35% fixed mortgage rates, along with inflation and remodeling costs, severely restricted builders and home buyers alike from pursuing new projects. Most builders’ optimistic stance, hoping for a turn in market conditions, along with the continued price rise even as remodeling costs rose from $350,000 to $370,000 between 2020 and 2021, further restricted activity in the industry.
NewHome Construction
As housing construction felt the initial effects of the CR2 storm in 2021, the sudden rise in temperatures in the fall of 2022, coupled with the lack of consistent supply, felt like a final unlocking of the keyhole to this issue, with building starts in November having risen by 6.4% to an annual rate of an estimated 1 million units.
Although prices have risen, the rate of increase has been moderated compared to previous years.
Home Price Forecast for 2024-2029
Due to increased listings enabling a relatively higher home sales rate, home prices are predicted to remain flat. However, home prices will gradually rise between 2025 and 2029, with an estimated 1% increase yearly.
Housing Market Forecast for 2024
Substantial growth is anticipated in metropolitan housing markets, such as Oxnard, CA, Rochester, NY, and San Diego, CA. Prices and sales will ideally grow due to good economic conditions and stable prices.
Consumer Insights and Issues in the MarketMillennials as Homebuyers
One of the biggest blocks preventing millennials from fully engaging in the market is high home prices and higher mortgage rates. Based on current trends, 30-year-olds have a 43% homeownership rate, compared to 52% for baby boomers of the same age. Perceptions of homeownership or wealth due to economic imbalance within the generation heavily impact the decision-making process.
Concerns About Affordability: Today, as before, affordability continues to be an issue due to increased home prices and high mortgage interest rates. This led to elevated monthly repayments on existing mortgages. The increasing inventory levels would assist many prospective buyers, but the financial problem would remain.
Investment Opportunities
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT): Analysts say total returns on U.S. REITs should fall between 5 and 15 percent in 2025.
American Healthcare REIT, Extra Space Storage, and Cousins Properties are the best choices. These have made sensible investments and displayed steady occupancy rates. Still, their performance could be influenced by high valuations and anticipated changes in tax policies.
The American mortgage and real markets are adjusting to a trying period defined by high rates, low appreciation of home prices, and shifting consumer habits and behaviors. Operators must keep abreast of economic indicators to operate effectively in this economy, including the Federal Reserve’s decisions, policies, and market trends.
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U.S. Headline News Summary Between December 16th-22nd 2024 Weekend Wrap Up. This is a detailed overview of the US headlines news of December 16 to December 22 for the year 2024:
February 16, 2024
Abundant Life Christian School Shooting:
- An unfortunate event occurred on February 16, 2024, at Abundant Life Christian School in Madison.
- A school teacher and a student were brutally murdered, along with multiple others getting injured during the life firing.
- It was brought to notice that the shooter was a 15-year-old student who killed herself after the incident.
- It is being investigated if she has any connections with a man living in California who was detained for planning another mass shooting.
February 17, 2024
Investigation Further:
- The Wisconsin shooting was reported to the authorities on February 14, 2024.
- They are investigating the shooter’s personal life, including their social media accounts, to look for any information that could provide insights into her motives for the attack.
- The malefactors of the country paid condolences to the deceased.
- The families of the deceased were offered counseling services to help with the process.
Donald Trump Remarks On Transition
- Donald Trump, who was elected president, held a press conference.
- He shared with the nation his administration’s plans, which included focusing on the general welfare of the people, reforming education, and increasing the budgets for public safety.
- The potential distribution of pardons and the current administration status regarding the polio vaccine were also re-touched.
February 18, 2024
Alerts Concerning Harsh Weather Conditions:
- The National Weather Service issued warnings for Extreme Winter conditions across the northern areas of the United States, including North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, between February 16, 2024, and February 22, 2024.
- Light rainfall and thunderstorms predicting torrential rainfall across the southern parts were also expected.
Legislative Measures Against Gun Violence:
- On December 19, 2024, in the wake of tragic incidents, the government commenced deliberations seeking to implement measures aimed at regulating the sale of firearms and tightening the background checks to prevent the sale of guns to minors.
Logistical Challenges:
- The adverse weather conditions brought thunderstorms alongside severe winter weather, resulting in massive road hazards.
- The severe winter hampered travel further, leading to widespread flight cancellations.
- Southern states were also warned about an incoming storm, with snow warnings.
Economic Outlook:
- Economic worries commenced when the approaching holiday season led to slight increases in unemployment claims being reported.
Gun Violence:
- On December 20, 2024, community members, alongside officials, participated in a vigil in Madison to honor the victims of the school shooting.
- They provided their perspectives regarding the tragedy, gun violence, and contemporary gun laws.
Shopping Trends:
- Fractured retail activity was noted due to the volatility within the economy.
- While spending during the holidays shot up, sectors exhibiting strong sales could not compete with the stragglers.
Travel Chaos:
- The storm’s movement out of the Midwest left many issues, including travel disruptions and power outages.
- Southern states suffered due to severe thunderstorms, which led to damaging flood waters, resulting in localized flooding.
Political Dynamics:
- The Trump Administration finalized cabinet appointments, with additional discussions around significant positions in education, public safety, and several other sectors.
December 22, 2023
Present Recovery Actions:
- The communities affected by the winter storm have started recovering.
- Their aim was to clear the roads and get the power back on.
- Emergency services evaluated the damage to any infrastructure.
National Insights:
- Once more, various media outlets were writing about significant developments of the year,
- This refers to the end of 2024, which does not seem to have ended gun violence, climate change, or political unrest.
This summary outlines the relevant news and developments related to the US events from December 16 to December 22, 2024, emphasizing the school shooting and its consequences, extreme weather events, and political changes within the country.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQlziWgJ6aI&ab_channel=EVAArtesManuais
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Chase, my long-coat black and red German Shepherd adolescence pup was born on January 25th, 2023. I purchased Chase on September 12th, 2023 when he was eight months old. I was searching Long-Haired German Shepherd dogs on Hoobly (highly recommend this website if you are shopping for dogs) and found Dan Ivenovic, a breeder of German Shepherd and Doberman Pinschers – all German bloodlines and exotic rare long hair French Bulldogs). Dan Ivenovic is based in Deerfield, Illinois, which is 30 minutes from where I live. I talked back and forth with Dan Ivenovic for a few days over the phone about maybe getting two long-coat German Shepherd dogs and a time and date for seeing the dogs. On September 12th, 2023, Dan said he can drop the dogs to may house to see them and if I like them, I could purchase them. I told him that I just want one German Shepherd dog because the German Shepherd I am buying will be my 12th dog so just to bring one. Just so everyone knows, I do have 12 dogs and they are all inside dogs. At the time my wife and I had 11 dogs (Dog #1 Female Pit Bull that was a rescue where I had to adopt or the previous owners were moving to Florida and could not take her and a male Pitbull. The male Pit Bull, my friend and fellow loan officer Jose Morales adopted. Dog #2: Stella is a 8 year old grey female Standard Poodle who is a rescue. Stella and dozens of dogs were confiscated from a large puppy breeding mill by the Sheriff’s Department in Central Wisconsin. Stella was abused, undernourished, and was about to get transported to a kill county animal shelter. Dog #3: Four year-old French Bull Dog – Adopted last year from Highland, Illinois. Dog # 4: Five-year old four pound toy poodle. Dog #5: Five-year old five pound Yorkshire Terrier. Dog #6 and Dog #7: Five year old Boston Terrier brothers. Dog #8 eleven year old toy poodle. Dog #9: Five-year old toy poodle. Dog #10: Six-year old Schiz Szu-Pomeranian mix. Dog #11: Six-year old three pound Chihuahua. Chase makes it dog #12). So, when I adopted Chase, he was eight months old. He was very skittish, was not leash trained, was semi-potty trained, did not know how to sleep on a dog bed, did not know nothing about toys, did not know how to walk and down the stairs, did not know human food, ice cream, or treats, did not know how to walk into different rooms through a door, did not know how to get in and out of my truck, and did not know many things a normal eight month dog should know. I had to take him to the vet every other week because of warms and a stomach parasite which took six months to treat. Anyways, I spent a lot of time with him. Taught him the basics, took him for rides, introduced him to toys, and soon he started coming around. All his four-legged furry brothers and sisters eventually welcomed Chase into their group and he became part of the family. We also have three unfriendly skittish rescue cats. Chase gets along with everyone and doesn’t mind the little ones snapping at him or disrespecting him by stealing his toys or food. Eventually, Chase choose a red 16 inch ball as his favorite toy. He brings his red ball throughout the day to take him out to play fetch. I disregard him many times because I am in the middle of something to do for work. He then picks up his ball and drops it to me. He continues to do this half a dozen times and if I disregard him, he will pick up his red ball and throws it to me. I ignore him, his next move is he will pick up his red ball and hands it to me and while he is doing so, you can see the whites of his eyes. NOW, HOW CAN I SAY NO TO HIM. I then change my clothes to take him out so we can play catch one on one. I need to take him out of the house to play fetch because if I take home to the back yard, we get disrupted from the other dogs. When we both had enough, we both go back in the house. Not once does Chase let his red ball out of the house. I bought other similar balls for Chase but he only wants his beat up red ball. The point for this story is you will see pictures of Chase and most pictures Chase has his red ball
with him. German Shepherds are the best dog breed I have had. My first dog, Jeannie, was a female German Shepherd I had when I was a freshman in high school. My best friend, loyal, and was always with me wherever I went. I will save that story for a different separate thread. I highly recommend German Shepherd breed for those people who want to get a dog for their family. Many people think German Shepherd dogs will not get along with small dogs, cats, and children. NOT TRUE. I will explain my interactions with other people when I have Chase with me on separate posts. Here are some more photos of Chase.
- This discussion was modified 4 months, 4 weeks ago by Gustan Cho.
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Lennar Homes are slashing their new home prices by 25% in 2024. CEO of Lennar admits their mortgage division is experiencing delinquencies and a higher number of debt to income ratio from consumers. Lennar Homes is America’s second largest New Home Builder.
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Illinois Governor JB PRITZKER is the Governor of the state of Illinois. Can anyone familiar on Illinois share their experiences and opinions about Illinois Governor JB PRITZKER? What has PRITZKER do to benefit the people and businesses in Illinois. I know JB Pritzker was always a politician wanna be and spent a fortune to get elected. Can you please tell me Pritzker’s biography. I heard the 5’5″ 500 pound obese Governor is allowing illegal immigrants to become police officers. What other stupid things is Pritzker doing that can be a potential threat to Illinoisans.
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Crucial developments are changing the country as a whole in the US as of 18th December 2024.
A detailed summary is given below: Political and Government Measures
Banning of US investments in China
The American Congress is about to vote on the laws prohibiting Americans from investing in Chinese technology, targeting artificial intelligence and microelectronics. This effort is designed to resolve issues regarding national security as it shows measures to concern about the packages to fund the government so that federal activities continue until the middle of March.
Renovation of RFK Stadium
The American Congress has passed a bill that will allow Rexon to redevelop the RFK stadium in the district ardent S Senior Sc and lease it for 99 years. This will allow the Washington commanders to return to their esteemed location rent-free.
Economic Indices Housing Market Update
US single-family home building saw a strong upturn in November after a slump caused by the hurricane. US housing starts were up by 6.4%, reaching 1.011 million units on an annual basis. Recent cuts in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve have seen the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate floating around 7, affecting the housing market as well.
Transportation and Communication
Increase in the Number of Flights Operating from Washington Reagan National Airport
The US Department of Transport has confirmed five extra daily round trips from Washington Reagan National Airport.
Flights to STL, Seattle, San Francisco, Las Vegas, San Diego, and San Antonio will soon be available through United, American, and Delta airlines. These are new developments that will be available in 90 days.
Sports Segment
Significant changes have occurred recently for the Washington Commanders, who have signed Tyree Jackson as a Tight End on their practice squad. Additionally, their week 17 game against the Atlanta Falcons has been moved to SMT for its playoff participation. The team is currently reviewing the legislative news regarding the RFK stadium location.
Safety and Education
A tragic mass shooting incident took place at the Abundant Life Christian School located in Madison, Wisconsin. The Authorities stated that a 17-year-old child was the perpetrator, opening fire and killing two children while injuring five and eventually killing himself, all during a school event. The community is left devastated, and the police are investigating the shooting.
Technology/ Security
Various regions in New Jersey are beginning to voice concerns regarding the unidentified drones hovering over the area.
Federal agencies are investigating these events and the reason for the use of drones and have urged the public to report unusual drone activity.
Transitioning Politics
Donald Trump has been regularly making cabinet announcements and policy appointments, with recent updates about the current presidency and electoral results. Discussions are ongoing about decreasing funds for the implementation of charging stations and defunding electric cars, which suggests a change in energy and environmental strategies as a result of the new president.
This would encompass varied political events within the United States, new policies, economic reports, infrastructural growth, sporting events, and safety from farm technological growth.
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Since December 17, 2024, the country has witnessed key developments that have impacted the U.S. Here is an in-depth summary:
Federal Funding and Disaster Aid
Congress is reportedly close to inking a funding deal to keep all federal government services running until March 14. This bipartisan agreement allocates more than $100 billion for emergency relief to aid local and state authorities recover from natural disasters such as hurricanes Milton and Helene. Additionally, $10 billion has been allocated in aid for farmers.
The House is expected to vote on the agreement to avert a partial lockdown on government services and allow the decisions regarding the budget to be made after the new president-elect, Donald Trump, and Congress are in place. This vote is believed to push the trimming deadline to January.
Recent East Coast Mysterious Drone Sightings
The FBI and Department of Homeland Security have stated that many of the reports of unexplained drone activity that have surfaced from several East Coast states are civilian, recreational, or police drones, as well as aircraft.
There is no evidence that these UAVs pose any danger to the general population. Instead, they claim that there is a concern for drone surveillance and, therefore, many suspected incidents of antisocial behavior. Dazzling light meters are currently being conducted.
Tragic School Shooting in Wisconsin
Wisconsin School Shooting Update: The Mother is Presently Charged With Closer for the Investigation.
A male student and a teacher were shot dead by Ms Natalie Rupnow, 15. During the attack, she was armed with a 9mm pistol, which she used to open fire.
The incident took place at Abundant Life Christian School, located in Madison, Wisconsin, and it left six individuals hurt. Rupnow ended up taking her own life later on. Her community is currently grieving, and there have been fierce protests requesting the Wisconsin and American politicians to step up and put stricter regulations around gun ownership.
Environmental Concerns at the Hanford Site
Surrounded by leaking tanks and containing 56 million gallons worth of nuclear waste, it is one of the most heavily taken care of sites ever to exist.
The site underwent serious clean-up procedures to gain the vocal documentation that had been prepared since 1989. To tackle the nuclear waste issue, they turned it into glass only to make the long-term storage sit better in glass for a long time. This might be one of the most expensive projects, with costs potentially reaching the hundred billion dollar range, and might take decades to clean up completely. However, major concerns like groundwater contamination and leaking tanks are still hot topics for debate and discussion.
Economic Developments and Market Movements
- The Federal Reserve expects to go for another rate cut in the final meeting of the year.
- Political instability in Canada and Germany has resulted in turmoil in U.S. Treasury bonds.
- Long-term neutral rates are suggested to remain above 3, with the addition of long-term projections hinting at only two permitted cuts next year.
- Furthermore, Donald Trump’s plans to establish a Bitcoin reserve to eliminate the national debt have raised additional red flags among market analysts.
Sports Highlights
In the NFL, covering defender Marshon Lattimore’s endeavors have paid on the trade for the Washington Team in their showdown against the Eagles. Community efforts and field exploits define rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, who recently gifted 100 local kids bicycles. With key performances by players Daniels and Terry McLaurin, the team’s performance this season has only ever been matched in terms of initial performance in 1992.
Political Calendar
Important dates in the U.S. political calendar that coincide with the end of the year are December 17, this year, when the electors of the U.S. president and vice president will meet in their respective capitals to cast their votes for the President and Vice President.
As mentioned, the 119th Congress, with the inauguration of the U.S. president and the formal certification of the election results, will begin on January 3, 2025. These events emphasize the context of national U.S. news as of December 17, 2024, including the passage of newly aghast public legislation, public and environmental crises, concerns, economic developments, and sporting and political events.
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Mortgage and Real Estate News Weekend Edition: Market Wrap-Up Update (December 16 – December 21, 2024):
Mortgage Rates
Current Rates:
- The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is steady at 6.4% as of December 21, with the average fifteen-year fixed in the 5.8% region.
- The ongoing stability during a slow period provides some relief to home buyers.
Market Influences:
- Inflation figures and the Federal Reserve’s message on the likely direction of interest rates have contributed to fluctuations in existing economic indicators, keeping mortgage rates slightly further tempered.
Home Sales Activity
Existing Home Sales:
- In November, the National Association of Realtors registered a surge of 1.5% in existing home sales.
- This increase signals a boost in buyer activity for that month, caused primarily by seasonal changes and a subsequent boost in buyer activity.
Pending Home Sales:
- The market shows signs of strength going into the new year, as pending home sales also bumped by 2.3% during November.
Housing Inventory
Inventory Levels:
- Despite the increase in sales, housing inventory remains tight.
- The current supply of homes is around 2.7.
- This number is fairly low compared to the historical average of six over the months.
New Listings:
- In December, new listings noted an increase of 4%, which is commendable.
- This further shows that despite sellers’ affordability challenges.
- There is still a willingness to join the real estate bandwagon.
Home Prices
Price Trends:
- The median existing home price has served as a foremost determinant in history.
- The average selling price at the national level was $370,000, down almost two percent compared to the past year.
Regional Variations:
- Particular regions within the Southern and Midwestern parts of America are either showing slight rises in value or stabilization of values, in contrast to the major restructuring occurring within the Californian and New York markets.
Foreclosure Rates
Foreclosure Data:
- Financial strains on borrowers rapidly increase, resulting in foreclosure filings soaring by 10% in the last month.
- Significant activity has been done in foreclosures in Nevada and New Jersey.
Government Response:
- Local governments are trying to implement support measures for families facing foreclosure.
- These measures incorporate counseling services and monetary support.
Regulatory Developments
Federal Reserve Meetings:
- Over the recent months, mortgage rates have demonstrated signs of higher stability than in the past.
- This is due to the federal funds rate remaining steady after the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting.
Legislative Initiatives:
- Congress is paying attention to ongoing discussions on amending housing policies such as zoning laws and increasing funding for affordable housing.
Market Outlook
Outlook Towards 2025:
- Analysts expect the housing market to stabilize further in early 2025 if there are more sellers since there might be more inventory.
- However, other headwinds, like high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, may continue to dampen buyer demand in the property market.
Affordability Constraints:
- The affordability constraint continues to be serious, especially for first-time buyers.
- More attention to the developments of economic factors and interest rate fluctuations will be very important for the housing market’s health in the months close to the elections.
The picture of the mortgage and real estate market between 16 and December 21, 2024, resembles a guarded optimism given the developing challenges. There are signs of home sales picking up modestly and mortgage interest rates stabilizing, which is positive. In contrast, supplies and affordability remain key drivers in the lead-up to the new year. The key economic indicators and regulatory measures have given clues on what to anticipate in housing for 2025.
- This discussion was modified 3 weeks, 6 days ago by Gustan Cho.
- This discussion was modified 3 weeks, 5 days ago by Gustan Cho.
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Summary of National U.S. Headline News for December 20 December 20, 2024
Economy and Markets
Stock Market Performance:
- On the eve of Christmas, the economy is feeling a little gray, with stock prices on the S&P 500 lowering by 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial increasing by 0.5%.
- Investors are shedding any hope of seeing the stock market go upward due to mixed economic data and inflation, making long-term forecasts look dismal.
Inflation Rates
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicated in its latest report that inflation was around 3.8%. While these numbers were slightly higher than expected, this raises questions about the Federal Reserve’s policy going forward.
Housing Market
Mortgage Rates:
- Potential housing buyers were provided respite as the mortgage rates hovered around 6.4%.
- , in the long run, this will further exacerbate the issue of housing affordability.
Foreclosure Rates:
- Recently released reports indicate that the number of foreclosure filings in various states, including New Jersey and Nevada, has spiked, calling for timely state intervention measures to curb the problem of housing affordability.
Politics
2024 Presidential Election:
- Recent polls show a close race in the Democratic contest.
- While Mr. Biden is predicted to lead, Mr. Andrew has also posed a threat as the Democratic candidates put more effort into campaigning on the primaries’ eve.
Legislation Update:
- In Congress, discussions are going around the need for a new infrastructure for rural broadband transportation.
- As a bipartisan bill is being drafted, progress on the bill seems fairly realistic to come within the next few months.
Public Health Issues
October 2022 Update: The COVID-19 pandemic has shown modest rises during this period due to the ongoing hospitalization of people, which has led to a conversation surrounding vaccination campaigns and booster campaigns against variants.
Mental Health
Mental health services have seen growth. It is important to understand the root cause of poor mental health. The federal government is aiding in the improvement of the mental health of veterans and anyone else who lacks access to it.
Environment
Severe Weather:
- Weather agencies have predicted snowfall and harsh weather for parts of the Midwest in the upcoming week.
- A severe weather warning has been issued to highlight the dramatic impacts.
Climate Change:
- The ongoing climate change in America has drastically changed many circumstances.
- The American government is maximizing efforts to rectify the growing climate change through Investments in renewable energy and strategies to reduce carbon emissions.
Social Issues strictly related to Guns and Energy.
Women and Gender Rights:
- The shooting that took place recently shed light on and revived the gun control debates.
- This event alone had a touch on gun safety advocates who lobbied the government to implement regulations around guns before the new year set in.
Education Policy
- Student debt and increased education qualifications are still the center of attention around educational reforms.
- That attention will amplify as we approach the latter part of 2025.
Technology and Innovation
Cybersecurity Concerns:
- Due to the increase in threats caused by the war, the government is making efforts to ensure security through cyber attacks and is channeling more funds into those initiatives.
Political Changes and Economy
As of December 20, 2024, the country is certainly experiencing many social issues, such as political activity and economic problems simultaneously. The end of the year will clearly show the key points for the year ahead: housing, public health, or legislative priorities.
Tech Industry Developments
Most businesses in the technology sector continue to grow unbothered. However, representatives of the advertising industry have recently seen some of the world’s largest companies, like Netflix, Spotify, and Facebook, announce massive layoffs due to the drop in ad revenues caused by the economy and other factors, worrying about the industry’s future expansion.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGtUYs5iyfA&ab_channel=CBSNews
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As of December 19, 2024, the U.S. mortgage and real estate markets have made significant progress that affects buyers, sellers, and investors.
Here’s a detailed summary :Trends in Mortgages
Current Averages:
- The typical rate for 30-year fixed mortgages is 6.72 percent, compared to 6.60 percent a week ago.
- This increase is partly fueled by the Fed’s recent prediction that there will be fewer rate cuts in 2025 than anticipated.
Actions of the Federal Reserve
Revised forecasts from the Federal Reserve have altered long-run views of the economy. They are attributed to the recent increase in mortgage rates. The long-run expectations showed caution for investors who were looking for more aggressive cuts in the near future.
Expert Predictions
Economists predict that rates will remain above 6 cents through 2025. Some estimates peak as high as 6.8 cents. These estimates are attributed to the risks of inflation and rising debt issued from the government’s uses.
Dynamics of the Housing Market
Homes on Sale:
- In November, the sale of already-owned homes in America rose for a third month, reaching an annualized rate of 4.2 units.
- Considering the context of last year, this is an increase of 6.1 percent and the highest annual increase since 2021.
- In light of this surge, predictions for the year indicate a house shipment on a scale comparable to 1995.
Home Prices
The transition in the U.S. recession posted buck sales prices of up to $406,100 in November. The data shows an increasing average sales price driven by increased demand in the housing market regardless of unprecedented mortgage rates.
Inventory Levels
By the end of November, inventories comprised 1.33 million homes, a 17.7% increase from current sales. Despite this surge in homes, the market remains competitive, with >30% fewer stocks than those pre-COVID.
Builder Activity
Lennar Corporation:
- A leading bill in home sales, Lennar reported a dip in sales owing to the higher interest rates of mortgages.
- The brand hinted at a shift in strategy to lower prices further.
- However, the current quarter prediction does not seem promising, as earnings from home sales are the lowest in over six years.
Market Predictions
Looking Forward To Buying A House:
- Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran predicts a surge in condo buying activity if loan costs decrease to just 5%.
- This is because Ms Barbara believes that such a decrease in mortgage costs will cause the real estate market to explode.
- Loan costs have decreased to 6.6% from 6% to 7%.
The mortgage rate and the real estate industry in the U.S. are experiencing a combination of increasing mortgage rates, more home sales, and new strategies by builders. Economic drivers, Federal Reserve activities, and other developments should be tracked to make proper decisions in this volatile framework.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime
- This discussion was modified 4 weeks ago by Gustan Cho.
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Fresh Update on National Mortgage and Real Estate News highlights for December 20, 2024.
National Mortgage And Real Estate News
Trends in Mortgage Rates
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has remained consistent at 6.4, dropping fractionally compared to last week, offering a tiny amount of hope for future buyers in this market.
End of The Year Home Sales Statistics:
Data recently disclosed highlights that existing home sales have grown by 2% as of December, highlighting a slow market recovery as sellers take advantage of lower rates before the start of the new year.
Newly Built Properties
The United States Census Bureau announced a 15% growth in the start of new housing units for November; this can be attributed to the demand for individually owned homes. Builders are meeting the constant demand for housing.
Rates Of Foreclosure
The foreclosure rate continues to be at 0.4 percent, which is still lower than expected. This all hints towards stability in the economy and assistance to homeowners with increased property value in specific areas.
Dynamics Of The Rental Market
Renting, on average across the country, has surged by around 3.5 percent compared to last year. The major areas have significantly more demand because of the gradual change in work-from-home policies and tenants’ desire to be closer to their place of work.
Influences Of New Policies
New Federal housing policies to make properties more affordable and easier to obtain are expected to take effect in early 2025. These policies will affect mortgage rates and the amount of housing available.
Tech in Real Estate
The introduction of AI tools and the option of virtual tours is making real estate purchasing easier. Both buyers and agents are making good use of these add-ons.
Market Predictions for 2025
The younger generation will greatly influence the market, so it is predicted that 2025 will be a very busy and competitive housing market. It would be easy to assume that prices would also increase.
With favorable mortgage rates and encouraging sales and construction of homes, the real estate sector is exhibiting a healthy outlook as we near the end of 2024. When considering 2025, investors and buyers should be aware of market developments and potential legal changes that could impact their choices.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&t=481s&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime
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As far as the most recent update from December 16, 2024, is concerned, the mortgage and real estate sector is as follows:
Mortgage Rates
Current Statistics: The national average for a fixed-rate mortgage for a period of 30 years has decreased to approximately 6.6%, a reduction from 6.69% recorded a week before.
State Variations: Interest rates differ by state. Some states offer up to 6.68%, while others charge a high 7.09%.
Refinancing Rates
For the past 30 years, refinance mortgages have seen highs of 6.98%, which is eleven basis points greater than before.
Housing Market Trends
Home Sales: Compared to last year, house sales have increased by 22% over a month.
Home Prices: According to NAR, house prices will increase by 2%, and the median rise is estimated to be $410,700 thousand by 2025.
Inventory Levels
With stock inventory expectations low, more than $1.45 million housing unit sales are predicted for 2025 after the pandemic.
Expert InsightsMarket Predictions
Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran claims that if mortgage rates drop near 5%, the housing market will jump and go “ballistic.”
First-Time Buyers: First-time homebuyers account for less than a quarter of the entire market, an all-time low. There is a dire “urgency” for new buyers.
Home Renovations
Spending Trends: Due to the current state of home prices and mortgage rates, homeowners are more likely to spend more on renovations than moving.
Global Perspectives
UK Market: The UK house markets have seen exports slump for two months, resulting in average declines of £6395 in the December market.
China’s Market
During the last 17 months, house prices have depreciated slower than usual in China, which could indicate that the region’s property or real estate market is on its way to recovering and stabilizing.
Home buyers and real estate markets have been riling with activity, resulting in declining mortgage rates and stimulating purchasing and spending on home upgrades. Most experts in the field suggest that further step-downs in mortgage rates lead to much higher activity within the market, especially with those buying homes for the first time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GeSO9zBYeyc
- This discussion was modified 1 month ago by Gustan Cho.
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This is an overview of the most recent national economic events as of December 16, 2024:
Economy and Inflation
The American economy continues to grow exponentially despite inflation, which is at its highest level since the 1970s, at around 2.8%, crossing the Federal Reserve’s target of around 2%.
Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve is expected to respond to the alarm that inflation has allegedly stayed too high, securing a default interest rate cut further to increase the rate to around 4.25-4.5%. In the upcoming years, policymakers are afraid to slow down rate cuts in 2025 to balance out the inflation risks.
Housing Market and Mortgage Rates
While the new forecast of around 6.3% in 2025 still maxes out at the affordable limits due to the ongoing sluggish housing market performance, home prices are projected to increase by 5% this year. Furthermore, the endless mortgage and home prices likely convince homeowners to spend extra income on renovations rather than buying new homes.
**The Stock Market and Treasuries: An Analysis**
U.S. stocks during President Trump’s tenure have risen by around 27%, and this increase can be witnessed along with the significant gains that the U.S. stock market experienced as the receiver of Donald Trump’s economic policies. As far as the bond market goes, it currently has signs of being under stress as the 10-year treasury note increase is above 4.4%. A reason for the increase could be out of concern regarding the rise in inflation promise and an increase in government spending.
Despite the above-mentioned inflationary concerns, the foreign interest in U.S. debt remains upward.
**Business Outlook: An Overview**
Those conducting business face the dual challenge of inflation, which only goes away with a careful approach to policymaking. The slow pace of rate cuts that the Federal Policy is expected to deploy means that interest rates on loans for both businesses and consumers are likely to remain high, which can impact plans for expansion and investment.
Considering everything, while the U.S. economy showcases signs of strength, inflation, housing affordability, and the prevailing market volatility remain concerning aspects to manage, which fall under the purview of policymakers and investors.
This is a brief review of recent national initiatives in different sectors of the economy as of December 16, 2024.
Economy & Inflation Rates
The United States economy is strong. Real GDP growth of 2.7% is expected for 2024, with added consumer expenditures and productivity growth.
Inflation is a problem regardless. It remains at a high annual rate of 2.8%, two percent over what the Federal Reserve stipulates as a limitation.
Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve will likely reduce interest rates by quarter points again this week, the third reduction in the current year. The federal fund’s target range is expected to be between 4.25 and 4.5 percent now. As the rate of increases has tapered off, a closer balance of inflation and labor capacity would result in rate cuts in 2025.
Stock Exchange Along With Treasuries
The economy will likely benefit from economic policies under Donald Trump’s second term, which translates into significant gains in stock markets. U.S. equities have risen by a whopping twenty-seven percent this year.
The bond markets, however, appear to be in distress as inflation appears to be a concern along with the rush for government debts for increased spending, as indicated by the increase in the yield for a 10-year treasury note to over 4.4%
As of December 16, 2024, here is a comprehensive overview of the latest national developments across various sectors:
Economy and Inflation
The U.S. economy is exhibiting robust growth, with real GDP expected to increase by 2.7% in 2024, driven by consumer spending and productivity gains.
However, inflation remains a concern, holding steady at an annual rate of 2.8%, above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%.
Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a quarter-point interest rate cut this week, marking the third consecutive reduction this year. This adjustment would increase the federal funds rate target to 4.25-4.5%. Policymakers are adopting a more cautious approach, indicating that the rate cuts may slow in 2025 to balance inflation risks and labor market strength.
Stock Market and Treasuries
The stock market has experienced significant gains, with U.S. stocks rising by 27% this year, partly attributed to economic policies under President-elect Donald Trump’s second term.
However, the bond market is showing signs of strain, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note surpassing 4.4%. This increase reflects investor concerns about potential inflation and the growing supply of government debt to fund spending.
Housing and Mortgage Rates
The housing market is improving, as are mortgage rates and inventory, but the forecasts say otherwise. Due to a drop in mortgage rates, which are expected to touch 6.3% in 2025, home prices are expected to increase by 5 percent.
In addition, the reduction in purchasing new homes will increase home improvement spending.
Unemployment and Labor Market
The labor market remains stable as unemployment remains low and wage levels rise above inflation. The exception to this is contraction in certain industries, such as manufacturing. December saw a continuing decline in U.S. manufacturing as factory output hit 4.5-year lows.
Business Outlook
The businesses are working with a more elaborate dynamic while dealing with inflation and stagnant monetary policy.
Given that the Federal Reserve will not be slashing rates aggressively, the cost of loans to consumers and corporations could be maintained at a high level, affecting their willingness to invest or expand.
Political Developments
President-elect Donald Trump has commenced assembling his administration by making numerous important appointments. Susie Wiles has been selected as White House Chief of Staff, which is remarkable since this is the first time a woman will ever hold this position.
Also, Trump has picked candidates for various cabinet posts as he outlines the policies he wishes to pursue in the next term.
Global Political Climate
The political developments that one has recently witnessed globally present evidence of an exceptionally turbulent and transformational period. By defeating Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s election as the President of the United States marked the end of an era of benevolent scientific rule. Other examples are the surcease of the German government’s existence over budget disagreements and the South Korean military’s declaration of martial law against a president’s wish only to have Congress reverse the situation.
To summarize, the U.S. economy may appear stable, albeit the processes of inflation, stagnancy in the housing markets, and volatility in the other markets need to be addressed. Policymakers and investors are extensively monitoring all these issues and the peculiar economic situation.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KSvn46epzU
- This discussion was modified 1 month ago by Gustan Cho.