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Comprehensive Daily Headline News for Tuesday, January 7th, 2025, which includes the economy, inflation, unemployment, bankruptcy, foreclosure, politics, stocks and bonds, corruption, and factors affecting Americans.
The United States is experiencing significant developments across various sectors as of January 7, 2025.
Economy and Inflation
Economic Growth:
- Projections are that the US economy will grow by about 2.2%- 2.5% in 2025 due to full employment and price stability.
Inflation:
- Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rose by 6.4% in 2023, with Florida leading at a growth rate of up to 8.1% and Iowa at a low pace of only 4.7%.
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Unemployment and Job Market:
Job Openings:
- In November 2024, there were 8.1 million job openings, up from the forecasted 7.7 million.
Services Sector:
- The ISM’s non-manufacturing index for December rose higher than predicted, indicating strong service sector activity.
Stock Market and Bonds
Treasury Yields:
- With strong economic data, US Treasury yields have hit an eight-month high, with the government bond yield on a ten-year note reaching around 4.7%.
Stock Market:
- Positive economic data pushed the S&P 500 and NASDAQ downwards on concerns that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies could be affected.
Politics
Presidential Election:
- On January 6, 2025, Congress confirmed Donald Trump’s re-election as President during the recent presidential contest held in 2019, marking his return to the White House.
Debt Ceiling Concerns:
- According to Fitch Ratings, the debate on the US debt ceiling is not likely to be resolved promptly, even though Republicans control the government due to fights over spending within the party.
Corruption and Legal Matters
Trump’s Legal Challenges:
- Jack Smith, a special counsel, reports on his criminal cases against Donald Trump to Merrick Garland, an attorney general.
- Trump’s legal team wants this report kept confidential and has called it an “unlawful political stunt.”
Factors Affecting Americans
Climate Risk Considerations:
- Home buyers increasingly turn to climate risk assessments in evaluating properties, such as platforms like Zillow, that offer climate risk scores indicating potential damage from flooding, fires, and winds for the next 30 years.
In conclusion, the US negotiates a tricky terrain with strong economic indicators, political turnovers, and emerging issues in climatic risks of fiscal policies.
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Gustan Cho Associates and Subsidiary Sites:
Gustan Cho Associates Mortgage Group (NMLS 2315275) is a dba of NEXA Mortgage (NMLS 1660690). Licensed in 48 states (MA & NY pending), including Washington, DC, Puerto Rico, The U.S. Virgin Islands, and Guam, NEXA Mortgage ranks as one of the largest, if not the largest, in terms of licensed loan officers and volume, mortgage broker, and correspondent lenders in the Nation.
Scope of Work and Mission
Gustan Cho Associates assists borrowers with business, commercial, and residential loans. Not only does Gustan Cho Associates offer competitive rates, but over 80% of our borrowers are folks who could not qualify at other mortgage companies due to overlay or the lenders not offering the mortgage loan program for the borrower. This fact-checked statement confirms that the competition has nothing to say. With a lending network of 280 wholesale lenders (not including commercial lending programs) licensed in 48 plus states, with very competitive rates, it will be difficult, if not impossible, for the competition to come close.
A One-Stop, All-in-One Mortgage Superstore
Consumers often ask mortgage companies what they specialize in. This is a great question. The valid answer differs for each mortgage lender. There are mortgage lenders that specialize only in non-QM loans. Other lenders do not touch government and conventional loans. Credit unions often only offer conventional loans and not government-backed loans. Most mortgage companies do not offer any business or commercial loans. Gustan Cho Associates has a national reputation for being an all-in-one, one-stop national mortgage superstore.
Below is a comprehensive description of the company:
Core Services and Loan Products Traditional Mortgage Products
Conventional Loans:
- Conventional loans are offered to people with good credit ratings as they fall under prime loans.
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are included in this class.
FHA Loans
- FHA Loans help mitigate poor credit scores, such as those of self-employed clients with a high debt-to-income ratio.
VA Loans:
- These home buyers are veterans or current service members and don’t have to make a down payment.
USDA Loans:
- The requirements for these loans are comparable to those for VA and FHA loans, except no down payment is required to qualify.
- However, they are restricted from purchasing a designated home in rural land.
Non-QM Loans
Bank Statement Loans:
- Bank statement loans are for self-employed individuals with sufficient cash flow to maintain normal income verification requirements but who do not reach them.
DSCR (Debt-Service Coverage Ratio) Loans:
- DSCR loans are aimed at real estate investors who want to include rental income in the qualification requirements.
No-Doc Loans:
- This type of loan is granted without requiring borrowers to provide proof of income, so the income level does not matter.
- It was created for those with high liquidity or who are self-employed.
ITIN Loans
- ITIN loans allow people to purchase a house without legal permission from U.S. residents. This class includes illegal immigrants.
Specialty Loan Products
Fix-and-Flip Loans
- Short-term loans are used by those who purchase property that must be renovated and sold.
Construction Loan
A construction loan seeks to finance the sequential construction of a building for builders and homeowners.
- The same doing on its level may again be within a construction context, taking a scope and developing a new building.
Construction to Commercial Loans
- Among more common, CCC or construction to-commercial is its divergence from the more common form of building construction on which many construction firms focus heavily in today’s market.
- Lenders design a construction loan for homeowners wishing to build a home on a piece of land, directing funds exclusively to finance construction projects.
Commercial Loan
- With a commercial loan, the financing covers the purchases or refinancing of multifamily units, mixed commercial, real estate development, and a few other commercial projects.
Hard Money Loans:
- For this profile of borrowers desperate for capital recall, these loans make the transition between lenders despairing and lenders friendly owing to extreme urgency.
Key Features and Differentiators:
From the credit history aftermath of banks shunning these borrowers with low scores, GCA Mortgage Group differentiates itself with various features. It has gone as far as having borrowers with surrounding credit scores of less than five hundred or those wishing to graduate from their debts that were toilets and earlier bankrupt, and lenders aid them in earning months ago.
Private lenders commonly impose and/or usually expect their borrowers to have as overlays any restrictions they wish to impose on them. However, they do not infringe on the agency rules, which Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, VA, and USDA tend to comply with.
Gustan Cho Associates is a prominent national mortgage company with a team of government experts, conforming, nonqualified, and nonqualified mortgages. It currently ranks best in the industry due to its extensive range of self-employed businesses and mortgage solutions for investors and borrowers.
GCA Mortgage Group is in various parts of the country, with licenses in multiple states.
Ortal only provides unparalleled service to its customers. At the same time, GCA has gained recognition in the market for its fast and clear solutions.
Social Media
Website:
- Gustan Cho Associate claims it is the best platform for applying for a loan.
- It is important for borrowers because it has many informative resources, such as qualification requirements, loan plans, and blogging content about mortgages.
GCA Forums:
- A GCA Forum aims to bring customers and professionals together to discuss their mortgage needs and other experiences in the sector.
Educational Content:
- Blogs, videos, and guides on fixing credit, declaring bankruptcy, non-QM loans, and purchasing a home enhance search optimization.
Leadership
- The firm is operated by professionals who possess relevant industry expertise and many years of practice:
Gustan Cho:
- Gustan, a veteran mortgage expert, is the founder and chief motivator of the company.
- He has a vast wealth of experience and particularly aims to assist unbanked borrowers, which, in combination with GCA Mortgage Group’s reputation, has been the primary driver of innovation.
Target Audience
Low Down Payment First-Time Homebuyers:
In addition to providing almost no down payments, we guide first-time homebuyers through the entire home-buying process in depth.
Credit-Challenged Borrowers
People who already owe loans but have experienced some bad credit history or faced some bad financial events are the kind of audience GCA targets.
Self-Employed Applicants
Programs that don’t require extensive documents and use a few techniques like self-reporting are acceptable.
Property Investors: Targeting the investment market with various products, including DSCR and fix-and-flip loans.Investors in Commercial Real Estate: Multifamily, mixed-use, and commercial properties are collateral-based loans.
Customer Testimonials
The borrowers of GCA Mortgage Group gave the following compliments:
- Responsiveness. The pre-approval process takes less time, and consultations can be conducted on the same day.
- Expertise. I have good knowledge of niche lending programs and other related underwriting programs.
- Advocacy. Effects of Trying to Get More Approvals in Difficult Circumstances.
Vision and Mission
The company’s vision is to increase the volume of the target market for home ownership. Its purpose is to facilitate the broad spectrum of potential borrowers by providing various inventive, flexible, and simple mortgage products while enhancing its citizens’ economic literacy and quality of life.
You can contact them through their team or websites to browse through different loan options and get more personalized assistance.
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Comprehensive Daily and Weekend Mortgage and Real Estate News Updated from January 3rd through Monday, January 6th, 2025:
January 6, 2025, saw certain patterns and predictions in the mortgage and real estate markets, as stated below:
January 3, 2025
Mortgage Rates Trend:
Mortgage rates slightly increased, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increasing to 6.75%. According to analysts, this is because of stronger-than-expected job growth.
Housing Market Update:
Despite higher interest rates, the National Association of Realtors reported a modest increase in home sales in December, suggesting resilience in the housing market.
January 4, 2025
Fed Meeting Insights:
Following the latest Federal Reserve meeting, officials indicated they may consider pausing further interest rate hikes. Consequently, mortgage rates stabilized for some time after this announcement.
Following the latest Federal Reserve meeting, officials indicated they may consider pausing further interest rate hikes. As a result, mortgage rates stabilized for a period after this announcement.
Reports indicate that institutional investors are increasingly targeting single-family rental properties due to a lack of affordable homes for potential buyers.
January 5th 2025
Real Estate Investment Trends:
Reports show that institutional investors are increasingly targeting single-family rental properties as there is a lack of affordable homes for potential buyers.
Homebuilder Confidence:
The Home Builders Association reported a slight increase in builder confidence, with new construction expected to begin soon due to a backlog of permits.
Foreclosure Rates
Data revealed that foreclosure rates have declined compared to the previous year, suggesting that homeowners are managing their mortgages better despite economic pressures.
January 6, 2025
Mortgage rates have slightly increased, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rising to 6.75%. Analysts attribute this rise to stronger-than-expected job growth.
Despite the higher interest rates, the National Association of Realtors reported a modest increase in home sales for December, suggesting resilience in the housing market.
**Weekend Market Insights:**
Analysts noted that attendance at open houses was robust over the weekend, compared to previous weekends, indicating that home buyers are adapting to existing mortgage rates.
**Regulatory Changes:**
New rules proposed for a more transparent mortgage lending process could significantly impact both lenders and borrowers.
Summary
Although interest rates are rising, the mortgage and real estate markets are showing resilience. Various indicators suggest steady activity and interest from both home buyers and investors. Key trends include slowly increasing mortgage rates, a slight uptick in home sales, and stable new construction anticipated for this year. Additionally, upcoming regulatory changes may reshape the landscape in the months ahead.
For current updates, it is recommended to consult reliable financial news sources and regular real estate market reports.025
Weekend Market Insights
Analysts noted that open house attendance was robust during the weekend compared to previous weekends, meaning home buyers were adjusting themselves to the existing mortgage rates.
Regulatory Changes
New rules proposed for a more transparent mortgage lending process would greatly impact lenders and borrowers.
Summary
Even though interest rates were rising in the economy, Mortgage and Real estate markets showed some resilience, with different indicators pointing to steady activities and interests from both home buyers and investors. Main trends include slowly increasing mortgage rates, house sales picking up slightly, and new construction expected to remain stable this year. Additionally, regulatory changes could shape the landscape in the coming months.
For current updates, reliable financial news sources and regular real estate market reports are recommended.
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This discussion was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by
Gustan Cho.
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This discussion was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by
Gustan Cho.
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This discussion was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by
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Headline News For Monday December 30th 2024
On December 30, of the year 2024, a variety of noteworthy changes have taken place within the spheres of business and politics:
Business
Wall Street Performance:
- The stock markets of the United States fell on December 30, with all three benchmarks completing lower in value than the previous day.
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 418.48 points. The S&P 500 was down 63.90.
- The Nasdaq Composite was down 235.25 points.
- The decline is concerning.
- However, when viewed annually, the performance remains respectable, with the Nasdaq around 30%, the S&P 500 over 24%, and the Dow rising slightly over 13%.
Rising Treasury Yields
Yields on the Treasury have become a problem in this longer-term bull market. According to recent reports, the current 10-year treasury yield has been at its highest for the past seven months. There are concerns about how that might impact the equity markets. A hint that yield than usual may drive the stocks ward over time.
Trump Administration’s Impact on Wall Street
To no one’s surprise, the trump presidency is changing the policies meant to govern Wall Street and is bound to have a larger impact. Joe Biden’s administration is hoping to achieve a plethora of changes. The anticipated changes would make it easier for banks to abide by capital requirements, enable mergers and acquisitions, and support the cryptocurrency and fintech sectors. The policy shift will likely be business-oriented, and regulators will be less ruled out.
Politics
US Avails from Government Shutdown:
- The likelihood of a government shutdown was narrowly prevented when Congress approved an extension of current expenditure.
- This bipartisan approach extends the resolution of continuing to March 14, 2025.
- It has also provided for disaster management and extensions of other programs.
- Several conservative groups opposed the proposal, but it was eventually approved, averting a shutdown.
International Trade Worries
Donald Trump’s proposals regarding tariffs and taxes on imports from Mexico, Canada, China, et al. are generating fears of potentially adverse effects on the economy worldwide during the decade. In this way, the further increase of prices combined with trade restrictions and other economic factors could hamper stability in the international economy.
Economic activities of China
In December, the Chinese economy was expected to grow slower but more stable, as the manufacturing industry anticipates modest growth for the third month. However, a set of US tariffs could disturb this momentum.
Notable Passings
Commemoration of United States President Jimmy Carter:
The 100-year-old Jimmy Carter, president between 1977 and 1981, was also active in humanitarian services after his presidency through involvement in Habitat for Humanity construction and solving international conflict, earning him a Nobel Peace Prize.
Sports
Jayden Daniels Receives Great Training From Commanders Coaches:
- Interestingly, This story starts with Jayden Daniels, the Commander’s first drafted player.
- However, this decision still left me curious.
- Daniels made a remarkable contribution to the team’s performance, helping them secure a record of 11 wins and five losses. This was achieved through a team effort.
- Furthermore, under the right guidance from the Kansas State Line Coach (Daniel’s “country boy attitude” was so amusing.
- Imagine a dash of Denver and Daniels in cowboy boots). He took the field and delivered the right punches.
Oh, the beauty of digital convergence. At the end of the year, these events perfectly illustrate the fluidity of the modern business and political environment.
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This discussion was modified 3 months ago by
Gustan Cho.
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FHA loans are the most popular loan program for first-time homebuyers, borrowers with bad credit, homebuyers with high debt to income ratio, and borrowers with credit scores down to 500 FICO.
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This discussion was modified 2 years, 1 month ago by
Eric Jeanette.
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This discussion was modified 2 years, 1 month ago by
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Many business analysts and experts are forecasting mortgage rates will drop under 4% in 2024.This forecast is extremely aggressive and a lot of these economists are putting their names behind their mortgage rates forecast. Here is an article about a mortgage and housing economist aggressive statement on the conviction he has on his under 3% mortgage rate forecast for 2024.
businessinsider.com
"We think we're going to end up with a relatively soggy 2024 when we look back at the end of next year."
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Mortgage Rates forecasted to plummet under 3% according to Business Insider Economis
businessinsider.com
"We think we're going to end up with a relatively soggy 2024 when we look back at the end of next year."
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The mortgage and real estate markets have fluctuated due to inflation, job statistics, foreclosure, and home prices, all notable developments considering the rising mortgage rates. Here’s the recent trend. The article will also provide information on the ever-changing but somehow related business economics.
Mortgage Rates
30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
- According to the most current statistics.
- The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased to 6.85%, which has been the highest recorded since mid-July.
- The percentage was 6.72% last week, compared to 6.61% recorded a year ago.
- This is a clear sign of raised bond yields banks use to sell home loans.
15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
- Closed at 6%, up from 5.92% recorded the previous week.
Employment and Job Losses
In considering the labor force, indicators highlight its potential decay due to students’ inability to find summer jobs, resulting in aggravated unemployment reaching 6.4%.
Inflation
The growing economic debate on whether federal banks should pay particular regard to inflation is apparent, especially considering the recent US statistics indicating inflation is growing to 3.2% annually.
It is projected to keep increasing, impacting mortgage rates and the overall economic spectrum.
Foreclosure Rates
There are no seasonal statistics or trends regarding foreclosures at present. However, the growing interest and inflationary rates can complementarily lead to further foreclosure activity, as people who need to deal with further economic stresses alongside rising home loan interest rates may find themselves unable to cope and eventually file for bankruptcy.
Home Prices
Despite the hike in mortgage rates, home prices remained steady. Due to high demand and low housing inventory, the price of homes in the United States is predicted to increase by 5% this year, higher than the previous prediction of 1.9%.
In the UK, it is estimated that house prices will increase by 1.9%, bringing the average value of a house to £267,500. The increase in market activity is expected to impact the housing market positively.
Factors Influencing the Market
Bond Yields Increased bond yields are the reason mortgage rates are increasing. This affects the low number of homebuyers.
Federal Reserve Policies Other policies cut rates to improve affordability, but in contrast, the rate cuts resulted in increased mortgage rates. This is because the 10-year Treasury bonds have increased yields, which wreaked havoc on mortgage rates.
Housing Inventory
Even with the increased mortgage rates, there is a limited number of houses, which keeps the prices of the homes steady. Owners with low mortgage rates are reluctant to sell their houses, contributing to the low supply.
Implications for Homebuyers and Homeowners
Affordability Challenges Due to the increased price of homes and mortgage rates, the supply of houses has greatly diminished, which has resulted in many unfavorable implications, such as a decrease in mortgage applications.
Increased Costs
The property tax rate has historically been low, around 32% in recent years. Still, as of 2014, mortgage rates and insurance expenses have virtually skyrocketed.
The increased mortgage rates, inflation, and economic instability make it almost impossible for potential buyers and homeowners to afford their properties. With the market as fuzzy as it is, it’s worth getting advice from an expert and staying updated with the latest economic information.
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A vivid overview of the country, its businesses, and its economy, as a whole, over the period from December 23 to 28 has been presented below:
American News
Government Shutdown Avert:
- The risk of the US government shutting down was averted on the 21st day of the 12th month of the year 2024.
- This was possible because the representatives had signed a spending amendment bill that Biden later enacted.
- As I have stated above, the US was on the brink of a government shutdown as there was a lot of discord over the signing of the bipartisan bill and the subsequent amendments.
- The bill was not signed, while the spending amendment was enacted to prevent the US from shutting down.
Biden’s Death Sentence Commutes
On December 23, 2024, President Joe Biden commuted the death sentences of 37 federal inmates. The main goal behind this act was to reflect the current president’s stance on capital punishment in the US and widen the scope of justice in the legal system.
American Airlines Flight Delays
On September 24, 2024, Amer American faced a technical issue that delayed over 900 flights. The issues were resolved later that day, but the travel season was massively disrupted due to the holiday season, as flights were grounded nationwide.
Business News
Retail Store Closures:
- 2024 proved to be the year when America officially disintegrated into a retail apocalypse, as it saw the closure of hundreds, if not thousands, of retail stores and chains.
- Estimates suggest that in November, about 7,100 stores in the US closed, a considerable 69% jump from the previous year.
- Some notable closed stores included Family Dollar, CVS Health, Big Lots, and Walgreens, which closed 677, 586, 580, and 259 stores, respectively.
- Big Lots closed all 963 remaining stores because the deal between them and Nexus Capital Management LP did not go through.
- Furthermore, CVS and Walgreens have also shut down multiple stores and are planning to expand the closures.
- The stock market’s performance was unsatisfactory for the S&P 500, which lost 1.1% on Friday, resulting in a loss of yet another 1% for the month.
- The index rose 25% throughout the year, with a 5.7% increase in November.
- The tech sector performed extremely well, especially the Magnificent Seven, which includes Apple, Tesla, Alphabet, Amazon, and Nvidia.
- Apple’s valuation reached close to $4 trillion.
- Strong software and AI performers, including Palantir Technologies and AppLovin, brought growth stocks to the forefront of 2024.
- Sezzle topped the performer’s list after its stocks rose beyond 1000% because of its rising revenue.
Broader stock market leadership, compared to 2023, was observed, with several industry groups performing well.
Economic News
Consumer Confidence Data:
- Compared to November, the American consumer confidence level has decreased with a ratio of 81.1, where 80 would be recession indicative.
- This depicts a recessionary trend due to the steep decline in short-term expectations of over a dozen points in income, business, and the upcoming job market.
- The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dropped to 104.7 from 112.8 beating analysts expectations for 113.8.
- However, despite consumer confidence declining over the three months, retail store sales increased by 0.7%, indicating that consumers could still be positive for the economy.
US Productivity Improvement
The United States seemsseemsis following on the edge of potential productivity improvement, similar to the internet boom in the mid-1990s. Worker productivity lately has started showing positive growth trends and has recorded over 2% growth. Further, investments in labor-saving technologies and post-COVID better job-role matches also contribute to the growth. Economists have predicted further advances in these developments, especially in AI, improving productivity growth in the 1990s era from 2.5% to 3%. This increase in productivity is essential for the country in managing its debt and economic well-being.
US Economic Policy Forecast
If the US Republican party wins the 2024 elections, as they appear to do, the economic outlook will change noticeably.
Donald Trump, the president-elect, has plans to grow the American economy through policies such as lowering taxes, tightening immigration laws, raising tariffs, and loosening regulations. Thanks to the Republican majority in Congress and in the Senate, there will be very few problems implementing these policies. It is a crucial juncture to predict since the facets of the policies after the election can vary. However, the economy will be impacted greatly by the elections.
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Below is a concise overview of the mortgage, real estate, and business updates for the week of December 23 to December 28, 2024:
Mortgage Rates and Housing Market Trends
Mortgage Rates Continue to Rise:
- For the second time in a row, mortgage rates have surged since July and now stand at 6.85 percent.
- This is an increase from 6.72 percent, which stood last week.
- The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage has also hiked again, breaking 6.61 percent this time last year.
- This also means it will keep increasing, as we saw it hit 6.89 percent in mid-July.
- In addition, 15-year fixed mortgages surged, with rates reported at a whopping 5.92 percent compared to 5.84 percent.
- As we enter the new year, the economy is expected to boost purchase rates to assist with the surging problem of undersupplied homes in the market.
Homeowners Costs Are Increasing
A rising trend indicates that homeowners are now spending more on property taxes and home insurance than they are reportedly spending on mortgages. The average single-family mortgage is set at 32 percent for property taxes and insurance, which breaks records as it’s the highest rate since 2014. The driving factor for this trend is the natural disasters that caused home values to skyrocket.
The Pirates of the Caribbean
Or, as I like to call them, the New York upstate, Omaha, New Orleans, and Miami Pirates that own homes. They are the worst, and so are mortgage holders because they pay more than half of their monthly payments on taxes and insurance. The average rate of this has grown to 7 percent, making owning a single-family single-family home a life of misery. And speaking of home buying in general, mortgage payments are high, no thanks to the recent rate cuts. In both 2014 and now, buying a home is a huge hassle for the rich and the poor, and I can assure you that this is only the start of our problems.
Advancements in the Real Every Field
Let’s start with Rocket Homes
- The CFPB also sued Rocket Homes for its alleged actions, in which the brokers were asked to purchase mortgage holder services from their company.
- The back-and-forth in this lawsuit goes deep, but to keep it short, the JMG Holding firm’s Jason Mitchell also comes into play within these allegations.
- Rocket Homes argues against the CFPB’s stance, enabling them to go at ease again.
Sadly, the CU building has also come under heat to be able sexual misconduct scandals with the inclusion of Master Batters: the brokers, Tal and Oren, go on to expose how eXp is real.
The recent allegations raised questions of integrity within a predominantly female industry sorely constructed by male figures. Detractors note the industry’s rampant culture, where safety precautions and a proper supervision hierarchy that controls malfeasance are non-existent. Pioneers such as the National Association of Realtors have tried devising policies that will help foster a balanced, safe, and upbuilding environment.
The sale of loans in multifamily commercial real estate by HomeStreet Bank
In a transaction that involved Bank of America, HomeStreet Bank went on to sell $990 million in unpaid principal balance of loans for almost $906 million. This translates to a 92% value of the loans. The only reason why this discount was given was due to the current interest rate environment and the lower yield of the loans. The deal is projected to aid HomeStreet in recovering from the multiyear loss and assuage investors worried about the previous halted merger with First Sun Capital Bancorp. Funds raised from the transaction will primarily be focused on addressing debt and looking for cheaper capital. The final date for the completion of the transaction is December 31. On the other hand, Home Street is expected to continue servicing the loans.
Forecast of Commercial Real Estate
The commercial real estate sector has been conditioned by various challenges, including the constant rise in interest rates, constantly decreasing supply, and high production expenses.
The hybrid and remote work trend has severely affected the office space market. And even now, despite a rather remarkable cutback from the Federal Reserve, long-term rates are elevated, making sales and refinancing more complicated than necessary. A massive 570 billion dollars worth of commercial real estate loans are due by 2025. These loans will most likely experience a cash flow deficit, while some may even face massive refinancing difficulties. The assumed Trump administration portrays promising tax structures and lower regulations as policies that further bolster the population’s confidence. The online shopping boom brought a sharp increase in demand for industrial supply. However, this has recently stagnated and is anticipated to bounce back when the newly available supply is subdued and demand rises. The growth of e-commerce stimulates future demand for industrial space. 2025 will likely be the year when this wheel starts rolling again. But we still have to navigate slow economic growth and tough refinancing circumstances.
Expected Housing Market Scenario
Expected changes in the 2025 housing market:
Towards 2025, hope is presented to future real estate hopefuls who have navigated on that tough terrain the last couple of years, as most are expected to find the housing market easier to deal with. There are predictions that mortgage rates will increase slightly over the 6% threshold, which will cause more listings to become available and slow the increase in the value of these listings. As the rate of interest declines, it is expected that more US citizens will be willing to relocate, aiding the housing inventory.
The current housing supply is likely to witness an uptrend growth of about 11.7%, which would dampen the competition with a more controlled price increase. However, they expect a remarkable rate decrease since they are most likely to follow the return on the 10-year treasuries, which may stay high if inflation continues. Overall, during 2025, there are high chances of the rates being more favorable for the buyers due to a high supply, alongside the mortgage rates being slightly lower than they used to be.
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These are the most recent developments in national politics as of Friday, December 27, 2024.
The Number of Store Closures in the Retail Sector Peaks in 2024
The United States suffered a major blow, which shifted the focus to closing retail stores throughout the year. This is because of the weakest recession in history, as many eye chains announced the closure of many retail locations.
- Family Dollar leads the way with 677 store closures.
- Followed by CVS Health with 586.
- Big Lots with 580.
- Walgreens with 259.
Big Lots intends to close 963 stores after Nexus Capital Management LP ended the deal. Building upon its strategy of shutting down 900 stores by the end of 2024, CVS is left unfazed. Building on its strategic focus on closing locations, Walgreens intends to close around 1200 stores by 2027. Buy Baby is no longer in business because it has decided to adopt a digital-first approach along with the plethora of store closures. Family Dollar has also made a statement indicating considerable financial difficulties after its acquisition by Dollar Tree in 2015.
Stock Market Update
The U.S. stock future is heading downward, as the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 are down by 0.3% each. Things don’t look great for Apple either, as its stocks are stable on the threshold of reaching 4 trillion. The losses are expected to surge, as Wedbush analysts set the target at 325, expecting the decrease in value to fall right on that number. Apple’s share price, meanwhile, edged up.
Record Christmas viewership numbers came in for Netflix as their NFL games peaked with 27 million plus viewers on Christmas day. Shares of KULR Technology Group amassed an increase exceeding 12% alongside its announcement of the investment in Bitcoin for around 21 million U.S. dollars.
Financial institutions worldwide are closely following the multi-billion dollar merger of Amedisys Incorporated and UnitedHealth Group Incorporated as there is a green light from the regulatory authorities to proceed with the merger. It is expected that bitcoin will, ‘if not break this year’s all-time high of $96,600, at least get very close to it,’ while oil and gold futures have experienced a slight bump. Michael L. Smith of the UnitedHealth Group was wary after the deal’s announcement as it could very well trigger Israeli-Palestinian tensions.
Richard Parsons, chairman of Citigroup from 2009 to 2012, held several noteworthy titles, including being the first black person to serve at Parsons Corporation and the senior vice president at Time Warner. Parsons married Gina Sussman in 1982 and had three children with her. He died in 2022 and was an outspoken advocate for diversity at Goldman. During his career, Parsons served numerous boardroom positions, including AOL-connected Americans.
Chris Moore, a former Arizona Cardinals mindset specialist, recently signed a contract with the Washington Commanders, with it being his practice squad in August. He was well known among football coaches for his extraordinary performance, having played 17 games for the Tennessee Titans in 2023, catching 22 passes and covering 424 yards with a touchdown and at least two rushing touchdowns in the game. The move came after releasing Greg Joseph to create space for Moore, as the team was already experiencing injuries on several key players, including Andrew Wylie and Dyami Brown,
The football player Jonathan Allen is all set to face off against the Falcons.
Microsoft
An Investigation Based on Antitrust. The investigation of Microsoft was evidence that Microsoft is not misusing its considerable power obtained in the market to enforce a bundle of its services in an unfair manner, which type of competition is considered anti-competitive. This has already happened—this is an investigation of antitrust against Microsoft.
U.S. Government Shutdown Shocka Averted
On December 21, 2024, the U.S. was threatened by a government shutdown if Congress did not approve a spending bill. A shutdown was narrowly avoided when President Biden signed a spending extension bill approved by Congress.
The New Mexico Civil Nuclear Weapons Race
Nuclear-weapons-involving activities in New Mexico are rising, particularly in the Los Alamos National Laboratory and its extended facilities. Such activities affect local communities, local economies, and even the environment.
The New Role of Influencers in the Political Space
Political discussions in 2024 are partly driven by the active engagement of influencers, thus effectively extending the scope of punditry and journalism. Turning to the creator economy has seen politicians engage more influencers.
Conclusion of the Presidential Election Results
The 2024 election cycle ended with Donald Trump winning and becoming president again. Great efforts were put into the campaigns, and a huge turnout of voters was reported during the election.
Celebrity Social Media Announcers for the 2024 Baby Reveals
In 2024, several celebrities announced their pregnancies and told the public about it.
Celebrities like Jennifer Lawrence, Cooke Maroney, Ashanti, Nelly, and Patrick Mahomes are adamant about expanding their family shortly.
These news articles give a good summary of the facts. These are the most significant events in the country as of December 27, 2024.
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These are the breaking stories from across the country on December 26, 2024:
Scandal at the Phoenix Sky Harbor Airport
Yuletide roaster dropped at the Jew, who was over kerfuffle and going down on Christmas Eve.
There were three shootings and one stabbing. The primary persons involved were the suspect, an adult male, and a girl aged 0-16. They were assisted by the parties that sat at the third-level restaurant in Terminal 4. Weapons were recovered on-site, along with some. Activities at the airport were temporarily suspended, but ordering assistance has resumed.
Updates on the Stock Market
It was noted that US stock indicators have decreased compared to After Christmas Eve’s tech stock rally. The Nasdaq, S and P 500, and Dow Jones futures dropped approximately 0.3%. Oil prices saw a slight increase, whilst Bitcoin fell by three. Besides, TW regulators disqualified Uber’s attempt to purchase Food Panda for nearly $950 million due to the competition it could generate.
What to Expect in 2025
In 2025, powerful technological changes are anticipated to alter people’s lives. Working alongside other Artificial Intelligence (AI) advancements, a category of autonomous “agents” will meld in, performing actions like ordering food or booking travel tickets. New devices, like a smart home display that Apple is set to release alongside Meta’s smart glasses, will also be available.
Moreover, improvements in climate prediction through AI solutions such as the Google Gen Cast program are also expected to be achieved.
Development in Perceptions of Gun Violence
Throughout the year 2024, the incidence of gun violence in the United States has remained on a downward slope. The numbers for murder have also undergone a significant decline, especially in several cities that have noted a decrease of more than 10 percent to the overall murder counts as compared to the years overlapped with the pandemic, which was 2020 to 2022, which amasses a staggering 5000 murder victims’ difference to locating the cause behind the violence. This positive outcome is largely based on the return to normalcy after a pandemic coupled with targeted violence reduction measures that got support from federal finances.
Pregnancy Announcements from Celebrities
Starting at the beginning of t024, some celebrities have begun to go public with the news of their pregnancy. Horse owners immediately think of Jennifer Lawrence and Cooke Maroney, Ashanti and the rapper Nelly, and Patrick Mahomes and Brittany Mahomes. Fans of these stars have been delighted over this announcement, especially with the anticipation of the stars welcoming a new member to their families.
NFL Christmas Games on Netflix
Despite some uneven contests, midweek Christmas NFL games that streamed online provided the best viewing experience. A superb high production level and special kinds of presenting drove these broadcasts to the top levels. Among other events of the NFL, Jaden Daniels took the 10th Recruit of the Week title, which made a record, and consecutively placed Kansas City Chief at the top in the AFC, rejoining the engaging contests.
1 seed after beating the Steelers as well.
Avoiding Government Shutdown
The danger of the US government closing was posed if Congress disagreed with a spending bill on or before December 21, 2024. There was a considerable chance that that would happen until Congress voted optimistically on the spending extension, which President Biden signed. This removed the threat of a government shutdown, at least for the near future.
Changes in the Presidential Transfer Process
The soon-to-be President, Donald Trump, is currently working on assembling a cabinet and an administration for the new term he is stepping into. Kelly Loeffler will be his small business administrator. At the same time, Scott Turner was appointed Secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development. These picks highlight the trend seen by Trump: outsourcing such jobs to business people with previous government experience.
Cyber Security Events of Recent Times
The year 2024 had several notable cybersecurity events. Ukrainian armed forces collaborating with cyber spies had access to US telecommunication networks deployed as a drone base, and cyber terrorists using ransomware were able to make healthcare systems out of reach for millions. These incidents of international diplomacy reaffirm the increasing and turbulent aspects of cyber security of the time and the inability of organizations to protect themselves effectively.
Christmas Day Retail Bans
Several retail outlets, including Kroger and Walmart, have shut their doors to enable their colleagues to spend the festive day with their loved ones. Shoppers were encouraged to stock up beforehand, pointing out that stores would open again on December 26 and their hours would be normal.
However, these news headlines are important to understand the state of national journalism as it stood on December 26, 2024.
The developments that affect official reports, as well as the development of procedural oral hearings, parties’ presentations, and the subsequent making of judgments, aid the tribunal in reconstructing events relevant to the case. The statement negotiations allow the participants to be recollected with considerable forensic precision. The scientific approach allows for defining elevator and escalator services as objects of scientific and operational studies. Elevator and escalator services and engineering objects installed in buildings have specific settlements bound to them. Friedrich Gilmer centered a research program investigating the interconnectedness between escalators/elevators and the entire building’s structures. During the ceremonial day of the building, more words are being wasted than otherwise.
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This discussion was modified 3 months ago by
Gustan Cho.
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This discussion was modified 3 months ago by
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In the mortgage circuit, there have been drastic changes along with fluctuations in the real estate market, all affected by the economic policies that have increased bond yields. As for the current state of the economy, it can be summarized as follows:
Rates on Mortgages
30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
- Average rates have soared to 6.85%.
- This is the highest increase since July, when they climbed from 6.72% to 6.85%, compared to last week’s and the six-point sixty-one percent a year ago.
15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
- Instead of 5.92% in the previous week, the rates have spiked to 6.00%.
Housing Market Information
House Prices:
- High price rates combined with even higher mortgage rates have made it nearly impossible for almost all potential buyers to stimulate any chances of homeownership, further supporting the continuing downturn of the housing market.
Inventory Trials:
- Taking November into account, the last reported figure regarding the total number of houses available for sale was 1.37 million, showing a 19.1% increase year after year.
The Following influences the Rate Increase On Mortgages
- Generally speaking, mortgage rates and bond yields display a very tight relationship.
- An increase in bond yields leads to many factors, including an increase in mortgage rates.
Expectations Regarding Inflation
As we all know, inflation is bad news for every industry. It pushes investors to seek larger returns on long-term investments, which increases bond rates.
Policies By The Federal Reserve Bank
Although the Reserve recently cut some rates to facilitate purchasing, mortgage rates have paradoxically skyrocketed instead.
These factors account for the divergence we have seen, and it seems justified in view of rising yields on 10-year Treasury Bonds, which are considered a significant determinant of mortgage rates.
Government Debt Levels
Increasing fiscal deficits enhance the volume of government bonds, causing yields to increase to attract buyers.
Economic Policies
Policy shifts, such as instituting tariffs and tax reductions, could increase economic activity, raise inflation, add to government borrowing, and consequently raise mortgage rates.
Aspects That Influence Homebuyers and the Real Estate Economic Activity & Development:
Challenges on Affordability: Rising mortgage rates and current home prices have generally limited the number of prospective buyers, and mortgage applications have been sluggish.
Market Activity:
- Interest rates have suppressed buyer interest. A slight reduction in interest rates is likely to stimulate some business growth.
- Still, the business environment will remain restrained due to the relatively high prices and low volume of housing available.
The movement in 10-year Treasury yields and mortgage bonds highlights the intricate web of factors that characterize the current economy. These indicators and trends are critical for home buyers or borrowers intending to refinance their homes. Therefore, such transactions should be undertaken only after due consultation with advisers.
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Mortgage and Real Estate Update for Wednesday, December 25th, 2024Mortgage Rates Remain Constant As The Holidays Are Upon Us.
30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage:
- Average fixed mortgage rate continues to remain at 6.75 %.
- Analysts don’t anticipate any compelling changes this week.
15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage:
- The average rate on the 15-year is 6.15, which is also a good option for homeowners willing to refinance.
ARM:
- Similar to the 5/1 ARM, rates have remained stable at 6.50 percent while buyers consider the risk of a rate change.
Analysis:
- Towards the end of the year, we usually see a drop in the amount of mortgage applications as people are less likely to look to buy a new home.
- However lenders do suspect that they may see a increase in the early months of 2025 as rates begin to normalise.
Housing Still In Demand During The Winter Season
Lack of Supply:
- The active listing has dropped by 18% year on year which further lowers the options for the buyers in many locations.
Prices:
- Price of homes rose by 4.1% in November 2024 when compared with the last year during the same period.
- This is indicitive of demand in high growth areas.
Top Buy Markets:
- Austin and Orlando are hot places to buy homes while less accessibly prices areas such as Wisconsin and Pittsburgh are more stable.
Trends in the Rental Market
Rents Rates Slowing Down:
- The rental rates for 2024 have seen a rise by 2.3 percent lower than the 5.7 percent rent witnessed in the year 2023.
- This stagnation is due to an increased availability of multi-family houses.
Continued Movement to Suburbs:
- Renters are shifting from apartments to suburban areas due to affordability issues, especially in areas just outside big cities such as Phoenix and Denver.
Increased Costs Affect Builder Confidence
Commencement of New Homes:
- In comparison to last year there has been an increase of 9 percent during November of single family house starts while multi-family starts have remained constant.
Excess Inventory in Some Parts:
- In Texas and Florida, builders are recording high inventories of unsold homes, especially in the luxury sector.
2025 Predictions:
- The builders are not very optimistic but cautious, which is why they want to build affordable housing for most people so that eager entry-level home buyers will choose it.
An Increase in The Rate Of Foreclosure and Bankruptcy
Foreclosure:
- An Increasing economic stress and inflation is leading to a growth in US foreclosure filing and as a result between Q3 to Q4 of two thousand twenty-three there was a 13 percent increase.
Bankruptcies:
- There has been a year over year increase of 18 percent in the filing of personal bankruptcies showing the financial stress faced by the middle-class households.
Areas With the Highest Growth:
States like New Jersey, Illinois, and Nevada need the most scrutiny as they had the highest amount of foreclosure activity.
Broader Trends in Commercial Real Estate Portfolio Looking at the Bigger Picture
Retail Decline:
- The e commerce business has taken over which is why the rates have increased to 12 .8 percent which is causing the brick-and-mortar business to struggle.
Shifting the Office Network:
- Suburbs are seeing an increase in preferences for office spaces.
- Whereas cities are facing higher offices than ever before.
- SFF and NYC are quoted to have a very high vacancy rate cross country comparison shows a significant increase in demand.
E-commerce digitalization effect:
- The E-commerce and improvements in supply chain are the two most key drivers for a growth in demand for logistics and warehouse spaces.
Changes In Policy Affecting Housing
Inspection Report for FHA Loan Limits 2025:
- Prevalent headlines include the federal housing administration loan limits amendment.
- This will see the loan limits in high-cost regions increased to 1.2 million dollars.
- This development allows more buyers to take up markets with expensive places, including New York and California.
Tax Incentives for Affordable Housing:
- Integracare in Hexcel has prepared to lobby Congress and vote to extend the tax incentives for builders seeking to construct affordable housing projects, which is liable to solve the looming shortage of inventory.
Climate Change Effects on Real Estate
Flood Zones:
- The New FEMA flood maps, which will be published in early 2025, will likely categorise additional regions as high-risk, which will lead to an enhancement in the price of flood insurance for homeowners.
Wildfire Areas:
- Wildfires are a reality whose aftermath California, Colorado and other states are adjusting to.
- Wildfires have alternative real estate impacts, such as A
- advancing premiums of insurance and reducing property expenses of affected regions.
Real Estate Investment Trends
- Over time, the popularity of real estate properties designed for short-term rentals has not seemed to drop.
- However, in the bigger cities such as Miami and Los Angeles, some measures are being put in place that control who can purchase these properties.
As for communities made specifically for renters, investors are gradually moving in that direction as there is plenty of demand for such buildings since many people can’t afford to own a house.
Tech in Real Estate
There is a rise in people utilizing remote services to buy houses. People can now talk over platforms and do virtual tours, which reduces the waiting time and makes it more efficient.
When lending, companies have been leaning towards utilizing AI as part of the approving process. It speeds up the process significantly and lowers the amount of time spent on underwriting.
International Buyers Return
Luxury Properties across the United States have been catching the eye of international investors, especially those in New York, Miami & Los Angeles, Canada, Europe & China overseas investors seem to be returning in large numbers.
Make sure to keep an eye open for further updates as there is plenty more room to monitor these trends going into the new year.
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Wednesday Headline news summary: December 25, 2024News Related to the Economy and Financial Affairs
A Decrease in Inflation:
- The US witnessed a slight decrease in the inflation rate.
- The inflation rate was reported to be 4.2% in November.
- However, it decreased to 3.9 % in December, signifying that inflation is slowly being controlled.
The Stock Market Surge:
- Strong holiday consumer spending boosted investor confidence, increasing the stock market.
- The Ordinary Share Index 500 (S&P 500) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average were reported to have experienced increases of 1.3% and 1.1%, respectively.
Retail Sales Growth:
- Last year, the retail industry growth stood at 5.4%, which can be attributed to a rise in online spending and greater demand for expensive goods.
New Developments in Housing and Real Estate.
Mortgage Interest Rate Steady:
- The national average mortgage rate remained close to 6.75% for a 30-year fixed-up mortgage.
- It is expected to remain in the range during the joyous season.
Housing Prices and Inventory:
- Housing prices rose by 4.1 percent compared to the past year.
- However, the housing inventory surpassed critical limitations, decreasing by 18% compared to last December.
Increase in Financial Instability:
- The number of foreclosure applications in the latest quarter surged by 13%.
- Revealing signs of financial instability since housing loan interests and inflation remained highest.
Politics News
Biden’s endorsement drops to below expected: Economic factors do not support satisfaction relative to President Joe Biden’s administration’s handling of inflation. Consequently, his endorsement fell by 34%.
Congress Approves Housing Rental Assistance Bill
A bipartisan approach has resulted in a construction elements amendment with tax credits that will help increase the supply of affordable housing by the end of 2025.
International Affairs
US and China Relations Breakthrough:
- President Biden and China’s Xi Jinping had a talk focusing on trade and climate issues.
- But Taiwan issues remain unresolved.
Ukraine Conflict Updates
America’s support for Ukraine is still strong, and $45 billion in other military and humanitarian support is anticipated for 2025.
Climate and Environment
Severe Winter Storms:
- A severe winter storm affects the Midwest and Northeast regions.
- Leading to the scrapping of over 30,000 flights and dangerous driving conditions.
New FEMA Flood Maps:
- New maps have been altered, increasing the region’s high-risk flood area and shifting the concern to homeowners insurance costs, which could be millions.
Technology and Industry
AI Changing Workplace Dynamics:
- The penetration of Artificial Intelligence into workplaces has doubled in the US over the last 12 months.
- It is particularly used in the logistics, customer service, and financial services industries.
EV Market Growth:
- Electric vehicle registrations increased by 20% over the previous year to federal tax deductions.
- Growing market activity helped sustain the momentum.
Social and Cultural Highlights
Record Charitable Giving:
- During this festive period alone, Americans gave a record-breaking seven billion dollars.
- This resulted in major donations to food banks, relief aid, and education.
Holiday Movie Box Office:
- Avatar 3 is the year’s highest-grossing film, leading the box office with over 1 billion dollars in revenue.
Sports
NFL Playoff Picture:
- While the Kansas City Chiefs have already qualified for the playoffs, the Philadelphia Eagles and many other team races are getting heated in both conferences.
- This outline, dated December 25, 2024, captures the critical moments in US contemporary history in economic, political, and cultural spheres.
Major news outlets and more detailed reports are excellent sources for further information on this story.
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Here’s your weekly snapshot of mortgage and real estate headlines for December 24 December 24, 2024:
Mortgage Rate Changes
30-Year Fixed Rates:
- The national average interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage hit 6.75%.
- As a result, predicting competitive rates shortly has become easier.
15-Year Fixed Rates:
- The market continues offering 15-year fixed mortgage rates at around 6.15%.
- Much lower than before.
ARM Rates:
- The popularity of adjustable-rate mortgages has prompted lenders to cut back on their offerings.
- 5/1 ARMs, conversely, have an average interest of 6.50%.
- A flash in the arm is observed and foreseen for early 2025, as inflation is also predicted to remain strong.
Housing Market Analysis
Home Prices:
- Key markets such as Florida, Texas, and California show continued appreciation in median home prices. At the same time, states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania still appear to have leveled out at more sustainable rates.
Inventory Shortages:
- Urban areas, in particular, are experiencing volatile market conditions.
- While demand and, thus, prices continue to stay high, supply remains at historic lows.
Best Buyers’ Markets:
- Buffalo, New York, and Detroit, Michigan, are approaching reasonable prices for new homebuyers.
Here Are The Updates About FHA Loans For 2024
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) raised the loan limit thresholds effective January 1, 2024.
- In low-cost areas, it is set to $500,000.
- The limit is set at $1.2 million in high-cost areas that can afford it, enabling homebuyers to have more choices.
Non-QM Loans Are Getting Popular Among Self-Employed Borrowers
Non-qualified mortgage loans are becoming more popular as more self-employed individuals enter the market. Various lending institutions have a wide variety of condotel and short-term investing options.
Shift in How Commercial Real Estates Are Sought After
The demand for multifamily building loans is increasing as more builders develop a strategy for constructing more projects in urban and suburban locations. Improvement in market conditions has enabled better entry price points for spec building of 1-4 unit real estate.
Private Equity Market with a Focus on Strategic Sourcing: The Midwest
Wisconsin:
- House prices continue to increase near Madison and Racine counties as more people from the area look for cheap housing and a better lifestyle.
Illinois:
- Chicago has a consistent level of interest for FHA loans, thanks to first-time home buyers who require financing and downpayment assistance programs.
Realstock Investor Programs
Realty investors are moving away from all capital cities and looking towards second-hand rental properties, as there is a good demand for rentals. There is still much interest in short-term furnished rental properties for places that are big tourist spots, but policymakers are increasingly holding back investment.
Top Updates to Regulation: There Is
The National Association of REALTORS(r) has settled on paying a realtor and buyer commission adjustments and structure to be in place come 2025. This has been proposed due to a discussion of concern that the agents will become purely marketing specialists, hence, out of the market.
Watch out for more analysis of these trends as the new year progresses.
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NATIONAL HEADLINE NEWS FOR TUESDAY, DECEMBER 24TH 2024Inflation Issues Persist Despite a Boost in Consumer Spending as the Holiday Season Begins.
Retail sales increased across the United States by almost 4.8%. Strong consumer spending from online shopping helped fuel this increase and the high demand for entertainment and travel. However, economists maintain that rising price levels, in conjunction with stagnant wage growth, will hinder any potential growth in the next five years or so.
Mortgage Markets Remain Steady As All Eyes Are Directed Towards the Federal Reserve
30-year fixed-rate mortgages have maintained a national average of 6.75%, marking a period of stabilization for a rampant market with fluctuating rates. The Federal Reserve is expected to conduct a meeting at the start of next month, wherein they will decide whether there is a scope for further rate increases, which may act as a barrier in combating inflation. Furthermore, experts anticipate this meeting with caution, as signs indicate economic growth is beginning to stagnate.
Continued Shortages Within Inventory Persist in the Housing Market.
The US housing market is still suffering from an extreme deficit in the number of active listings, which have dropped by roughly 23% compared to December 2023. The resulting combination of increased interest rates and a shortage of homes has made it difficult for homeowners to afford to sell their homes. Once again, this has dire consequences on first-time buyers, as relatively economical homes aren’t abundant in high-demand areas.
US Senate passed 1.2 Trillion Funding Package Bill for Infrastructure.
In a decisive bi-cameral vote, the Senate approved the one-point-two trillion-dollar funding bill covering new highways, IT, and climate. The construction industry stands to gain tremendously from it, leading to multitudes of job creation. However, there are concerns that the bill may not lead to a green future.
US Department of Justice Cracks Down on Big Tech: New and Tough Privacy Laws Come Into Effect
As Meta and Google colluded over Meta’s Giphy acquisitions, the US Department of Justice issued new privacy laws for big tech companies, requiring them to be more open about their data use and more respectful to consumers. Consumer advocates have well received the move. Still, it has raised fears among business leaders around the possible chilling effect it could cause on innovations.
Winter Storms Force 2000 Plus Flight Cancellations Over Christmas Weekend Travel Plans Afterphotos Shot Sorter Job View Photo
A winter storm that impacted America’s Midwest and Northeast regions has made travel before Christmas difficult. More than two thousand flights have been disrupted around the Michigan, Illinois, and New York regions, and treacherous snow is predicted for Christmas day.
The Stocks Reflect a Gain Following the +/- Year-End Rush.
After the approval of the infrastructure bill and the increased holiday retail sales, investors’ positive mood was reflected as both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 showed growth. Afterward, the tech-heavy Nasdaq took a harsh tumble during the week but was later able to recover due to the much-anticipated reports regarding the fourth quarter earnings.
As Cases of Problems Arise, the Hospitals Are Bound to Face Issues.
The healthcare system is facing a severe crisis due to increased cases of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). All hospitals are under substantial pressure with the pediatric wards, particularly under duress regarding the capacity issue. The CDC has warned people to consider taking extra measures and getting vaccinated due to family gatherings.
The USA and China Relations Are Kick Starting as Planned.
President Biden and Xi Jinping are expected to host a virtual meeting this week to discuss trade relations, Taiwan, and other topics related to global security. Analysts see the virtual meeting as a much-needed reduction of tension between the USA and China, fighting a soft war on multiple fronts.
Sports
NFL Playoff Picture Takes Shape:
The NFL regular season ends and the teams compete for the remaining playoff spots. The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs have secured their divisions, while everyone else fights for the wildcards. Everyone is set for the high-profile matches as we enter the holiday weekend.
Entertainment
“Avatar 3” Breaks All Previous Box Office Records James Cameron’s “Avatar 3” has grossed $1 billion in just two weeks, making it the highest-grossing film of 2024. Critics love the film for its incomparable graphics and environmental storyline, making it one of the cultural marvel films of the time.
Holiday Spirit Sees Unprecedented Level of Charity Donations
Charitable organizations have reportedly received donations totaling $6 billion this holiday season, thanks to the globalization of humanitarian issues and tax incentives for donors. Corporations and individual philanthropists have donated to various social causes, from disaster recovery to education.
As these events unfold, more follow-up reporting and analysis will be published.
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Below is a comprehensive overview of the national mortgage and real estate market, focusing on specific areas as of December 23, 2024:
Mortgage NewsTrends in Mortgage Rates
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates:
Reports indicate that the rate for 30-year fixed mortgages is 6.79%. This implies a significant decline that has been observed globally. All this has resulted from the announcement made by the Federal Reserve regarding the possible lowering of interest rates in the year 2025.
15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates:
The prevailing rates for this kind of investment are set at 6.11, which can benefit homeowners who want to refinance their land and take out a loan.
Activity Regarding Refinancing
Slowly, as the rates stay on the lower side, they are starting to impact the number of applicant refinance applications; however, they are still much lower than in the pre-2023 timeframe.
Federal Reserve Policy
The recent changes made to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, along with the anticipation that mortgage rates will begin to lower in the first half of 2025 due to a decrease in the federal funds rate, have helped diffuse uncertainty.
Highlights of the Real Estate Market/IndustryPrices of Houses
Trends Nationwide:
Home prices have increased steadily but not excessively in most regions, and major metro areas like Austin, Miami, and Seattle still face a demand-and-supply issue.
Growing Market in Rural Areas:
There has been a noticeable surge in the popularity of affordable housing options in rural regions, including South Dakota, Montana, and certain parts of Texas.
Sales of Current Houses
Recognizably, the two-year spoiler of progress has been broken, and we are now 2.5% up on existing home sales. This, however, was long overdue, for the buyers had progressed along adjusting to the new ‘high mortgage rates’ by how the market conducted itself.
Rental Market Update
Moving up on the scales of the national average rent, single-family rental homes do incite a slight increase in demand. The region of Nashville, alongside Orlando, is experiencing population growth alongside the pit of competition, consequently sending dwellings soaring.
Policy and Legislation Updates
Affordable Housing Initiatives:
The Fed anticipates tax rebates alongside grants to effectively ‘build where they are broken.’ The Biden administration has properly reserved funds and is now allocating them according to its needs.
Zoning Reforms C. Constit 1, supplementary to this chapter, has been enacted to streamline the zoning processes for smaller-scale projects and combat California’s dire housing shortage.
Property Tax Relief
Florida and Texas have stepped up to provide tax relief aid to owners struggling with increasing home valuations.
Industry Innovations and Trends
Green Housing Initiatives:
Created automated homes coupled with solar roofs and energy-conserving materials are in demand, increasing the buyer market, which feels welcomed to the bid.
Technology in Real Estate:
Properties are being bought and sold at a staggering pace as AI and blockchain technologies are employed, enhancing the efficiency of the process alongside increasing transparency within real estate transactions.
Expectations in the Making For 2025
The ongoing economic situation and inflation are said to have contributed to a considerable slowdown in the real estate market. However, this also means that it will take longer for property prices to skyrocket. According to experts, property prices grow around 4%. But that number will vary by 1 or 2% based on the property’s location. This inventory crunch keeps the demand high, contributing to the gradual increase in property prices.
Furthermore, it has also been predicted that the mortgage rates will decrease in mid-2025, with the 30-year fixed mortgage sitting around 6.25%
Buyers:
You’re best off waiting until 2025, as mortgage rates will certainly dip and are predicted to decrease gradually.
Sellers:
The market is leaning towards a seller’s market. If you have trouble selling your home, you can tweak the price, as homes in high-demand areas often sell at suitable rates.
Renters:
With the demand for rental options increasing daily, aspiring homeowners should consider exploring rent-to-own options.
The insights shared above should give you a better understanding of how the real estate and mortgage sector is shifting, keeping in mind the potential stabilization of the sector in 2025.
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As of December 23, 2024, here are the latest stories making headlines around the globe:
Labor Strikes and Worker Actions
Starbucks Workers Strike:
Employees at Starbucks across major US cities such as Chicago, Seattle, and Los Angeles have gone on strike as part of a campaign organized by Starbucks Workers United (SBWU). SBWU demands that Starbucks make sufficient progress towards wage and working conditions before Christmas Eve by December 24. Starbucks also appeals to its customers not to purchase from their stores during this time as they claim that they represent a horde of over 525 unionized stores in 45 different states.
Public Health Concerns
Avian Influenza Outbreak:
This specific subtype of bird flu, known as H5N1, has recently designed ruffling feathers, causing a stir through spreading from poultry to cattle and infecting raw or uncooked milk. California authorities and many other states have announced states of emergency to expedite their responses toward mitigating this disease. Vaccines and tests accompany the flu, but they are nowhere to be seen as the nation is still grappling with the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, it is essential to abide by established guidelines the managers and supervisors set.
Economic and Financial Updates
Stock Market Movements:
Only U.S. stock index futures experienced slight inflation following the passage of a bill to control the government’s budget, indicating that a shutdown has not occurred. Meanwhile, investors await any further news or developments following the Federal Reserve’s recent announcement regarding the cut in interest rate, which markets have predicted will drop by around two 25-basis points through 2025.
It is worth mentioning that several companies, such as Qualcomm and Apple, have reported an increase in their premarket share due to good news.
Changes in Payments by Social Security
Because of the Christmas holiday season, millions of US citizens will receive their Social Security checks one day sooner, in this case, on Monday. Suffolk County generally pays its checks on the fourth Wednesday of the month; this time, the checks will be paid on December 24. Also, there is SSI, and its January payment will be made on December 31 since it’s supposed to be paid on New Year’s Day. Because of this annual adjustment, due to rising costs, the maximum monthly SSI will go up in 2025 from $943 to $967 in 2025.
Retail and Consumer News
Shopping During the Holiday Season:
December 23 is a holiday, so a number of consumers will go shopping, and most shops, like Walmart and Target, are expected to have their doors open from 7 am to midnight. Target business hours on December 23 are from 7 am to 12 midnight, and on December 24, are from 12 noon to 8 pm. For their part, Walmart hours on December 23 are 6 am to 11 pm, and on December 24, they are 6 am to 8 pm. Both stores will be shut down during the Christmas holidays on the 25th.
Sports Highlights
NFL Victory:
The Washington Commanders finally won their game against the Philadelphia Eagles, bringing their record to 10-5, the best they have achieved since 1991.
In his rookie season, quarterback Jayden Daniels earned historical fame by passing for five touchdowns while rushing for more than 65 yards in a single match. The impact of the victory boosts the playoff chances for the Commanders as they prepare to go head-to-head with the Atlanta Falcons.
College Football Playoffs:
The first round of the College Football Playoffs 2024 was kicked off with the top seeds putting in great performances, headlined by …Ohio State and Notre Dame. These relationships further raise debates on the need to keep a 12-team playoff format, given the range of capabilities on display.
Political Developments
Government Shutdown Averted:
President Biden signed a bipartisan funding bill over the weekend, thus preventing a government shutdown and ensuring that operations are not halted until March 14. Such an action reassures people during the holiday period and also prevents the likelihood of disruptions to federal services.
House Ethics Report on Matt Gaetz:
House Ethics Report of Former Congressman Matt Gaetz released its investigation reports on their findings. The public has received reports from the House Ethics Committee, which received compelling evidence that the former Congressman had sex with an underage sex worker, 17, and was using drugs while he was in office. Such findings seriously impact future relations for Gaetz and are sure to raise issues concerning the ethics of public servants, too.
Such activities mark a vibrant period for different sectors in America as we draw toward the end of the year.
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ILLINOIS GOV. JB PRITZKER signs 270 silly Bills impacting elections, hunting, mortgages, and tons of ridiculous unnecessary bureaucratic B.S. Thats what Democrat do. For 2025, Gov. JB Pritzker of Illinois has passed 270 bills drafting laws on various topics, including AI, property taxes, and digital driver’s licenses. A law governing personal and economic transactions is apparent when looking at the following bullet points:
Legislation Overview:
AI and Digital Rights specializing in employment: Bills such as House Bill 3773 and House Bill 4762 aim to protect individuals by ensuring they do not use AI-generated replicas of them maliciously or without consent.
Property Taxes and Financials: Senate Bill 3455 looks to reorganize the structure governing property taxes, and measures to revise calculations relating to motor fuel taxes are also present.
Environmental and Public Health, which improves health standards across various industries: Laws including a ban on using small plastic containers in hotels and introducing climate change education in schools also exist.
Immigration Policies and Related Procedures:
Protection for Immigrants in Practice: Pritzker states that Illinois is and shall remain a friendly place for immigrants. Thankfully, certain laws ensure a degree of restraint between local law enforcement and ICE. This also includes measures like the TRUST Act and other protections for undocumented immigrants.
Pritzker’s Position On ICE:
King Pritzker has made it clear that he will shelter illegal immigrants in Illinois, including those that have some criminal records, from any deportation attempts made by ICE. He has said that he will take to court any attempts by the federal government to carry out mass deportations within Illinois and other states, hinting that such activities would have to go through him or seek judicial approval first.
Reactions and Implications:
Political and Legal Challenges: His view is going to create huge legal wars between the state’s immigration authorities and that of the federal government, gaining autonomy in such matters and potentially revolutionizing the relationship existing between the sanctuary states and the US federal immigration bodies.
Public Discourse: This has generated several different reactions, with some interpreting it as support for the fight for immigrants’ rights, while others consider it as a defiance of the oppression posed by the US federal government, which may hurt security issues and the relationship between the states and the federal government.
Physical Description Comments:
Notably, Pritzker is physically portrayed, yet it should be emphasized that such ad hominem remarks are usually out of context to the personal policies and decisions made around his law and only take away an opportunity for more constructive debate about the possible consequences of his law as time goes on.
What is clear from the amalgamation of these new laws and Pritzker’s immigration policies is that there seems to be a desire to persist on the progressive policies in Illinois. The people of Illinois may not see eye to eye with the federal authorities in the course of the next government headed by Donald Trump, as he has stated that he will apply strict immigration policies. This may be a ‘problem’ in legal and political tussles or in the case of administrative issues that experience jurisdictional conflicts between state and federal governments.
https://youtu.be/_4vwBUM6jeY?si=G7muRBcfw4vudRu-
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This discussion was modified 4 months ago by
Gustan Cho.
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This discussion was modified 4 months ago by
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The U.S. mortgage and real estate market is shifting significantly as of December 18, 2024, which affects sellers, buyers, and investors alike. Here’s a comprehensive overview:
Mortgage Rates and Predictions
Let’s look at the current averages step by step. These include the 30-year fixed mortgage, which sits at around 6.78%; the 15-year fixed rate, which sits at 5.94%; and the 5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which average 7.35%. While all this was happening, the Federal Reserve steadily implemented cuts by scaling the benchmark rate to around 4.3%. However, because of the economic woes and low inflation, mortgage rates remained high, above 6%, as many analysts calculated.
Housing Market Activity
7.35% fixed mortgage rates, along with inflation and remodeling costs, severely restricted builders and home buyers alike from pursuing new projects. Most builders’ optimistic stance, hoping for a turn in market conditions, along with the continued price rise even as remodeling costs rose from $350,000 to $370,000 between 2020 and 2021, further restricted activity in the industry.
NewHome Construction
As housing construction felt the initial effects of the CR2 storm in 2021, the sudden rise in temperatures in the fall of 2022, coupled with the lack of consistent supply, felt like a final unlocking of the keyhole to this issue, with building starts in November having risen by 6.4% to an annual rate of an estimated 1 million units.
Although prices have risen, the rate of increase has been moderated compared to previous years.
Home Price Forecast for 2024-2029
Due to increased listings enabling a relatively higher home sales rate, home prices are predicted to remain flat. However, home prices will gradually rise between 2025 and 2029, with an estimated 1% increase yearly.
Housing Market Forecast for 2024
Substantial growth is anticipated in metropolitan housing markets, such as Oxnard, CA, Rochester, NY, and San Diego, CA. Prices and sales will ideally grow due to good economic conditions and stable prices.
Consumer Insights and Issues in the MarketMillennials as Homebuyers
One of the biggest blocks preventing millennials from fully engaging in the market is high home prices and higher mortgage rates. Based on current trends, 30-year-olds have a 43% homeownership rate, compared to 52% for baby boomers of the same age. Perceptions of homeownership or wealth due to economic imbalance within the generation heavily impact the decision-making process.
Concerns About Affordability: Today, as before, affordability continues to be an issue due to increased home prices and high mortgage interest rates. This led to elevated monthly repayments on existing mortgages. The increasing inventory levels would assist many prospective buyers, but the financial problem would remain.
Investment Opportunities
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT): Analysts say total returns on U.S. REITs should fall between 5 and 15 percent in 2025.
American Healthcare REIT, Extra Space Storage, and Cousins Properties are the best choices. These have made sensible investments and displayed steady occupancy rates. Still, their performance could be influenced by high valuations and anticipated changes in tax policies.
The American mortgage and real markets are adjusting to a trying period defined by high rates, low appreciation of home prices, and shifting consumer habits and behaviors. Operators must keep abreast of economic indicators to operate effectively in this economy, including the Federal Reserve’s decisions, policies, and market trends.
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U.S. Headline News Summary Between December 16th-22nd 2024 Weekend Wrap Up. This is a detailed overview of the US headlines news of December 16 to December 22 for the year 2024:
February 16, 2024
Abundant Life Christian School Shooting:
- An unfortunate event occurred on February 16, 2024, at Abundant Life Christian School in Madison.
- A school teacher and a student were brutally murdered, along with multiple others getting injured during the life firing.
- It was brought to notice that the shooter was a 15-year-old student who killed herself after the incident.
- It is being investigated if she has any connections with a man living in California who was detained for planning another mass shooting.
February 17, 2024
Investigation Further:
- The Wisconsin shooting was reported to the authorities on February 14, 2024.
- They are investigating the shooter’s personal life, including their social media accounts, to look for any information that could provide insights into her motives for the attack.
- The malefactors of the country paid condolences to the deceased.
- The families of the deceased were offered counseling services to help with the process.
Donald Trump Remarks On Transition
- Donald Trump, who was elected president, held a press conference.
- He shared with the nation his administration’s plans, which included focusing on the general welfare of the people, reforming education, and increasing the budgets for public safety.
- The potential distribution of pardons and the current administration status regarding the polio vaccine were also re-touched.
February 18, 2024
Alerts Concerning Harsh Weather Conditions:
- The National Weather Service issued warnings for Extreme Winter conditions across the northern areas of the United States, including North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, between February 16, 2024, and February 22, 2024.
- Light rainfall and thunderstorms predicting torrential rainfall across the southern parts were also expected.
Legislative Measures Against Gun Violence:
- On December 19, 2024, in the wake of tragic incidents, the government commenced deliberations seeking to implement measures aimed at regulating the sale of firearms and tightening the background checks to prevent the sale of guns to minors.
Logistical Challenges:
- The adverse weather conditions brought thunderstorms alongside severe winter weather, resulting in massive road hazards.
- The severe winter hampered travel further, leading to widespread flight cancellations.
- Southern states were also warned about an incoming storm, with snow warnings.
Economic Outlook:
- Economic worries commenced when the approaching holiday season led to slight increases in unemployment claims being reported.
Gun Violence:
- On December 20, 2024, community members, alongside officials, participated in a vigil in Madison to honor the victims of the school shooting.
- They provided their perspectives regarding the tragedy, gun violence, and contemporary gun laws.
Shopping Trends:
- Fractured retail activity was noted due to the volatility within the economy.
- While spending during the holidays shot up, sectors exhibiting strong sales could not compete with the stragglers.
Travel Chaos:
- The storm’s movement out of the Midwest left many issues, including travel disruptions and power outages.
- Southern states suffered due to severe thunderstorms, which led to damaging flood waters, resulting in localized flooding.
Political Dynamics:
- The Trump Administration finalized cabinet appointments, with additional discussions around significant positions in education, public safety, and several other sectors.
December 22, 2023
Present Recovery Actions:
- The communities affected by the winter storm have started recovering.
- Their aim was to clear the roads and get the power back on.
- Emergency services evaluated the damage to any infrastructure.
National Insights:
- Once more, various media outlets were writing about significant developments of the year,
- This refers to the end of 2024, which does not seem to have ended gun violence, climate change, or political unrest.
This summary outlines the relevant news and developments related to the US events from December 16 to December 22, 2024, emphasizing the school shooting and its consequences, extreme weather events, and political changes within the country.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQlziWgJ6aI&ab_channel=EVAArtesManuais
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Crucial developments are changing the country as a whole in the US as of 18th December 2024.
A detailed summary is given below: Political and Government Measures
Banning of US investments in China
The American Congress is about to vote on the laws prohibiting Americans from investing in Chinese technology, targeting artificial intelligence and microelectronics. This effort is designed to resolve issues regarding national security as it shows measures to concern about the packages to fund the government so that federal activities continue until the middle of March.
Renovation of RFK Stadium
The American Congress has passed a bill that will allow Rexon to redevelop the RFK stadium in the district ardent S Senior Sc and lease it for 99 years. This will allow the Washington commanders to return to their esteemed location rent-free.
Economic Indices Housing Market Update
US single-family home building saw a strong upturn in November after a slump caused by the hurricane. US housing starts were up by 6.4%, reaching 1.011 million units on an annual basis. Recent cuts in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve have seen the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate floating around 7, affecting the housing market as well.
Transportation and Communication
Increase in the Number of Flights Operating from Washington Reagan National Airport
The US Department of Transport has confirmed five extra daily round trips from Washington Reagan National Airport.
Flights to STL, Seattle, San Francisco, Las Vegas, San Diego, and San Antonio will soon be available through United, American, and Delta airlines. These are new developments that will be available in 90 days.
Sports Segment
Significant changes have occurred recently for the Washington Commanders, who have signed Tyree Jackson as a Tight End on their practice squad. Additionally, their week 17 game against the Atlanta Falcons has been moved to SMT for its playoff participation. The team is currently reviewing the legislative news regarding the RFK stadium location.
Safety and Education
A tragic mass shooting incident took place at the Abundant Life Christian School located in Madison, Wisconsin. The Authorities stated that a 17-year-old child was the perpetrator, opening fire and killing two children while injuring five and eventually killing himself, all during a school event. The community is left devastated, and the police are investigating the shooting.
Technology/ Security
Various regions in New Jersey are beginning to voice concerns regarding the unidentified drones hovering over the area.
Federal agencies are investigating these events and the reason for the use of drones and have urged the public to report unusual drone activity.
Transitioning Politics
Donald Trump has been regularly making cabinet announcements and policy appointments, with recent updates about the current presidency and electoral results. Discussions are ongoing about decreasing funds for the implementation of charging stations and defunding electric cars, which suggests a change in energy and environmental strategies as a result of the new president.
This would encompass varied political events within the United States, new policies, economic reports, infrastructural growth, sporting events, and safety from farm technological growth.
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Since December 17, 2024, the country has witnessed key developments that have impacted the U.S. Here is an in-depth summary:
Federal Funding and Disaster Aid
Congress is reportedly close to inking a funding deal to keep all federal government services running until March 14. This bipartisan agreement allocates more than $100 billion for emergency relief to aid local and state authorities recover from natural disasters such as hurricanes Milton and Helene. Additionally, $10 billion has been allocated in aid for farmers.
The House is expected to vote on the agreement to avert a partial lockdown on government services and allow the decisions regarding the budget to be made after the new president-elect, Donald Trump, and Congress are in place. This vote is believed to push the trimming deadline to January.
Recent East Coast Mysterious Drone Sightings
The FBI and Department of Homeland Security have stated that many of the reports of unexplained drone activity that have surfaced from several East Coast states are civilian, recreational, or police drones, as well as aircraft.
There is no evidence that these UAVs pose any danger to the general population. Instead, they claim that there is a concern for drone surveillance and, therefore, many suspected incidents of antisocial behavior. Dazzling light meters are currently being conducted.
Tragic School Shooting in Wisconsin
Wisconsin School Shooting Update: The Mother is Presently Charged With Closer for the Investigation.
A male student and a teacher were shot dead by Ms Natalie Rupnow, 15. During the attack, she was armed with a 9mm pistol, which she used to open fire.
The incident took place at Abundant Life Christian School, located in Madison, Wisconsin, and it left six individuals hurt. Rupnow ended up taking her own life later on. Her community is currently grieving, and there have been fierce protests requesting the Wisconsin and American politicians to step up and put stricter regulations around gun ownership.
Environmental Concerns at the Hanford Site
Surrounded by leaking tanks and containing 56 million gallons worth of nuclear waste, it is one of the most heavily taken care of sites ever to exist.
The site underwent serious clean-up procedures to gain the vocal documentation that had been prepared since 1989. To tackle the nuclear waste issue, they turned it into glass only to make the long-term storage sit better in glass for a long time. This might be one of the most expensive projects, with costs potentially reaching the hundred billion dollar range, and might take decades to clean up completely. However, major concerns like groundwater contamination and leaking tanks are still hot topics for debate and discussion.
Economic Developments and Market Movements
- The Federal Reserve expects to go for another rate cut in the final meeting of the year.
- Political instability in Canada and Germany has resulted in turmoil in U.S. Treasury bonds.
- Long-term neutral rates are suggested to remain above 3, with the addition of long-term projections hinting at only two permitted cuts next year.
- Furthermore, Donald Trump’s plans to establish a Bitcoin reserve to eliminate the national debt have raised additional red flags among market analysts.
Sports Highlights
In the NFL, covering defender Marshon Lattimore’s endeavors have paid on the trade for the Washington Team in their showdown against the Eagles. Community efforts and field exploits define rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, who recently gifted 100 local kids bicycles. With key performances by players Daniels and Terry McLaurin, the team’s performance this season has only ever been matched in terms of initial performance in 1992.
Political Calendar
Important dates in the U.S. political calendar that coincide with the end of the year are December 17, this year, when the electors of the U.S. president and vice president will meet in their respective capitals to cast their votes for the President and Vice President.
As mentioned, the 119th Congress, with the inauguration of the U.S. president and the formal certification of the election results, will begin on January 3, 2025. These events emphasize the context of national U.S. news as of December 17, 2024, including the passage of newly aghast public legislation, public and environmental crises, concerns, economic developments, and sporting and political events.
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Mortgage and Real Estate News Weekend Edition: Market Wrap-Up Update (December 16 – December 21, 2024):
Mortgage Rates
Current Rates:
- The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is steady at 6.4% as of December 21, with the average fifteen-year fixed in the 5.8% region.
- The ongoing stability during a slow period provides some relief to home buyers.
Market Influences:
- Inflation figures and the Federal Reserve’s message on the likely direction of interest rates have contributed to fluctuations in existing economic indicators, keeping mortgage rates slightly further tempered.
Home Sales Activity
Existing Home Sales:
- In November, the National Association of Realtors registered a surge of 1.5% in existing home sales.
- This increase signals a boost in buyer activity for that month, caused primarily by seasonal changes and a subsequent boost in buyer activity.
Pending Home Sales:
- The market shows signs of strength going into the new year, as pending home sales also bumped by 2.3% during November.
Housing Inventory
Inventory Levels:
- Despite the increase in sales, housing inventory remains tight.
- The current supply of homes is around 2.7.
- This number is fairly low compared to the historical average of six over the months.
New Listings:
- In December, new listings noted an increase of 4%, which is commendable.
- This further shows that despite sellers’ affordability challenges.
- There is still a willingness to join the real estate bandwagon.
Home Prices
Price Trends:
- The median existing home price has served as a foremost determinant in history.
- The average selling price at the national level was $370,000, down almost two percent compared to the past year.
Regional Variations:
- Particular regions within the Southern and Midwestern parts of America are either showing slight rises in value or stabilization of values, in contrast to the major restructuring occurring within the Californian and New York markets.
Foreclosure Rates
Foreclosure Data:
- Financial strains on borrowers rapidly increase, resulting in foreclosure filings soaring by 10% in the last month.
- Significant activity has been done in foreclosures in Nevada and New Jersey.
Government Response:
- Local governments are trying to implement support measures for families facing foreclosure.
- These measures incorporate counseling services and monetary support.
Regulatory Developments
Federal Reserve Meetings:
- Over the recent months, mortgage rates have demonstrated signs of higher stability than in the past.
- This is due to the federal funds rate remaining steady after the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting.
Legislative Initiatives:
- Congress is paying attention to ongoing discussions on amending housing policies such as zoning laws and increasing funding for affordable housing.
Market Outlook
Outlook Towards 2025:
- Analysts expect the housing market to stabilize further in early 2025 if there are more sellers since there might be more inventory.
- However, other headwinds, like high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, may continue to dampen buyer demand in the property market.
Affordability Constraints:
- The affordability constraint continues to be serious, especially for first-time buyers.
- More attention to the developments of economic factors and interest rate fluctuations will be very important for the housing market’s health in the months close to the elections.
The picture of the mortgage and real estate market between 16 and December 21, 2024, resembles a guarded optimism given the developing challenges. There are signs of home sales picking up modestly and mortgage interest rates stabilizing, which is positive. In contrast, supplies and affordability remain key drivers in the lead-up to the new year. The key economic indicators and regulatory measures have given clues on what to anticipate in housing for 2025.
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This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by
Gustan Cho.
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This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by
Gustan Cho.
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Summary of National U.S. Headline News for December 20 December 20, 2024
Economy and Markets
Stock Market Performance:
- On the eve of Christmas, the economy is feeling a little gray, with stock prices on the S&P 500 lowering by 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial increasing by 0.5%.
- Investors are shedding any hope of seeing the stock market go upward due to mixed economic data and inflation, making long-term forecasts look dismal.
Inflation Rates
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicated in its latest report that inflation was around 3.8%. While these numbers were slightly higher than expected, this raises questions about the Federal Reserve’s policy going forward.
Housing Market
Mortgage Rates:
- Potential housing buyers were provided respite as the mortgage rates hovered around 6.4%.
- , in the long run, this will further exacerbate the issue of housing affordability.
Foreclosure Rates:
- Recently released reports indicate that the number of foreclosure filings in various states, including New Jersey and Nevada, has spiked, calling for timely state intervention measures to curb the problem of housing affordability.
Politics
2024 Presidential Election:
- Recent polls show a close race in the Democratic contest.
- While Mr. Biden is predicted to lead, Mr. Andrew has also posed a threat as the Democratic candidates put more effort into campaigning on the primaries’ eve.
Legislation Update:
- In Congress, discussions are going around the need for a new infrastructure for rural broadband transportation.
- As a bipartisan bill is being drafted, progress on the bill seems fairly realistic to come within the next few months.
Public Health Issues
October 2022 Update: The COVID-19 pandemic has shown modest rises during this period due to the ongoing hospitalization of people, which has led to a conversation surrounding vaccination campaigns and booster campaigns against variants.
Mental Health
Mental health services have seen growth. It is important to understand the root cause of poor mental health. The federal government is aiding in the improvement of the mental health of veterans and anyone else who lacks access to it.
Environment
Severe Weather:
- Weather agencies have predicted snowfall and harsh weather for parts of the Midwest in the upcoming week.
- A severe weather warning has been issued to highlight the dramatic impacts.
Climate Change:
- The ongoing climate change in America has drastically changed many circumstances.
- The American government is maximizing efforts to rectify the growing climate change through Investments in renewable energy and strategies to reduce carbon emissions.
Social Issues strictly related to Guns and Energy.
Women and Gender Rights:
- The shooting that took place recently shed light on and revived the gun control debates.
- This event alone had a touch on gun safety advocates who lobbied the government to implement regulations around guns before the new year set in.
Education Policy
- Student debt and increased education qualifications are still the center of attention around educational reforms.
- That attention will amplify as we approach the latter part of 2025.
Technology and Innovation
Cybersecurity Concerns:
- Due to the increase in threats caused by the war, the government is making efforts to ensure security through cyber attacks and is channeling more funds into those initiatives.
Political Changes and Economy
As of December 20, 2024, the country is certainly experiencing many social issues, such as political activity and economic problems simultaneously. The end of the year will clearly show the key points for the year ahead: housing, public health, or legislative priorities.
Tech Industry Developments
Most businesses in the technology sector continue to grow unbothered. However, representatives of the advertising industry have recently seen some of the world’s largest companies, like Netflix, Spotify, and Facebook, announce massive layoffs due to the drop in ad revenues caused by the economy and other factors, worrying about the industry’s future expansion.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGtUYs5iyfA&ab_channel=CBSNews
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As of December 19, 2024, the U.S. mortgage and real estate markets have made significant progress that affects buyers, sellers, and investors.
Here’s a detailed summary :Trends in Mortgages
Current Averages:
- The typical rate for 30-year fixed mortgages is 6.72 percent, compared to 6.60 percent a week ago.
- This increase is partly fueled by the Fed’s recent prediction that there will be fewer rate cuts in 2025 than anticipated.
Actions of the Federal Reserve
Revised forecasts from the Federal Reserve have altered long-run views of the economy. They are attributed to the recent increase in mortgage rates. The long-run expectations showed caution for investors who were looking for more aggressive cuts in the near future.
Expert Predictions
Economists predict that rates will remain above 6 cents through 2025. Some estimates peak as high as 6.8 cents. These estimates are attributed to the risks of inflation and rising debt issued from the government’s uses.
Dynamics of the Housing Market
Homes on Sale:
- In November, the sale of already-owned homes in America rose for a third month, reaching an annualized rate of 4.2 units.
- Considering the context of last year, this is an increase of 6.1 percent and the highest annual increase since 2021.
- In light of this surge, predictions for the year indicate a house shipment on a scale comparable to 1995.
Home Prices
The transition in the U.S. recession posted buck sales prices of up to $406,100 in November. The data shows an increasing average sales price driven by increased demand in the housing market regardless of unprecedented mortgage rates.
Inventory Levels
By the end of November, inventories comprised 1.33 million homes, a 17.7% increase from current sales. Despite this surge in homes, the market remains competitive, with >30% fewer stocks than those pre-COVID.
Builder Activity
Lennar Corporation:
- A leading bill in home sales, Lennar reported a dip in sales owing to the higher interest rates of mortgages.
- The brand hinted at a shift in strategy to lower prices further.
- However, the current quarter prediction does not seem promising, as earnings from home sales are the lowest in over six years.
Market Predictions
Looking Forward To Buying A House:
- Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran predicts a surge in condo buying activity if loan costs decrease to just 5%.
- This is because Ms Barbara believes that such a decrease in mortgage costs will cause the real estate market to explode.
- Loan costs have decreased to 6.6% from 6% to 7%.
The mortgage rate and the real estate industry in the U.S. are experiencing a combination of increasing mortgage rates, more home sales, and new strategies by builders. Economic drivers, Federal Reserve activities, and other developments should be tracked to make proper decisions in this volatile framework.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime
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This discussion was modified 3 months, 1 week ago by
Gustan Cho.
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Fresh Update on National Mortgage and Real Estate News highlights for December 20, 2024.
National Mortgage And Real Estate News
Trends in Mortgage Rates
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has remained consistent at 6.4, dropping fractionally compared to last week, offering a tiny amount of hope for future buyers in this market.
End of The Year Home Sales Statistics:
Data recently disclosed highlights that existing home sales have grown by 2% as of December, highlighting a slow market recovery as sellers take advantage of lower rates before the start of the new year.
Newly Built Properties
The United States Census Bureau announced a 15% growth in the start of new housing units for November; this can be attributed to the demand for individually owned homes. Builders are meeting the constant demand for housing.
Rates Of Foreclosure
The foreclosure rate continues to be at 0.4 percent, which is still lower than expected. This all hints towards stability in the economy and assistance to homeowners with increased property value in specific areas.
Dynamics Of The Rental Market
Renting, on average across the country, has surged by around 3.5 percent compared to last year. The major areas have significantly more demand because of the gradual change in work-from-home policies and tenants’ desire to be closer to their place of work.
Influences Of New Policies
New Federal housing policies to make properties more affordable and easier to obtain are expected to take effect in early 2025. These policies will affect mortgage rates and the amount of housing available.
Tech in Real Estate
The introduction of AI tools and the option of virtual tours is making real estate purchasing easier. Both buyers and agents are making good use of these add-ons.
Market Predictions for 2025
The younger generation will greatly influence the market, so it is predicted that 2025 will be a very busy and competitive housing market. It would be easy to assume that prices would also increase.
With favorable mortgage rates and encouraging sales and construction of homes, the real estate sector is exhibiting a healthy outlook as we near the end of 2024. When considering 2025, investors and buyers should be aware of market developments and potential legal changes that could impact their choices.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&t=481s&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime
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As far as the most recent update from December 16, 2024, is concerned, the mortgage and real estate sector is as follows:
Mortgage Rates
Current Statistics: The national average for a fixed-rate mortgage for a period of 30 years has decreased to approximately 6.6%, a reduction from 6.69% recorded a week before.
State Variations: Interest rates differ by state. Some states offer up to 6.68%, while others charge a high 7.09%.
Refinancing Rates
For the past 30 years, refinance mortgages have seen highs of 6.98%, which is eleven basis points greater than before.
Housing Market Trends
Home Sales: Compared to last year, house sales have increased by 22% over a month.
Home Prices: According to NAR, house prices will increase by 2%, and the median rise is estimated to be $410,700 thousand by 2025.
Inventory Levels
With stock inventory expectations low, more than $1.45 million housing unit sales are predicted for 2025 after the pandemic.
Expert InsightsMarket Predictions
Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran claims that if mortgage rates drop near 5%, the housing market will jump and go “ballistic.”
First-Time Buyers: First-time homebuyers account for less than a quarter of the entire market, an all-time low. There is a dire “urgency” for new buyers.
Home Renovations
Spending Trends: Due to the current state of home prices and mortgage rates, homeowners are more likely to spend more on renovations than moving.
Global Perspectives
UK Market: The UK house markets have seen exports slump for two months, resulting in average declines of £6395 in the December market.
China’s Market
During the last 17 months, house prices have depreciated slower than usual in China, which could indicate that the region’s property or real estate market is on its way to recovering and stabilizing.
Home buyers and real estate markets have been riling with activity, resulting in declining mortgage rates and stimulating purchasing and spending on home upgrades. Most experts in the field suggest that further step-downs in mortgage rates lead to much higher activity within the market, especially with those buying homes for the first time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GeSO9zBYeyc
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This discussion was modified 3 months, 2 weeks ago by
Gustan Cho.
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This discussion was modified 3 months, 2 weeks ago by
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