GCA Forums News – Monday, December 8, 2025

Powered by Gustan Cho Associates – LIVE Markets, Mortgage & Political Watch

LIVE MARKETS & ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT

Wall Street today (market close, Monday)

All three major U.S. stock indices dropped today as investors await this week’s key Federal Reserve rate decision.

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 47,739.32, -0.45% on the day.

S&P 500: 6,846.51, -0.35%.

Nasdaq Composite: 23,545.90, -0.14%.

Traders expect a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut at the upcoming meeting, with CME Fed Watch indicating a 90% chance.

Key rate benchmark – 10-Year Treasury

The 10-year Treasury yield is now about 4.14%, just above last session’s 4.11% and slightly below the long-term average of 4.25%.

The previous session saw higher returns, which put more pressure on stocks and continued to affect mortgage rates and borrowing costs.

PRECIOUS METALS – GOLD & SILVER Metals, especially gold and silver, are expected to remain in the spotlight throughout 2025.25.

Gold

Earlier today, gold spot prices ranged from $4,200 to $4,210 per ounce.

Reuters reports that gold prices rose about 0.5% today to $4,215.69 per ounce, as many expect a Federal Reserve rate cut.

JM Bullion’s Gold Live shows that gold prices in the late afternoon tend to settle around $4,204 per ounce.

Silver prices are relatively stable, with prices earlier this morning around $58.19 per ounce, according to Fortune.

JM Bullion’s real-time data shows the spot price of silver at $58.39 per ounce as of 5:31 PM ET.

Silver’s value has nearly doubled this year and is now just below its previous all-time high of $59.

When the dollar weakens, the prices of gold and silver typically rise. anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, a weaker dollar is expected in the upcoming months. This is the primary driver of the current high prices of gold and silver. Additionally, the high pricing of Gold and Silver is typically accompanied by long-term inflation and a lower real yield, indicating that this trend is likely to persist over the next 6 to 18 months. This has a particular significance regarding the direction of mortgage rates in the near future.

LIVE MORTGAGE & INTEREST RATES Multiple national surveys are closely aligned today: mortgage (national average):

6.28~6.36%

Bankrate: 6.28% rate (30-yr fixed) in today’s daily survey.

Mortgage News Daily composite index:

6.36% for 30-yr fixed as of 12/8/2025.

GCA Forums News also reports 6.28% today.

15-year fixed: about 5.6~5.7%

Refinance 30-year APR: 6.7% according to Bankrate’s refinance index.

GCA Forums News Borrower angle: Current rates are much lower than the 8% highs from earlier this year, but still well above the lows seen during the pandemic. Borrowers may feel some relief compared to recent months, but homes remain less affordable than at the peak of low rates. Borrowers with strong credit applying for FHA, VA, or conventional loans may qualify for rates slightly below today’s national averages. Those with lower credit scores, higher debt-to-income ratios, or seeking Non-QM products should expect higher rates based on risk and loan type.

HOUSING & REAL ESTATE: LATEST DATA: Existing-home sales (NAR – October 2025, latest available)

Sales 4.10 million SAAR, +1.2% month-over-month, +1.7% year-over-year.

Inventory 1.52 million units, about 4.4 months’ supply.

Median price: $415,200, representing a 2.1% increase year-over-year.

Home prices – Case-Shiller index

US National Home Price Index (NSA): For September 2025, the home price index reached 328.94.

Recent peaks are exceeded.

The Twenty-city Composite is down slightly from all-time September highs.

Takeaways for GCA Forums News Readers:

Sales volumes are starting to stabilize, but they are still not back to the levels seen during the 2019-2021 boom years.

Home prices remain high because inventory is tight, metal and equity wealth are strong, and prices are near record levels.

Lower 6% interest rates, rather than 8% are provoking more refinance requests (both rate/term and cash-out), as well as renewed interest, particularly in cases where it’s possible for DSCR and Non-QM products.

Federal Reserve & Economic Background

Reuters reports market participants are focused on this week’s Fed decision and its impact.

Traders expect a 25 bps cut; attention shifts to the Fed’s dot plot and Powell. Investors should be careful about market price changes that don’t match what is expected from the Fed’s decisions and outcomes.

Vance, and Kirk, What Do We Know? Setting the Stage

Recent events have drawn attention due to viral videos capturing JD Vance’s gesture of support, following the Hug, Domin, and Kirk format, with community members and individuals with Christian values.

Probably because there was a TSPUSA event a few weeks following the assassination, where there was a group of people that included Christian nationalists and TSPUSA members or TSPUSA sympathizers.

There has been internet discussion interpreting the hug as reflecting intimacy, based on body language and timing after Charlie’s passing.

Speculation further arose because some People and less engaged users assumed the picture of Usha Vance without her wedding ring at another of her public appearances at Camp Lejeune was connected to the hug video.

Are JD Vance & Erika Kirk having an affair? Mainstream and fact-checking organizations have clarified the following:

Snopes and other fact-checking organizations, after reviewing the corresponding videos and photos, have found no evidence of an affair between JD Vance and Erika Kirk.

Analyzing the hug video, there was an overall lack of intimacy, except for an extended embrace in a moment of high emotion.

JD Vance has purportedly responded,

In an interview with People magazine, Vance claimed that he and Usha take pleasure in the viral speculation.

He stated their marriage has remained strong and addressed the gesture with Erika as a demonstration of emotional support after the assassination.

Erika has claimed separately that her love language is touch and defended the hug as a response to grief, not a romantic one.

Bottom line: There is no credible evidence that JD Vance and Erika Kirk are having an affair.

In this phase, the social media claims are unproven, and the most reputable fact-checkers tag this as false.

Pregnancy and the ‘JD is the father’ claims.

You specifically brought concerns regarding the rumor of Erika being pregnant and that JD Vance is the one responsible.

This is the most verified reporting, as we say in the journalism industry.

Viral posts claim Erika is 8 weeks pregnant and that Charlie Kirk had died 10–11 weeks beforehand, interlacing that timeline to insinuate possible cheating and/or JD’s infertility.

Numerous other platforms, including Hindustan Times and other European countries, assert that:

In several interviews, Erika has said clearly, I am not pregnant.

The line from her stating that she was 8 weeks pregnant has been interpreted incorrectly or out of context, as she referred to wishing she had been pregnant in correlation to when Charlie was killed.

No medical records or public statements, nor any legitimate source, have been documented to support the assertion that JD is the father or even that there is a pregnancy at all.

As for the JD, the father rumor:

This rumor has appeared online and has been described by multiple sources as lacking a credible basis.

The press, in reporting this idea, aims to expose the lack of evidence surrounding the rumor, rather than support it.

Based on the current evidence, this claim has almost no value. It is just a rumor without proof.

KASH PATEL & DAN BONGINO – FACING AN OPEN FIGHT WITH THE FBI: Patel & FBI Controversy: Multiple outlets are reporting on the suspected misuse of FBI assets and employees related to Kash Patel and his girlfriend, country singer Alexis Wilkins:

Security detail used as a rideshare.

MS Now, People, and others say Patel supposedly instructed Wilkins’ FBI leaders to drive one of her supposedly drunk friends home after she had been out for the evening in Nashville.

Sometimes the agents would drive her friends home.

Use of FBI SWAT & Jet for Personal Travels: Other reporting in The Times, The Daily Beast, and The Independent outlines the allegations against Patel that:

Wielded a SWAT team as Wilkins’ personal security during her stage performances.

Resorts and other related events.

Used a FBI jet that costs taxpayers almost 60 million dollars to travel to concerts, play golf, and go to retreats with Wilkins, whose critics are calling the trips “joyrides.”

His Response and Current Role with the FBI.

Patel and an FBI spokesman are NOT denying parts of the claims that the other FBI employees are reporting.

One spokesman has called the allegations “one thousand percent false.”

Patel argues that he is “entitled to a personal life.” which implies that the accusations against him and Wilkins are defamation of character.

Congressional Democrats, on the other hand, have initiated preliminary inquiries into his appropriation of aircraft and protection resources.

However, some of the more dramatic stories on social media, like reports of flight temper tantrums or petty demands, are not found in major media coverage and remain unimportant.

Dan Bongino’s Position and the FBI’s Internal Structures and Morale

Dan Bongino has served as Deputy Director of the FBI since March 1, 2023.

A lot of people who were in the FBI expect him to have some prior FBI experience before serving in the position.

Bongino has experience working in the NYPD and the Secret Service before transitioning to being a conservative media figure.

Recent Internal Morale Reports about Dan Bongino:

A report from the National News Desk, shared by many local TV stations, says some rank-and-file staff be the Patel–Bongino team as overwhelmed and view Bongino as not taking the job seriously.

ProPublica reports that Patel waived the polygraph requirements for Bongino and two other senior appointees, allowing them to gain access to classified information that they would not have received under the standard polygraph requirements.

Have come to believe that many of the claims made against them have not led to criminal charges.

This suggests that some agents and lawmakers think the Bureau’s leadership is unstable, which makes it harder to manage and supervise federal financial crime and mortgage fraud investigations.

CANDACE OWENS VS ERIKA KIRK – ONGOING FEUD

Specifically, why do you point out Candace Owens’ continued critique of Erika Kirk?

The state of documented reality is this:

For a little over a month, Owens has been conducting a public “inquiry on Charlie Kirk’s death and the administration and the finances of Turning Point USA (TPUSA), where Erika is now the CEO.

Recently, coverage from India Times, Hindustan Times, and Barrett Media has written of Owens accusing TPUSA and Erika of:

Having financial records withheld, including supposed transfers of $8.5M to a shell entity (these records, which she claims, remain unverified as of yet).

Betraying Kirk by covering the vital details of security negligence from the assassination of Kirk at his Utah event.

Poorly managing an attempted TPUSA livestream that would have been used to alleviate the concerns around his death, and often asked, was it Erika who gave the green light or wrote what is deemed to be the controversial” messages?

Owens has faced criticism, even from some right-wing supporters, for questioning what “kind of a widow” would act as Erika has.

And now:

Owens claims she still wishes to appear in a TPUSA event where she could address her concerns publicly. Some media claim she is attempting to settle the details of an appearance.

The present situation is as follows:

Owens’ claims, though substantial, rest upon allegations and theories:

Right-of-center media has Erika Kirk, JD Vance, Joe Rogan, and TPUSA management embroiled in an intra-movement struggle over transparency, allegiance, and conspiratorial musings.

JOE ROGAN

You specifically referenced Joe Rogan.

Rogan was a guest on JD Vance’s episode of The Joe Rogan Experience in 2024, well before the current controversy.

Since the recent assassination of Charlie Kirk, a new YouTube and social media phenomenon has emerged in the form of Joe Rogan reacting to Erika Kirk & JD Vance’s dating rumors and Joe Rogan getting suspicious after consulting a body language expert.

Most of this content:

Gossip commentary rather than an actual job. Most of this is gossip and commentary, not real journalism. Combined to create an article without any original reporting or primary sources.

I did not see any credible news outlet that asserts that Rogan has any proof of an affair or a child; he seems to focus his reporting on how his guests on that episode and the rest of his show react to the existing rumors.

WHAT THIS ALL MEANS FOR GCA FORUMS READERS

From a mortgage and real estate perspective:

Rates: Average 30-year fixed rates in the low 6% range mean buyers have less power than in 2020–2021, but things are better than at this fall’s peak.

For borrowers with rates between 7.5% and 8.5%, this could be a good time to consider rate-and-term or cash-out refinancing. fundamentals: A slightly better performance in existing home sales, coupled with still elevated readings from the Case-Shiller index, indicates that the market is cooling but not crashing.

Prices have support as inventory remains tight.

Macro Guardrails: Gold and silver are near record highs, reflecting the ongoing political turmoil at the FBI and increased conflicts within conservative circles.

These factors usually create a highly uncertain environment a backdrop encourages flight to hard assets like real estate.

This is especially true for those investors using DSCR and Non-QM structures.

The real, measurable story today is found in the market data above.

As for the sensational gossip surrounding JD Vance, Erika Kirk, Kash Patel, Dan Bongino, Candace Owens, and Joe Rogan, these stories remain unverified rumors.

Mainstream sources are fact-checking and rejecting the more dramatic claims about pregnancy, paternity, and confirmed affairs. Yury Note prices as of December 8, 2028, are derived from reports from Reuters, YCharts, and JM Bullion prices.

Current and historical prices are available for all financial products being offered in today’s ever-changing marketplace.

Silver has reached record prices in the past and can still be obtained as an investment for a fraction of its current value.

The current and rising prices of gold, along with daily calculated margins, can be obtained from numerous financial providers.

Current prices for gold and silver are available in a range of marketplace products.

Silver prices can be calculated for some providers of marketplace products. Mortgage rates, reports from BankRate, NAR, and Trading Economics.

Gold rises as the dollar softens, with investors bracing for a potential Fed rate cut.

Treasury yields fall, gold prices rise, while the dollar weakens.

Mortgage rates increase in advance of the meeting.

Silver reaches record prices. Gold prices are historically high and continue to increase daily.

Silver prices, which increase monthly, are calculated from historical daily prices effortlessly obtained from numerous financial providers.

Current prices for gold and silver are available in a range of marketplace products in today’s ever-changing marketplace.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwwrqNedoMg

• This discussion was modified 2 months, 3 weeks ago by  Dawn.