GCA Forums News — Business & Economic Nationwide Update For Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Real Estate & Mortgage Market

Mortgage Rates & Lending Trends

High inflation has kept mortgage rates elevated, with 30-year fixed mortgages averaging 6.91%—an increase of 27 basis points from last week. Refinancing mortgages remain high, with 30-year fixed loans averaging 7.00%. These elevated rates are influenced by inflationary pressures alongside uncertainties from recently implemented tariff policies.

Housing Market Volatility

Reduced inventory and increased mortgage rates have contributed to housing market volatility. Although some lower tariffs brought forward their purchases, overall buyer demand continues to decline. Licensed mortgage professionals maintain their numbers as renewal rates are similar to 2024.

Economy & Federal Reserve

Economic Indicators

The latest indicators show that the US economy is showing signs of slowing. For instance, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasted a -2.2% growth rate for Q1 2024.

Employment figures remain relatively stable as the unemployment rate holds at 4%. However, inflationary tariff policies continue to put pressure on the economy.

Federal Reserve & Jerome Powell

Paul Powell, Chair of the Fed Reserve, continues to address economic concerns caused by tariff uncertainty. Inflation targets are in place to provide balance towards the avoidance of excessive growth in the economy.

There are no confirmed claims that President Trump is attempting to sue Powell or remove him from the Federal Reserve Board, and such claims seem without basis.

Financial Markets

Stock Market Performance

Volatility continues to hit US stock markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 54 points, and the Nasdaq futures have dropped 270 points due to newly imposed export restrictions on semiconductor companies.

Treasury Yields and Precious Metals

The 10-year US Treasury yield sits at 4.3%. Due to investors ‘ economic concerns, Gold’s value has skyrocketed, reaching $3,248.40 an ounce.

Automotive Industry

Sales and Inventory

US auto sales increased by 9.1% in March as consumers bought vehicles before the newly imposed tariff. However, due to supply chain issues, the inventory is set to fall to 700,000 units by 2025.

Fleet Sales

Fleet sales have been mixed. Commercial and government fleet sales have declined, while rental fleet sales have increased.

Business Lending and Funding

Commercial Lending

In 2025, commercial and multifamily lending is expected to reach $583 billion, a $71 billion increase from the previous year.

Residential Mortgage Professional

Mortgage industry professionals are gaining new virtual mortgage-related work due to the introduction of new licensing requirements, thereby streamlining the process and showcasing the increased tech-centric appliances in the industry.

Policy & Governance

Tariffs & Economic Impact

Trump’s tariffs have considerably impacted U.S.-China trade relations, with the WTO indicating an 80 percent plunge in merchandise trade between the two countries. Additionally, these tariffs are exacerbating inflation and economic instability.

Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) Initiatives

The Trump administration has taken steps to roll back certain DEI programs, such as canceling some executive orders. This has caused a national stagnation of these initiatives within federal agencies and private companies.

Sanctuary Cities

There are no noteworthy changes about sanctuary cities, including Chicago and the state of Illinois.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLxigTnbIzY&list=RDNSFYEaVuNJ_CQ&index=2