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GCA Forums News for Monday August 18 2025
Latest Housing and Mortgage News
The housing market isn’t budging much. Mortgage rates are still high, fewer buyers are showing up, and homes are still hard to find. Because of this, builder confidence has stayed low. Most are now adding discounts and perks to get people to sign contracts. The commercial market also tells a mixed story. Office buildings are still struggling, and banks are lending less than last year. On the mortgage side, layoffs among loan officers, the closing of brokerage firms, and even a few bankruptcies are making headlines. Economists agree: we need mortgage rates to drop and stay low for the market to bounce back. But those rates will not fall fast if job numbers stay strong.
Mortgage Rates as of August 18, 2025
Mortgage rates have increased slightly but sit close to their lowest level of 2025, holding around the middle of the 6% zone for most products. The current 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is at 6.59%, a rise of 0.01% from last week. The 15-year fixed rate is 5.97%, up 0.02%. FHA 30-year fixed loans dip to 6.17%, down 0.01%, and VA 30-year fixed loans hold at 6.19%. The 30-year fixed refinance rate is holding steady at 6.66%. These numbers show a market reacting to small economic changes, particularly the upward push from rising Treasury yields.
Treasuries and Forecast
Full Treasury yield data for August 18, 2025, is still being compiled. However, recent movements indicate yields are still high and are placing upward pressure on mortgage rates. Predictions show the average mortgage rate should land at 6.7% for 2025, with a possible dip to 6.4% at the end of the year if inflation cools and the Federal Reserve considers rate cuts. Nonetheless, if job data remains steady, rates should stay in the 6.5% to 7% range. Treasury yields could drop further if inflation continues to moderate.
Trump Targeting Powell Directly
President Trump has ramped up his offensive against Jerome Powell, the Fed’s top official, calling him “stupefyingly incompetent” and accusing him of being “an embarrassing slowpoke” on the interest rate cuts that Trump believes should counter the pain of his tariff policies. Trump has written the outline of a letter seeking Powell’s ouster, dangled the possibility of a lawsuit that questions the very independence of the Fed, and even toyed with the idea of charging for his South Carolina renovations. He has started a shortlist of Powell’s would-be successors. So far, Powell has not been shown the door, his four-year clock ticking onward, and Trump is pushing nominees into the open Fed board slots. Should the ouster try to go live, Powell is widely expected to file for an emergency injunction, and the legal fracas could land on the Supreme Court’s lap.
Markets and Gold and Silver
Live market tickers are not at hand. However, the latest snapshots show equities teetering in indifferent formation against doubt. Gold is marked at $3,332.20 to $3,348.00 an ounce, with the calendar week bringing very little—an almost turnpike-flat drop of 0.05% at the worst and a 0.42% perk at the best. Silver shows a tighter band, at $37.96 to $38.12, tacking on 0.07% to 0.34% in the same slice. Gold has shifted into a lower orbit week-on-week, while silver holds a quiet horizontal line.
Inflation and the Economy
The U.S. economy is still holding up, but it’s walking a tightrope. July’s inflation was 2.7% a year, and we expect it to nudge up to 2.8%, mostly because of higher shelter and food prices. The jobless rate is 4.2%, and paychecks are growing 3.9% on average, but July’s jobs report was disappointing. A few experts labeled the numbers a “gut punch,” especially for the housing market.
Bankruptcies and layoffs are creeping up, especially in real estate and mortgages. Some firms are shutting down, and veteran loan officers are leaving the field because there’s insufficient commission money. Some folks still warn that the economy is about to tip over, but the numbers are so mixed that we can’t call a crash yet. The Fed, for now, still believes the economy will keep moving forward.
Chicago Leadership Under Pressure
Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson, facing stubbornly low approval numbers and a $500 million budget gap, started the school year by opening classroom doors for the 340,000 Chicago Public Schools students. Days later, he broke ground on a $1.3 billion expansion of the O’Hare Concourse D and released a round of small grants to community groups. When former President Donald Trump threatened to dispatch the National Guard to Chicago, Johnson called the statement a continuation of misinformation and authoritarian posturing, announcing he would protect the city’s home-rule authority. Governor JB Pritzker signed a new law that beefed up eligibility checks for public assistance, told Trump the nation would not defund Chicago police, and noted that the decision to end cash bail would rest with voters, not a court. Undaunted by federal warnings delivered by Bondi, Pritzker is still considering a 2028 White House run. Trump has called the Democratic duo “incompetent” multiple times, though the phrase has not appeared in actual verified social media. Bondi has sent letters to cities, including Chicago, about immigration enforcement and crime, but no formal legal action has reached the mayor or the governor; a wider Justice Department inquiry is, however, scrutinizing sanctuary policies.
Trump-Putin Summit (August 15, 2025)
Last Friday, the Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska wrapped up without a ceasefire for Ukraine, but Trump called it “great progress.” Putin asked for more land, while Trump told Kyiv it should come to the table and hinted at a future three-way sit-down. Papers left behind show the talks, and later, Trump downplayed the worry about an instant ceasefire.
Letitia James and Adam Schiff Allegations
The DOJ is investigating New York AG Letitia James and her Trump fraud case. A grand jury is handing out subpoenas, which her staff calls revenge. James is also facing mortgage fraud claims in Virginia. Senator Adam Schiff is under a federal investigation for possible mortgage fraud, mail fraud, bank fraud, and lying about a Maryland property. A Democratic whistleblower says Schiff cut loose “treasonous” leaks. Special Attorney Ed Martin is in charge of both cases. The probes are still going, and no charges have come down yet.
Allegations Concerning Obama, Clinton, and Other Officials
Right-leaning outlets and newly released documents claim a “treasonous conspiracy” involving the Russia investigation that allegedly includes Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John Brennan, James Clapper, James Comey, Adam Schiff, and some Biden administration officials. The accusations allege that these figures manufactured intelligence to undermine Donald Trump. Obama is said to have committed election fraud in 2020, plus accusations of child trafficking and arming ISIS. Clinton faces charges of crimes against humanity, election fraud, treason, and sedition. Brennan, Clapper, and Comey are accused of leaking false information. Schiff and current Biden aides are said to have acted corruptly, with some demanding indictments. Clapper called the treason claims “ridiculous.” So far, there have been no arrests or formal charges, and these accusations mostly circulate in opinion columns and on social media.
Dr. Anthony Fauci Update
After a short hospital stay, Dr. Anthony Fauci is recovering from West Nile virus. He had fever, chills, and fatigue, but is now on the mend. In recent interviews, he reflected on lessons from COVID, public health challenges the Trump administration left, and the importance of being ready for the next pandemic. There have been no new controversies related to him.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sRCIPtafiqY&list=RDNSsRCIPtafiqY&start_radio=1
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Bill Gates is apparently trying to block out the sun? Jim Breuer reacts to the billionaire’s weird projects.
https://youtu.be/3TShr6yuFz0?si=K4skW1ajsmFrUNTc
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This reply was modified 5 months, 3 weeks ago by
Sapna Sharma.
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