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Mortgage and Real Estate News Update for December 30th 2024
Mortgage and Real Estate News Update for December 30th 2024
Until December 30, 2024, trends have emerged and developed in the mortgage and real estate industry as follows:
Current Rates:
- The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is around 6.85%, indicating an upward trend from 6.72%.
Federal Action:
- While the Federal Reserve has cut rates, that has not been reflected in mortgage rates.
- This
is primarily because the Fed’s benchmark rate cuts have been negated by
higher 10-year Treasury yields due to inflationary worries, causing
mortgages to remain higher.
Pending Home Sales:
- The
US saw a successful November, with purchase contracts of used homes
rising by 2.2%, the highest level in 21 months, over November. - This
signaled the potential recovery of the US housing sector, as not only
did this mark an increase compared to October, but there was a
noticeable trend over the past four months.
Regional Variation:
- Moderation in Housing Stock has aided growth in home purchases, with YoY housing inventory rising to over 18%.
- However,
the South and West regions saw an increase in the sales of Pending
homes, which was contrasted with a decrease in the Northeast region.
Forecasts of the market for the year 2025
Mortgage Rates:
- As estimated, mortgage rates will stay above the 6% threshold in 2025, with chances of reaching 6.8%.
- These measures assume inflation and a rise in the national debt due to future strategies.
Prices of Homes:
- The estimates suggest that home prices will increase by approximately 3.7% by 2025.
- Such estimates gauge home prices increased by 4% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2023, suggesting appreciation for the rules set.
Construction inventory:
- The
estimates suggest construction will rise in 2025, with an estimated
13.8% increase in new construction and an estimated 11.7% increase in
inventory sales. - This expansion could provide buyers with ample options, decreasing the competition in the market.
Opinion of the Consumers:
- The sentiment surrounding the housing market is now more optimistic than ever.
- An unprecedented share of respondents think the rates will lower in the coming year.
- At the same time, an appropriate number of them think the housing market will be a good area to invest in.
We are slowly seeing some stability in the mortgage and real estate markets, with slight increases in home sales and the prices of homes, although I wouldn’t hold my breath for those rates to come down anytime soon. For mortgage seekers, and even home buyers and sellers, despite the high competition we face in the market, deep knowledge of economic indicators helps to forecast market trends that promote reliable decision-making in today’s global environment.
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This discussion was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by
Gustan Cho.
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This discussion was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by Gustan Cho.
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1 Reply
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December 30, 2024
Mortgage Rates
Current Rates:
- It’s also worth noting that as of December 30, 2024, the average mortgage rate for a 30-year fixed loan is around seven point three percent, while 15-year fixed rates are about six and a half percent.
- Although the rates have remained relatively stable, they are still being influenced by ongoing economic conditions.
Housing Market Overview
Home Sales Trends:
- November data shows a slight dip in existing home sales compared to the previous month (November), down by approximately two point five percent.
- This reflects the persistent challenges of affordability because high mortgage rates have affected buyer sentiment.
New Construction Activity:
- New housing start-ups also indicate some growth, with a 1.5% rise observed in November.
- Builders are cautiously optimistic as increased material prices and labor shortages remain obstacles.
Economic Indicators
Unemployment Rate:
- At four point one percent nationally, steady job creation across different sectors has contributed to general economic stability and consumer confidence.
Wage Growth:
- However, on average, hourly earnings have risen approximately three-point-six percent higher than the previous year, providing some relief for prospective home buyers.
- However, inflation continues to impact purchasing power, thereby reducing its reach.
What the Federal Reserve is saying
Interest Rate Policy:
- The Federal Reserve will likely continue to be vigilant regarding interest rates, with hikes in early 2025 possible if inflationary pressures persist.
- Investors are eagerly anticipating future Fed meetings.
Market Sentiment
Buyer Confidence:
- Consumer sentiment is mixed; many potential buyers are unwilling to buy due to expensive homes and uncertain economic conditions.
- Nevertheless, some analysts have argued that winter’s seasonal lull may present buyer opportunities as competition abates.
- By December 30, mortgage rates had averaged about 7.3%, accompanied by a slight fall in existing home sales, reflecting affordability constraints.
There seems to be some growth in new construction activity while the economy generally appears steady, but for the concern of inflation. The market will closely monitor what the Federal Reserve does during this transition period into next year.