Here is a link about an economist aggressively forecasting mortgage rates will drop under 4% in 2024. Could 2024 be a bull market for loan officers? Out of 150,000 loan officers, close to 100,000 either left the mortgage industry completely, retired early, or let their NMLS licenses expire and are in a different industry or thinking about going into a different industry. Hundreds if not thousands of mortgage companies, whether they are mortgage bankers, correspondent lenders, or mortgage brokers went out of business in 2023

https://youtu.be/aWePq5–Seg?si=L2Q_8ad8MFchhyuK

Where can I get the best rates on commercial loans? How are mortgage rates on commercial loans priced? How can I get the lowest mortgage rates on commercial loans?

The U.S. mortgage and real estate market is shifting significantly as of December 18, 2024, which affects sellers, buyers, and investors alike. Here’s a comprehensive overview:

Mortgage Rates and Predictions

Let’s look at the current averages step by step. These include the 30-year fixed mortgage, which sits at around 6.78%; the 15-year fixed rate, which sits at 5.94%; and the 5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which average 7.35%. While all this was happening, the Federal Reserve steadily implemented cuts by scaling the benchmark rate to around 4.3%. However, because of the economic woes and low inflation, mortgage rates remained high, above 6%, as many analysts calculated.

Housing Market Activity

7.35% fixed mortgage rates, along with inflation and remodeling costs, severely restricted builders and home buyers alike from pursuing new projects. Most builders’ optimistic stance, hoping for a turn in market conditions, along with the continued price rise even as remodeling costs rose from $350,000 to $370,000 between 2020 and 2021, further restricted activity in the industry.

NewHome Construction

As housing construction felt the initial effects of the CR2 storm in 2021, the sudden rise in temperatures in the fall of 2022, coupled with the lack of consistent supply, felt like a final unlocking of the keyhole to this issue, with building starts in November having risen by 6.4% to an annual rate of an estimated 1 million units.

Although prices have risen, the rate of increase has been moderated compared to previous years.

Home Price Forecast for 2024-2029

Due to increased listings enabling a relatively higher home sales rate, home prices are predicted to remain flat. However, home prices will gradually rise between 2025 and 2029, with an estimated 1% increase yearly.

Housing Market Forecast for 2024

Substantial growth is anticipated in metropolitan housing markets, such as Oxnard, CA, Rochester, NY, and San Diego, CA. Prices and sales will ideally grow due to good economic conditions and stable prices.

Consumer Insights and Issues in the MarketMillennials as Homebuyers

One of the biggest blocks preventing millennials from fully engaging in the market is high home prices and higher mortgage rates. Based on current trends, 30-year-olds have a 43% homeownership rate, compared to 52% for baby boomers of the same age. Perceptions of homeownership or wealth due to economic imbalance within the generation heavily impact the decision-making process.

Concerns About Affordability: Today, as before, affordability continues to be an issue due to increased home prices and high mortgage interest rates. This led to elevated monthly repayments on existing mortgages. The increasing inventory levels would assist many prospective buyers, but the financial problem would remain.

Investment Opportunities

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT): Analysts say total returns on U.S. REITs should fall between 5 and 15 percent in 2025.

American Healthcare REIT, Extra Space Storage, and Cousins Properties are the best choices. These have made sensible investments and displayed steady occupancy rates. Still, their performance could be influenced by high valuations and anticipated changes in tax policies.

The American mortgage and real markets are adjusting to a trying period defined by high rates, low appreciation of home prices, and shifting consumer habits and behaviors. Operators must keep abreast of economic indicators to operate effectively in this economy, including the Federal Reserve’s decisions, policies, and market trends.

Mortgage rates are dropping the past three weeks. Many borrowers who have closed their home loans with rates in the 7% should maximize their credit scores to be ready to refinance in the coming months

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Amazing message Kevin. Thank you for your faith and outlook in life and being a hero to us all. God Bless 🙏

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After a fantastic day on Tuesday and frustrating little bounce after yesterday’s Retail Sales data, mortgage rates have fully recovered back to the recent lows.

Any time rates move enough to merit a discussion, it coincides with a similar move in the broader bond market. Bonds are currently highly susceptible to economic data (as seen on Tue/Wed).

Whereas Wednesday’s data pushed bond yields and interest rates higher, Thursday’s data sang a different tune. weekly Jobless Claims (not to be confused with the big monthly “jobs report” that comes out on the first week of any given month) were higher than expected and several other reports also spoke to a modest uptick in economic headwinds.

The economy may not like headwinds, but what’s bad for the economy is generally good for bonds/rates. Today was no exception. As bonds erased all of yesterday’s losses, interest rates moved back in line with best recent levels. For some lenders, that was Tuesday. For others, it was last Friday.

Mortgage rates are surging to 25 year highs. Mortgage rates for 700 plus credit score borrowers are 7.5% on FHA loans. Lower credit score borrowers with credit scores down to 500 FICO are priced at 7.75% with as much as 3% in points. Mortgage rates on conventional loans are 8.125% for 720 credit score borrowers.

Do any of you have any idea or heard anything about where Mortgage Rates are headed or anticipate any form of correction?

Are many Mortgage Lenders going out of business due to high mortgage rates?

Mortgage Rates are finally dropping fast. JEROME POWELL, The Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board announced yesterday the Feds will not be increasing interest rates for the past two Fed meeting which caused mortgage rates to plummet. The 10 year treasuries started plummeting the past few days from a high of 5.0% to 4.66%

Can anybody let me know where one can find the VA loans interest rate? Another thing, my score is significantly more than my husbands For Va loan can we use my score? Lender said she cant because I am new in the country and I am here just 1 year and 2 months/ But if my credit score is 768 why not. I think it discrimination because like if iam new and a foriegner. May be in my country I had good rating. They wanted me to be a co signer but then why dont use my credit score

Inflation refers to the general increase in prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time, leading to a decrease in the purchasing power of money. When inflation occurs, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services than it did before. It is usually expressed as an annual percentage rate.

Inflation can be caused by various factors, but some common drivers include:

1. Demand-Pull Inflation: This occurs when the overall demand for goods and services exceeds the available supply. When demand outstrips supply, prices tend to rise.

2. Cost-Push Inflation: This type of inflation is caused by an increase in the production costs for businesses, such as rising labor costs or raw material prices. As businesses pass these increased costs onto consumers, it leads to higher prices.

3. Built-in Inflation: This is also known as wage-price inflation and occurs when businesses raise prices to compensate for increased labor costs, and workers, in turn, demand higher wages to keep up with the rising prices.

4. Monetary Factors: The money supply in an economy can also influence inflation. If the central bank prints more money without a corresponding increase in economic output, it can lead to too much money chasing too few goods, causing inflation.

Inflation is typically measured using various price indices, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI), which track changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services.

Some level of inflation is generally considered normal and even desirable in modern economies. A moderate and stable inflation rate can encourage spending and investment and can help avoid deflation, which is a persistent decrease in prices that can be damaging to economic growth.

Central banks and governments often aim to keep inflation at a target rate (usually around 2% in many advanced economies) through monetary and fiscal policies. However, when inflation becomes too high or too volatile, it can erode the value of savings, disrupt financial planning, and create economic instability. Conversely, low or negative inflation can also have adverse effects on the economy, such as encouraging hoarding and deferring spending. Striking the right balance is essential for maintaining a healthy and sustainable economy.

How can I get a home loan with low mortgage rates? How do lenders price mortgage rates? What are the step by step process on how mortgage lenders price mortgage rates on conventional and government loans and non-QM loans?

What are mortgage rates today Monday August 5th, 2024. Why is the Dow Jones Industrial Average Down 1,000 points? Why are the 30-year U.S. Treasuries down and what does this mean to mortgage rates? Why is Gold and Silver down and what this mean? What is the Federal Reserve Board thinking?

What happened last week that mortgage rates are plummeting. The 30-Year Treasuries dropped to 3.8% which tanked mortgage rates on government loans from 7.0 to 6.0%. 30-year U.S Treasuries were as high as near 5.0% just a few weeks ago. Gold increased to over 2,500 per ounce which is a historic high. Silver did not follow gold prices because banks were short selling Silver like crazy because banks and the Globalists have a huge short position and are afraid of getting margin calls on their Silver short positions. What economic numbers came out that caused the financial markets upside down? Will mortgage rates continue to plummet? Will it be beneficial to refinance now? How about doing Streamline Refinance on FHA and VA Loans? If I do an FHA or VA Streamline Refinance loan, can I do another FHA Streamline or VA Streamline Refinance loan if mortgage rates drop again? What are rates on conventional loans?

Here is an informative article on how mortgage lenders price mortgage rates based on credit scores.

https://www.gcamortgage.com/mortgage-rates-versus-credit-scores/

gcamortgage.com

How Lenders Price Mortgage Rates Versus Credit Scores

The way lenders price mortgage rates versus credit scores is the lower the credit scores, the higher the mortgage rates due to risk for the lender

Mortgage rates dropped for the first time since March 2023, on Thursday July 20th, 2023 per Freddie Mac. Par rates on 30-year fixed-rate conforming loans on single-family homes dropped to 6.78% from last week’s 6.96%. The drop in rates is the first decrease in mortgage rates since June and the largest single day decrease since March of this year. Mortgage rates one year today was at 5.54% and under 4.0% prior to the coronavirus outbreak. Conventional loans with loan-level price adjustments for average credit score borrowers often surpasses the 8% rate mark.

• This discussion was modified 1 year, 3 months ago by  Sapna Sharma.

Where can I get the best mortgage rates?

I am interest in buying a single family house in California. I got pre-approved in 2019 in Placer County California which is near Sacramento. However, home prices have gone up and mortgage rates are double the rate it was in 2019. How can I shop for the best mortgage rates in California?

I’m considering buying a home this year. I’ve heard from different sources, that I should wait to buy, once the market crashes, or to save my money by renting. Any advice would be very helpful.

Mortgage Rates a tad lower from yesterday. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates 6.78% down -0.10 from yesterday. 15-year fixed-rate mortgages is priced at 5.77% down -0.26 from yesterday. 5/1 ARM is unchanged 6.67% from yesterday. This week has been a steady week for mortgage interest rates at 6.66% . Mortgage rates has been unchanged since December 21st. Lower rates should spark homebuyers but many buyers are sitting on the sidelines. Weekly jobless claims was low for the week mainly due to a four day holiday week. The unemployment rate numbers released last week came in at 3.7 percent in December, and the number of unemployed persons was remain unchanged at 6.3 million. These measures are higher than a year earlier, when the jobless rate was 3.5 percent and the number of unemployed persons was 5.7 million.

Jobless claims, also known as unemployment claims or initial unemployment claims, refer to the number of individuals who have filed for unemployment benefits with the government’s unemployment insurance program. These claims are typically filed by individuals who have lost their jobs and are seeking financial assistance during their period of unemployment.

Jobless claims serve as an important economic indicator and are closely monitored by policymakers, economists, and financial analysts. They provide insights into the current state of the labor market and can indicate trends in unemployment. When jobless claims increase, it often suggests a rising number of people losing their jobs, which may be a sign of economic downturn or labor market challenges. Conversely, a decrease in jobless claims can be a positive sign, indicating improved job market conditions.

Jobless claims are typically reported on a weekly basis in many countries, including the United States, where the U.S. Department of Labor releases a weekly report on initial unemployment claims. These reports help policymakers and analysts gauge the health of the labor market and make informed decisions about economic policies and interventions.

It’s important to note that jobless claims are just one part of the broader picture of employment and unemployment, and they are often used in conjunction with other labor market indicators to assess the overall employment situation.

Preferred Mortgage Rates dba of Gustan Cho Associates NMLS 1660690 are commercial and residential mortgage brokers and lenders licensed in 48 states including Washington DC, Puerto Rico, and the U.S Virgin Islands. We are a one stop lending shop. We have a wholesale lending network of financial institutions with specialized commercial, business, and residential mortgage loan options. Over 80% of our clients are homebuyers, homeowners, second and vacation home buyers, and commercial real estate investors who have been through stress at other lenders or got a last minute loan denial at other lenders. All of our proved approved borrowers not only close but close on time. Preferred Mortgage Rates NMLS 2315275 is a dba of Gustan Cho Associates and GCA Mortgage Group powered by NEXA Mortgage LLC and AXEN Mortgage NMLS 1660690. PMR is the discount mortgage brokerage of Gustan Cho Associates. We cater to higher credit score borrowers with immaculate credit and try to beat the mortgage industry when it comes to rates. WE ARE MEMBERS of the Better Business Bureau with a A+ Rating and have a national reputation for being able to approve, and close commercial loans and residential mortgage loans other lenders cannot do. On the residential mortgage lending division, Preferred Mortgage Rates offers competitive mortgage rates on government, conventional loans, Jumbo Mortgages, and non-QM LOANS with credit scores down to 500 FICO with no lender overlays on agency mortgage loan programs. VA and FHA loans with credit scores down to 500, VA and FHA manual underwriting, conventional loans at phenomenal competitive rates with zero lender overlays, Jumbo Loans with credit scores down to 500 FICO, non-qm loans for NO-DOC LOANS, 12 month bank statement loans, Asset Depletion Mortgage loans, No-Ratio DSCR loans, P and L loans, fix and flip loans, ONE TIME CLOSE NEW CONSTRUCTION LOANS for one to four unit multifamily homes on owner and nonowner occupant homes, manufactured home loans, Barndominium mortgage loans, nonwarrantable and warrantable condos, and condotel condo financing. New ground up OTC NEW CONSTRUCTION loans and renovation loans. On the commercial lending division, Preferred Mortgage Rates (PMR, Inc. owns, manages and operates a subsidiary commercial and institutional brokerage and direct lending company Lending Network, Inc. Contact us at Preferred Mortgage Rates at 1-844-90-RATES. Here is PMR website

http://www.preferredmortgagerates.com

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Home prices starting tricking lower and there seems to be housing inventory. Bidding wars on homes throughout the country seem to have diminished. There are no longer 10 offers for a home listing. Homes are no longer selling 10 to 50% over list price. The market overkill seems to have stabilized. So what’s next? Are home prices going to tank? Did homebuyers pay too much for their homes? Are interest rates going to tumble? Let’s watch the coming housing market forecast coming up this week

Hello Everybody on GCA!

I wanted to create a discussion regarding all Questions & Concerns regarding all NON-QM products.

I am Sales Account Executive & I will be going through Generics & specifics on guidelines & also details to pay attention to with your loan process as Broker, Client, AE & Agent.

Will be also posting FAQ’s as well.

Please feel free to reply with any comments 🙂

I look Forward to hearing all your thoughts!

Thank you!

Cameron Leclair

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10-Year Treasuries fell slightly to 3.92% which has been hovering between 3.72 to 4.15 the past four weeks fluctiating mortgage rates and relieving the fear rates may go higher for consumers, realtors, and loan officers. 30-year fixed rate mortgages trading down -0.29 putting rates at 6.49%. 15-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped -0.013 placing 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rates at 5.90% for prime borrowers. 5/1 ARM fell 0.67 pricing mortgage rates at 5.90%. Housing inventory remains tight and inventory lags with the demand for homes nationwide. Part of the imbalance of falling rates, high inflation, skyrocketing home prices, and a weak unpredictable economy with questionable validity on numbers and data released is a large percentage of homeowners who purchased homes two to four years ago have locked in mortgage rates around 3.0% and at the same time home prices have gone up an average of 50% over a period of three years, many homeowners do not want to sell and intend in staying put. If the circumstances were different, so will the homeowners agenda and may consider selling the current home or keeping the current home as a rental and purchase a new home whether upgrading or downsizing. Mortgage rates increased more than double of what it was just two years ago. The sudden interest rate jump to 8% have Americans with the mentality of not being able to justify investing in a new home for their primary home as well as investment homes. Many first-time home buyers who were qualfied and pre-approved around mid 2020 through the coronavirus outbreak in February 2021 who decided to wait because they were under the impression of a housing market correction and mortgage rates plummeting from 3.625% found it disappointing and disheartening that home prices have gone by 20% to 50% or more depending on the area and state and mortgage rates skyrocketing past 8.0%. Many homebuyers are now priced out of the market due to the sudden massive spike in housing prices. The monthly housing payment would have gone up from 50% to 100% where they can no longer afford with their wages. Wages have not kept up with inflation and high cost of goods and services. Americans still feel betrayed by the media and politicians at all level of government due to the deception, lies, truth being not told, fake news, political divide, and economic uncertainty in the nation. The country is maliciously divided by political party and the ideology globalists and extreme liberals are putting out is enough to make the American people not trust anything they hear until it has been fact checked and confirmed by reliable sources. Deaths from people who took the coronavirus vaccine and its boosters is increasing. More younger Americans in good health and shape are dying in their sleep due to blood clots or are getting diagnosed with fatal cancel losing their life prematurely. Many believe it is due to the coronavirus vaccine. The coronavirus vaccine has been cause of these premature deaths or illnesses of healthy individuals and many from all levels of society and profession swear the coronavirus vaccine has been engineered, created, and promoted to be the death tool and the solution to depopulate the world.

Mortgage Rates Today: January 10, 2024— 30-year fixed mortgage rates are steady. 15-Year Mortgage Rates Increase. Today, the current average mortgage rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is 7.35% compare to last week when the mortgage rate was 7.29% while the average rate on a 15-year mortgage is 6.49%. The annual percentage rate (APR) on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is 7.24%. The APR was 7.22% last week. APR is the all-in cost of your mortgage loan. On a 30-year jumbo mortgage, the average rate is 7.20% @ source bank rate. With today’s interest rate of 7.35%, a 30-year fixed mortgage of $100,000 costs approximately $689 per month in principal and interest (taxes and fees not included), the GCA Best Mortgage Calculator shows. Borrowers will pay about $148,054 in total interest over the life of the loan.

The average interest rate on a 15-year mortgage (fixed-rate) is 6.49% compared to last week, the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rate was at 6.35%.

The APR on a 15-year fixed is 6.43% compared to 6.30% this time last week. At today’s interest rate of 6.49%, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage would cost an estimated $870 per month in principal and interest per $100,000. You would pay around $56,681 in total interest over the life of the loan.

Mortgage interest rates are determined by a complex interplay of various economic, financial, and individual factors. Here are some of the key factors that influence mortgage interest rates:

Economic Conditions: The overall health of the economy plays a significant role. When the economy is strong, with low unemployment and robust economic growth, interest rates tend to rise. Conversely, during economic downturns or recessions, rates tend to fall as central banks may lower their policy rates to stimulate borrowing and spending.

Central Bank Policies: Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve in the United States, set short-term interest rates through their monetary policy. Changes in these rates can have a cascading effect on longer-term interest rates, including mortgage rates.

Inflation: Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money over time. Lenders typically require higher interest rates to compensate for the expected loss in value of the dollars they will be repaid in. Therefore, when inflation expectations rise, mortgage rates tend to go up.

Supply and Demand: The supply and demand for mortgage loans in the secondary market can affect rates. When there’s high demand for mortgages and a limited supply of funds, rates may rise. Conversely, when there’s less demand or more supply, rates may fall.

Creditworthiness: Your personal credit score and credit history influence the interest rate you’ll be offered. Borrowers with higher credit scores and better credit histories are typically offered lower interest rates because they are considered less risky.

Loan Term: The term of the mortgage (e.g., 15 years, 30 years) can also impact the interest rate. Shorter-term loans often come with lower interest rates than longer-term loans because they pose less risk to lenders.

Down Payment: A larger down payment can often lead to a lower interest rate. Lenders may view borrowers who make a substantial down payment as less risky.

Type of Mortgage: Different types of mortgages, such as fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), have different interest rate structures. ARMs typically start with lower initial rates but can adjust over time, while fixed-rate mortgages maintain the same rate for the entire loan term.

Market Conditions: Mortgage rates can be influenced by market sentiment, investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, and geopolitical events. These factors can lead to short-term fluctuations in rates.

Regulatory Environment: Government policies and regulations can impact mortgage rates. For example, government programs and incentives can make certain types of mortgages more attractive to lenders and borrowers.

It’s important to note that these factors can change over time and can interact in complex ways. Mortgage rates are also influenced by a wide range of regional and local factors, making it essential for borrowers to shop around and compare offers from different lenders to find the best mortgage rate available to them based on their unique financial circumstances.

What determines APR? APR stands for “Annual Percentage Rate.” It is a financial term used to express the true cost of borrowing or the annualized cost of a financial product, such as a loan, credit card, or mortgage. The APR includes not only the interest rate on the borrowed funds but also any additional fees, points, or other costs associated with obtaining the loan or credit.

The APR provides borrowers with a more comprehensive understanding of the total cost of borrowing, making it easier to compare different loan or credit offers from various lenders. Lenders are typically required to disclose the APR to borrowers to ensure transparency in lending practices and help consumers make informed financial decisions.

It’s important to note that the APR is expressed as a percentage, and a lower APR generally indicates a more favorable loan or credit offer because it represents a lower overall cost of borrowing. However, it’s essential to consider other factors, such as loan terms, repayment schedules, and your specific financial situation, when evaluating loan or credit options. Demand for mortgage loans is down despite lower mortgage rates.

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If your rates are at or near 8% on your home loan and have higher credit scores you may be in luck. Higher rate borrowers are priced in the 5% due to rates dropping

Mortgage rates are forecasted to plummet in 2024.Homeowners are going to are going to enjoy the down ward slide of Mortgage Rates. Here’s a video about how rates are dropping

https://www.youtube.com/live/eGIq0UNH4MQ?si=sFw-XDzLsFaHn29m