• GCA Forums News for Friday October 17 2025

    Posted by Harlan on October 17, 2025 at 5:35 pm

    Live Housing and Mortgage News: Trump Signals Fed Chair Powell Firing as Rates Hover Near Cuts

    • In a seismic shift for U.S. financial markets, President Donald Trump has intensified calls to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, citing ongoing frustrations with interest rate policies amid a brewing government shutdown.
    • Following recent interviews, sources close to the White House indicate Trump has narrowed his list of potential replacements to five candidates, including economic advisor Scott Bessent.
    • This move comes as mortgage rates show early signs of softening. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is 6.20% today, down from 6.29% earlier this week.
    • Industry experts speculate that a Powell ouster could accelerate rate cuts, potentially slashing mortgage rates by up to 3% in the coming months, providing relief to homebuyers battered by elevated borrowing costs.
    • However, legal hurdles loom large, as the Supreme Court may soon weigh in on Trump’s authority to dismiss Fed governors. He has tested this power with the recent firing of Governor Lisa Cook over unrelated mortgage fraud allegations.

    The Federal Reserve’s headquarters renovation project has drawn sharp scrutiny. Its cost ballooned to $2.5 billion due to inflation, tariffs, and labor shortages—factors Fed officials attribute to broader economic pressures rather than mismanagement. Critics, including Trump allies, have labeled these cost overruns as potential fraud, though no direct charges against Powell have materialized.

    Breaking: Trump Poised to Oust Jerome Powell, Sparking 3% Mortgage Rate Drop Speculation

    Powell himself faces no formal fraud accusations. However, the administration’s probe into Fed Governor Cook for alleged 2021 mortgage irregularities has fueled speculation of wider accountability measures. As markets digest these developments, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed slightly to 4.01% today, reflecting investor jitters over fiscal uncertainty.

    Tomorrow’s Fed Meeting Expectations: Rate Cut Odds Surge to 97% Amid Shutdown Chaos

    Anticipation builds for the Federal Reserve’s October 18 policy meeting, a 25-basis-point rate cut appears nearly locked in at 97% probability, according to CME FedWatch Tool data. Fed Governor Christopher Waller has supported the move, citing softening job market data and elevated downside risks to employment. The current federal funds rate target range is 4.00% to 4.25%, with the effective rate at 4.10% as of yesterday. Policymakers’ September dot plot projected two additional cuts by year-end, potentially bringing rates to 3.75% post-meeting. Yet, the ongoing government shutdown—now in its 17th day—has delayed key inflation data, complicating the Fed’s dual mandate of maximum employment and 2% inflation. The September CPI release, originally slated for October 15, has been rescheduled to October 24 due to furloughs, leaving August’s 2.9% year-over-year figure as the latest benchmark. Q2 GDP growth clocked in at a robust 3.8% annualized rate, but Q3 estimates from the Atlanta Fed hover around 2.5%, tempered by shutdown disruptions.

    Live Market Snapshot: Stocks Dip, Precious Metals Soar on Global Tensions

    U.S. equities ended the session lower today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 0.7% or 301.07 points to 45,952.24, dragged by banking sector woes and shutdown uncertainty.

    Stock Indices Close Mixed as Dow Sheds 300 Points Amid Shutdown Fears

    The S&P 500 eked out a 0.31% gain to 6,649, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped to 22,562.54. Volatility spiked, with the VIX fear index climbing to 25.31. Broader concerns over Trump’s mass federal worker firings—now exceeding 4,000 positions across agencies—have injected fresh volatility into markets, as investors brace for prolonged fiscal gridlock.

    Precious Metals Rally: Gold Hits $4,300/Oz, Silver Nears $53 Amid Safe-Haven Buying

    Precious metals continued their bull run, with spot gold surging to $4,300 per ounce, up over 2% today on dollar weakness and geopolitical risks. HSBC has hiked its 2025 gold forecast to $3,455 per ounce, eyeing $5,000 by 2026. Silver followed suit, trading at $52.50 per ounce—a 4% monthly gain—fueled by industrial demand and inflation hedges. These levels reflect a 55% year-to-date climb for gold and 54% for silver, underscoring their role as havens in a turbulent economic landscape.

    Chicago ICE Chaos: Federal Agents Ambushed, Local Leaders Face Obstruction Charges

    Live Updates: ICE Agents Tear-Gas Protesters After Vehicle Chase Turns Violent

    Tensions boiled over in Chicago’s East Side today as U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents deployed tear gas on crowds following a high-speed SUV chase that ended in a residential street ramming. Eyewitness videos captured federal agents tackling a U.S. citizen teenager amid chants of “ICE go home,” with one detainee later released after confirming citizenship. The incident marks the latest in a wave of clashes, including an October 14 vehicle crash near an immigration facility that drew hundreds of protesters. DHS has decried the violence as a “kidnapping lie” propagated by local activists. At the same time, immigrant communities report growing fear from ICE’s aggressive tactics.

    How an Illegal Immigrant Slipped Through to Become a Hanover Park Police Officer

    In a stunning revelation, ICE arrested Radule Bojovic, a sworn Hanover Park, Illinois, police officer, for illegally overstaying his Montenegrin visa by over a decade. Bojovic, who carried a badge and firearm despite federal prohibitions on undocumented individuals possessing guns, was nabbed during a routine check. Investigations reveal he entered on a valid visa in 2014 but failed to renew it. However, he passed local background checks—likely due to lax vetting in sanctuary-state Illinois. The Hanover Park PD issued a statement distancing itself, calling the hire an “oversight.” At the same time, ICE emphasized that “illegal aliens are prohibited from owning or possessing firearms—full stop.” This case highlights systemic cracks in state-level hiring amid federal immigration enforcement.

    Johnson and Pritzker Under Fire: Experts Warn of 20-Year Sentences for Endangering Agents.

    Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker face mounting legal peril as Trump demands their arrest for obstructing ICE operations. Experts and legal scholars argue the duo could serve up to 20 years if convicted of obstruction and endangering federal agents, citing their refusal to cooperate with deportations and deployment of state resources to shield sanctuary policies. Trump blasted them on Truth Social, stating they “should be in jail for failing to protect ICE Officers,” a sentiment echoed by Illinois Republicans.

    Political Deterioration Scandals Erupt: Comey Indicted, Clinton and Schiff in Crosshairs

    Live updates from the Broadview ICE facility show over 100 rioters assaulting law enforcement earlier this week, with DHS labeling detainees as “the worst of the worst” criminals. Pritzker, often derided in conservative circles for his physical stature and progressive stances, has fired back, accusing Trump of “provocation and corruption.” Johnson, meanwhile, rallied with allies like Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle to decry federal overreach. As National Guard troops deploy to Chicago, the standoff risks escalating into a constitutional crisis.

    Government Shutdown Deepens: Trump Fires Thousands, Essential Workers in Limbo

    President Trump’s aggressive response to the shutdown has seen over 4,000 federal workers axed, with unions warning of up to 150,000 more at risk, particularly at the Interior Department. A federal judge temporarily halted further firings yesterday, but the administration vows to press on, targeting “deep state” holdovers.

    Mass Layoffs Hit 4,000+ Federal Jobs—But ICE, Military to Get Backpay?

    Essential workers like ICE agents, Border Patrol, National Guard, and military personnel continue operations unpaid, facing partial paychecks this week. Per law, backpay is guaranteed once funding resumes. However, delays could stretch into November if Democrats don’t yield on border security demands. DHS Secretary Kristi Noem confirmed that law enforcement pay alternatives are under review, but 1.8 million civilian checks remain frozen for now.

    Live Allegations: Comey Faces Indictment, Pelosi and McCabe in DOJ Sights

    Waves of corruption probes dominate headlines, with former FBI Director James Comey indicted on charges tied to the Russia investigation, drawing Trump’s triumphant “JUSTICE IN AMERICA!” post. Allegations extend to Hillary Clinton for email mishandling, Adam Schiff for impeachment “venality,” Andrew McCabe for contradictory statements, and Nancy Pelosi for election interference. Trump labeled them “corrupt, radical-left Democrats,” urging DOJ action. These claims, rooted in declassified files, depict weaponized bureaucracy against his 2016 win.

    Mortgage Fraud Updates: James Indicted, Schiff Probe Heats Up

    New York AG Letitia James was indicted today on one count each of bank fraud and false statements, accused of misrepresenting income on a 2023 mortgage for a Virginia property. She signed the disputed documents and insists she’s “totally innocent,” with Democrats rallying behind her as a result of Trump’s retaliation. In California, Sen. Adam Schiff faces a DOJ investigation for alleged mortgage fraud on multiple homes, including a suspiciously low 3% rate—charges he denies as political smears. Trump hinted Schiff was “next,” escalating fears among Democrats about a prosecutorial purge.

    Gabbard Exposes Russia Hoax: Obama, Clinton Face Treason Calls

    Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard unleashed declassified documents today, revealing Barack Obama’s direct role in crafting the 2017 Intelligence Community Assessment on Russian election interference—a “Russia collusion hoax” aimed at undermining Trump’s victory. Files show Obama, Hillary Clinton, James Clapper, John Brennan, Andrew Weissmann, and dozens of Democrats conspired to “subvert” the election, per Gabbard.

    DNI Gabbard Drops Bombshell: Obama Directed 2017 Intel Assessment to Subvert Trump

    A whistleblower reported multiple suppression attempts, with Gabbard threatening prosecutions for treason and conspiracy. Ex-CIA agents pushed back, calling it a misrepresentation, but Trump roared, “This was treason—Obama is the ringleader!” Legal experts say charges could stick if proven, potentially trying the group for overthrowing the 2016 results. Bill Clinton, John Bolton, and others are implicated in the “mastermind” plot.

    Epstein Bombshell: Maxwell Ready to Testify on Pedophile List

    Ghislaine Maxwell, serving 20 years for aiding Jeffrey Epstein’s abuses, signaled willingness to testify before Congress on the infamous “client list” after the Supreme Court cleared subpoena hurdles. In July, during her DOJ interview, she denied knowledge of any formal list or witnessing inappropriate conduct by Trump. However, transcripts reveal explosive details on high-profile enablers. The House Oversight Committee has scheduled her deposition, demanding Epstein files amid pressure on Bill and Hillary Clinton. Maxwell’s cooperation could unravel decades of elite cover-ups, with Trump deflecting scrutiny by urging the DOJ to “go after” Obama instead.

    Kamala Harris Book Tour Fiasco: 107-Day Memoir Draws Mockery as “Foolish”

    Former VP Kamala Harris’s “107 Days” memoir tour—chronicling her abbreviated 2024 presidential bid—has hit snags, with Chicago events disrupted by protesters chanting against her border policies. The book, on track to be 2025’s top-selling memoir, spills regrets over Biden’s endorsement delays and Democratic infighting. However, critics slam it as “no closure, no hope.” Public opinion polls show Harris is viewed as a “fool” by 55% of independents, her tour is seen as a tone-deaf cash grab amid party souring. Takeaways include her frustrations with “slow” endorsers like Pelosi, fueling 2028 speculation despite weak standings.

    Gavin Newsom’s Empire Under Scrutiny: How Does He Afford $20M in Homes on $200K Salary?

    California Governor Gavin Newsom faces fresh fraud questions after federal arrests in a $93 million COVID relief scam and Homekey homeless housing busts exposed misuse of billions. Two LA execs allegedly laundered funds for lavish lifestyles, including an $11.2 million Cheviot Hills home flipped for $27.3 million via fraudulent loans—echoing Newsom’s own portfolio of two multi-million-dollar properties on his $200,000 public salary. Critics demand explanations, citing his “Top 10 Failures” list from watchdogs, including $25 billion in “lost” housing funds. Newsom’s team dismisses it as partisan attacks. However, the probe into Shangri-La Industries’ ties to political donors like LA County supervisors amplifies calls for transparency.

    Gustan Cho replied 11 months, 2 weeks ago 3 Members · 4 Replies
  • 4 Replies
  • Dawn

    Member
    October 17, 2025 at 9:39 pm

    LIVE Silver Market Report – 10/17/25

    Silver’s Spike and Snapback: the Correction’s Meaning

    Having risen to over $54/oz, silver has gone to $54/oz and pulled back to the $52/oz level after trading up to $54.47 on the same day. News reports yesterday confirmed this. Silver has encountered some resistance and pulled back. As it stands now, vendor prints and day ranges are unidirectional, and therefore, the end result is silver is on the give back from $54. It is important to note that silver is correcting from the all-time highs after a vertical run.

    LIVE Snapshot

    • Silver is changing hands for 51.8:52.20, was as low as $50.65, and attempted to touch 54.47.
    • Silver has pulled back a staggering 4 to 5 percent, exhibiting weakness off the prior session range or settling.
    • Multiple reputable services reported new highs, breaking $54/oz this week and during the week.
    • You will see differences in real-time silver market feeds, self-cited in credibly robust sources.

    What Explains the Silver Run

    The swift acceleration in silver demand is due to the growing interest from investors, coupled with the undersupplied market.

    • 2025 is now projected to see a substantial market deficit, the fifth in a row, with demand for industrials reaching unprecedented levels.
    • These are the very same groups that forecast the silver market for a supply deficit of the said year.
    • There is a growing share of demand for electronics from solar photovoltaics, with 2024 estimates indicating the latter will constitute around 17% of the total demand for the electronics market.
    • Sluggish Supply/Inventory Strains: Recent coverage highlights tightness in London, unusual premiums vs. COMEX, and elevated lease/borrowing rates.
    • All highly unusual and consistent with a market in trouble.

    Today’s Correction: Healthy Shakeout Or Top?

    • Corrections after vertical breakouts are normal.
    • In today’s pullback, spot is still well above last month’s levels.
    • The Underlying Rate Structure provides a two-way market (buyers defending $51, sellers fading $54–55).
    • From the short-term perspective:
    • Bull Case: Deficit narrative, continuous PV demand, plus safety in the unending macro mix.
    • Bear Case: Positioning became crowded.
    • Volatility spikes will flush bârrkep leveraged long positions and will easily and quickly depress silver.

    “$100 Silver By Year-End”? What Needs To Happen?

    • Setting a $100 price with nearly a double from the week’s high requires no less than numerous interrelated events all happening synchronously:
    • The first is systematically persistent global physical tightness (from premiums to lease rates, even delivery systems under severe strain).
    • Next, the second is a mover-shaker (larger than the expected vigorous Fed easing, with a sorry dollar and risk shocks) to keep the gold positions burning hot.
    • Demand in price-sensitive segments (jewelry/consumer) has not been destroyed, even with higher costs, and there has been no quick response from the mine / secondary supply side.

    Feasible? It’s not impossible, but it is not very nice. High-quality houses have floated bullish medium-term targets, but more Mainstream outlooks, nearer term, are less extreme than $100 by December. Treat the $100 call as a tail-risk upside scenario, not a base case.

    Is Silver Still A “Screaming Buy” After The Pullback?

    Depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance.

    Here’s a simple framework.

    For Long Term Accumulators (1-3+ years)

    • Thesis: The multi-yearicit + e,ctrification/PV demand, and de-globalization hedges all support higher equilibrium prices than in the 2010s.
    • Approach: Scale in on red days/corrections.
    • Focus on Physical or fully funded positions rather than leverage.
    • If permitted to take on equity risk, diversify between bullion as well as quality miners or royalty names.

    For Traders (days-weeks)

    • Reality Check: The 50-55$ per ounce zone is now highly volatile, and the price is extremely volatile.
    • Respect intraday ranges and liquidity pockets around the prior highs.
    • Risk Controls: Implement position sizing, hard stop losses, and avoid over-leverage.
    • The liquidity of silver vs. gold means slippage and gaps can be vicious.

    For Income Sensitive & Lower Volatility Investors

    • Silver is not a screaming buy if drawdowns over 10–15% in hours are unacceptable.
    • Rather, a speculative satellite at best.
    • Look for staggered buy opportunities or wait for base-building above prior Support.

    Key Levels and Focus Areas (Text Only)

    • Immediate Support: $50–$51 (psychological round number + low range for the day).
    • A break could be more severe than a simple, deeper shakeout.
    • Resistance (area of supply): $54–$55 (the zone of the record where sellers faded today).
    • A daily close above could reignite the muscle.
    • Stress gauges for the market: London vs COMEX Premium (if it widens again, it tightens).
    • Lease/borrow rates & backwardation (signs of physical scarcity).
    • Surveys & producers of PV demand updates and mine/secondary supply.

    Bottom Line for Today

    • Live: Silver is correcting from this week’s> $54/oz records and currently sits around the low–$52s.
    • Interpretation: This looks like a volatility reset under the still-bullish medium-term backdrop (deficits + electrification demand), but the $100/oz by year-end call remains a high-bar upside scenario, not the base[case].

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ir11IsmleJk

  • Harlan

    Member
    October 17, 2025 at 9:51 pm

    News Update from Silver Price Correction October 17, 2025 Live – Instantaneous jump to $54 and Road to $100

    As of October 17, 2025, investing in silver today attracts significant media attention as the price changes every hour and silver prices fall by .33 percent from the closing price of $54. Portending their immeasurable increase likewise, the price of silver opened today at 54.47. It closed at 54.24 by noon, closing almost 50 percent of its profits. The instabilities in the prices heavily correlate to the history of silver multifold jumps, not as a surprise, the price of silver peaked during the noon hours of every day. Automating an index for silver metrics allows for even more heightened profits. Silver, as a principal metal, is sensitive to negative sentiment and its aggressive sideways trading. Predicting its value in the long term seems even more beneficial, and silver stands a chance of jumping considerably to trade at even 100 in months. The following paragraphs in the report will discuss the price prediction and changes for silver and heavily analyze the sentiment of $100 target. Moreover, it will discuss whether it is a case to make significant buys for silver. We want to analyze if silver is screaming a buy in 2025.

    October 17, 2025, Correction in silver price appreciation over 87% in 2025 YTD. Why and how.

    Tracking silver’s appreciation of over 87% in 2025 YTD has been an uphill battle. Checking last week’s Friday, silver closed at approximately 49.86, increasing 6.23% during the week and gaining 49.86. The metal surging over $54 per ounce has been making headlines. Following the volatility, it has been reported that silver crossed the threshold, closing at $54.49. Over 87% of the year has been a new record and has recently been conquered. Since the silver Correction of October 17 of this year, there has been a rapid climb, bringing in short-term traders. There has been a consistent dip in the value of silver and other precious metals over the last week of September. Profit-taking has also been reported on other assets, notably safe havens. Over the last three months, there has been a consistent run in the value of silver, which has crossed the level suggested by industrial demand for solar panels, electronics, and electric devices, along with the global recession. Consistent fear has been reported over rising inflation, poor geopolitics, and a dip in demand for electric vehicles.

    What does this silver price drop indicate regarding market dynamics for 2025? It is a reset that is beneficial in preserving fundamental ratios for a market bubble that is in danger of overheating. It won’t collapse until the fundamentals realign.

    Silver is, after all, a monetary hedge and an industrial commodity. Despite the dip, it faces strong supply-side pressures and constraints, caused by the depletion of mines and the soaring demand for green energy. In fact, today’s dip is better termed the morning dip. Today’s morning dip is a fine example of silver’s “perilous” momentum phenomenon, where the euphoric highs of the bullish peaks morph into bearish caution in hours. Historically, market indicators such as downward pressure on fiat currency and high currency market activations (slips) on silver-related discourses give reason to believe this Correction is more blip than blemish.

    Thus, this Correction to 54.07 reduces the positive inertia silver acquired this year. It begs to be negated when the quantum of gains, irrespective of a 2025 increment in value, suggests that the 25% rise of silver ought to be sustained. The Correction reminds us that there is a prudent level to gain spacing for more growth.

    The $100 Silver Prediction: Is It a Dream or a Reality?

    Since the beginning of the year, the idea of silver reaching $100 an oz. \has been ringed with ice speculation, whilst silver enthusiasts and Peter Schiff, an economist, argue the fundamentals predict a strong case. He bluntly asks investors to “dive in”. The idea seems unbelievable; however, if multiple forecasts tell a different story, it may come True. Silver is expected to reach $75 before December, and $90 at some point after, while crossing the $100 mark a little after, if we consider the industrial demand and supply ratios. This aligns with an event some may refer to as “blow-off top”, as a high demand is expected in the market, and supply will be limited. Further, it goes on to describe a situation confirming supply will be [about all](https://www.citywire.com/fund-manager/i-aim-to-pick-fewer-better-ideas-better-meerings-13-fund-manager-interviews-tested-ideas-13-ayse-ucel-sub-company-headed-investinghaven/a1914905)-current price point of Silver trade $52.50, with the greater reality confirming silver will be tested at the all-time high at the above mark. All of this confirms that if the economy continues to surge as it did before and the market continues to drop, silver will reach the $100 prediction.

    If silver prices hit $100, that will mean an 85% increase from today’s $54.07 price, which seems achievable given that prices during 2011 hit $50 after adjusting for inflation. To silver, that suggests that it is rising, which may highlight a broader decline in currency or weakening of tech supply chains. Still, there are bear arguments that a resolved trade showdown or a strong dollar will hinder progress, but silver is on the right track. Current trends suggest that silver will likely increase in value and can hit $100 by the end of 2026. Минд суждения не спекулятивен. There is minimal engagement in the discussion, which suggests a strong interest in silver, along with the increasing price of platinum, which drives more investors to consider silver as a starting point for diversification and drives the theory of silver being the new gold.

    Will Silver Stay as a Screaming Buy Despite the 2025 Correction?

    Given the hovering silver price today at $54.07 and having just touched $54.47, the $1 million question is simple: Does this Correction further embolden the silver case, or has the rally gone too far? Looking at the price today, the market is quite positive on silver as a buy, with several still believing that the price will be $54.07 at the very least in October 2025. This makes silver a buy and a safe alternative during times of economic downturn and rising geopolitical tensions, coupled with persistent inflation. Unlike gold, people still want to argue that silver is not a ‘safe’ investment. Silver’s industrial upside makes gold’s safe investment stance seem unsophisticated. Strong renewable demand helps shore up a price at $40-$50 in the short term. Those sitting on investment platforms also talk about silver’s undervaluation compared to the historic $1,741 per kilogram, and hence make a perfect investment for a portfolio hedge when gold’s exorbitant price tags are too ridiculous to bear.

    That aside, calculations affect the bear and bull cycle: a bull cycle today can translate to $100 if the dollar dips and holders of the dollar rush to profit take. While holders willing to take this risk to profit take can, holders of silver long term should focus on the profit in 2025 rather than the loss today. Experts say to use bullion, ETFs, or stocks while investing and to focus on profit more than loss on silver rather than the other assets to cut losses in this volatile market. Silver, on the other hand, should be the focus. With the 2025 data and details in prospect, more and more of your earnings should go into silver. Whether you’re a pro or a rookie looking at this market, use this to profit. Hold the vision and let the fundamentals do the work. Please keep checking back for more updates on this bull run as it extends.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KRHooJ2t7xA

  • Gustan Cho

    Administrator
    October 18, 2025 at 1:18 pm

    In this video my bullion dealer has to pull out stacks of cash to handle the rush of customers selling their gold and silver. Is the rapid rise in the spot price of silver and gold driving people to sell their precious metals? Or is there another reason why sellers are outnumbering buyers in Tim’s coin shop? Watch as Tim Marschner of the Coin and Stamp Shop buys tens of thousands of dollars’ worth of pre-33 gold Liberty head double eagles and tubes of Canadian silver Mapleleaf coins. Silver is soaring to just over $48 an ounce while gold is at all-time record high of $3,887! What’s next? Will Tim run out of cash to satisfy all his Why are people still buying gold and silver at these high prices? Are precious metals due for a correction? And is someone trying to sell Tim a FAKE 100-ounce Johnson Matthey silver bar?? Watch as I interview an experienced gold and silver stacker who is liquidating some metals because of taxes and to purchase foreign land! These are unprecedented times requiring us to stack precious metals. Protect yourself from out-of-control governments, evil central banks, and the failing US dollar’s grip as the world’s reserve currency. Make sure you build a stack of silver rounds, silver bars, silver coins, and gold coins as essential barter and wealth preservation!

    https://youtu.be/AmK3mYq61pY?si=YBB-qXwLvoUrd6TX

  • Gustan Cho

    Administrator
    October 18, 2025 at 1:37 pm

    Silver has surged past $50… but according to my guest, this is just the beginning. In this interview, we dig into what’s driving the explosive move in silver, why this run feels different, and what could be next for the market.

    https://youtu.be/8eQpeWNl5r0?si=PdYWzHQXky05HkZ2

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