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   Cameron

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Saturday August 22 2026

  Cameron Posted on August 23, 2026 at 2:00 am  | Total Activities:  10

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS WEEKEND EDITION: Mortgage Rates at 6.65% as Housing Slumps, Oil Surges, and Wall Street Wobbles — August 22, 2026

  August 22, 2026, mortgage and housing news: rates, CPI, jobs, home prices, stocks, gold, oil, property taxes, and affordability from GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS.

  Saturday, August 22, 2026

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS | National Mortgage, Housing, Financial, and Economic News

  As the weekend arrives, the United States finds itself navigating one of 2026’s most unusual economic landscapes. Wall Street recovered on Friday. Gold prices rose to $4,600, and oil surpassed $90 per barrel. Long-term Treasury yields reached levels last seen in 2007. Mortgage rates stayed above 6.5%.

  New home construction declined, existing home sales fell, and consumer sentiment showed unease. Amid all this, a fresh U.S.-Canada trade dispute burst onto the scene Saturday.

  Today’s conditions don’t fit the mold of a standard housing slowdown or an obvious recession. Some sectors of the economy remain strong. The U.S. service sector grew in August, and employment is steady at 4.1%. However, challenges persist, including rising housing costs, higher consumer debt and mortgage delinquencies, inflation concerns from oil price increases, and high long-term interest rates.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News: Weekend Edition for Saturday, August 22, 2026.

  Data note: U.S. stock exchanges, the primary Treasury market, and most major commodity markets are closed Saturday. Market prices below are the latest verified Friday, August 21, closing or late-session figures. CPI, employment, housing, and home-price statistics are released periodically by federal agencies and industry organizations, not continuously in real time.

  Canada Trade War Escalates, and Inflation Gets Another Wild Card

  A major economic development emerged on Saturday. The United States imposed new 50% tariffs on $20 billion in Canadian goods following failed trade negotiations. In response, on Saturday, Prime Minister Mark Carney implemented counter-tariffs on September 8, 2026, against U.S. goods, including steel, appliances, electronics, dairy products, agricultural equipment, and pulp and paper.

  What does the U.S.-Canada Trade War Mean to Potential Home Buyers?

  Tariffs may raise prices of construction materials, manufactured goods, and transportation components, potentially affecting housing costs. The impact depends on the scope and duration of the tariffs, availability of substitutes, and whether businesses absorb or pass these costs to consumers. The immediate concern is the psychological impact of rising inflation and increased government borrowing. Higher borrowing costs and volatile inflation driven by oil prices add pressure. Additional cost increases would further strain the mortgage market.

  Rates Refuse to Give Homebuyers the Break They Need
  

  Latest 30 Year Mortgage Rate Just About 6.65%

  Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey reported an average of 6.65% for 30-year mortgages and 5.95% for 15-year mortgages from August 20.

  Although rates have dropped from levels above 7%, they remain high. Combined with current home prices, affordability remains a challenge.

  Mortgage rates directly affect home prices, monthly payments, loan qualification, and refinancing decisions. Prospective homebuyers should note that Freddie Mac’s Mortgage Rate Survey provides an average; individual rates can vary significantly based on several factors.

  Mortgage Applications Continue to Finalize Deals

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported mortgage application volume fell 0.4% for the week ending August 14. The unadjusted Purchase Index was 3% lower than the same time last year.

  Refinances rose 2% this week but are down 18% from last year. The MBA cites affordability and rising interest rates as the main reasons for delayed purchases.

  New construction financing remains weak. MBA reports purchases of newly built homes fell 5.7% from last year, with the annual rate dropping to 647,000 units. Even with deals still closing, high mortgage rates are likely to keep millions of would-be buyers on the sidelines for now.

  Housing Construction Just Hit a Wall
  

  July Housing Starts Plunged

  This month’s most troubling housing numbers came from the residential construction front. U.S. housing starts fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,239,000 in July, down 12.4% from June and 13.5% from July 2025.

  Single-family starts dropped nearly 10% for the month. Permits increased over the prior month, but the sharp decline in starts indicates continued caution among builders.

  Given the current market, industry players have every reason to remain cautious. Builders are operating in a market with high mortgage rates, limited affordability, and buyers who often have lower-rate existing mortgages.

  Builders are Having To Lower Prices

  Builder confidence, measured by the National Association of Home Builders, showed no improvement at 35 and remains below the neutral level of 50 for the 16th consecutive month.

  An NAHB survey found 35% of builders reported price cuts averaging 6%, and 63% used sales incentives. These conditions create opportunities for buyers in certain markets.

  Buyers unable to negotiate with individual homeowners may receive closing cost assistance, upgrades, temporary rate buydowns, or price reductions from builders. This trend underscores how rare builder incentives are when demand is booming.

  Is the U.S. Housing Market Crashing? The National Numbers Say Not Yet
  

  Existing-Home Sales Fell, but Prices Are Still Higher Than Last Year

  The National Association of Realtors reported that July existing-home sales fell 1.7% from June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million homes. Yet the national median existing-home sales price reached approximately $434,100, up 2.0% from a year earlier.

  Inventory stood at roughly 1.54 million homes, representing about 4.6 months of supply. Calling the current national housing market a crash would be jumping the gun.

  Transaction volume is low, affordability is poor, sellers in some markets are making concessions, builders are discounting, and some metros are softer than others. Across the country, the median existing-home price still tops last year’s mark. What we’re really seeing is a deep affordability and transaction slump, with local prices moving in all directions.

  The American Affordability Crisis Is Bigger Than Mortgage Rates
  

  Buying the Typical Home Still Consumes a Huge Share of Household Income

  NAHB’s latest affordability analysis found that conditions worsened again in the second quarter. A median-income family needed roughly 34% of its income to afford the median-priced new home. A lower-income household would need approximately 67%.

  The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) said the median family would need to spend roughly 36% of its income on a median-priced existing home, while a lower-income household would need to spend roughly 71%.

  The burden was especially pronounced in high-cost coastal markets. Mortgage rates are just one piece of the affordability puzzle. Property taxes, insurance, HOA dues, upkeep, wages, and consumer debt all play a role in what buyers can truly afford.

  Latest CPI: Inflation Is Still Running Above the Fed’s Goal
  

  July CPI Rose 3.4% From a Year Earlier

  Per the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index for July 2022 was 0.1% higher than the previous month and 3.4% higher than July 2021. Excluding food and energy, the CPI Core increased by 0.2% this past month and by 2.5% from July 2021.

  In the last year, food prices rose 3.0%, while energy prices jumped 14.7%, with gas prices increasing 24.6% from July 2021.

  Although July’s CPI shows. While July’s CPI marks progress compared to past inflation spikes, it still sits above the Fed’s 2% goal at 3.4%. The latest jump in oil prices could soon show up in future inflation data.” Many consumers search for “live CPI”; however, CPI is not a real-time number.

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics issues

  CPI reports monthly to indicate price changes across the United States economy. The most recent CPI report is from July 2026, published on August 12, 2026. For families grappling with unpredictable gas, electricity, and fuel costs, the timing of these reports matters more than ever.

  The Federal Reserve Finds Itself Boxed in By Rising Prices and Decelerating Employment

  At its July meeting, the Federal Reserve kept the federal funds target range steady at 3.50% to 3.75%. The contradictions in policy are hard to miss. Increasing interest rates would put additional pressure on housing, employment, business, and consumer markets. Cutting rates would mean inflation, particularly that caused by disruptions in trade and energy, would accelerate again.

  An August Reuters poll found most economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates steady through 2026, though rising inflation, changing employment, or geopolitical crises could alter this outlook.

  Borrowers should note that the Federal Reserve does not set 30-year mortgage rates. These are determined by Treasury yields, mortgage-backed securities, inflation, economic conditions, and market demand.

  Warning Signs Flash in the July Jobs Report: Payrolls Declined by 23,000
  

  Unemployment Holds at 4.1%, but Hiring Slows

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. employers reduced payrolls by 23,000 to 25,000 jobs in July. Local government, education, and retail trade declined, while healthcare employment continued to grow. Negative payroll data does not signal a recession. However, the emerging trend is concerning and should be closely monitored by housing professionals. Employment remains the foundation of a stable mortgage market.

  Homeowners might weather higher rates and costs as long as jobs hold steady. But if employment takes a lasting hit, the housing market could look very different.

  The Average American Is Feeling the Squeeze Even When the Economy Isn’t in Recession
  

  Household Debt Is Still Near $18.8 Trillion

  The total household debt in the United States was $18.8 trillion at the end of the second quarter of the year, reported by the New York Federal Reserve. Mortgage balances totaled $13.12 trillion, while credit card balances were $1.263 trillion.

  Four point seven percent of all household debt was delinquent. The overall delinquency rate was improving, but the New York Fed stated that credit card and auto loan delinquencies started to rise in the second quarter.

  Auto loans totaled $1.713 trillion. These numbers don’t point to mass insolvency, but they do shed light on why so many Americans feel squeezed, even as the economic signals send mixed messages.

  Consumer Confidence Just Slumped Again

  According to the University of Michigan, its preliminary August Consumer Sentiment Index fell from 55.2 in July to 51.0, down from 58.2 in August of 2021. One-year inflation expectations increased by 4.3%, while five-year expectations remained at 3.3%. Some warning signs are flashing for consumers, even with stock indexes riding high. U.S. retail and food services sales totaled $763.6 billion in July, with a 0.6% decrease from June and 5.0% increase from the previous year.

  While the decrease in sales from June to July suggests the month may have been challenging for some retailers, other retail service metrics showed signs of strength.

  Climbing sales, shrinking savings, pricier goods, surging gas costs, and steep credit rates—paired with gloomy consumer sentiment—put retail services on shaky ground. These same signals spell trouble for the retail mortgage market, too. For the fourth consecutive quarter, serious mortgage delinquencies have increased. Mortgage delinquencies for the second quarter ended at 4.37%, a 7 basis point decrease from the first quarter, but a 44 basis point increase from the same time last year.

  Loans in Foreclosure Increased to 0.67%.

  The most concerning statistic was the number of seriously delinquent mortgages. This rate remained unchanged at 2.06%.

  Increases in mortgage delinquency and foreclosure are likely to be higher among less financially stable borrowers. This does not suggest an imminent recurrence of a nationwide mortgage crisis, foreclosure crisis, or recession. Still, the data show mortgage stress is mounting, especially for borrowers on shakier financial footing.

  The Mortgage Lending Industry Is Weak—but It Is Not Collapsing Across the Board

  Competition in the mortgage lending world is fiercer than ever. Constrained production volumes, paired with already record-low mortgage interest rates, make refinance opportunities scarce, while production expenses remain high. Mortgage and bank lending companies must fight for an even smaller pie of market-qualified transactions. However, certain data offer valuable insight into these trends.

  According to MBA, the second quarter of 2022 saw an increase in profit margins for independent mortgage banks. With rates ranging from $727 to $973 per loan, these banks are finding ways to become more profitable.

  It is inaccurate to describe the mortgage lending industry as “collapsing.” The market is weak, with high costs, intense competition, and stressed borrowers, but profit margins. This is the kind of reporting consumers truly deserve. Consumers deserve.

  WALL STREET CRASH WATCH: The Dow Is Above 53,000—but Nobody Knows When the Next Crash Comes
  

  Friday’s Rally Did Not Erase a Losing Week

  At the end of this week, after a strong last day, the S&P 500 had declined 1.43%, the Nasdaq fell 2.05%, and the Dow declined 0.85%. Looking further back, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq entered bear territory during the week, indicating broader market weakness.

  Market valuations, when compared to traditional valuation metrics, are high. In addition, the high levels of interest in the first few stock market trading days related to the AI technology have given some stocks unprecedented high valuations.

  In addition, high bond yields are disrupting. These worries are anything but imaginary. They are real concerns. However, GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS does not assert that a major market crash is certain to occur on a specific date.

  Such predictions remain inherently uncertain.

  The Bond Market May Be Sending a Bigger Warning

  The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield spiked to 5.34 percent during the seven days, a level not seen since 2007. The sell-off of government long-dated bonds reflects fear of inflation, increased government borrowing, insufficient revenue to fund unmet spending, and geopolitical strife. In response to market volatility, the Treasury Department announced larger Treasury purchases. Housing looms large as a concern.s a huge concern.

  Long-term Treasury yields determine the price of securities and influence the housing mortgage market. Rising long-term yields mean the Fed’s interest rate increases may not affect the housing mortgage market.

  There is substantial evidence supporting a bearish outlook: valuations are elevated, government spending is high, geopolitical conditions are volatile, oil prices are elevated, and economic activity is stagnant. Consumer spending is not universal. But not everyone is wearing a bear’s fur. UBS Global Wealth Management has a positive view for 2022 and set its S&P 500 target at 8,100. Responsible reporting means showing the trends that back up the bullish case, not dressing up guesses as facts.

  GOLD CLOCKS IN ABOVE $4,600: Investors Send a Message
  

  Gold Ends the Week Closing at $4,623.94 an Ounce

  • Precious metals had one of the most significant stories in financial markets this week.
  • Friday saw a 2.4% gain with spot gold closing at $4,623.94/oz, and a session high of $4,631.99/oz.
  • U.S. gold futures closed at $4,680.60/oz.
  • Silver closed at approx. $69.62/oz, while platinum closed at approx. $1,878.58/oz, and palladium at approx. $1,344.96/oz.
  • Gold surged over 5% this week, notching its third consecutive weekly gain.

  Can Gold Hit $4,700?

  • Reuters tech. Analysts mentioned approx. $4,700 as a possible level if this continues.
  • However, this should not be considered a definitive prediction.
  • The bullish case for gold is easy to sum up.
  • Defensive asset demand exists along with uncertainty, geopolitical issues, a weakening dollar, and concerns about fiscal policy and interest rates.
  • The bearish case for gold is the opposite: a strong dollar, real yields, lower geopolitical tensions, and profit-taking.
  • Gold can become riskier, but it may also help mitigate other risks.

  Update on Oil Price and Oil Forecast

  • OIL LEAPS UP AGAIN – and that can affect everything from groceries to mortgage rates
  • Brent settled at approx. $94.39/bbl and WTI settled at $87.06/bbl.
  • Brent gained approx. 6.39% this week, and WTI gained approx 5.66%.
  • Shipping disruptions and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain mainstays of this market.
  • Oil prices ripple far beyond the gas station.
  • Transportation, shipping, plastics, manufacturing, airline, and construction costs are all affected by oil prices.
  • Bond returns increase, driving up mortgage rates.
  • That’s why oil prices matter to every would-be homebuyer, even if they never set foot in the oil business.

  Property-Tax Shock: These States Carry Some of America’s Heaviest Burdens

  Homebuyers are more concerned with mortgage rates, but property taxes degrade affordability. Homebuyers may zero in on mortgage rates, but property taxes can quietly add nearly $4,500 to the annual bill, making a big dent in affordability.

  Potential buyers should investigate not only the mortgage payment but also the full obligations of homeownership when comparing offers.

  State Budget Stress Is Spreading

  • Drawdowns from rainy-day funds have increased in 16 states’ planned 2027 budgets, an unusually high number during an economic expansion.
  • A state’s funding status, especially budget stress, affects its property tax rate.
  • A state’s fiscal position, especially budget stress, influences its property tax rates.
  • New York’s state comptroller revealed a $277 billion enacted budget for fiscal 2027 with projected out-year budget gaps of $31.8 billion.
  • Budget deficits do not mean property taxes will increase.
  • Budget deficits do not necessarily mean property taxes will increase.
  • At an annualized rate, real GDP grew by approximately 1.5% in the second quarter, down from 2.1% in the first quarter.
  • This is sluggish growth—not a recession.

  Economic and Financial News

  And one of the most important developments in today’s economy actually represents slow growth, not a recession. Business surveys showed that U.S. services activity is the fastest in 24 months. All these factors help explain the puzzling contradictions in today’s U.S. economy.

  • Housing is slowing down.
  • Consumers show anxiety.
  • Payrolls show caution.
  • Services show expansion.
  • Oil shows inflation.
  • Gold shows uncertainty.
  • Stocks show investors are willing to take risks.
  • Bonds show long term money is getting expensive.
  • All these signals can exist side by side.
  • Waiting to buy does not guarantee you’ll snag a lower price or a better mortgage rate.
  • Rates could fall, stay put, or climb higher.
  • But with the market cooling, buyers now have negotiating power that was unheard of during the frenzy of bidding wars.

  Builder perks, seller sweeteners, price cuts, rate buydowns, and a larger supply of homes can all help level the playing field for buyers facing tough financing. The smartest move depends on your income, savings, credit, how long you plan to stay, total debt, loan type, and your local market.

  Even a rock-bottom mortgage rate won’t erase all financial risks—taxes, insurance, upkeep, and inflation can still stretch your budget.

  There may be valid financial reasons to refinance a mortgage even if the new rate is higher than the current one. Consumers and investors will pay attention to the July report on the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index and wait to see other economic indicators and Nvidia’s report next Thursday.

  Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is set to speak at the Jackson Hole economic symposium at the end of the week. Traders will look for comments regarding inflation, rates, and policy.

  Trading is expected to be active across Treasuries, stocks, precious metals, and mortgage pricing as inflation, rates, and monetary policy shift.

  Why GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS Takes a Different Approach to Covering the Economy

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS is founded on the principle that mortgage news cannot be separated from other developments affecting American families. Shifts in oil prices can sway mortgage rates, consumer spending, and housing activity. Rising unemployment, meanwhile, raises the risk of mortgage delinquencies. An anticipated Treasury auction can offset the effects of lower mortgage rates. A decline in the housing market can occur alongside growth in other markets.

  Accordingly, GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS and WEEKEND EDITION present the economy as a holistic unit, integrating all factors affecting employment, inflation, housing, mortgages, credit, and financial markets within a single comprehensive report.

  GCA Mortgage Forums is built by Gustan Cho Associates. Current GCA disclosures state that Gustan Cho Associates is built by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205, and the GCA platform states an extensive multistate mortgage platform designed to operate in complex borrower situations.

  Publisher disclosure: GCA states that GCA Mortgage Forums is part of the Gustan Cho Associates organization. For a news publication, the license does not apply. Individual company and license verification should be done through the NMLS Consumer Access. Gustan Cho Associates has established itself as the mortgage niche for difficult and/or unique situations, including borrowers with manual underwriting, lower credit scores, high debt-to-income ratios, bankruptcies, non-traditional income, prior mortgage denials,, and many others. Prior mortgage denials do not mean other lenders will approve you, and no mortgage approval is guaranteed.

  Frequently Asked Questions About Mortgage Rates, Housing, and the Economy
  

  What is the Current 30-Year Mortgage Rate?

  The latest available Freddie Mac weekly benchmark for this coming weekend is approximately 6.65% for a 30-year fixed mortgage as of August 20, 2026. Individual lender quotes may vary due to factors such as the borrower’s qualifications, loan parameters, points, and market conditions.

  What Was the Last Reported CPI Inflation for the US?

  The CPI for July 2026 was released in August. Inflation for July 2026 was 3.4% for headline CPI and 2.5% for core CPI. CPI inflation data are reported monthly and not on a frequent, ongoing basis.

  
  

  What is the Latest US Unemployment Rate?

  The unemployment rate for July 2026 was 4.1%. The nonfarm payroll employment for July 2026 was 23,000. The next Employment Situation Report will be released on September 4.

  Do You Think Mortgage Rates Will Decline in 2026?

  They could, but we can’t say that for sure. There are many factors that influence mortgage rates, including inflation, Treasury yields, the Federal Reserve’s expectations, economic growth, geopolitical risks, and investor demand for mortgage-backed securities. High oil prices and upward pressure on long-term Treasury yields, combined with weak data for employment and housing, might push rates lower.

  
  

  Will We See a Decline in Home Prices?

  Not nationally, as of the latest existing-home sales. The July median existing-home sales price was $434,100, an increase of 2% from last year. Keep in mind that the national median price can differ significantly across individual markets or regions.

  
  

  Will There Be a Housing Crash?

  Sales activity and construction are slowing, with high demand and low affordability suggesting that a crash could occur. However, median existing-home sales are still higher than last year.

  Will the Stock Market Crash?

  In the absence of time travel, nobody can predict when a major stock market crash will occur. Some of the bothersome signs are valuations, long-term yields on U.S. Treasuries, government debt, geopolitical issues, and inflation (which, as you probably know, is driven by energy costs). However, corporate profits and GDP growth could theoretically strengthen the stock market. Based on Friday’s action, market timing is probably a losing proposition.

  
  

  Why is Gold Spiking So Much?

  Gold is favored by many investors because of low-yielding bonds, inflation concerns, turbulence in the bond market, geopolitical risks, and foreign exchange volatility. Gold reached $4,623.94 an ounce on Friday, but can fall just as quickly.

  Why Does the Price of Oil Impact Mortgage Interest Rates?

  Energy and transportation costs represent a significant chunk of the economy. Higher goods prices due to inflation raise inflation expectations and yields on U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, thereby increasing mortgage rates. The relationship isn’t exact, so an increase in oil doesn’t necessarily cause a change in mortgage rates.

  
  

  Which States Have the Highest Property-Tax Rates?

  The latest analysis from ATTOM places Illinois, New Jersey, Vermont, Connecticut, and Ohio in the top five spots for average property tax burden. Property tax amounts vary by county, municipality, and even at the individual level, depending on the number of exemptions and individual assessments.

  Are There More Mortgage Delinquencies Today Than in the Past?
  

  There are more delinquencies today than there were a year ago. MBA reports that in the second quarter of 2026, the mortgage delinquency rate was 44 basis points higher than the previous year. Serious delinquency rates increased for four successive quarters. The overall delinquency rate improved slightly compared to the prior quarter.

  What Kind of Housing Market is This? Buyer’s or Seller’s?
  

  It depends on your perspective. Buyer’s markets exist, but there are areas with low inventory. Builders protect margins by extending the incentive period. Year-over-year, builders have more inventory, so buyers have some leverage in most markets where there was previously little to no supply.

  Can a Potential Home Buyer Still Apply for a Mortgage After a Mortgage Application Was Previously Denied?

  This is possible. Since individual banks set different loan program limits and lending overlays, potential buyers who were turned away by one bank may be approved by another. A previous denial does not guarantee approval for a loan. The borrower’s entire credit and income profile must be reviewed.

  
  

  In the News: Follow the Story

  • The next big movement in the housing market may begin in the bond market.
  • The next move in mortgage rates may depend on the inflation report.
  • The next reason it may be hard to afford a house has less to do with the price of the house and more to do with insurance costs, taxes, and energy costs.
  • And the next great mortgage opportunity could be right in front of most people while they focus on yesterday’s news.

  The objective of GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS is to identify connections, verify data, and provide clear analysis regarding the implications for homebuyers, homeowners, mortgage and real estate professionals, and American households.

  You are encouraged to join the conversation rather than remain on the sidelines. You can share local observations, ask mortgage questions, discuss the economy, and present borrower scenarios within GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS uses its NEWS platform to deliver facts, mortgage insights, and foster a national, active conversation. It distinguishes “breaking news” by separating what happened on Saturday from Friday’s market close and official monthly statistics releases.

  This distinction is intended to build trust and provide the “live news” experience this format offers.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YdAXkfOsLZo

  View All

  View Last Reply:  Cameron replied 14 hours, 37 minutes ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   0 Replies
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Cameron

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Friday August 21 2026

  Cameron Posted on August 22, 2026 at 1:05 am  | Total Activities:  10

  GCA Mortgage Forums Daily News: Mortgage Rates, Housing, Gold, Oil & Economy – Friday, August 21, 2026

  GCA Mortgage Forums Daily News for Aug. 21, 2026: mortgage rates, housing, CPI, employment, stocks, gold, oil, taxes, consumer spending, trade, and the economy.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS: August 21, 2026: Mortgage Rates Move Higher, Gold Surges, Oil Near $94, Housing Stalls
  

  Friday, August 21, 2026

  National Mortgage and Financial News

  The U.S. economy has both strong areas and weak spots, and each sector is experiencing its own challenges and successes.

  After Thursday’s drop, the Dow rose again at the start of trading. Long-term Treasury yields reached levels not seen since 2007.

  Gold hit a three-month high. Mortgage rates stayed around the mid-6% range. July jobs fell by 23,000. New single-family mortgage requests dropped to their lowest in over a year, and home sales continued to slow.

  Some sectors are shrinking, and the stock market has seen some declines, but the current situation does not look like a typical recession. Many areas of the economy are still performing well. Jobless claims are steady at 4.1 percent, and investors are buying more assets than ever. Company profits and business activity are strong, and unemployment claims are low. However, higher borrowing costs, rising energy and housing prices, and ongoing inflation are making it harder for families to manage their budgets.

  These are the Headlines Shaping Friday, August 21, 2026

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS provides news and analysis on mortgage rates, housing, and the economy. Market note: Prices of stocks, bonds, oil, gold, and other financial markets fluctuate during trading hours. All intraday numbers in this report are time-stamped as needed.

  BREAKING ECONOMIC ALERT: The Bond Market May Be the Biggest Story in America Right Now

  Most news focuses on the Dow, but people looking to borrow money should really watch the bond market. Longer-term U.S. Treasury yields moved higher this week as some investors began to worry about federal government spending, inflation, and the cost of that spending. Concerns in financial markets have been so great that the U.S. Treasury Department has been forced to expand its purchases of government securities.

  Why Should Homeowners in Florida, Texas, Ohio, or Arizona Care About Treasury Bonds?

  Mortgage rates are tied to long-term risks in government bonds. When government debt rises, it creates uncertainty about future interest rates. Even if higher debt payments are not a problem right now, many mortgage borrowers still worry about what government borrowing might mean for them.

  The Federal Reserve only has an indirect effect on long-term mortgage rates. The main factors that influence these rates are long-term Treasury yields, expected inflation, lender fees, and demand for mortgage-backed securities.

  LIVE MORTGAGE RATE WATCH: 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgages Average 6.65%

  Freddie Mac’s latest data shows the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.65%, down from 6.67% the previous week. The 15-year fixed rate was 5.95%, down slightly from 5.96%. Even though rates dipped slightly, this small change does little to address the ongoing affordability problem.

  With mortgage rates near 6% and high home prices, buyers face much higher monthly payments than when rates were lower.

  Actual rates depend on credit score, loan type, property, occupancy, and fees. Survey rates may not match individual offers. Different programs are available, including FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, jumbo, and Non-QM loans.

  Why Mortgage Rates Could Stay Volatile

  The next major influences will be higher Treasury yields and inflation expectations, followed by oil prices and the Federal Reserve’s actions. Long-term yields will probably remain unpredictable, and rising oil prices make it even harder to know where mortgage rates are going. Higher oil prices also mean higher costs for transportation, manufacturing, and everyday consumers. Mortgage rates could fall significantly, but there is no guarantee they will drop quickly or go back to the low levels we saw before.

  Mortgage Applications Are Losing Momentum Again

  Very few people are applying for mortgages right now. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), total mortgage application volume fell 0.4% last week (ending August 14). Purchase applications dropped 2%, while refinancing applications rose 2% but were 18% lower than the same week. Higher mortgage payments are causing big affordability problems, according to the MBA, which is closely linked to the slowdown in new home building.

  Mortgage payments for new home purchases also fell by 5.7% from a year ago in July and by 1% from June. The MBA also estimated that new home sales for the month were at an annual rate of 647,000, the third drop in a row decrease.

  This has the mortgage industry worried, since transaction volume is its lifeblood. The numbers show a very slow housing market, leaving buyers across the country frustrated by constant market changes. Existing home sales also fell by 1.7% last month to a rate of 4.06 million homes, but sales for the same time last year were 0.7% higher.

  Home Affordability: Median Prices of Homes

  The median price for existing homes was $434,100 (a 2.0% increase from last year), and unsold homes made up 4.6 months of supply. Home sales are slow, but steady price growth suggests buyers are not expecting a crash like the one in 2008.

  There are more warning signs in residential construction. July single-family home building started at its lowest level since late 2022, falling 9.9%, the biggest drop since the pandemic.

  Total housing starts fell 12.4%, and pending home sales. The current low number of new homes being built could worsen future supply problems, especially in places that already lack enough entry-level homes. First-time buyers now face fewer choices, higher borrowing costs, and persistently high home prices.

  PAYMENT MATTERS MORE THAN THE LIST

  When buying a home, people often focus on the price tag and miss what is most important. For people getting a mortgage, the monthly payment is what matters most.

  A homebuyer has to pay not just the house price, but also principal and interest, property taxes, homeowners’ insurance, and sometimes PMI, HOA fees, flood insurance, or other charges.

  In many places, property taxes and insurance are just as important as the mortgage interest rate. As mortgage rates, insurance, and property taxes go up, a home that looks affordable at first can quickly become too expensive, especially for first-time buyers, compared to previous years.

  LIVE CPI REPORT: INFLATION IS 3.4%, BUT ENERGY IS THE NUMBER TO WATCH

  The CPI for July was 3.4% higher than a year ago, but it is causing less trouble than last month, as it rose by only 0.1%.

  Core inflation (excluding food and energy) increased by 0.2% in July and 2.5% relative to last year. Nearly two-thirds of the monthly increase in the headline CPI was attributable to shelter, which rose 0.1% this month.

  The July CPI headline numbers do not show the large increase in energy prices that consumers have dealt with over the past year.

  Energy prices increased by 14.7%, and gasoline prices surged by 24.6% over the same period. Food prices increased by 3.0%.

  This is why many families are not impressed by the latest CPI numbers. Even if prices rise more slowly, life only feels easier when prices actually stop going up.

  PRECAUTIONARY JOBS REPORT: U.S. PAYROLLS PLUMMETED BY 23,000 IN JULY

  This report deserves a closer look. The mortgage and housing industries should pay special attention, since it shows a loss of 23,000 nonfarm jobs in July and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. Jobs in financial activities were lost this month, along with declines in retail trade and government employment. Health care continued to show job growth.

  Labor force participation is 61.4% for the month. The data suggest that a recession driven by large job losses is unlikely. Weekly unemployment claims are low, and employers are not cutting jobs fast enough for a recession to happen.

  Jobs Report and Employment Numbers

  Hiring is clearly losing steam, which matters even more for the housing market. If a family is worried about job security, they are unlikely to buy a $400,000 home, even if they qualify on paper. On Friday morning, Wall Street went up after a drop on Thursday. At 11:47am EST, the Dow Jones was up 471 points (0.89%) at 53,231.61.

  The S&P 500 rose 0.66% to 7,691.42, and the Nasdaq increased 0.65%. Still, this rebound does not solve investors’ bigger concerns.

  The Dow is heading for its worst week since March, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are about to end their three-week winning streaks. Higher long-term Treasury yields have especially hurt technology stocks, since high-growth tech companies are now seen as more expensive. As we approach next week, the focus shifts toward the expected speech of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and the upcoming Nvidia earnings.

  FACT CHECK: IS THE STOCK MARKET DEFINITELY GOING TO?

  It’s probably unwise to be overly optimistic right now. Long-term Treasuries. Long-term Treasury yields have increased. U.S. federal debt is now over $40 trillion. Technology company values are under more scrutiny. Oil prices have risen sharply. Geopolitical tensions are still present. California’s nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office also said the stock market looks high, and a drop would hurt the state’s budget because California relies heavily on stock market gains for income. No one can say for sure if the stock market will crash. conflicting evidence.

  Investment in U.S. Equities

  Investment in U.S. equities during the week of August 19th amounted to $11.72 billion, and approximately 85% of those companies reporting earnings beat the market’s analyst expectations.

  UBS Global Wealth Management revised its expected closing value of the S&P 500 from 5,900 to 8,100 based on its predictions of future earnings.

  Markets might look overvalued, keep rising, adjust without a crash, or drop suddenly without warning analysis can predict what will No reliable analysis can predict what will happen next. GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS looks at signs of overvalued markets but does not state these as facts.

  Returns to American Households

  Energy is now one of the biggest unknowns for inflation and interest rates. Brent crude rose to approximately $93.86 per barrel on Friday, while West Texas Intermediate climbed to approximately $86.99. Oil had risen for six consecutive sessions as concerns over Iran, sanctions, and supply disruptions intensified.

  The Strait of Hormuz remains central to the risk, as disruptions along one of the world’s most important energy corridors can quickly affect global oil markets.

  Rising crude oil prices affect more than just Wall Street—they impact everyone’s daily life. These prices eventually influence the cost of gasoline, diesel, air travel, trucking, shipping, manufacturing, building materials, and even food. That’s why people with mortgages should watch oil prices. If energy prices stay high, it can make inflation and bond markets less predictable, which could keep mortgage rates from falling.

  Oil Price Forecast: Volatility Is the Safest Prediction

  Oil prices could rise if supply problems worsen or sanctions reduce available crude. They could also fall a lot if geopolitical.

  Predicting oil prices for the next few months is still just a guess next few months is still just a guess. The key question for the mortgage market is whether crude oil prices stay high long enough to affect overall inflation expectations.

  GOLD SURGES ABOVE $4,600 AS INVESTORS HUNT FOR SAFETY

  Precious metals are showing their own trends. Gold surged to a three-month high Friday, reaching approximately $4,620.14 per ounce, up about 2.1% for the session, according to Reuters.

  Silver climbed to approximately $69.52 per ounce. Platinum was near $1,879.79, while palladium traded around $1,341.71. Gold was heading toward its third consecutive weekly gain, with the metal up more than 5% for the week.

  The increase in gold prices has been driven by a weaker U.S. dollar, technical factors, and investors seeking safety amid economic uncertainty. Geopolitical risks remain high, debt concerns persist, and investors are seeking ways to protect their investments. But gold prices rarely move in a straight line or in a predictable way.

  Update on Mortgage Rates and Forecast

  Higher real interest rates, a stronger dollar, and less geopolitical fear can affect gold prices, which do not rise steadily. Higher real interest rates, a stronger dollar, and less geopolitical risk can all affect gold prices. Gold does not always rise steadily, since it is traded both as a precious metal and as an industrial material recent price jump is important, but it doesn’t mean more gains are guaranteed. The situation is more complicated than just saying everyone is struggling or everyone is doing well.

  Household Debt and Credit Card Balances

  Total household debt stood at approximately $18.77 trillion in the second quarter of 2026, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Mortgage balances totaled approximately $13.12 trillion.

  Credit-card balances increased to approximately $1.263 trillion, auto-loan balances reached $1.713 trillion, and HELOC balances climbed to $459 billion.

  About 4.7% of household debt was behind on payments. Early-payment rates rose slightly for mortgages and auto loans, while credit-card late payments stayed mostly steady. Those numbers do not point to a household credit crisis. They show that American consumers are carrying large amounts of debt as borrowing costs rise.

  AMERICANS ARE TRADING

  Americans have more debt as borrowing costs continue to rise. Shoppers are focusing on essentials, buying less, and searching for deals. High financing costs are causing people to delay big purchases and home improvements.

  Retail sales declined 0.6% in July, the first monthly decline in nine months. This is another reason why calling the economy “strong” can feel disconnected from what many families are actually experiencing.

  This is another reason why calling the economy “strong” does not match what many families are going through. Households feel the effects through costs like rent, mortgages, groceries, insurance, utilities, and loan payments—not through GDP numbers.

  PROPERTY TAX SHOCK: SOME HOMEOWNERS ARE GETTING HIT HARD

  Mortgage rates are only one part of housing affordability. Property taxes are becoming a major concern for budgets in many areas. ATTOM’s latest comprehensive national analysis found that property taxes levied on single-family homes totaled approximately $396.8 billion in 2025, up 3.7% from the previous year. The average tax bill reached approximately $4,427, up about 3%. Among large metropolitan areas, some of the biggest annual increases in average property-tax bills included Memphis at roughly 34%, Baltimore at 27%, St. Louis at 11%, Houston at 10%, and Kansas City at 8%.

  States with High Property Taxes

  Illinois had one of the highest effective property tax rates at approximately 1.84%, followed by New Jersey at 1.58%. New Jersey also recorded the highest average single-family property tax bill at roughly $10,499. If you have an escrow account, a property tax increase can raise your monthly mortgage payment, even if your interest rate and loan balance remain unchanged. These unexpected increases can be especially challenging for borrowers already facing financial difficulties.

  STATE BUDGET WARNING: NEW YORK, CALIFORNIA, AND MARYLAND FACE

  A state might have a balanced budget today, but still face major financial problems in the future. That difference is important. Distinction is crucial.

  New York Faces $31.8 Billion in Projected Out-Year Budget Gaps

  New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli reported that the state’s $277 billion fiscal-year 2027 budget includes projected cumulative out-year gaps of approximately $31.8 billion.

  The state’s financial plan projects annual spending exceeding receipts, raising concerns about long-term sustainability.

  California Is Balanced Now — But Structural Risks Remain

  California’s administration says the current budget is balanced and the state has eliminated its near-term deficit through July 2028. However, California’s nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office has presented a more cautious long-term assessment.

  The LAO estimated future annual deficits of nearly $10 billion under the May Revision assumptions and noted that the budget relied heavily on reserve actions and borrowing.

  The enacted legislative plan also projects an operating deficit of approximately $9.7 billion. Both statements are true: California can have a legally balanced budget for now but still face long-term financial challenges. structural pressures.

  Maryland’s Structural Shortfall Could Grow Sharply

  Maryland’s Department of Legislative Services projects a fiscal-year 2027 structural shortfall of approximately $600 million, expanding to roughly $2.57 billion in fiscal 2028 and $3.44 billion by fiscal 2030 under current assumptions.

  When states face budget problems, it can affect homeowners because governments might cut spending, raise taxes, increase fees, or seek other ways to raise revenue.

  MORTGAGE DELINQUENCIES: THE MAIN NUMBER LOOKS BETTER, BUT THE UNDERLYING TREND IS CONCERNING

  This headline figure deserves a closer look. The overall mortgage delinquency rate declined slightly to 4.37% in the second quarter of 2026, according to MBA. This looks like good news. But the delinquency rate was 44 basis points higher than one year earlier, and foreclosure inventory increased to 0.67%.

  More concerning, the seriously delinquent rate—loans at least 90 days delinquent or in foreclosure—rose to 2.06%, its fourth consecutive quarterly increase and 49 basis points above a year earlier.

  FHA serious delinquencies were up 227 basis points from Maine, Michigan, Mississippi, Kansas, West Virginia, Kentucky, and South Carolina saw some of the biggest increases in mortgage delinquencies this quarter. This does not mean we are heading for another foreclosure crisis like in 2008.ke the one in 2008. GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS will continue to closely monitor mortgage performance trends.

  MORTGAGE INDUSTRY SURVIVING STRESS

  Some mortgage professionals say the industry is collapsing, but that is not true. The industry is holding up despite challenges like affordability issues, weak refinancing incentives, and fewer transactions. According to MBA data, “Independent mortgage banks and mortgage subsidiaries actually reported improving production profitability in the second quarter.”

  Lenders have better margins and are managing expenses well. While purchase and refinance volumes are low, that is not the only issue.

  Companies that depend on frequent refinances and high loan volume with low margins are most at risk. Lenders are now looking for opportunities in specialty lending and helping borrowers who need more complex underwriting. If you are thinking about buying, do not let the news rush your decision. A slower market can give you more room to negotiate.

  Getting Qualified and Pre-Approved for a Mortgage

  Getting pre-approved is still important, and you should update your pre-approval if rates or taxes change. If you are thinking about selling and have a low-rate mortgage, you probably are not in a hurry For current homeowners, refinancing might not make sense if you locked in a low rate in past years. Taking cash out with a 3% or 4% mortgage may not be a good idea with today’s higher rates.

  Many borrowers are comparing cash-out refinances with options like HELOCs, second mortgages, and other home equity loans. The mortgage with the lowest rate is not always the cheapest overall.ensive overall.

  Home sellers should know that today’s buyers care most about monthly payments. If you price a house too high, it might not sell—even if there are not many homes for sale—because buyers have to show lenders they can afford the payment. Seller concessions, temporary rate buy-downs, or a realistic price often work better than just making cosmetic changes. The market is active, but sellers should understand that buyers are more sensitive to price than ever. The right answer can be both, depending on the statistics. Home construction fell, and mortgage applications declined.

  Consumers Have More Debt and Higher Financing Costs

  Several of August’s business surveys indicated that the service sector was more active. There has been a drop in the number of layoffs. Corporate profits have held strong. There was an increase by investors to fund equity. Big predictions should be supported by solid evidence. Big, dramatic predictions should always be backed by facts. GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS points out risks without using sensational headlines.

  USING INFORMATION THAT AFFECTS REAL PEOPLE

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS is the Gustan Cho Associates network’s mortgage, housing, real estate, credit, and finances community at the national level. Gustan Cho Associates currently operates under the name Gustan Cho Associates, a DBA of Coast-2-Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, with NMLS 376205. GCA Mortgage Forums is Gustan Cho Associates’ online national community and news platform.

  For accuracy regarding regulations, the news network should not be called “NMLS licensed.” Licenses and registrations held by NMLS apply to mortgage companies and mortgage professionals, and not journalism.

  The best description in line with compliance is that GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS NEWS is a news extension of a mortgage organization that operates across multiple states, with mortgage affiliates that are licensed across a broad multi-state region. Consumers are encouraged to verify, through both the NMLS Consumer Access website and applicable state regulators, the most current status of the company, branch, and individual license.

  National Reputation of Gustan Cho Associates

  Gustan Cho Associates is known for its reviews in challenging mortgage situations. This includes mortgage scenarios in which banks have previously denied borrowers, or alternative program options are required. No lender can guarantee approval for every borrower, and every mortgage remains subject to applicable underwriting, investment,, and regulatory requirements.

  FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT MORTGAGE RATES, HOUSING, AND THE ECONOMY
  

  What are Today’s Mortgage Rates, August 21, 2026?

  The recent national weekly average released by Freddie Mac on August 20, 2026, was 6.65% for a 30-year fixed mortgage and 5.95% for a 15-year fixed mortgage. Individual quoted mortgage rates often vary depending on the borrower, lender, credit score, property, and loan program.

  Will Mortgage Rates Fall in 2026?
  

  It’s possible, but it’s unlikely to happen to a significant extent. Mortgage rates rise and fall with a variety of factors, and they are currently being pulled in all directions. They’re lower due to weaker employment and inflation data, but they’re also being pulled higher by higher Treasury yields, oil prices, and concerns about debt and geopolitical risks. Borrowers should consider the current affordable loan payments, as there is no guaranteed opportunity to refinance in the future.

  What Is the Current Rate of U.S. Inflation?

  The latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the Consumer Price Index increased by 3.4% from the previous year. The core inflation rate (excluding food and energy) was 2.5% over the same period. Energy inflation was 14.7% over the same period.

  
  

  What Is the Current Rate of U.S. Unemployment?

  The unemployment rate was 4.1% in July. There was a net loss of 23,000 jobs for the month.

  Are There Falling Home Prices Nationally in 2026?

  No. Existing home data for July shows a national median price of $434,100, a 2% increase from the previous year. Individual markets can perform differently, and while the national median price increases, there can be local markets where prices fall.

  Is a Housing Crash Expected in 2026?

  It is not anticipated that a market crash will occur. Sales and construction numbers show a slowing market. There is a growing need for affordability. National price data continue to show a median price increase. Current market data show no nationwide collapse in housing prices, as seen in 2008.

  
  

  Is a Market Crash Likely in 2026?

  None of the sources trusted to predict the market’s future behavior will provide certainty about an imminent crash. Concerns about an overvalued market, elevated yields on federal bonds, government debt, and technology stocks at all-time highs are worrisome signs. Counterarguments exist, including strong reported earnings, positive inflows from new investors, and the continuation of strong economic growth. Investors should ignore confident crash predictors; they are either liars or fools.

  
  

  Why is the Price of Gold Increasing?

  The U.S. dollar’s purchasing power is down, geopolitical and economic concerns are amplified, and hedging against government debt and a questionable monetary policy in the U.S. Gold reached $4,620 per ounce in Friday’s Reuters report.

  
  

  Why Are Oil Prices Going Up?

  Reigniting concerns of a potential military conflict with Iran, an accompanying economic sanctions policy, a precarious level of oil supply, and a disruption in the flow of Gulf oil in the Strait of Hormuz are driving oil prices. Friday’s price for Brent crude was at $94 per barrel.

  Why Are My Property Taxes Going Up So Much?

  Local governments operate on a budget, and property taxes are one of the ways those budgets are funded. With more residents moving to an area, reassessments occur, and new taxes can be levied. Additionally, a property may have new ownership and be reassessed.

  
  

  Will My Mortgage Application Be More Successful After Being Turned Down?

  Maybe. Being turned down for a mortgage by one lender does not mean all other lenders will share the same opinion, as their lending policies can differ. However, no other lender can guarantee approval of the mortgage. The mortgage application must still meet the requirements for the mortgage based on the borrower’s income, credit, and assets; the borrower’s debts; the property’s eligibility; and the requirements of the lending program.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS BOTTOM LINE:
  

  AMERICA’S ECONOMY IS ENTERING A HIGH-STAKES STRETCH

  Here is your essential update before Friday’s major events your update before Friday’s key events. Overall, Housing is slower, Home prices are not budging, July job gains are negative, and consumer debt is over $18.8 trillion. Oil is back to its inflation-causing magic.

  Gold is feeling the same way. Long-term Treasury yields have signaled a yellow light. Several states are struggling to address their long-term fiscal issues.

  Still, Wall Street is doing fairly well, with strong earnings. Job losses are low, and many sectors are still growing. That is why the next few weeks are so important. Inflation reports, signals from the Fed, Treasury actions, jobs data, and oil prices will all influence the future of mortgage rates and housing. Changes on Wall Street affect Main Street, and shifts in the bond market will impact homebuyers’ mortgages.

  JOIN GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS

  Don’t just read the news, join the conversation. Mortgage news matters most when it affects your home, credit, loan approval, or family finances. The platform welcomes consumers, mortgage and real estate professionals, industry experts, and anyone interested in discussing mortgage guidelines, underwriting, credit challenges, bankruptcy, foreclosure, FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, jumbo, Non-QM financing, and real-life mortgage issues. Check GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS and the WEEKEND EDITION for insights on how today’s market changes could affect mortgage rates, real estate, and consumer credit.

  Read the news and question what you see. Ask questions and share your mortgage concerns to get answers. GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS is here as your resource. Information is for educational and news purposes and may change after publication. Mortgage information is general and does not constitute an agreement to lend or a guarantee of approval.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xl5Z2tKSlZc

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  View Last Reply:  Cameron replied 1 day, 15 hours ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   0 Replies
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Otis

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Wednesday August 19 2026

  Otis Posted on August 20, 2026 at 11:13 pm  | Total Activities:  12

  GCA Mortgage Forums Daily News for Wednesday, August 19, 2026 — Powered by Gustan Cho Associates

  Gustan Cho Associates is a DBA of Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC NMLS 376205

  GCA Mortgage Forums News Report brings you up-to-date news backed by reliable sources and expert insights. Rather than predicting a market crash, the stock market analysis now focuses on the Market Danger Zone. This method identifies current warning signs and maintains GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS’ credibility, recognizing that no one can know exactly when a crash might occur.

  August 19, 2026, housing and mortgage news: mortgage rates, CPI, jobs, home prices, oil, gold, stocks, property taxes, affordability, and Fed policy.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS: Mortgage Rates Near 6.7% as Housing Starts Plunge, Oil Tops $91 and Gold Explodes Higher
  

  Wednesday, August 19, 2026

  Wednesday brought yet another red flag for the U.S. housing market. New home building dropped by more than 10% last month. Mortgage rates are about 6.7%. July had more job losses than gains. Inflation is still higher than the Fed’s goal. Oil prices went over $91 per barrel.

  Gold went up more than 3%. Long-term Treasury yields hit levels not seen since the Great Recession. Yet, in spite of all this turbulence, the stock market ended the day on a high note.

  This puzzling contradiction is at the heart of today’s story. The U.S. economy is still steady, but there is growing pressure on consumers, homebuyers, builders, mortgage companies, and policymakers. In this edition of DAILY NEWS, we look at the headlines to show how these changes affect people in the housing and mortgage industries.

  Data Cutoff:

  • Market prices and economic data cited in this report are based on information freely available as of Wednesday, August 19, 2026.
  • Financial markets are volatile and constantly changing.

  Housing Alarm Bells: U.S. Housing Starts Plummet 12.4%

  The day’s headline-grabbing housing news was the sharp drop in U.S. housing starts. Housing starts fell 12.4% to an annual rate of about 1.239 million after adjusting for seasonal changes. They were also 13.5% lower than a year ago. The downturn didn’t stop at apartments—it spread across the housing landscape.

  Single-family housing starts dropped 9.9% to an annualized average of around 808,000, down 15.7% from a year ago and the lowest level in about three and a half years.

  Builders and Buyers Pull Back

  There was, however, some good news. In July, housing permits rose 5.0%, and single-family permits rose 2.5%. This rise shows that builders are still active in the market. Permits reflect planned construction, while starts mean building has actually begun. A big drop in starts shows that builders are more cautious about spending on construction in the current market, which has weak demand and high mortgage rates.

  Builder Confidence Is Still Deep in the Danger Zone

  The May reading of the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI was 35, a slight increase from July. It has stayed below 40 for 16 consecutive months. Almost two-thirds of builders offered some kind of sales deal, and about 30% cut prices by an average of around 6%. bout 6%. When builders cut rates, pay closing costs, or lower prices to sell homes, the listed price on a new home only shows part of the picture.

  Are Stuck Near Historically Depressed Levels

  Existing home sales for the month of July were reported at an annual rate of 4.06 million homes, reflecting a 1.7% monthly decline. This is just a 0.7% increase over the previous year and much lower than the over-5 million in annual sales that were common before mortgage rates rose sharply in 2022.

  Home Prices Refuse to Give Buyers Much Relief

  In July, the national median price for existing homes was $434,100, a 2% increase from the previous year. The supply of existing homes was at a 4.6 months sales pace inventory level of 1.54 million homes. First-time buyers accounted for only 29% of sales. Therefore, characterizing the current situation as a ‘housing crash’ is inaccurate.

  Deals are harder to find, prices remain high in many places, and builders are offering large discounts. Still, prices for existing homes stay high nationwide because there aren’t enough homes for sale, and many owners are keeping their low-rate mortgages.

  Price Cuts and Incentives Bent on the New-Home Market

  The most recent single-family new-home sales report from the Census Bureau for June 2022 showed an annualized pace of 628,000 sales. This is a 1.6% increase from May but a 5.6% decrease compared to June 2021.

  The median price of new homes sold was $398,300, reflecting an overall decrease of 2.7% compared with June 2021. Available new homes for sale reflected an inventory of 9.3 months.

  Price gaps between newly constructed and existing homes are important for builders. Builders can offer price cuts, change floor plans to more popular designs, pay some closing costs, and lower mortgage rates. Homes already on the market don’t offer homeowners these options.

  Home Buyers Face a Wall with Mortgage Rates Approaching 6.7%

  The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.67% on August 13, 2022, and the 15-year fixed rate was 5.96%, according to the latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey by Freddie Mac. Each lender sets their own rates, and credit scores and other factors also affect the rate you get. For many families, mortgage rates close to 6.7% create real financial challenges. These rates make it much harder for buyers to afford homes. This helps explain why homeowners with low-rate mortgages are reluctant to sell—they’d be trading a good deal for a much more expensive one. On Wednesday, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported a 0.4% drop in total mortgage applications for the week ending August 14, 2022. Applications to buy homes fell 2% and were 3% lower than the same week last year. Applications to refinance rose 2% but stayed 18% below last year’s level.

  The Mortgage Market Still Hasn’t Picked Up Speed

  • Funding is challenging, but credit has not “Frozen”
  • A credit market freeze and a tough mortgage market are not the same thing.
  • High interest rates, low activity in the existing housing market, and little reason to refinance limit mortgage activity.
  • However, the MBA’s Mortgage Credit Availability Index rose 2.5% in July, showing that credit became more available than the month before.
  • The main point is that lenders are still active and making loans.
  • The main problem is that many borrowers can’t afford today’s payments or don’t have enough reason to refinance.

  Mortgage Delinquencies Will Require Immediate Focus

  According to MBA, the mortgage delinquency rate, adjusted for seasonal changes, dropped slightly to 4.37% for the second quarter of 2026. However, this was 0.44% higher than the same time last year. The rate of mortgage delinquency was 0.67%, and seriously overdue loans increased for the fourth quarter in a row.

  FHA delinquencies have gone up more than 2.27% in the last year and will probably raise concern, even though another 2008-style foreclosure crisis is unlikely. July CPI Is 3.4%

  Even though the Consumer Price Index went down a little this month, things still look tough for Americans. The headline CPI rose 0.1% for the month, with a 3.4% increase over the last 12 months, slightly down from last month’s 3.5%. Core CPI, which takes out food and energy, was 0.2% up for the month and up 2.5% from last year. Shelter prices were the main contributor to the monthly Consumer Price Index, rising 0.1% and accounting for about two-thirds of the increase. Food rose 0.1%, while energy fell 1.5% for the month. Over the year, energy prices rose 14.7%, and food prices rose 3%.

  Inflation is Slowing, But the Fed Still Hasn’t Reached its Goal

  The Federal Reserve will not declare victory over inflation until it reaches its 2% target. At 3.4%, this goal remains unmet.

  Policymakers need to remember this because the recent rise in oil prices will clearly raise consumer prices as manufacturing, transportation, and delivery costs increase. With all this uncertainty, mortgage borrowers shouldn’t expect interest rates to stay the same or go down soon.

  July Jobs Shock: U.S. Payrolls Fell by 23,000

  • July’s jobs report was another setback for the job market outlook.
  • U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Employment decreased by 23,000 jobs.
  • Unemployment remained at 4.1%, with about 6.9 million unemployed.
  • Earlier payroll numbers were heavily revised.
  • Employment growth in May and June was lowered by 103,000 jobs.

  Why Jobs Matter So Much to Housing

  • Jobs may be the most important factor for the housing market in the end.
  • A borrower can adjust to the expectations of a 6.7% mortgage.
  • A borrower without a steady income generally will not qualify for a mortgage at any rate.
  • Weak employment can impact the housing market by reducing the number of prospective buyers, slowing consumer spending, delaying household formation, and increasing mortgage delinquencies.
  • Consequently, in 2026, the labor market may be the most significant indicator of the housing sector’s direction.

  Federal Reserve Minutes Reveal a Deepening Policy Split

  • The minutes of the July 28–29 meeting on Wednesday.
  • The Fed kept the federal funds target at 3.50%–3.75%.
  • The vote was 9–3, with three policymakers favoring a 25-basis-point increase.
  • Fed policymakers continued to describe inflation as markedly above the 2% go

  The Fed Is Trapped Between Inflation and a Slowing Economy

  • This is the heart of the Fed’s policy dilemma.
  • Another rate increase may affect employment, business investment, and increase pressure on housing.
  • An early cut may cause inflation to persist or trigger another energy price shock.
  • The Fed’s staff saw risks to employment and economic growth skewed to the downside, while inflation risks remained skewed to the upside.
  • This difficult combination is known as stagflation, where slow growth happens alongside stubborn inflation.

  American Families Are Feeling the Squeeze

  • Reports about families being forced to cut back on necessities are widespread in the media.
  • The data that is actually available tells a different but still distressing story. olds found that 73 percent of adults said their current financial status was safe or better.
  • So to claim that a typical American is in a financial crisis is incorrect.
  • Still, many people are feeling financial stress.
  • One in six individuals reported being unable to pay all their bills.
  • One in four said they did not receive the medical care they needed due to cost.
  • Two-thirds lacked cash for a $400 unexpected expense
  • One in nine reported higher prices as a major concern.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS aims to highlight that, while not everyone is in crisis, a significant percentage of households are financially vulnerable.

  Household Debt Is Still High

  The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported total household debt at $18.8 trillion in the second quarter of 2026. Credit card balances increased by $21 billion and currently stand at $1.263 trillion. Auto loan balances increased to $1.713 trillion, and HELOC balances increased by $13 billion to $459 billion, marking a seventeenth consecutive increase.

  Housing costs are one of several competing demands for household spending, including automobile loans, revolving balances, insurance, groceries, utilities, taxes, and other costs of daily living.

  The overall household delinquency rate dropped slightly to 4.7%; however, student loan serious delinquency remains high.

  This helps explain why many households feel financial pressure, even if they have jobs and are up to date on their mortgage payments.

  The July Retail Sales Flash Another Consumer Warning

  Retail sales fell 0.6% for the first time in nine months, the largest decline in over a year. Retail sales are still about 5% higher than last year, so one month of lower sales doesn’t mean there’s a recession. The numbers were also affected by calendar changes, such as Amazon’s Prime event moving to June.

  With declines in both consumer spending and employment, significant warning signs are emerging. For years, American shoppers have powered the economy. If they slow down, the ripple effects will be felt far beyond the mall.

  Oil Shock: Brent Crude Crosses $91

  • Energy is once again a major concern.
  • Energy is back in the spotlight as a major concern.
  • Brent crude closed at $ 75.70 per barrel, up 0.7%, and West Texas Intermediate crude closed at $85.83 per barrel, up 1.1%.
  • Both closed at their highest levels since July 24 amid uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing Middle East tensions, which worried markets.

  Why the $90 Oil Price Concerns Mortgage Loan Borrowers

  Oil price changes might seem like a small issue, but they affect almost every part of the economy. Increases in transportation and import costs rapidly affect a wide range of goods, including construction materials. A prolonged oil shock could cause inflation to rise and bond sellers to become more vigilant, pushing yields higher. Longer-term bond yields would also drive up mortgage rates. Therefore, monitoring oil prices is essential for those tracking mortgage rate trends.

  Gold Prices Soar More than 3%

  Gold stole the spotlight as one of Wednesday’s biggest market movers. The price of an ounce of spot gold shot up 3.6% to more than $4,487 intraday and close to $4,499, according to U.S. futures. Silver was up nearly 4% to about $65.80 an ounce, platinum hit 5.1%, and palladium rose by 2.7%.

  Why Are Precious Metals Suddenly in Such High Demand?

  A surge in gold prices was a surprise announcement by the Treasury Department that it planned to support the auction of longer-dated Treasury Bonds. Treasury yields dropped, the dollar fell, and gold rose. Precious metals also became the investment of choice. (Reuters)

  GCA Mortgage Forums Gold and Silver Outlook

  It is not advisable to predict gold or silver prices. Falling real yields, a weakening dollar, geopolitical concerns, inflation, and higher real risk will remain in focus as long as safe-haven demand persists. The thesis is the same as always: Over the long-term, we believe a scenario driven by its outlook is much more likely. However, risks to that outlook exist. The stronger dollar, materially higher real rates, reduced geopolitical risk, or renewed aggressive Fed action may pressure metals.

  We expect more market ups and downs soon.

  Bond Market Danger: 30-Year Treasury Yield Recently Hit 5.337%

  Some of the day’s biggest financial fireworks happened outside the stock market. The U.S. Treasury yield on the 30-year bond reached 5.187% today after spiking to 5.337% yesterday, the highest level since 2007.

  The bond yield spikes were triggered by the Treasury Department’s announcement to increase the size of selected long-dated liquidity-support buyback operations.

  The ten-year Treasury also moved lower, seeing a 4.64% yield during the trading day, vs yesterday’s close of 4.71%.

  Mortgage professionals need to keep a close eye on these market changes. Thirty-year fixed mortgage rates aren’t directly correlated to the Federal Funds rate. A variety of factors affect the bonds, including inflation, expectations, and the investor premium.

  WALL STREET DANGER ZONE: Stocks Climb Even as Storm Clouds Gather

  This headline is often met with skepticism and debate.

  • At the end of Wednesday’s trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 53,463.05, up 119.65, or 0.2 percent.
  • The S&P 500 closed at 7,707.98, with an increase of 0.2 percent.
  • The Nasdaq closed at 26,331.09, up 0.2 percent.
  • The Russell 2000 finished trading at 3,032.94, up 0.5 percent.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) for 2026 closed at 11.2 percent
  • The S&P 500 at 12.6 percent
  • The Nasdaq at 13.3 percent
  • The Russell 2000 at 22.2 percent, with respective increases.

  Is the Stock Market Going to Crash?

  There is no way to know for sure. Anyone who claims there will definitely be a major market crash will be making a prediction, not a statement of fact.

  What GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS Can State are Accurate, Legitimate Concerns

  Long-term Treasury yields are at levels not seen since 2007. Currently, inflation is above the level the Fed aims to keep it at. Crude oil is trading above $90 per barrel. Payroll employment declined last month.

  The pace of housing construction has deteriorated. Federal deficits and government debt levels are concerns of bond investors. These are real, pressing issues.

  Those concerns are offset by ongoing strength in corporate earnings and liquidity, as well as AI and new technologies. Markets can remain overvalued for a long time, but prices can change quickly if investors’ sentiment shifts.

  The bottom line is that risk is high, and a crash could happen, but it’s only a crash if it actually takes place. That statement creates a separation between financial reporting and financial journalism.

  Property Tax Shock: Homeowners Keep Paying More

  Property taxes are a fierce affordability issue. According to ATTOM’s latest research, $396.8 billion in property taxes were recorded on the 89.6 million single-family homes in 2025, an increase of 3.7% from the previous year. The level of property taxes recorded in 2025 shows that the annual bill for each single-family home rose by 3% to $4,427, while the nationwide effective property-tax rate also hit 0.90%, the highest since 2020.

  ATTOM published 2022 data and ranked five states (Illinois, New Jersey, Vermont, Connecticut, and Ohio) as having some of the highest effective property tax rates in the country.

  New Jersey had an average single-family property tax bill of over $10,000. High-tax counties in New York, New Jersey, and California were among the most expensive in the country. But the Northeast isn’t the only region dealing with higher property taxes. ATTOM reported that in 2022, average tax bills increased sharply in Memphis, Baltimore, St. Louis, Houston, and Kansas City.

  Housing and Mortgage Affordability

  • Climbing property taxes are a serious threat to mortgage affordability.
  • Most people focus on interest and principal payments.
  • Many homeowners forget about extra costs that can show up unexpectedly.
  • Liabilities such as insurance, HOA dues, and property taxes can increase significantly over time.
  • Even if your mortgage rate is locked in, your monthly bill can still creep higher.

  State Budget Watch: Washington, Maryland, and New York Face Fiscal Pressure

  When discussing a ‘deficit’ in most states, it is important to use precise language, as most states maintain balanced budgets. Instead, discussions should focus on future budget projections and potential fiscal challenges. 2027–2029 Biennial Budget Requirements Will Be Challenging for Washington.

  Weaker economic conditions have adversely affected the state’s expected revenue, resulting in a projected shortfall of nearly $1 billion, according to the June report from the Office of Financial Management.

  The state’s budget office noted the updated revenue forecast will exacerbate the shortfall in the coming 2027–2029 biennial budget. Washington isn’t facing bankruptcy, but lawmakers will have tougher budget talks ahead.

  Maryland Is Facing Large Structural Budget Hurdles

  Structural gaps in Maryland’s budget over the next few years show that by 2027, the state will face a $1.2 billion shortfall, by 2028, it will double to $2.7 billion, and by 2030, it will reach $3.7 billion, according to the Maryland General Assembly. As previously noted, these structural budget gaps do not mean Maryland will be unable to meet its obligations.

  New York’s Out-Year Budget Gaps Will Be Significant

  New York’s projected budget for 2026–27 shows a budget surplus for this fiscal year but indicates budget gaps of $6 billion in the 2027–28 fiscal year, $9 billion in 2028–29, and $12.5 billion in 2029–30, according to the New York State Assembly. These gaps mean New York will face tough financial times, but the state won’t run out of money in 2026–27. Fiscal gaps will ultimately impact state and local taxes, fees, and public services.

  The U.S. Economy Has Been Slowing but Is Not in a Recession

  The second quarter of 2022 saw a slowdown, with real GDP growing 1.5% compared to 2.1% in the first quarter. In this report, we first analyze the headline inflation and core inflation factors. In June, personal consumption expenditure (PCE) was 3.7%, and core PCE was 3.3%. The personal saving rate was 2.7%.

  The core PCE price index increased at a 5.1% annualized rate, and core PCE increased at a 3.4% rate in the second quarter of 2022.

  The Current Economic Outlook Presents Several Concerning Indicators:

  • Growth is slowing.
  • Inflation is still high.
  • The labor market is showing signs of softening.
  • The housing market is also slow.
  • Consumers are becoming more cautious.
  • Oil prices are likely to go up again.
  • While this isn’t a recession, it clearly shows financial strain.
  • Don’t buy a home just because you think mortgage rates will go down next month.
  • Nobody knows this for sure.
  • Purchases should align with current affordability, supported by a robust emergency fund and stable income.
  • Refinancing is only advisable if rates decrease enough to make it beneficial.
  • Homeowners with low fixed mortgage rates are sitting on a valuable asset: cheap, long-term debt.
  • Think carefully about refinancing and make sure it fits your whole financial situation.
  • For individuals experiencing financial difficulties, utilizing a HELOC or cash-out refinance may not resolve underlying debt issues and can increase exposure to unsecured debt and financial risk.

  What Today’s News Means for Mortgage Loan Officers and Real Estate Professionals

  Today’s market calls for careful planning and smart sales strategies. More consumers want experts who can answer tough mortgage questions about payments, loan choices, underwriting, and what to do if a loan is denied. This is a good chance for skilled professionals to stand out.

  Why GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS Is Different

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS is Gustan Cho Associates’ online mortgage, housing, financial, and consumer communities brought to you by Gustan Cho Associates, powered by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS is where you will find the newest national and local news, along with discussions and questions related to mortgage guidelines, underwriting, borrower case studies, and community interaction.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS website directs consumers to Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC’s NMLS Consumer Access for licensing information. GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS News is a fully owned subsidiary of Gustan Cho Associates. Gustan Cho Associates specializes in complicated mortgage situations involving borrowers who have been turned down by other lenders. Each borrower has certain requirements that must still be met by loan programs, investors, and underwriters. Approval of a mortgage is never guaranteed.

  Readers are encouraged to engage with the ongoing discussion and contribute to the community. News about the housing market is often very personal.

  A national average mortgage rate of 6.7% has little impact on most people. Most people are more concerned with whether they can get a mortgage based on their income, debt level, credit score, down payment, property, and available loan programs.

  That’s why GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS aims to be a complete resource for all things mortgage-related, going beyond just news. Read the news, review the data, consult mortgage professionals, and engage with the community. It’s important to stay informed and confident before making any decisions about mortgages.

  Frequently Asked Questions About Mortgage Rates, Housing, and the Economy
  

  What is the Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate?

  According to Freddie Mac’s latest weekly survey, mortgage rates for 30-year fixed loans were at 6.67% for the week of August 13, 2026. However, the actual rates borrowers receive can vary based on several factors, such as credit, loan type, points, down payment, occupancy, and lender-specific pricing.

  What is the Latest U.S. Inflation Rate?
  

  The CPI report for July 2026 showed an increase of 3.4% in inflation compared with last year. Core CPI, the CPI report excluding food and energy prices, rose 2.5%.

  What is the Current U.S. Unemployment Rate?
  

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the unemployment rate for July 2026 was 4.1%. During this reporting period, non-farm payroll employment decreased by 23,000 people.

  Is the U.S. Housing Market Crashing in 2026?

  Using data from across the entire U.S. housing market, we cannot say the market is in a classic housing crash. Local markets can experience price drops, but the national median existing-home price increased 2.0% from last year. Local conditions matter far more than a national average. A local selling price can vary substantially based on where a property is located.

  
  

  Why are Homes Selling for Less But Costing More?

  Reduced inventory of existing homes is the first thing to consider. Buyers probably left many sellers behind when they locked in those low mortgage rates. There is not much incentive for them to sell and take out a new mortgage at these rates. What’s known as a “rate lock” is keeping demand low even as the supply is limited.

  
  

  Will Mortgage Rates Go Below 6 Percent Soon?

  There is no point in guessing. Predicting mortgage rates is complex. Rates are influenced by factors such as inflation, the economy, market risk, and Federal Reserve policy. Rates may decrease if inflation and the economy weaken. Conversely, they may remain high or rise if oil prices, inflation, government borrowing, or economic concerns affect investor sentiment.

  Does the Fed Have Anything to do with Mortgage Rates?

  No, the Fed’s policy has nothing to do with setting mortgage rates. Market rates for 30-year mortgages are more influenced by the longer maturities of bonds and mortgage-backed securities. For this reason, mortgage rates can even increase if investors believe the Fed will decrease short-term rates.

  
  

  Will the Stock Market Crash?

  Future stock market crashes can’t be predicted. There will always be several valid reasons for a crash (high long-term interest rates, inflation, geopolitical issues, etc.) and reasons not to expect a crash (a slowing economy, valid traders, good market conditions, etc.). There will always be an incentive not to trust someone who predicts a stock market crash.

  What Does the Price of Ail Have to Do With Mortgage Rates?

  Higher oil prices have negative effects on all parts of the economy- transportation costs increase, and so do production costs and the cost to distribute goods. If those costs reflect inflation, bond market participants will demand a risk premium, thus a higher yield. Consequently, long-term yields will increase and so will mortgage rates.

  
  

  Why is the Gold Price Up?

  Gold price increased on August 19 after the announcement of the Treasury’s bond buyback program, which drove long-term yields and the dollar down. Gold also draws buyers during periods of heightened geopolitical concern, inflation worry, or market volatility.

  
  

  What States Have Some of the Highest Property Tax Burdens?

  ATTOM’s analysis of the single-family effective property tax rate for 2021 placed Illinois, New Jersey, Vermont, Connecticut,, and Ohio among the highest-burden states. The bill will vary depending on local taxation, assessed value, and available exemptions. (ATTOM)

  Is it Possible to Have a Property Tax Increase With a Fixed-Rate Mortgage?
  

  Yes. The portion of the fixed-rate mortgage devoted to principal and interest does not fluctuate. However, the total monthly mortgage payment will rise if property taxes, insurance, escrow requirements, or other costs increase.

  Is the Delinquency Rate on Mortgages Increasing?

  The delinquency rate for the second quarter of 2026 was slightly better than the first quarter, but was still 44 basis points higher than the second quarter of 2025. Serious delinquencies increased for the fourth consecutive quarter. Thus, while we have an improvement in the second quarter of 2026, it is from a very poor rate in the second quarter of 2025. 2026 has been a more difficult year for prospective home buyers.

  
  

  Are Mortgage Standards Stricter Now?

  This depends on the criteria you’re using. The MBA reported a 2.5% increase in mortgage credit availability in July, with particular increases in jumbo and non-QM mortgages. The main problem isn’t a lack of mortgage options, but rather affordability.

  Should I Buy a House Now or Wait to Find a Better Mortgage Rate?
  

  No buying scenario is perfect, but buying may be the right option if you have stable employment, good savings, and low debt, with affordable payments relative to your income, and you intend to keep the house for at least a few years. Saving for a down payment may also work better since there are no housing benefits tied to a mortgage, as there would be with buying a house with a mortgage. The case for waiting is if, for example, you have high debt and/or high mortgage payments, or you can’t afford to lose your savings. Mortgage rates are complex, and major housing decisions should not be based solely on rate predictions.

  What Happens if One Mortgage Lender Rejects My Application?
  

  A rejection from one lender does not mean other lenders will also reject your loan. There are many specialty lending programs, along with different requirements for investors, overlays, and investor guidelines. There are also many different kinds of mortgages, including FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, jumbo, and non-QM mortgages, each with its own underwriting guidelines. A second review may show options that the first lender did not, but another lender cannot override legal, agency, or investor guidelines.

  Where Can I Answer Housing-Related Questions?
  

  Gustan Cho Associates started an online community for mortgage and housing-related discussions (GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS). There are many mortgage professionals on the forums, along with other community members, to answer household questions in mortgage- and housing-related discussions. The community describes itself as a ‘news and community hub’ for mortgage and other household-related discussions. (Great Community Authority Forums)

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS makes a distinction between reported facts and forecasted opinions. Economic statistics in this edition were validated against the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Federal Reserve, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the U.S. Census Bureau, and other government and industry sources related to the mortgage and housing finance markets, including Freddie Mac and the Mortgage Bankers Association. Market reporting was validated against major financial news sources.

  Many economic reports are revised after their initial release. Mortgage rates, stock and bond prices, and commodity and precious metal prices can change during a trading day.

  GCA Mortgage Forums does not offer individualized investment, tax, or legal advice. Mortgage qualification is based on the borrower, the property, and the loan’s terms and underwriting conditions.

  Final Word: America Faces a Critical Housing and Economic Crossroads

  Wednesday’s data does not indicate an imminent crash for the U.S. economy. Instead, this report gives practical insights for everyone involved. The data shows that housing starts dropped. Sales of existing homes continued to decline. Mortgage rates continue to be high. Inflation remains above the target level. The number of jobs added in July decreased. Oil prices climbed above $90 again.

  Households’ financial condition is worse than before. Mortgage delinquencies have increased compared to the prior year. The yields on longer-term government bonds have returned to levels not seen since 2007. Gold rose more than 3 percent.

  Meanwhile, the stock market remains near its all-time highs. The economy is facing a tough moment. It has to handle high inflation, global tensions, higher borrowing costs, and lower housing demand, or get ready for big changes ahead. GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS will continue to monitor and report on ongoing economic developments.

  • Not next month.
  • Not when others begin to notice.
  • Every day.

  GCA MORTGAGE FORUMS DAILY NEWS

  BACKED BY/POWERED BY AN NMLS-LICENSED MORTGAGE ORGANIZATION

  Powered by Gustan Cho Associates, a DBA of Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC NMLS 307205

  Mortgage. Housing. Finance. Economy. The Numbers Behind the Headlines
  

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xl5Z2tKSlZc

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  View Last Reply:  Otis replied 2 days, 17 hours ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   0 Replies
• Forum: Ask the Mortgage Underwriting Help Desk
   Angela

  Down Payment Manual Underwriting FHA Loans

  Angela Posted on July 1, 2026 at 6:22 pm   |  State: Florida  | Total Activities:  15

  Do you know of any wholesale mortgage lenders that offer down payment assistance on FHA loans via manual underwriting? What are the eligibility requirements for the manual underwriting down payment assistance FHA loan program? Is it forgivable or non-forgivable? Is the DPA treated as a second mortgage and if so at what interest rate? I have many borrowers who want to purchase a house during Chapter 13 Bankruptcy repayment plan, and they will all be manual underwriting FHA loans.

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  View Last Reply: Tom Miller replied 3 days, 12 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Mortgage Loan Officer Help and Careers
   Michelle

  Lender-Paid vs Borrower-Paid Mortgage Transactions

  Michelle Posted on June 9, 2026 at 2:01 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  10

  Need Help Comparing Mortgage Options?

  Closing costs determine whether lender-paid or borrower-paid options have the better deal. Just because the rate is lower doesn’t mean it’s the better option. Gustan Cho Associates will analyze the deals and help borrowers compare loan options to determine which will actually save the most money.

  Lender-Paid and Borrower-Paid Rules Borrowers Should Know

  No loan selling/steering is allowed. Because of that, there are rules regarding borrower-paid and lender-paid. Borrowers should see disclosures that clearly state the loan’s costs and terms. Loan originators cannot reduce their compensation by changing the loan terms in a way that violates the rules. However, lenders, points, and borrower credits must be properly disclosed.

  The importance of the Loan Estimate and the Closing Disclosure cannot be overstated. They are essential documents that summarize the details of what a borrower will ultimately be paying, what they will be credited, and the final cash to close.

  Analyzing Lender-Paid vs Borrower-Paid

  The easiest way to compare the two options is to request pricing for both. Items to compare include interest rates, monthly payments, total closing costs, lender credits, points, cash to close, and anything else relevant that may come up.

  Also, the borrower should ask about the loan retention period. If the loan will be retained for a short period, the higher closing costs will not be worth it. However, if the closing costs are to be paid over a long period, it will be worth paying a lower interest rate.

  The goal is not to select the option with the most attractive numbers. It is more about the loan structure that aligns with the borrower’s cash, payment, timing, and risk preferences.

  Lender-Paid vs Borrower-Paid for FHA Loans

  FHA borrowers typically focus on the cash required to close, as FHA loans entail mortgage insurance and the establishment of an escrow account. Lender-paid pricing can help reduce closing costs, but the borrower should consider the higher rate and the resulting monthly payment.

  Borrower-paid pricing can be beneficial for a borrower who has the cash and wants a lower payment, which may be necessary if the debt-to-income ratio is tight.

  In addition to the cash payment for loan closing, FHA borrowers should evaluate both pricing methods, as minor payment variations can affect loan approval.

  Lender-Paid vs Borrower-Paid for VA Loans

  Although VA borrowers may be eligible for a loan with no cash down, the loan still has closing costs. VA buyers can pay pre-closed taxes and insurance, as well as title fees, recording fees, and other costs.

  Lender-paid pricing can decrease the cash required for closing. This may be especially beneficial to the borrower who wants to maintain their savings after the home purchase.

  Borrower-paid pricing may be more advantageous for the VA borrower who wants a lower payment and plans to retain the loan for a long time, as well as for those considering the VA funding fee and the loan’s total cost.

  Lender-Paid vs. Borrower-Paid for Conventional Loans

  With Conventional loans, pricing may change based on occupancy, property type, credit score, and loan-to-value ratio. Due to risk-based pricing, lender-paid vs. borrower-paid impacts the loan rate and payment.

  Borrowers with strong credit and large down payments may have more options. However, the impacts of the two different pricing structures may be considerably larger for a borrower with weaker credit and/or a smaller down payment.

  For Conventional loans, Private Mortgage Insurance and other costs should be considered, since interest rates impact the total cost of the loan.

  Lender-Paid vs. Borrower-Paid for Non-QM Loans

  Pricing for Non-QM loans may also differ from government or Conventional loans. When borrowers use bank statement loans, DSCR loans, asset depletion loans, or other Non-QM programs, they must closely evaluate the rates and costs to determine the best option.

  Lender-paid pricing can shift costs down at the expense of a higher rate, while Borrower-paid pricing can improve the rate, but increase costs.

  Because Non-QM loans vary widely across lenders and programs, borrowers should request detailed pricing comparisons before deciding which to use.

  Conclusion for Lender-Paid vs. Borrower-Paid Mortgage Transactions

  Both lender-paid and borrower-paid mortgage transactions are completely acceptable. The better option depends on the borrower’s credit, the loan program they select, the cash to close, the payment they desire, and how long they plan to keep the loan.

  Lender-paid pricing can help lower closing costs, but it comes with a trade-off: a higher interest rate. Alternatively, Borrower-paid pricing can help lower the interest rate, but closing costs will be higher.

  The right answer varies from one borrower to another. A comprehensive mortgage review should detail both options and clearly articulate the short- and long-term costs for each.

  Talk to a Mortgage Professional Before You Choose

  Before deciding on lender-paid or borrower-paid pricing, have a mortgage professional compare the two options and detail the rate, closing costs, lender credits, points, and the resulting monthly payment. Gustan Cho Associates is dedicated to helping borrowers review their loan options and identify the loan structure that best meets their home-purchase or refinance goals.

  Lender-Paid vs Borrower-Paid Mortgage Transaction FAQIs Lender-Paid Mortgage Pricing Free?

  No. Lender-Paid Mortgage Pricing is not free. The Borrower may pay less at loan funding, but the price is built into the interest rate, which may result in a higher monthly payment and a higher overall interest payment if the Borrower is not planning to prepay the loan.

  Why Would a Borrower Want a Higher Rate?

  A Borrower may want a higher rate to achieve lower closing costs. This may make sense if a borrower is looking to preserve cash, refinance in the short term, or pay less of their own cash at closing.

  Can Lender Credits Pay for Closing Costs?

  Lender Credits may cover some closing costs, but may not cover all of them. Lender Credits may be affected by limits on prepaid escrow, taxes, and insurance.

  Are discount points the same as borrower-paid compensation?

  No, they are not the same. Discount points are a way to lower the interest rate, while borrower-paid compensation describes the payment to the mortgage broker or loan originator. While they can both be part of the closing costs, they are different.

  Can a borrower shift from lender-paid to borrower-paid before closing?

  This can be allowed in some situations, but it depends on the time, the disclosures, the lock terms, the lender, and compliance. Borrowers should request the change as early as possible to avoid delays, as changes can be made only within certain time frames.

  Which of the two options is better for first-time homebuyers?

  First-time homebuyers usually consider both options, as cash to close is a major factor. Lender-paid pricing can reduce the cash at closing, while borrower-paid pricing can reduce the loan payment. The best option depends on the buyer’s savings, payment, and how long they plan to stay in the home.

  Does lender-paid pricing impact loan approval?
  

  Lender Versus Borrower Paid Mortgage Transactions

  It can impact the approval if the higher rate pushes the monthly payment and debt-to-income ratio higher. A borrower near the limit should consider both options before locking the rate.

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  View Last Reply: Tom Miller replied 3 days, 14 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Refinancing and Home-Equity Loans
   Julio Munoz

  HELOC-Home Equity Line of Credit

  Julio Munoz Posted on August 19, 2026 at 7:47 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  37

  ​Like to thank TM and LMJ for the basic information on how to get a HELOC. Like to thank them for the introduction. Seth, can you please tell me how your HELOC program works? I have many folks needing it, including myself. Things like minimum credit score, CLTV, rate and terms (I am assuming it will be a floating rate?), debt-to-income ratio, costs and fees, whether an appraisal is required or if you use a BPO, and other things we need to know so nobody wastes each other’s time. Thank you.

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  View Last Reply: Tom Miller replied 3 days, 14 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Bankruptcy, Foreclosure, and Credit Recovery
   Otis

  Mortgage Protection Insurance

  Otis Posted on August 19, 2026 at 11:43 pm  | Total Activities:  12

  How does mortgage protection insurance work? Let’s take a case scenario. A husband and wife have been married for decades and are now in their mid-sixties. The husband works full-time, and the wife is a housewife with no job. They have a mortgage, and the monthly payment, including property tax and homeowners insurance, is $4,000 per month. The couple is in their sixties, and the husband dies. The wife has no income to make the existing housing payment. Is there mortgage protection insurance where, if the income-earning spouse dies, the living spouse does not lose the house? And if so, what type of insurance is it, and what are the premiums?

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  View Last Reply: Tom Miller replied 3 days, 16 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Tom Miller

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Wednesday August 19 2026

  Tom Miller Posted on August 19, 2026 at 11:02 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  46

  GCA Mortgage Forums News — Wednesday, August 19, 2026.Old Surges and Buyers Freeze | GCA Mortgage Forums News

  The U.S. housing market is going through a rare and difficult period. Mortgage rates remain high, so many buyers are waiting. Builders are slowing down new projects, and both home sales and pending contracts are dropping. Even buyers with strong finances are unable to move forward because prices are still high. Meanwhile, Wall Street is close to record highs. Gold and oil prices are rising, long-term Treasury yields are pushing up mortgage rates, and families are feeling greater financial pressure. This is not a typical downturn. The housing market is changing in ways we have not seen before. Today’s market is marked by affordability problems, fewer sales, and prices that are not coming down. Buyers are feeling more pressure than ever.

  Welcome to the GCA Mortgage Forums News Daily Report for Wednesday, August 19, 2026.

  This update is for homebuyers, homeowners, mortgage professionals, real estate experts, and anyone interested in the market. Prices in this report are intraday and may change. Monthly government statistics, such as CPI and unemployment, reflect the most recent official releases and are not real-time.

  Mortgage Market Alert: Borrowers are Still Battling 7%+ Rates

  This week has not brought much good news for people following the mortgage market. In the latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey from Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage as of August 13 rose slightly to 6.67% from 6.69%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.96%, and the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.58% a year ago. Homeowners with older mortgages below 6% are not eager to give up their low rates. Borrowing costs are much higher now, especially when you include high home prices, taxes, insurance, and fees.

  Mortgage Applications Fall Again as Buyers Hesitate

  The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) is sounding the alarm about further negative trends in the mortgage market.

  For the week ending August 14, total applications fell 0.4%, with purchase applications down 2% year over year. Refinancing applications rose slightly but remain well below last year’s levels.

  The average contract rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.77% for the MBA. These numbers show that borrowers respond quickly to even small changes in rates. A small drop in rates might bring some buyers back, while larger changes can spur more market activity.

  But Volume Remains Painfully Thin

  Mortgage lending is limited, but it has not collapsed. Many people with low-rate mortgages have few choices, and higher living costs are keeping more people from buying homes. Lenders are now competing for a smaller group of qualified borrowers.

  Borrowers with high debt-to-income ratios, past bankruptcies, self-employment income, manual underwriting, or alternative income may need to seek lenders with more flexible guidelines.

  Gustan Cho Associates specializes in providing services to these borrowers, who are constrained by the harder-to-access lending services. Loans will still depend on the specific agency, investor, lender, property, and the qualifications for income, credit, and assets, as well as the underwriting to be conducted.

  Warning for the Housing Market: Home Sales are Plummeting, but Prices are Stubbornly Staying High

  This situation is making many potential homebuyers across the country feel frustrated and unable to move forward.

  Home sales are dropping, yet prices stubbornly refuse to follow. NAR reported a 1.7% decrease in recorded home sales in July, with an annual rate of 4.06 million, but this figure is still 0.7% higher than the same month last year.

  In the same month, the median home price rose 2% to $434,100, marking the 37th consecutive month of price increases. This is not a traditional housing crash. Instead, it is a serious housing crisis.

  Buying a home now demands a household income far above the national average. That’s the heart of the challenge.

  Redfin reports that the income needed to afford a typical U.S. home exceeds the median household income by $22,000, down from a $26,000 gap last year. While this is an improvement, the gap remains significant. This is why even small decreases in mortgage rates do not lead to a surge of new buyers. Potential buyers still face high prices, large down payments, high rates, taxes, insurance, debt, closing costs, reserve requirements, and strict lender standards.

  Pending Home Sales Offer Another Concern

  The outlook is not improving. Key indicators are still showing warning signs. In its latest report, the NAR noted a 2.3% decrease in pending home sales in July compared to June and a 2.2% year-over-year decrease, marking a new low for the index since January 2026. July also saw a decrease in pending home sales across the major U.S. regions.

  Pending sales are important because they represent agreements made before a home is officially sold. This is one of the first indicators. Pending sales are an early indicator of finalized home sales.

  Starts Plunge 12.4. This was a major construction development reported by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development: a decrease in total housing starts compared to June, and a new high estimate of 1,239,000 housing starts for July 2025. This decline represents a significant contraction in residential construction activity: 13.5% compared to July 2025. This shows a sharp decline in new home construction.

  Permits Offer One Ray of Hope

  However, there is a small sign of hope. The U.S. Census Bureau reports that July saw a 5.0% increase in housing permits, bringing the annual rate to 1.443 million, with a 2.5% increase in single-family permits. More permits show that builders are still planning for the future. Permits are often the first sign that new construction will happen. Builders are facing expensive loans, cautious buyers, and an unpredictable economy. These factors are making labor and materials more expensive.

  However, U.S. consumers need housing. The main question is whether builders can provide homes that people can afford.

  The Latest CPI Reports Rising Inflation, with No Relief in Sight

  The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a few bright spots in inflation. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the CPI for July 2026 increased by 0.1% from the previous month, resulting in a 3.4% increase from July 2025. Annual inflation for July 2025 was 3.5%.

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the cost of shelter increased by 3.2% compared to the previous year, the cost of food by 3.0%, and the cost of energy by approximately 3.0%.

  Core CPI for July 2026 increased by 2.5% compared to July 2025, down from the June 2026 level of 2.6%. But inflation is still making things harder for consumers, especially compared to a few years ago. keep squeezing household budgets.

  Essential costs have increased: The higher cost of essential goods and services is making monthly budgets even tighter. For families managing debt, these growing pressures can be very difficult.

  Wholesale Inflation Continues to Be a Concern

  The Producer Price Index adds another hurdle to the economic landscape. Goods for sale remained flat in July, but prices for final sale increased 4.7% year on year. The Index measuring prices for goods and services, excluding food, trade services, and energy, increased by 0.4% month on month and by 4.7% year on year.

  Producer price inflation does not always cause higher consumer prices, and it is hard to predict when any impact will happen.

  This uncertainty keeps the Fed from claiming victory in the fight against inflation.s Caution as Payrolls Decrease This latest Jobs Report is flying under the radar, but it deserves a closer look. In July, U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls decreased by 23,000, and the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%. There were approximately 6.9 million jobless persons. The Jobless Rate decreased to 61.4%, and the Employment Rate was 58.9%. Construction job growth was positive, increasing by 22,000 for the month. These figures do not indicate a labor market collapse.

  American Household Finances: $18.77 Trillion in Debt and Little Room for Error

  For many Americans, this is a major worry. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York stated that U.S. household debt reached about $18.77 trillion for Q2 2026. Mortgage debt was about $13.12 trillion. Credit card debt was about $1.263 trillion. Auto loans totaled $1.713 trillion. Student loan debt was about $1.651 trillion. Approximately 4.7% of all household debt was delinquent. All of the delinquent household debt was attributed to credit cards and student loans.

  The $400 Problem

  The Federal Reserve’s latest survey on the economic well-being of U.S. households offers an additional perspective. Only 63% of U.S. adults surveyed said they would be able to fully pay a $400 expense with cash, savings, or a credit card, with the balance due in full on the next statement. This means 37% of adults surveyed could not cover the expense with cash or cash equivalents. Additionally, 12% of adults surveyed could not pay the $400 expense by any means.

  Many Americans appear financially stable, but a single unexpected event, such as a car repair, a medical bill, a job loss, an insurance increase, or higher house payments, could cause serious financial problems.

  Only 55% of adults surveyed said they maintained enough savings to cover 3 months of expenses, and 30% said they could not cover 3 months of expenses, even though these statistics provide a more comprehensive perspective on household financial health than stock market indices alone.

  The Industrial Average has ever had.

  Why Suddenly High Property Taxes are Causing a National Housing Crisis

  High mortgage rates get the headlines, but rising property taxes are quietly piling on as a major burden for homeowners.

  Based on ATTOM’s property tax study, about 396.8 Billion dollars were placed on US single-family homes in 2025, a 3.7 percent increase from the year prior. The average tax bill in the country was about 4,427 dollars, an average increase of 3 percent, as was the average effective property tax rate, which rose to 0.90 percent.

  New Jersey and Illinois Remain Property Tax Hotspots

  According to ATTOM, Illinois had the highest average effective property tax rate at about 1.84 percent, followed by New Jersey, Vermont, Connecticut, and Ohio (in descending order) at about 1.58, 1.40, 1.36, and 1.32 percent, respectively.

  New Jersey also topped the list for average property tax bills at about $10,499, followed by Connecticut ($8,901), New Hampshire ($8,174), Massachusetts ($7,904), and New York ($7,732).

  Memphis, Baltimore, St. Louis, Houston, and Kansas City (in descending order) had some of the largest, most aggressive year-over-year property tax bill increases.

  For most homeowners with escrow, a tax hike means an immediate jump in monthly mortgage payments.nts.

  As a result, homeowners with fixed-rate mortgages may still see higher monthly payments. State budgets are more important to the average homeowner than many people realize. When budgets get tight, it eventually hits taxes, public services, jobs, infrastructure, and local fees.

  New Jersey Has a Structural Deficit

  New Jersey’s enacted fiscal 2027 budget contains a large reserve; however, state officials have identified a structural deficit of approximately $1.35 billion. This distinction is important. A state may legally adopt a balanced annual budget even if it creates a structural imbalance between recurring expenditures and recurring revenues.

  Washington’s Revenue Forecast Increases Budgetary Concerns

  In its June report, Washington State’s Office of Financial Management forecast a nearly $1 billion deterioration in its revenue outlook relative to the February forecast, resulting in a shortfall for the upcoming budget cycle. Not every state with budget woes will raise property taxes—but many might. However, given that the principal and interest are not the only factors in housing affordability, state and local budgets should also be a concern for homeowners.

  Uncertainty Impact Inflation

  Energy markets are back in the spotlight. As of this writing, Reuters reports that Brent Crude is trading at approximately $91.89/b and WTI at approximately $86.11/b, up amid global uncertainty and disruptions in energy markets. Even if gas prices grab the headlines, oil’s impact runs much deeper. When energy costs climb, everything from shipping and travel to farming and construction gets more expensive. These costs, if they increase, worsen the outlook. Rising energy costs worsen the inflation outlook. Expectations rise, which adversely affects Treasury yields and raises mortgage rates.

  EIA Still Expects Oil Prices to Moderate

  Brent is predicted to be trading at $85 in Q3 2026 and $78 in Q4 2026 in the EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook, assuming normal trading conditions. Beyond that, prediction markets are as unpredictable as ever. Markets can turn on a dime, and even small political tremors can send volatility soaring.

  Gold Explodes Higher as Investors Run Toward Safety

  In a market that saw precious metals as one of the biggest movers of the day, spot gold was trading at $4,486.88, a $3.5% increase for the day according to Reuters. Silver closed near $65.64, up 3.7%.

  Sharp increases in the prices of platinum and palladium were also reported. This surge happened alongside falling long-term Treasury yields, a weakening dollar, and a stampede toward safer assets.

  Where Could Gold and Silver Go From Here?

  Trading forecasts are inherently speculative. According to a Reuters survey, the median price for gold in 2026 was predicted to be $4,509, and for silver, $72. (Price forecasts vary widely among banks.y It is impossible to predict where precious metals will trade in the near or long term. from now. All of this highlights the many risks swirling around: inflation, political and economic instability, and mounting government debt.

  Wall Street Today: Stocks Bounce Near Record Territory, But Risk Has Not Disappeared

  Now, all eyes are on Wall Street. As of this report, U.S. markets were recovering from the previous day’s losses in the technology sector. During Wednesday’s session,

  Reuters noted the Dow Jones Industrial Average at approximately 53,463, the S&P 500 at about 7,720, and the Nasdaq Composite at roughly 26,357. The day before, the mood on Wall Street was far gloomier.

  The S&P 500 reportedly fell by about 0.7 percent, the Nasdaq was down by approximately 1.3 percent, and the Dow was down about 0.2 percent, with a related selloff in semiconductor stocks, which were down even more. Major indexes are flirting with all-time highs, but this does not signal an imminent major correction.

  Is a Stock Market Crash Possible?

  Yes—market corrections of that size are always on the table. Still, there’s no guarantee a major crash is looming.

  What Investors Should Be Concerned About Currently

  High-flying indexes, AI buzz, and rising Treasury yields are all playing out against a backdrop of global risk, uncertainty, inflation, government debt, and a shaky job market. The appropriate headline is not, “The real headline isn’t, “A crash is guaranteed.” be:

  “Wall Street is expensive. There is significant uncertainty, and high market indexes do not necessarily reflect a strong economy.” Distinction between the stock market and the daily financial situation of most people.

  People working in mortgages should pay attention to the bond market. Long-term Treasury yields spiked, then quickly retreated. The 30-year Treasury yield decreased almost 10 basis points to 5.19% from its 5.34% high, the highest since 2007, according to Reuters. This shift came after a major announcement from the U.S. Treasury.

  Treasury Expands Buybacks of Longer-Dated Government Debt

  The Treasury Department announced that the limit on buybacks of longer-dated nominal Treasury securities would be raised for liquidity-support buybacks, potentially doubling the size.

  For certain 10- to 30-year securities, the buyback limit for each operation, starting in September, will be increased to between $2 billion and $4 billion.

  This move helped calm the nerves of investors holding long-term Treasuries. Mortgage rates are not directly tied to the Federal funds rate. They are influenced by bond market expectations, mortgage-backed securities, inflation, Treasury yields, prepayment risk, and investor demand. This is why mortgage rates can change even if the Federal Reserve does not take action.

  Federal Reserve Watch: Rates Hold Steady at 3.50% to 3.75%

  The Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% in the meeting held from July 28 to 29. This decision was marked by unusually high dissent, with three members voting for a 25-basis-point hike. This decision is important for the markets.

  This Decision is Significant for Financial Markets That Most Household Budgets in the U.S. Are Focused on:

  • Inflation is going down, but employmeInflation is declining, but employment remains unstable and weak.
  • Data will be released on August 19 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time.
  • This is after the market data cutoff used for this edition, in accordance with the Federal Reserve.
  • The released minutes may clarify policymakers’ differing views on employment, inflation, and future interest rate changes.
  • Mortgage rates remain near 6.7%, and housing starts continue to decline.

  U.S. Economy Slows as Second-Quarter GDP Grows Just 1.5%

  The economy is still growing, but it is slowing down. The economy continues to expand, but at a slower pace. The rate for the U.S. economy in the second quarter of 2026. Negative government spending and increases in imports were counterbalanced by consumer spending, investments, and exports. A 1.5% growth rate does not mean a recession, but it is not a strong result. Slower growth, coupled with a weak labor market, has put pressure on the economy.

  Update on Labor Market and Impact on Economy

  Slower growth and a weak labor market have pressured consumers, increased borrowing costs, reduced home sales, and slowed housing starts, prompting caution for the remainder of 2026.s is probably the most asked question in all of real estate.

  Housing Market and Affordability of New Homes

  High mortgage rates and declining affordability should typically lead to lower home prices, yet this has not occurred. Refinancing mortgages or purchasing homes at low mortgage rates may discourage consumers from selling and increasing inventory if they refinance at today’s rates.

  Rising demand and years of insufficient construction in desirable areas continue to drive prices higher. Some markets may decline while others rise in one U.S. housing market. Hundreds of local housing markets operate differently based on employment, supply and demand, affordability, and population trends.

  What Recent Mortgage News Means to Prospective Homebuyers

  Despite headlines predicting a market or mortgage rate crash, homebuyers should avoid basing decisions on speculation.s.

  Neither outcome is certain. It is wiser to determine the maximum monthly mortgage payment you can truly afford.

  If you have the resources, plan to stay in your home, keep good savings, and have a solid financing plan, you can still find opportunities, even in a difficult market.

  Buyers who rely on a significant future rate drop to afford payments are taking considerable risk.e mortgage rates can undoubtedly decrease, but they can also increase. On the other hand, rates could also go up.

  What Recent Mortgage News Means to Prospective Homebuyers

  For buyers, mortgage rates are just one piece of the puzzle. Total costs include taxes, insurance, other debts, home equity loans, and upkeep. Home equity debt, while potentially less costly than unsecured debt, may introduce additional market risks.

  What Recent Mortgage News Means to Home Buyers Who Have Been Denied

  A denial from one lender does not mean a borrower is ineligible for financing from others. There may be differences. Lender policies vary in terms of investment, debt-to-income ratios, credit scores, and program overlays. programs attract distinct borrower personas; no lender should extend an approval guarantee.

  Underwriting depends on a variety of factors, including credit, income, assets, debt, property, occupancy, documentation, loan program, and underwriting findings (manual or automated).

  Other factors may include applicable laws and regulations. GCA Mortgage Forums can help borrowers understand the reasons for a mortgage denial and identify key questions to ask. GCA Mortgage Forums News Bottom Line for August 19, 2026. Mortgage rates are only one part of the housing situation in the U.S.

  The Bigger Picture is That the Overall Cost of Living is Important as Well

  • Home prices remain high.
  • Mortgage rates are around 7 percent.
  • Property taxes are going up in most places.
  • Insurance is now a top concern for anyone worried about affordability.
  • Home insurance has become a major concern for affordability.
  • Many people have trouble paying for unexpected expenses.
  • New home construction has taken a nosedive.
  • Home sales are still limping along.
  • Oil prices keep climbing.
  • Gold prices are on the rise.
  • Treasury markets are very volatile, and the Federal Reserve is considering the risks of inflation versus a slowing economy.
  • Now, people need clear and accurate mortgage and housing information more than ever, because fear and confusion can lead to expensive mistakes.
  • Research shows that 83 percent of those who earn household incomes over $75,000 are very or somewhat familiar with home buying.
  • Forty-three percent said they were extremely or very familiar with home buying.
  • One of every four recent buyers was a Millennial.
  • The percentage of Millennials who bought a home in the last year increased by 14 percent.
  • Looking beyond the present, forty-eight percent of Millennials said they expect to buy a home within the next year.

  Frequently Asked Questions About Mortgage Rates, Housing, and the Economy
  

  What is Today’s Average Mortgage Rate?

  Before this report, the most recent corresponding benchmark posted by Freddie Mac showed the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.67 percent. The Mortgage Bankers Association posted a 6.77 percent average contract rate on conforming 30-year loans in their survey for the week ending August 14. Implied rates may vary for the individual borrower based on application-specific variables such as program and points, credit, LTV, property, occupancy, lock period, market conditions, and others.

  Are There Signs That Mortgage Rates Are Falling in 2026?
  

  Mortgage rates have not consistently headed lower, and may not do so going forward. The direction of future rates will depend on many variables, but will largely be determined by inflation and employment, the Federal Reserve’s actions, yields on Treasury and mortgage-backed securities, and the government’s borrowing and lending activities. No reputable source can predict with any certainty that mortgage rates will be lower a year from now.

  Will the Housing Market Crash in 2026?

  It doesn’t look like there’s a broad crash in home prices at the national level. According to the NAR, sales of existing homes were down 1.7% for the month, but the median price was $434,100 and was up 2.0% from the year before. While we’re seeing some slowing of the market, prices remain elevated across the country. Prices can fluctuate greatly at the local level.

  
  

  Are Home Prices Falling?

  At the national level, home prices weren’t down on a year-over-year basis, according to NAR’s data on existing homes sold in July. The median price was up 2.0% from a year earlier. Some prices can actually be falling while the national average goes up.

  What’s Causing Low Mortgage Application Activity?

  One reason consumers aren’t applying is that homeownership is unaffordable. There are high mortgage costs, high property taxes and insurance premiums, and high consumer debt levels. In the latest weekly survey, the MBA reported a 0.4% dip in total applications, with purchases down 2%.

  
  

  What is the Current U.S. Inflation Rate?

  The latest CPI data for July 2026 show that the index has increased by 3.4% from the prior year. Every month, the CPI increased by 0.1%. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the CPI every month. There is no real-time CPI between official releases.

  What is the Current Unemployment Rate?
  

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate for July 2026 was 4.1%. Nonfarm payroll employment for the month was down by 23,000.

  Why Don’t Mortgage Rates Fall with the Other Rates When the Federal Reserve Changes its Rates?

  The Federal Reserve controls a short-term policy rate, not the consumer rates on 30-year fixed mortgages. Several factors affect mortgage pricing, including long-term Treasury yields, mortgage-backed securities, inflation, economic growth, prepayment risk, market volatility, and investor demand.

  Is the Stock Market Going to Crash?

  It’s hard to tell. Given how high the major U.S. indexes are right now, there are justified concerns about long-term bond yields, inflation, slowing employment, geopolitical uncertainty, and whether technology and artificial-intelligence investments will pan out. However, those concerns don’t mean a crash is imminent.

  Why is Gold Going Up?

  On August 19, long-term yields dropped, the dollar weakened, and investors were rattled by economic and geopolitical developments. Spot gold was trading around $4,487 an oz. Trading in gold is speculative. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.

  
  

  Which States Have the Highest Property Taxes?

  According to ATTOM’s latest study, Ohio, Vermont, Connecticut, New Jersey, and Illinois have the highest average effective property tax rates for single-family homes. New Jersey also has the highest average overall dollar property tax in the study. There can be a tremendous amount of variation in local tax rates across these states.

  Is Now a Good Time to Buy a House?
  

  Factors that go into the decision vary from individual to individual. Here are a few things that potential buyers should consider: the monthly payment, length of employment, how long you expect to live in the home, reserves, condition and location, taxes, insurance, financing, and market conditions. Waiting for a certain rate to go lower, or a nationwide housing crash, may mean you are speculating, since there are no definitive signs that either of those things will happen.

  Will I Be Able to Get a Mortgage with Another Lender After the First Lender Denied My Application?
  

  It is possible that you still may be able to qualify for a mortgage. There can be a variety of differences among mortgage lenders in their overlays, underwriting, and investor requirements. It is generally recommended to review the reasoning behind the denial. Borrowers should never blindly assume that they will be approved elsewhere, but a second underwriting review can show whether other qualifying pathways may exist.

  About GCA Mortgage Forums News

  GCA Mortgage Forums News, powered by Gustan Cho Associates, provides mortgage, housing, real estate, financial, economic, and consumer news on a national level. According to the company’s provided license information, Gustan Cho Associates conducts business operations through its licensed mortgage organization in 48 states and the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

  GCA Mortgage Forums states that its lending focus is on borrowers with more complex qualification situations and those who have encountered lender overlays or prior mortgage denials.

  At all times, it is important that consumers double-check the most current licenses for the company and individual through NMLS Consumer Access before finalizing a mortgage transaction. GCA Mortgage Forums News provides consumers with mortgage news and industry insights, helping them understand what happened and why it may affect their mortgage, home, credit, and finances.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News Editorial Standards and Sources

  This edition was verified using the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Housing and Urban Development, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, U.S. Treasury Department, Energy Information Administration, Freddie Mac, Mortgage Bankers Association, National Association of Realtors, ATTOM Data Solutions, and Reuters.

  Statistics are reported by the month in which they occur since statistics on inflation, employment, housing, and GDP are not released until some time later. By the time market data are published, prices can have changed.

  Economic forecasts, mortgage-rate predictions, precious-metal forecasts, and stock-market predictions are opinions or estimates, not hard facts.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LWjPlZVK_Qs

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  View Last Reply:  Tom Miller replied 3 days, 17 hours ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   0 Replies
• Forum: Non-QM and Alternative-Documentation Loans
   Winston

  Non-QM Loan Programs at Gustan Cho Associates

  Winston Posted on July 1, 2026 at 4:08 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  8

  Hello

  A friend told me about your Non-Qualified Mortgages program, and I would like more information and to apply.

  Your prompt response is appreciated!

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  View Last Reply: Julio Munoz replied 4 days, 17 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: State and Local Housing Discussions
   Julio Munoz

  Closing Costs on a $600,000 House in Orange County Tx

  Julio Munoz Posted on July 14, 2026 at 5:41 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  37

  Estimated Buyer Closing Costs on a $600,000 Home in Orange County, Texas

  Buyers financing a primary residence should expect the following costs:

  Typical buyer closing costs range from $15,000 to $25,000.

  A practical estimate for buyer closing costs is $20,000 to $25,000, excluding the down payment. In Texas, these costs typically range from 2% to 5% of the purchase price. Insurance, escrow, discount points, and the closing date in Orange County can affect the final amount.

  Here’s a breakdown of typical costs:

  • Lender underwriting, processing, and origination: $3,000–$6,000
  • Appraisal, credit report, flood certification, and tax services: $800–$1,400
  • Title-company, settlement, survey, endorsements, and recording charges: $1,500–$3,000
  • Prepaid mortgage interest: $500–$2,000
  • First-year homeowners’ insurance premium: estimated at $4,000–$8,000
  • Initial property-tax and insurance escrow reserves: $3,000–$7,000
  • Optional discount points may change total costs depending on your selections. Orange County charges a $25 filing fee for the first page of real property documents and $4 for each additional page.

  Texas Title Insurance

  For 2026, the basic owner’s title-insurance premium for a $600,000 property in Texas is estimated as follows:

  (600,000-100,000) \times0.00494+780=$3,250

  Texas title insurance operates under a regulated rate system, with current rates effective as of March. In many Texas contracts, the seller is responsible for the owner’s title policy. If both the owner’s and lender’s policies are issued simultaneously and comply with regulations, the lender’s policy premium is typically $100. The purchase contract specifies which party is responsible for these costs.

  Cash Requirement with Down Payment Estimates

  For a home purchase of $600,000

  • With a 5% down payment ($30,000) and closing costs of $15,000 to $25,000, the total cash needed to close is $45,000 to $55,000.
  • With a 10% down payment ($60,000) plus closing costs, the total cash to close is $75,000 to $85,000.
  • With a 20% down payment ($120,000) plus closing costs, the total cash to close is $135,000 to $145,000.

  The earnest money deposit applies toward the total cash to close. Credits from the seller or lender will reduce overall closing costs.

  FHA Loan Limit – Important Consideration

  The 2026 FHA one-unit threshold is $541,287 (HUD).

  Based on the county limit, a $600,000 purchase would require an FHA borrower to provide a minimum of:

  $58,713

  This amount is the difference between the loan amount ($600,000) and the FHA limit ($541,287). The estimated cash required is $74,000 to $84,000 unless the borrower qualifies for down payment assistance or seller-paid closing costs. Property taxes vary by city, school district, special districts, exemptions, and closing date. For an exact estimate using the 2025 Orange County tax rate, please provide the property address.

  In total, closing costs plus the minimum down payment will likely range from $20,000 to $30,000. Including the owner’s title insurance policy and other items may increase the total to about $30,000, but I can gather helpful information from website titles and any data you share. Let me know what details you’d like to learn more about.

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  View Last Reply: Julio Munoz replied 4 days, 17 hours ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   1 Reply
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Julio Munoz

  GCA Forums Mortgage News for Tuesday August 18 2026

  Julio Munoz Posted on August 18, 2026 at 11:04 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  37

  GCA Mortgage Forums Daily News: Mortgage Rates Face Pressure as Housing Starts and Pending Sales Fall

  Tuesday, August 18, 2026
  Homebuilding is slowing, and fewer buyers are signing contracts as higher long-term government bond yields push mortgage rates close to 6% for many people. Worries about inflation, energy costs, the Federal Reserve, and global events are making the market uneasy. Mortgage rates will have more impact as lower housing starts and pending home sales will continue to decline. Read the GCA Mortgage Forums Daily News for August 18, 2026.

  What is Driving Mortgage Rates Today?

  In July, new home construction fell by 12.4%, and pending home sales dropped 2.3% from June. Mortgage rates have risen as 10-year government bond yields have risen, influenced by inflation, government debt, and global uncertainty. As rates go up, homes become less affordable, even if prices shift. Mortgage rates could change quickly after the Federal Reserve releases its meeting notes on Wednesday.

  According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was recorded at 6.67% for the week ending August 13, 2026. This was a decrease from last week’s average of 6.69%.

  The average rate for a 15-yMortgage rates are tied to the bond market and can change throughout the week. On Tuesday, Mortgage News Daily reported the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.75%. Since lenders use different surveys, fees, and methods, your rate quote may not match the national average. While the federal funds rate and mortgage rates are connected, they do not always move together. The bond market is a major factor in setting mortgage rates. The 10-year government bond yield is rising, even though the Federal Reserve has kept the federal funds rate steady since July.

  New Pressure on Mortgage Rates From Treasury Yields

  On Tuesday, financial news focused on developments in the bond market. The yield on the 10-year government bond was about 4.74%, and the 30-year bond yield reached 5.33% on Tuesday, its highest level since 2007. Several risks are driving volatility in financial markets, including inflation, federal government actions, oil prices, and geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran.

  For Most Mortgage Holders, These Conditions Imply the Following:

  • Higher long-term bond yields can place upward pressure on mortgage rates.
  • Short-term rates, which are influenced by long-term rates, may also rise.
  • However, this does not mean mortgage rates will jump to 7% right away.
  • Rates can change quickly due to economic or global events.
  • Borrowers should know that current rates are very unpredictable.

  Housing Starts Decline 12.4% in July

  Warning lights are flashing across the housing market. The United States Census Bureau reported that new privately owned home construction dropped to an annual rate of 1.239 million units in July, down 12.4% from June and 13.5% below the July 2025 number. New construction of single-family homes fell 9.9% to an annual rate of 808,000, one of the lowest levels in recent years.

  As mortgage rates go up, builders are finding it harder to sell homes unless they offer incentives, such as help with closing costs or lower mortgage rates. With more unsold homes on the market, builders are less willing to start new projects.

  One Positive Sign From Building Permits

  Still, the housing report did have some positive news. Building permits rose to an annual rate of 1,443,000, up 5.0% from June. Permits for single-family homes increased to an annual rate of 894,000, up 2.5%.

  Although building permits do not always lead to new home construction, they are a helpful sign of future housing market activity.

  Fewer new home starts, but more permits, show that builders are being cautious yet still looking for future opportunities. The National Association of REALTORS reported on Tuesday that signed contracts for home purchases fell by 2.3% from the previous month and were 2.2% lower than the same time last year. Contracts signed in July 2026 were the lowest in the past year.

  Regions with Month Over Month Sales Declines

  Four major regions reported month-over-month declines in pending sales contracts. The Northeast saw a 2.0% drop, the Midwest a 0.7% drop, the South a 2.2% drop, and the West had the biggest drop at 4.7%. Over the year, all regions except the Midwest saw declines, while the Midwest saw an increase. NAR noted that higher mortgage rates are making it harder to sign contracts. More homes are taking longer to sell, and fewer buyers are offering above the asking price compared to last year.

  May Be Able to Negotiate More

  With fewer contracts being signed, buyers may have an advantage since homes are staying on the market longer in some places.

  Sellers May Be Willing to:

  • Pay Closing costs
  • Reduce the price
  • Do a mortgage rate buy-down.
  • Repairs
  • Provide a home warranty.
  • Change the closing date.

  How much a seller will negotiate depends on the level of local competition. Even in busy markets, a slowdown can make sellers more willing to make deals. Since markets differ, buyers should pay attention to local conditions, not just national trends.

  High Above the Fed’s Target as It Begins to Cool

  Inflation remains a major driver of changes in mortgage rates. Prices rose by 0.1% in July compared with the previous month and by 3.4% over the past year.

  Core inflation (which excludes volatile items) rose by 0.2% in July and by 2.5% over the past year. Despite these improvements, inflation continues to exceed the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

  Energy prices are still a concern. The Energy index fell 1.5% in July, but energy prices rose 14.7%, and gasoline prices increased 24.6% over the past year. If oil prices keep rising, inflation could pick up again and push yields even higher. If that happens, mortgage rates could still rise, even if inflation reports look good.

  Economic Conditions Continue to Influence Central Bank Activity

  The Federal Reserve held the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% following its meeting on July 28-29.

  The vote to keep rates at this level was 9 to 3.

  Three Federal Reserve Bank Governors voted to raise the rate by 0.25%. In their statement, they said that while the economy continued to grow, inflation remained above the 2% target.

  This widening split among policymakers is significant. This data shows that policymakers do not fully agree on the next steps for interest rates. The next Federal Open Market Committee meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026.

  Federal Reserve Minutes Could Move Markets on Wednesday

  Mortgage professionals will want to keep a close watch on Wednesday’s developments.

  The Federal Reserve will be publishing the minutes of its July 28-29 FOMC meeting on Wednesday, August 19.

  Investors Will Be Looking to the meeting to See How the Policymakers Viewed:

  • Inflation
  • Price of Energy
  • Employment
  • Economic Growth
  • Financial Conditions
  • Probability of a Future Rate Increase
  • Effect of Geopolitical Events

  The minutes do not directly change interest rates, but they can influence what investors expect the Federal Reserve to do next. This can affect government bond yields, mortgage-backed securities, and mortgage prices. Do not assume a current rate will stay available for long unless it is locked in.

  The Signals Are Mixed

  Current economic conditions make the Federal Reserve’s decisions more difficult. Industrial production increased by 0.2% in July, and manufacturing production rose by 0.2%, according to data published by the Federal Reserve on Tuesday. Production of manufactured goods, excluding motor vehicles and parts, increased by 0.4%. At the same time, July’s jobs report revealed slow hiring, weaker factory output, and inflation still running above the Fed’s target, all adding to the uncertainty swirling around future monetary policy. The Fed’s mandate involves maximizing employment and price stability.

  Wall Street Falls as Bond Yields Worry Investors

  Stocks stumbled on Tuesday as investors grappled with rising long-term yields and fresh worries about tech valuations and global tensions. The S&P 500 fell almost 0.7%, the Nasdaq Composite fell approximately 1.3%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 0.2%. Mortgage borrowers are advised not to base financing decisions solely on short-term stock market fluctuations.

  Choppy Financial Markets

  Unstable financial markets create uncertainty and often cause mortgage rates to swing up and down. What does this mean for homebuyers? is tough right now, but waiting for the perfect mortgage rate could mean missing out.

  Buyers can often get better terms and more leverage by moving forward when the right home is available at a price they can afford, even if rates drop and competition increases later.

  Instead of Only Asking, “Are Mortgage Rates High?” it’s Better to Consider:

  Am I comfortable with the payment? Is the home priced right? Can I negotiate seller concessions? And does the loan line up with my situation?

  Prospective buyers should consider their overall financial situation and compare loan options, not just focus on interest rates. Available loan types include FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, jumbo, and Non-QM loans. Each type has its own interest rates and requirements for mortgage insurance, down payments, and pricing.

  What Today’s News Means for Home Sellers

  Pricing your home right is crucial in a market where affordability is tight and pending sales are slipping. Set your price too high, and your home could sit on the market longer than you’d like. The first month your home is listed is your best window to attract buyers.

  Instead of hoping for offers above market value, sellers should explore financing options and set a price that reflects current market conditions.

  Offering a mortgage rate buydown can help buyers more than simply lowering the price. Borrowers should focus on what they can control during the approval process. Timely bill payment, refraining from opening new credit accounts, and postponing significant purchases until after consulting with a lender are recommended practices. Borrowers should keep documentation up to date, including employment verification, income statements, bank records, and asset information, to respond quickly to lenders’ requests.

  Mortgage Loan Denial

  A mortgage denial should not be regarded as a definitive outcome. Mortgage approval depends on the loan program, agency underwriting guidelines, whether underwriting is automated, manual, or lender-specific, and the borrower’s overall profile.

  The main theme in today’s market is volatility. Many factors are pushing mortgage rates in different directions. Low activity in the housing market, paired with weakening employment and softening monthly inflation, could eventually help rates.

  Opposing influences include growing inflation, high oil prices, heightened uncertainty, growing long-term Treasury yields, and increased federal borrowing. For those with existing contracts, it is better to focus on risk management than to try to time market fluctuations.

  GCA Mortgage Forums Daily News Bottom Line

  Warning signs in the housing market remain as of August 18, 2026. Hiring has slowed. Housing starts dropped. Pending sales of homes declined. Mortgage rates were in the high-6% range. Long-term Treasury permits for construction were approved. Inflation slowed down.

  Mortgage borrowers should focus on price, loan terms, qualification, and personal finances instead of trying to predict when rates will fall.

  Some parts of the economy continued to grow. All these factors create uncertainty, but they also bring opportunities, especially for buyers. Price negotiations could shift in buyers’ favor, while sellers may need to reconsider their asking prices.

  The next major event in the mortgage market is on Wednesday, August 19, when the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of its July FOMC meeting.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJis9bNR_DQ

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  View Last Reply:  Julio Munoz replied 4 days, 17 hours ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   0 Replies
• Forum: Consumer Alerts, Fraud, and Scams
   Bruce

  What Are Flock Cameras?

  Bruce Posted on August 17, 2026 at 6:59 pm   |  State: Wisconsin  | Total Activities:  36

  There are a lot of talks about Flock Cameras. What are Flock Cameras? What are the pros of having Flock cameras in public? What are the negatives? Why is there so much fuss about Flock Cameras? Who installs and has access to Flock Cameras? Can you please go over several case scenarios for Flock Cameras? There are a lot of discussion Flock Cameras are installed by local, county, state, and federal government agencies to commit fraud, violate on our civil rights, and commit fraud.

  https://www.youtube.com/shorts/P33xZ8n-5Xw

  View All

  View Last Reply: Julio Munoz replied 4 days, 18 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Mortgage Loan Officer Help and Careers
   Gustan Cho

  Types of Mortgage Net Branch P & L Business Model

  Gustan Cho Posted on July 19, 2026 at 2:13 am   |  State: WI  | Total Activities:  671

  The mortgage industry is extremely competitive. Everything that can deter an NMLS-licensed mortgage loan originator from creating a book of business and developing a preferred third-party referral partner network from becoming successful is very difficult, BUT NOT impossible. I own, operate, and managed an independent mortgage net branch since 2015. The job of a full-time NMLS-licensed mortgage loan originator is tough enough and extremely competitive. However, if you are an independent mortgage net branch P and P owner under a larger mortgage broker or mortgage lender, it can be a challenging task where you need to realize the importance of every aspect of not just the mortgage loan origination process, which includes your support, operations, and licensed staff, in-house wage earners, third-party vendors, costs of running a remote or a brick and mortar branch, how the mortgage net branch markets to generate leads (whether it is buying leads, working with preferred referral partners, outreach, or using one or more of the many digital media marketing platforms). Marketing to attract consumers is the most important part of any business. No matter what type of business you are running, without customers, you will not generate revenue. Without generating revenues, you cannot pay your bills, expenses, and in-house and/or third-party business associates. There have been many changes on how mortgage companies operate and how they have restructured their compensation models in the past several years. Everyone knows how it goes right? One company has a brilliant idea on what and how they offer a MLO compensation and benefit program, and in no time you will see a bunch of mortgage company competitors all jump in to a similar business and compensation platform. For example, the mortgage net branch P and L model is not new and has been around for well over a decade. However, it was the mortgage bankers (direct lenders) that offered independent mortgage net branch business platforms. The targeted group of mortgage net branch were independent mortgage broker shops, high producing mortgage loan originators, MLOs who were team leaders at mortgage companies, and MLOs who had the drive, energy, and entreprenuer who wanted to take their mortgage loan originator to the next level. Once a larger mortgage lender started offering mortgage net branch opportunities, more and more companies from FDIC banks, to small, medium sized, and large direct lenders started aggressively offering similar Mortgage Net Branch P and L career opportunities. Remember, one thing. There is no such thing as free in the mortgage industry. Whether you are a consumer, borrower, loan officer, or a third-party professional inside or outside of the mortgage industry, the lenders, regulators, wholesale investors, government agencies, will nickel and dime you. There is a lot of money in the mortgage industry. When time are great such as with low rates, little to no inflation, a stable strong housing market, and a strong and stable economy, you can make substantial money in the mortgage and real estate industries. However, on the flipside, you can lose your ass off, lose your license, and shut down your doors. It is no secret that mortgage companies (direct mortgage lenders) were like hungry sharks trying to recruit mortgage loan officers, tam leads, and branch managers to their mortgage companies. What happened is the mortgage bankers offered they had the lowest rates and the best MLO compensation plan over the competition. They were like sharks. However, they were deceitful and liars. What happened imortgage companies were manipulating pricing on the back end. As direct lenders, lenders can adjust the back end fees and yield spread which reflects on the pricing of mortgage rates. If you have a lower back end compensation, that means the borrower gets a lower rate. It was an epidemic where every lender down the street and on the internet were suckering MLOs with doctored artificial rates and comp plans. Once you got sucked in to a mortgage company as a MLO or independent net mortgage branch, the first few months it was paradise. However, as time passed, you can obviously see rates were creeping up and your compensation as as MLO was plummeting. Eventually, it came to a point where direct lenders were pricing loans even to their best client’s at higher rates PLUS points over their competition. Even though the mortgage industry was extremely regulated, it did not stop greed. I remember, I lowered my compensation plan for my mortgage loan originators and myself when I was operating a net mortgage branch, however, I still had to charge discount points and my rates were substantially higher than a typical mom and pop mortgage broker. Mortgage Brokers generally have lower rates than mortgage bankers because the maximum compensation they can charge is a 2.75% yiield spread premium. Mortgage Bankers cannot survive with a 2.75% YSP cap because direct lenders have substantial higher overhead than mortgage brokers. Then in 2017, Mike Kortas and Mat Grella came up with a genius idea of creating and launhing NEXA Mortgage. Both Kortas and Grella were on a national campaign that Brokers were better. They came up withh a phenomenal marketing slogan that NEXA’s mission is to pay MLOs 100% and offer the lowest rate in the market with a network of 300 wholesale lenders and licensed in most of the 50 states. Due to the aggressive campaign and the RaRa of upbeating their MLOs, NEXA grew to close to 4,000 MLOs today. NEXA is still touting they have the best compensation in the mortgage industry and no other mortgage broker can beat them.

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  View Last Reply: Bruce replied 5 days, 19 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Harlan

  What is a Democrat Socialist?

  Harlan Posted on August 16, 2026 at 3:42 am   |  State: Hawaii  | Total Activities:  12

  What is a Democratic Socialist? I thought it was a fancy word for a typical far left Democrat. I guess not!!!

  A New York union leader just told his members to walk — the left’s socialist agenda finally cost them the working class. Trish Regan on why this is the beginning of the end.

  🔔

  https://youtu.be/XRdwafKWi0s?si=WDBm5aJROFPSSAz-

  View All

  View Last Reply: Bruce replied 5 days, 21 hours ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Gustan Cho

  GCA Mortgage Forums News: Weekend Edition-August 15 and 16 2026

  Gustan Cho Posted on August 17, 2026 at 6:18 pm   |  State: WI  | Total Activities:  671

  GCA Mortgage Forums News Weekend Edition | Saturday, August 15 and Sunday, August 16, 2026

  GCA Mortgage Forums Weekend News covers mortgage rates, housing prices, inflation, jobs, consumer debt, stocks, gold, politics, and fraud for Aug. 15–16, 2026.

  Mortgage Rates at 6.67% as Stalling Housing Market Increases Stress on Households

  At the start of this weekend, America was facing two very different economic situations simultaneously. While Wall Street reported record-high stock market activity, millions of Americans were dealing with high housing costs, expensive mortgages, rising prices, and growing debt.

  The latest Freddie Mac report on August 13 showed that the national average home mortgage rate had only dropped slightly to 6.67%, down from the previous week’s 6.69%.

  The national average for a 15-year fixed mortgage was reported at 5.96%. Existing-home sales also continued to decline in July. Consumer sentiment, as reported by the University of Michigan, also worsened in August. Retail spending unexpectedly declined in July, and there was a net loss of 23,000 jobs in the US in July.

  This is the focus of GCA Mortgage Forums News: strong financial markets stand in sharp contrast to declining housing affordability and tougher household finances. This situation has important effects for mortgage borrowers, lenders, and real estate professionals.

  SATURDAY, AUGUST 15: AMERICA’S HOUSING AFFORDABILITY ALARM IS STILL FLASHING
  

  Mortgage Rates Retreat to 6.67%—But Buyers Are Still Waiting for Real Relief

  Small relief on soaring mortgage rates? Buyers don’t believe it. According to Freddie Mac, the average mortgage rate for the week ending August 13, 2022, fell to 6.67% from 6.69% the week prior and 6.58% a year prior.

  When mortgage rates are high, even small changes in home prices, taxes, insurance, or rates can have a big impact on what households pay each month.

  In the same week, the average 15-year fixed mortgage rate was reported at 5.96%, down from 6.01% a week prior. Although a two-basis-point drop counts as a decline, buyers are looking at the bigger picture.

  Housing Affordability

  For many families, affordability is no longer just about the price of the home. It now includes the home price, mortgage rate, taxes, insurance, HOA fees, and any existing debt. All of these factors together determine how affordable housing really is.

  Approximately 1.54 million homes (a 4.6-month supply) were recorded in inventory. Only 29% of purchases were made by first-time homebuyers.

  The National Association of REALTORS® reported further deterioration in housing affordability in July. U.S. existing-home sales for July 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million, a 1.7% drop from the prior month but a 0.7% increase from July 2021. The median existing-home sales price was $434,100, up 2% from the prior year.

  Housing Crash Forecast in the United States

  The U.S. is not likely to see a widespread crash in housing prices this year. Even though prices remain high, fewer sales mean many buyers are staying on the sidelines. In fact, many homeowMany homeowners with low-rate mortgages do not want to sell. As a result, first-time buyers are often shut out, affordability stays low, and prices remain high. market that seems inactive, even as prices remain elevated.

  More Sellers Are Cutting Prices—But Buyers Still Want Better Deals

  Listing prices are showing more signs that the market is weakening. Realtor.com reports the median national listing price was $428,950, down 2.4% from a year prior. There was a 20% price reduction on about 20% of listings.

  Pending listings were still 1.3% above last year’s numbers, but that improvement had slowed substantially from earlier in the spring National housing reports need to be viewed from both the seller’s and buyer’s perspectives.

  For example, home prices are high, but a potential buyer may see price reductions in certain neighborhoods. Sellers might hear about high home values, but buyers may notice price cuts in their neighborhoods. Now more than ever, housing trends depend on local markets.

  July Jobs Shock: The Economy Lost 23,000 Payroll Positions

  The biggest economic concern this weekend was the July jobs report. Employment fell by 23,000 in July, raising the unemployment rate to 4.1%, while labor force participation fell to 61.4%. The report also identified 1.8 million Americans as long-term unemployed, accounting for 25.5% of unemployed workers.

  While the unemployment rate may have ticked down, that is not enough. Even if the unemployment rate dropped slightly, that does not tell the whole story.

  For May and June, the total number of jobs was 103,000, and said that the decline in the unemployment rate was partially due to a fall in the labor force. Employment weakness for mortgage professionals is immediate. For mortgage professionals, job losses have an immediate impact. Qualify for a mortgage. Housing demand may also affect inflation before it is reflected in home price statistics, as the labor market weakens.

  Inflation Cools Slightly but Daily Prices Still Painful

  Although inflation has improved, it still exists. Consumer inflation has eased a bit, but it remains. July, down from 3.5% in June. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, was at 2.5%. From this July, food was 3.0% pricier. Energy was 14.7% more expensive, and gas was 24.6% more costly than a year prior.

  This difference matters. A lower inflation rate does not mean prices are going back to where they were. It just means prices are rising more slowly. For households already struggling with housing, insurance, car payments, groceries, utilities, and debt, this is still a tough situation.

  The American Consumer Just Hit the Brakes

  Friday’s retail sales report issued another economic warning for the weekend.bThe Census Bureau reported a 0.6% drop in retail and food services sales to $763.6 billion in July. This was the first drop in sales in the past nine months;; however, July sales were still 5.0% higher than July 2021. After that report, the Consumer Sentiment Index brought more negative news.

  The University of Michigan’s initial Consumer Sentiment Index was 51.0 for August. This was a 7.6% drop from July and a 12.4% drop from the same time last year.

  Reuters reported considerable declines among older Americans, lower-income individuals, and those without a college education. Mortgage and real estate professionals should pay attention to these figures. When consumers are unsure, they slow down on extra spending. Buyers take longer to make decisions, and even current owners and potential buyers are more cautious.

  How Confident Consumers Feel Affects the Housing Market

  The total debt for American households at the of end, the second quarter of 2026 was $18.8 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Credit card debt for the second quarter was $1.263 trillion, an increase from the prior quarter of $21 billion. Balances for auto loans were $1.713 trillion, an increase of $28 billion from the prior quarter.

  HELOC balances Rose by $13 Billion to $459 Billion

  Mortgage balances stood at around $13.117 trillion. Mortgage originations stood at around $505 billion during the second quarter. Rising debt balances do not always mean a surge in missed payments. The New York Fed said 4.7% of debt was delinquent. Serious mortgage delinquencies rose to 1.52% in Q2 2026, up from 1.29% a year earlier.

  Many households struggled financially during the pandemic, but it is important not to exaggerate the hardship. Still, many families have little room for unexpected expenses.

  Saturday Politics Watch: Midterm Voter Energy Is Building

  As the 2022 midterm elections draw closer, it is harder to disentangle politics from economic and housing news.

  An Associated Press analysis published Saturday showed very strong turnout in some states’ Democratic primaries.

  Nearly 800,000 Wisconsin Democrats voted in the primary, while Michigan saw a state primary record of around 1.5 million votes. Again, AP noted that primary participation does not determine general-election outcomes.

  Reporting on mortgage-related politics is not the same as taking sides. Federal policies on spending and taxation, housing, and economic regulation can affect Treasury yields. GCA Mortgage Forums News focuses on policy, not politics.

  SUNDAY, AUGUST 16: WALL STREET IS FLYING HIGH WHILE MAIN STREET COUNTS EVERY DOLLAR

  The Dow is above 53,700, but that does not mean every American feels wealthy.

  • U.S. stock exchanges were closed on Saturday and Sunday, so we have to use Friday’s close as our weekend benchmark.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Friday at 53,732.41, down 0.2% for the session.
  • The S&P 500 closed at 7,785.76, also down 0.2%.
  • The Nasdaq Composite closed at 26,729.16, down 0.3%.
  • The Russell 2000 gained 0.5% to 3,068.42.
  • For the year through Friday, the S&P 500 was up 13.7%, the Dow 11.8%, the Nasdaq 15%, and the Russell 2000 23.6%.
  • These are impressive numbers, especially considering the weak housing market, job losses, and lower consumer confidence in July.
  • Still, GCA Mortgage Forums News avoids exaggerating by calling the Dow ‘severely inflated,’ since that is not an actual measurement.
  • A better question is whether Wall Street is out of touch with the financial reality of most American families.

  Sometimes, the stock market is near record highs while many families struggle to pay rent, mortgages, credit cards, groceries, gas, and insurance.

  The 10-Year Treasury at 4.68% Remains a Major Mortgage-Rate Roadblock

  For mortgage professionals, the most important number for financial markets is not the Dow. It is the bond market. The U.S. Treasury’s August 14 closing yield curve reported the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.68 percent and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.25 percent. Mortgage rates do not keep pace with 10-year Treasury yields on a one-to-one basis, but mortgage-market participants do pay attention to the relationship between Treasury yields and pricing of mortgage-backed securities.

  With long-term borrowing costs still high, getting a much cheaper mortgage is even harder.

  Hoping that mortgage rates will drop soon is not a good reason to buy a home now. No one can say for sure how much or how quickly rates will drop.

  Starting at 7:30 p.m. Central Time, benchmark gold futures at CME Group were trading for $4,409.50 per ounce. Shortly after 7:30 p.m. Central Time, CME Group showed silver futures trading for $65.36 per ounce. Precious metals closed strongly before the weekend, with spot gold reaching $4,379.95 per ounce and U.S. gold futures closing at $4,437.30.

  Given our current environment of inflation, geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and record inflation and elevated interest rates, gold continues to draw interest.

  Gold Forecast: Still Some Support For Analysts, But $5,000 Is Not Set In Stone

  Precious-metal forecasts require the same caution as mortgage-rate predictions. A July survey of 29 analysts by Reuters projected a median 2026 gold price of $4,509 per ounce and a 2027 median gold price of $4,610 per ounce. The same survey yielded an average 2026 silver price of roughly $72.00 per ounce. There is still potential support for gold from central-bank buying and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. However, gold can be pressured by weaker physical demand, a strong US dollar, or higher interest rates.

  Of course, forecasts are not guarantees. It is important to always include that reminder in financial news.

  The Mortgage Lending Market Is Still Hurt, But It Isn’t Gone

  While mortgage lending is still under significant pressure from low housing turnover, high affordability costs, and elevated lending rates, the latest statistics also lead GCA Mortgage Forums News to avoid declaring the death of the entire lending market.

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported an increase in mortgage applications for the week ending August 7, while its Refinance Index increased 5 percent from the previous week.

  Refinance activity was still 22 percent lower than the same week a year ago. In July, mortgage credit availability improved, noted the Mortgage Bankers Association. The New York Fed, in its summary of responses to the Second Quarter 2022 Senior Loan Officers Opinion Survey for domestic banks, reported $505 billion in mortgage originations.

  Update on Mortgage Lending Market
  

  Here is What Best Describes the Mortgage Lending Market Right Now:

  Contract renewals are intense, margin-sensitive, and dependent on difficult borrowers, specialized programs, purchase business, and refinance loans that are necessary and prudent. Ultra-low-rate refinanced mortgages are a thing of the pUltra-low-rate refinances are now a thing of the past. They need expertise.

  Sunday Politics Shock: Trump Orders Reduction in U.S.–South Korea Military Exercises

  Sunday also provided a major development in geopolitics. President Donald Trump is directing the Pentagon to significantly decrease the joint military exercises with South Korea and cited the expense of the wars and how South Korea refused to take part in the U.S. activities with Iran. The Ulchi Freedom Shield military exercises were anticipated to enlist around 18,000 members of South Korea’s military.

  This may be important to a mortgage and financial audience, but not to politics.

  Geopolitics affects markets such as oil, inflation expectations, interest rates, currency rates, and demand for safe-haven assets.

  These markets will impact the overall borrowing environment of U.S. consumers.

  That is why a national mortgage news outlet cannot report on mortgage rates alone.

  Mortgage fraud alert: somebody claiming to be Fannie Mae wants gift cards? Stop.

  Fraud is Always a Topic in the GCA Mortgage Forums News National Report

  Fannie Mae is currently warning consumers about a scam in which people claiming to be representatives of Fannie Mae offer mortgage modifications and ask for money or gift cards. Fannie Mae’s Financial Crimes team posted the latest mortgage fraud information on August 12. Some of the warning signs of Fraud can include discrepancies in the Social Security number and address, variations in the documents submitted, irregular verification activities, gaps in employment, and excessive requests for automated underwriting.

  Fannie Mae advises that a single red flag does not necessarily indicate fraud, but is a cause for further investigation. It is important to understand this difference.

  Lenders did not think borrowers were committing fraud when they requested additional documentation.

  Inconsistencies must be resolved by underwriters and processors, and by the system used to identify fraud, before the loan is processed. Consumers should keep this rule in mind. Do not forge documentation to falsify employment, income, assets, occupancy, gifts, and funding to obtain a mortgage. And do not send gift cards to someone claiming they can modify a mortgage.

  THE BIGGEST STORY OF THE WEEKEND: IN THE U.S., TWO DIFFERENT STORIES ARE BEING TOLD BY THE ECONOMY

  After the Sunday reopening of futures trading on Wall Street, gold topped $4,400.

  • The mortgage market continued to see little activity.
  • Mortgage rates hovered near 6.7 percent.
  • Payroll employment was down in July.
  • Consumers’ outlook was less optimistic.
  • Retail spending was declining.
  • Credit card debt hit $1.26 trillion.
  • And sales of previously owned homes were continuing at lower levels, which would have been considered weak in many other housing markets.
  • There is no need to exaggerate these numbers.
  • The numbers speak for themselves.

  WHAT THIS WEEKEND’S NEWS MEANS FOR BUYERS

  • Waiting for the lowest possible mortgage rate is risky and could end up costing home buyers more over time.
  • If you qualify for a loan today, think about your payment, cash needed, savings, how long you will own the home, and your options, instead of just guessing about future rates.
  • A lower interest rate in the future may lead to a refinance.
  • You should not buy a home that will strain your finances just because you hope to refinance later.
  • High credit card payments can lower how much potential homeowners can afford.
  • The national credit card debt is about $1.26 trillion.
  • The national number does not determine mortgage approval.
  • Buying power depends on all of a borrower’s monthly bills.
  • A household with good income might qualify for a mortgage, but if they have high credit card, car, or student loan payments, they may not get approved.
  • First-time buyers need more strategy than ever when buying a home.
  • With first-time homebuyers accounting for only 29% of July existing-home purchases, affordability is the most important factor when buying a home.
  • This makes a deeper understanding of different loan programs more important than ever.
  • Depending on the borrower’s individual scenario, the best solution may be FHA, VA, USDA, conventional financing, down payment assistance, manual underwriting, or non-QM financing.
  • Advertising the lowest mortgage rate does not mean it is the best mortgage strategy.

  WHAT THIS WEEKEND’S NEWS MEANS FOR HOMEOWNERS

  A refinance should solve a problem, not just swap one loan for another. If mortgage rates remain high, homeowners should consider the full picture when evaluating a refinance. Potential goals may include modifications such as debt consolidation with a lower payment, removal of revolving debt, changes to loan terms, access to equity, or modification of an untenable financial situation.

  When considering a refinance, the new closing costs, interest rate, loan terms, loan length, and the net present value of the overall debt structure are all relevant.

  A refinance is justified when the math alone supports the borrower’s overall financial goals. Even though home equity is available, remember that using it to pay off debt means borrowing against your home.HELOC balances were approximately $459 billion in Q2, up $13 billion from the prior quarter. Home equity can be an important financial asset. Using home equity can turn unsecured debt into secured debt. Borrowers should keep this in mind.

  WHAT THIS WEEKEND’S NEWS MEANS FOR REAL ESTATE AGENTS AND MORTGAGE PROFESSIONALS
  

  The 2026 Housing Market Rewards Problem Solvers

  This housing market is not easy. may be exactly why experienced professionals matter more. Agents need to understand equity, price gaps, and how to set realistic listing prices. Officers need to understand the guidelines and barriers to underwriting. Processors and underwriters need to know how to explain and solve problems or delays. However, consumers need professionals who can explain the math behind a loan, the barriers to a loan, and the steps to get a loan approved.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News: Mortgage News Explains the Impact on the Consumer

  GCA Mortgage Forums News is run by Gustan Cho Associates and covers mortgage and consumer finance news on a national level.

  Simply Reporting Changes in Unemployment, Mortgage Rates, or the Dow Jones is Not the Goal. GCA Mortgage Forums News Aims to Answer Questions Such As:

  • What impact will the latest economic changes have on mortgage rates?
  • What impact will the latest changes have on the mortgage process for borrowers?
  • What impact will the changes have on homeowners?
  • What impact will mortgage rates have on the ability of borrowers to afford a home?
  • What impact will the changes have on mortgage lenders and real estate professionals?
  • And what is the next important thing for consumers to focus on?

  GCA Mortgage Forums News strives to distinguish itself from the rest in reporting national financial news.

  HAVE A COMPLEX MORTGAGE SITUATION? SEEKS OUT THOUSANDS OF FORUM MEMBERS FOR ADVICE

  If one lender turns you down, that does not mean all lenders will. There are many reasons why different lenders will draw different conclusions. Some lenders impose more overlays; some lenders have more risk tolerance; some lenders work more closely with certain investors; some lenders offer more programs.

  Borrowers with less-than-perfect credit, a high DTI, a history of bankruptcy or even foreclosure, significant collections, self-employment, or other issues may have more mortgage options available than they think.

  GCA Mortgage Forums is a great resource for asking mortgage- and housing-related questions and learning about changes to lending guidelines, including how national economic news affects mortgage and housing opportunities. Gustan Cho Associates aims to offer mortgage solutions for complex situations that standard financing may not cover.

  Why Readers Should Return To GCA Mortgage Forums News Every Day

  The mortgage market is always connected to other factors:

  • Jobs impact mortgage rates.
  • So does inflation.
  • So do treasury yields.
  • So does oil.
  • So do wars and other geopolitical happenings.
  • So do changes in expectations of the Federal Reserve.
  • So do fluctuating home prices.
  • So do changing underwriting guidelines.
  • So do evolving mortgage fraud schemes.
  • And so does one single economic GCA Mortgage Forums News will cover all these topics.
  • You will not find yesterday’s recycled news here.
  • You will not find politically charged news disguised as financial updates.
  • You will not find sensational news without context.
  • Instead, you will get national news focused on the U.S. mortgage and housing markets.

  WEEKEND EDITOR’S NOTE: WHAT “LIVE” MARKET DATA MEANS

  The U.S. stock markets were closed on Saturday, August 15,, and Sunday, August 16; the stock-market data contains the weekend edition of the newsletter, referring to Friday, August 14, the most recent closing session. CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) Group reopened metals futures trading on Sunday evening, thereby enabling the author to use Sunday evening futures pricing for the gold and silver section in this issue.

  Predicting the short-term prices of precious metals and other financial commodities is speculative and not a dependable method for forecasting future prices.

  CME notes that the data they display may be slightly delayed. Mortgage rates shown are Freddie Mac’s national weekly averages as of August 13, 2026. Individual mortgage rates, fees, and terms of eligibility vary by borrower, property, loan program, lender, credit score, and market conditions.

  Final Word: The Housing Affordability Crisis Is Not Over
  

  August 15-16, 2026, Leaves Americans With One Truth:

  • The economy is not working the same way for everyone.
  • Stock markets around the world are at historic levels.
  • Sunday Futures show gold above $4,400.
  • Mortgages still hover around 6.7%
  • Sales of existing homes slowed, and first-time buyers accounted for just 29% of transactions.
  • Household debt grows to $18.8 trillion.
  • Payrolls fell in July.
  • Consumer confidence is slipping.
  • The American housing market now faces a new question.

  When Will Mortgage Rates Finally Come Down?

  Now, the market is asking,

  How long will Americans have to pay the price of high housing, debt, and living costs?

  GCA Mortgage Forums News will continue to follow this story.

  The Daily GCA Mortgage Forums

  Each Daily GCA Mortgage Forums News edition could start with a strong headline like ‘America wakes up to…’,

  • Quick stats at the top, a section with the latest mortgage indicators after each major economic update, and regular features like ‘Wallet Watch,’ ‘Mortgage Fraud Alert,’ and ‘Washington Watch.’
  • Adding a call to action at the end can help boost engagement.
  • ” Tree vs. Main Street” to the lineup of Mortgage GCA Mortgage Forums News programs.
  • Your suggested theme is interesting, but the best is not “the Dow is severely inflated.”
  • It is: “Wall Street Is Near Records—So Why Does Main Street Feel Broke?”
  • That headline confers the tension you’re after while allowing the article to develop the evidence and not the conclusion.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R20_oaHN94g

  View All

  View Last Reply:  Gustan Cho replied 5 days, 22 hours ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   0 Replies
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Lisa Jones

  GCA Forums Mortgage News for Friday August 7 2026

  Lisa Jones Posted on August 7, 2026 at 10:21 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  38

  GCA Forums Mortgage News Daily for Friday, August 7, 2026

  July payrolls fell 23,000 as stocks hit records, mortgage rates averaged 6.69%, gold surged, and U.S. housing affordability stayed strained.

  Jobs Shock Hits Mortgages as Stocks Hit Records: GCA Forums Mortgage News — August 7, 2026

  • Many Americans expected upbeat jobs numbers, but the outcome fell short of those hopes.
  • The economy lost 23,000 jobs in July.
  • Wall Street, however, greeted the news with enthusiasm.
  • Following the report, Treasury yields dropped, stocks jumped, gold surged, and expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve shifted.
  • While investors found cause for celebration, the news cast a shadow over everyday Americans, hopeful homebuyers, and the mortgage industry.
  • Hiring is still uncertain. Mortgage rates are near 7%, and declining home sales indicate weaker demand.
  • Consumers are expected to spend more than they earn.
  • At the same time, foreclosures are rising and are higher than what the Federal Reserve is comfortable with.
  • The S&P 500 closed at a new record on Friday.
  • In this August 7, 2026, edition, GCA Forums Mortgage News puts facts first, steering clear of market guesswork.

  FRIDAY SHOCKER: ECONOMY LOSES 23,000 JOBS IN JULY

  This jobs report threw Wall Street a curveball. The latest report showed a decline of 23,000 jobs in July vs. a forecasted increase of ~80,000. Job growth in June was revised down to a meager 20, with an additional revision of 103,000 to May and June. The unemployment rate unexpectedly declined from 4.2% to 4.1%. At first blush, the numbers seem encouraging. Yet, a dip in unemployment is not always a sign of good news.

  Why Unemployment Numbers Alone Are Not a True Reflection of the Job Market

  Roughly 264,000 people left the workforce, dragging labor participation down to 61.4%—the lowest in over five years. The unemployment rate did not decline because of increased job avaThe unemployment rate went down not because there were more jobs available. last year.

  Why Today’s Jobs Report is Relevant for Every Mortgage Borrower

  Unemployment rates and mortgage rates are not directly connected. Treasury yields, inflation outlooks, Fed policy outlooks, and mortgage-backed securities all play a greater role in determining the mortgage rate. Treasury yields fell along with the weak jobs report, reducing the chance of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s September meeting. By midday Friday, the 10-year Treasury yield was about 4.64% to 4.65%, and the 2-year was around 4.20%. However, this does not guarantee significant decreases in mortgage rates in the coming week.

  MORTGAGE RATES STAND IN THE WAY OF ACCESS TO HOMES FOR MILLIONS

  Freddie Mac recorded a 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.69% as of August 6, 2026, up from 6.66% one week prior and 6.63% one year prior.

  • The average 15-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.01%.
  • These rates keep squeezing housing affordability for countless would-be buyers.
  • Current homebuyers are getting mortgage rates that cause much higher monthly payments than those who bought when rates were low.
  • This is one reason many Americans decide not to sell their homes.

  What Bond Rally Means for Mortgage Rates

  Borrowers received some positive news after Freddie Mac released its weekly mortgage report, following Friday’s employment data. Should the bond market find its footing, mortgage costs might finally ease.

  However, borrowers should know that the Freddie Mac weekly mortgage rate is a standard reference, not the exact rate everyone will get.

  Actual mortgage rates depend on many things, like credit score, loan type, down payment, property type, whether you live in the home, debt compared to income, discount points, and lender fees.

  Mortgage Lending is a Volume-Starved Industry

  The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said that high mortgage rates reduced the likelihood of refinancing and discouraged potential homebuyers, leading to fewer loan applications.

  The MBA also reported that mortgage credit became harder to obtain in June, indicating that lending conditions remain tight.

  Lending continues despite tough conditions. Lenders are competing hard for fewer borrowers who care about rates, as high interest rates keep many qualified buyers from entering the market. It is unusual for national payroll declines to coincide with rising stock purchases on Wall Street.

  Stock Market News and Update

  During one such report, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 151.83 points, closing at 54,036.93. The S&P rose 47.68 points to a record 7,757.64, and the Nasdaq gained 342.26 points, closing at 26,690.62. For the week, the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow were up 3.6%, 5.2%, and nearly 3%, respectively.

  Why is the Stock Market Going Up Even Though the Job Market is Weak?

  Wall Street was not happy about job losses. The positive response came because of lower employment numbers and the expected pause in Federal Reserve rate hikes in September.

  Before the employment report, there was strong evidence that the Fed would raise interest rates. After the employment report, the odds of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates for September were at 44% in a Reuters market report.

  Lower interest rates typically boost investor optimism, especially for growth and technology companies. This dynamic contributed to the market’s response.

  IS THE STOCK MARKET ABOUT TO CRASH?

  HERE IS THE FACT-CHECK

  Current conditions give real reasons to be careful. With economic uncertainty, high interest rates, inflation above targets, slower growth, and July’s surprise job losses, there is no clear sign of a coming stock market crash.

  Although there are worries about the economy, there is little evidence of an imminent market crash. There is even more evidence of economic growth to be hopeful about. According to a Reuters report, 85% of the 436 S&P 500 companies that reported results beat analyst expectations, which is above the long-term average.

  GCA Forums Market Watch: High Prices Deserve Caution, Not Certainty

  A wise outlook recognizes that stocks are pricey and the economy is in uncharted waters. Caution about a correction is smart, but record highs do not promise a fall. This distinction is important to keep in mind.

  GCA Forums Mortgage News will issue warnings if indicators of a correction emerge, but will avoid making unsubstantiated claims for attention.

  FEDERAL RESERVE CAUGHT BETWEEN HOT INFLATION AND COLD JOBS

  At the July 29 meeting, Jerome Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep the federal funds target range at 3.50% to 3.75%, with 9 in favor and 3 supporting a 0.25% rate hike. (Federal Reserve) Then came the employment shock.

  The Fed faces mixed signals. Prices are rising fast, but hiring is slowing down. Raising rates could hurt jobs, housing, and borrowing, while not raising them might allow prices to rise further. Everyone is watching next Wednesday’s CPI report, which could be a key moment this summer.

  TEMPORAL THRESHOLD: JULY CPI REPORT NOT YET PUBLISHED

  As of the close of trading on Friday, August 7, no official July 2026 CPI report has been released. The last published Consumer Price Index was for June. Headline CPI fell 0.4% from May to June but was 3.5% higher than in June 2025. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, was unchanged in June and rose 2.6% year over year.

  July CPI will be published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Until then, any report on the “July CPI” is a prediction, an estimate, or a nowcast.

  Energy Prices Ride a Rollercoaster

  The processing of June CPI data revealed a major energy crisis. Energy costs increased 15.7% annually, with gas up 26.7% and food up 3.0%. Climbing oil prices can push mortgage costs higher. When oil surges, inflation fears grow, Treasury prices fall, and mortgage expenses tend to rise. Even gas prices can ripple through to your mortgage payment.

  THE FED’S PREFERRED INFLATION MEASURE IS TOO HIGH AGAIN

  The Fed closely follows the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index.

  • In June, the headline PCE price index was up 3.7% from the previous year.
  • Core PCE was up 3.3%.
  • Both are also above the Fed’s long-run inflation target of 2%.
  • This is the central puzzle for policymakers.
  • The job market stumbled on Friday, yet the fight against inflation is still raging.

  U.S. ECONOMY SLOWS: GDP GROWTH FALLS TO 1.5%

  According to the latest estimate by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. real GDP grew at a 1.5% annualized pace in the second quarter, down from 2.1% in the first quarter.

  • The pace of growth has lost momentum.
  • However, this alone does not indicate the U.S. is in a recession.
  • There was also strength beneath the headline.
  • A measure of private-sector demand, real final sales to private domestic purchasers, grew at a 3.9% annual rate.

  The economy is sending mixed signals, not flashing a clear warning of recession.

  IN STREET MONEY CRUNCH: SPENDING EXPECTATIONS OUTRUN INCOME

  Now, the spotlight moves away from stock indexes.at is the state of personal finances for the average consumer?

  • The July Survey of Consumer Expectations from the New York Federal Reserve, published on Friday, shows the answer.
  • Consumers in the survey anticipate an average 3% increase in household income in the upcoming year.
  • They thought household spending would rise by 4.9%.
  • This gap is more than just a number—it’s significant.
  • Consumers also expected continually rising prices in several essential sectors.
  • Predicted Rent inflation was at 5.9%.
  • Food inflation was at 5.0%, and the expected increase in the price of Medical Care was at 8.9%.
  • One-year expected inflation remained steady at 3.6%.
  • Additionally, more people fear they will miss making payments on their debt.
  • The expected probability that ordinary people would miss making the minimum payment on their debt in the next three months increased by 1.2 percentage points to 12.0%.
  • The increase was even greater.
  • This statistic does not mean that 12% of individuals will definitely miss a payment.
  • This doesn’t mean that 12% of people will actually miss a payment.
  • But it does reveal that financial stress is mounting.

  Americans Are Saving Less and Less

  The BEA reported that the personal savings rate was at 2.7% for June. During June, personal income increased by 0.2% and personal consumption increased by 0.3%.

  Once rent, food, insurance, car payments, utilities, and credit cards are paid, many families are left with little or nothing at all.

  There are many factors that contribute to negative Housing Affordability, beyond Mortgage Rates.

  AMERICA’S HOUSEHOLD DEBT IS VERY HIGH

  According to the latest New York Fed Household Debt and Credit report, total U.S. household debt was about $18.79 trillion in the first quarter of 2026.

  • Household Mortgage Debt was about $13.19 trillion.
  • Household Credit Card Debt was about $1.25 trillion.
  • According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 4.8% of all debt is currently classified as delinquent.
  • We anticipate the second-quarter household debt report on August 11.
  • This report is considered one of the major Main Street financial indicators.

  Current Increases in Foreclosures Differ from 2008 Conditions

  Foreclosure activity warrants scrutiny. ATTOM reports that in the first half of 2026, 227,548 U.S. properties had foreclosure filings, 21% higher than the first half of 2025 and 28% higher than 2024. This increase is significant. However, the report states these conditions represent a gradual return to normal. Rising foreclosures are worrisome, but a housing market crash has not materialized.

  The Housing Market Crash

  Increased distress in paying mortgages is observed when consumer incomes are unstable, savings decrease, and household debt becomes more difficult to service. This is the importance of the jobs report to the housing market.

  Homeowners with 3% mortgage rates have little incentive to sell their homes when mortgage rates are higher. However, losing a job makes the situation more difficult, and homeowners have more reason to sell.

  This is the new effect we are seeing on the housing market. The housing market is characterized by high prices, slow sales, and increased inventory. It is neither booming nor crashing. Existing home sales fell by 2.4% in June, with an annual rate of 4.09 million (seasonally adjusted). However, sales were still 2.8% higher than last year.

  Existing Home Prices Are Steadily Rising

  As of June, the national median existing-home sales price was approximately $440,600, an 1.8% increase from last year. Prices continued to increase for the last 36 consecutive months. Inventory hovered around 1.56 million homes, a 4.6-month supply. Buyers have more choices than before, but prices are still sky-high… Homes are still out of reach for many.

  NEW HOUSING MARKET SENDS ANOTHER WARNING

  The picture is a little different for newly constructed homes. New-home sales, reported by the Census Bureau for June, were estimated to be about 628,000 (annualized) sales. This is a 5.6% decrease on a year-over-year basis. The estimated sales price for a new home was $398,300, a 2.7% year-over-year decrease. The estimated inventory equaled approximately 9.3 months of supply. When supply stretches past nine months, builders are eager to win over buyers.

  This can spark price cuts, incentives to cover closing costs, or mortgage rate buydowns in areas with high builder inventory.

  HOME PRICES COOL, BUT NOT COLLAPSE NATIONWIDE

  FHFA reported U.S. home prices increased by 2.2% from May 2025 to May 2026 and 0.3% from the previous month.

  Regional differences are striking. The Pacific division saw a slight annual dip, while the Middle Atlantic tells a different story—painting a truer picture of America’s real estate in 2026.

  • There is no one U.S. housing market.
  • Some metros are highly competitive.
  • Some metros are balanced.
  • Some metros have more sellers than buyers, and national news coverage often obscures the distinctions among local real estate markets.
  • Local markets differ significantly.

  AFFORDABILITY IMPROVES BY SEVEN DOLLARS, YES SEVEN

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that the U.S. national median mortgage payment for May 2023 was $2,198, and

  • in June, for a purchase mortgage applicant, the new median payment was $2,191.
  • This small drop brings a hint of relief to families struggling with housing costs.
  • That’s where things stand with housing affordability right now.
  • Home prices and mortgage rates are not declining.
  • Buyers should also brace for rising property taxes, homeowners’ insurance, HOA fees, and maintenance costs—all of which can drive up total expenses.
  • Rate changes alone may not move the needle much.

  GOLD EXPLODES HIGHER AS INVESTORS RUN TO SAFETY

  Precious metals shone on Friday.

  • Spot gold was up over 2% and trading around $4,336 per ounce, with U.S. gold futures closing around $4,399.70.
  • Gold was up 7% on the week.
  • Silver was around $63.29 per ounce, up about 3%.
  • What caused this movement?
  • The weak employment report lowered Treasury yields and the dollar, reducing expectations for an Such conditions usually send gold glimmering higher. ions typically favor gold.
  • UBS has reportedly projected that gold could reach $5,000 per ounce in the first half of 2027.
  • This projection is speculative.
  • Gold, like any asset, can stumble after a long rally.s during extended rallies.
  • A price target does not guarantee future performance.

  OIL ENDS FRIDAY HIGHER BUT MUDDLED THROUGH A TERRIBLE WEEK

  • Energy markets continue their wild swings.
  • Brent closed on Friday at around $ 83.55 per barrel, which is an increase of approximately 1.3% for the session.
  • West Texas Intermediate closed at around $78.18 per barrel, an increase of approximately 1.2%.
  • Still, Friday’s gains barely put a dent in the week’s earlier losses.
  • Brent lost over 8% during the week, and WTI lost over 7%, due to shifting, volatile geopolitical developments involving Iran, Oman, and the Strait of Hormuz.

  Implications of Oil Prices for Mortgage Borrowers

  • Oil’s reach extends far beyond the gas pump.
  • Energy prices can determine costs for transport, manufacturing, and distribution of goods, as well as the cost of air travel, inflation rates, and inflation expectations.
  • If oil prices spike and remain elevated, inflation will become a greater concern for the Fed.
  • If oil prices fall, inflation often follows.
  • That’s why mortgage professionals keep a close eye on crude oil and Treasury yields.

  Friday’s National Financial Snapshot

  • Change in July Payrolls: -23,000; Unemployment: 4.1%; Labor Force Participation Rate: 61.4%.
  • 30-Year Freddie Mac Mortgage Rate: 6.69% (as of August 6).
  • Dow Jones: 54,036.93; S&P 500: 7,757.64; Nasdaq: 26,690.62 on Friday.
  • Most recent CPI: 3.5% YoY for June, Core CPI: 2.6%.
  • Gold (about): $4,336 per ounce; Silver (about): $63.29
  • Oil: Brent: $83.55, WTI: $78.18
  • Median Price of Existing Homes (June): $440,600
  • Median Price of New Homes (June): $398,300

  THE BIG MORTGAGE QUESTION: SHOULD HOMEBUYERS CONTINUE TO WAIT?

  There’s no one-size-fits-all answer for homebuyers across the country. Waiting to buy may be advisable if a significant drop in prices or rates is necessary for the payment to fit your budget. But waiting comes with its own risks.

  Rates might dip, but prices could climb. Rates coRates could also remain high. The local housing market might also get more competitive. The pertThe key question is not whether mortgage rates will decrease.d, the central consideration is as follows:

  Can the prospective buyer manage the payment, out-of-pocket expenses, and ongoing costs associated with the property under the current terms? Otherwise, a drop in Treasury yields will have a limited impact. If the status quo holds, a growing supply of homes could tip the scales in buyers’ favor.

  NOT ALL LENDERS SHARE THE SAME BORROWING CRITERIA

  Borrowing criteria vary by lender.

  • A borrower might qualify for FHA, VA, conventional, or non-QM programs and still be subjected to a restriction deemed an overlay by the lender.
  • Gustan Cho Associates is a DBA of Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205, and its current company disclosures describe business practices in the 48 contiguous states and Washington, D.C., as well as Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, with Massachusetts and New York pending.
  • The company is particularly interested in clients with complicated mortgage qualifications and those who have received a denial.
  • A mortgage denial from one lender does not necessarily preclude eligibility with others, as lender-specific overlays are often the cause. In such cases, seeking a second opinion is advisable.

  WEEKEND WATCH: A BUSY WEEK FOR MORTGAGE RATES

  Friday’s jobs report is only the opening act in a week packed with crucial updates.

  Look at what.

  • The following key updates are scheduled for next week:August 11:

  Housing and Household Debt

  The NAR will issue the July report on sales of existing single-family homes. The New York Fed’s second-quarter Household Debt and Credit report will be published soon.

  Together, these reports will paint a fuller picture of the housing market and household debt, revealing both sides of the average American family’s financial story.

  Wednesday, August 12: CPI DAY

  • This day could prove pivotal.
  • At 8:30 a.m. Eastern, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the July Consumer Price Index.
  • A CPI reading below expectations may bolster the recent bond rally and further support a September Fed pause.
  • A CPI higher than expected may completely change that assessment.

  Thursday, August 13: Producer Inflation

  The July Producer Price Index will be published on Thursday. This measures inflation from the producer perspective and is released one day before the CPI.

  • Next Wednesday and Thursday could be game-changers for those eyeing a mortgage.s Assessment:

  Divergence Between Wall Street and Main Street

  This is the paradox confronting America on August 7, 2026.

  • The S&P 500 is approaching a new record.
  • Gold is above $4,300.
  • Home values are extremely high.
  • The country is experiencing a job loss in the most recent Monthly Employment report.

  Consumers Expect to Spend More Money Than They Earn

  • Mortgage rates are close to 7%.
  • Household debt is nearly $19 trillion.
  • Foreclosures are increasing.
  • The housing market is seeing fewer deals.
  • Taken together, these trends could signal a rising risk of downturn.
  • The evidence shows that watching the Dow Jones alone misses the real financial story for most American families.
  • A clear divergence exists between the experiences of Main Street and Wall Street.
  • GCA Forums Mortgage News will continue to shine a light on both sides of the story.

  Frequently Asked Questions About Today’s Mortgage and Housing News

  Does a weak July Jobs Report Reduce Mortgage Rates?

  Yes. If Treasury yields remain low and investors expect the Fed not to raise rates, mortgage rates could decline. However, other factors such as inflation, oil prices, mortgage-backed securities, and next week’s CPI report could push rates higher.

  What Is the Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate Right Now?

  According to the Freddie Mac survey, as of August 6, 2026, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.69 percent. Borrowers will be subject to different rates based on credit, loan type, points, property, and other related factors.

  When Does the Next CPI Inflation Report Come Out?

  The report for the July 2026 CPI will be published on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

  Why Did Stocks Go Up When the U.S. Lost Jobs?

  The markets viewed the recent poor jobs report as a sign the Fed would not increase rates in September, and with the expectation of lower rates, stocks, especially growth and tech stocks, are likely to have higher valuations.

  Is the U.S. Housing Market Crashing in 2026?

  There is no national-level data to support the idea of a national housing price crash. Sales continue to be slow. In some markets, prices are falling. However, the FHFA national index increased 2.2 percent year over year as of May, and the NAR June median existing-home sales were up 1.8 percent over the prior year.

  Are Foreclosures Increasing in 2026?

  Yes. In the first half of 2026, there were 21 percent more foreclosure filings than in the first half of 2025, according to ATTOM. Although rising foreclosures warrant some concern, they do not indicate that there will be another 2008-type housing crisis.

  Is It Better to Buy a House Now or Wait?

  Depends on the buyer’s payment, income, savings, the local housing market, and the expected duration of homeownership. The buyer expects to be in the house. Rather than speculating about future mortgage rates, homebuyers should evaluate how total housing payments align with their budgets.

  Can I Still Get a Mortgage After Being Denied By a Lender?

  Yes, in some cases it is possible. A denial from one lender does not guarantee denial elsewhere, as some lenders impose additional requirements. It is important to determine the reason for denial and seek guidance from other mortgage professionals.

  Take Part in the Live Mortgage and Housing News

  Conversation on GCA Forums Mortgage News

  The mortgage market can shift in a heartbeat. One jobs report can sway Treasury yields. An inflation update can rewrite the Fed’s script. Even a tiny tweak in mortgage pricing can turn an impossible loan into a reality—or the other way around.

  • Given the current uncertainty, GCA Forums Mortgage News adopts a distinct approach compared to most financial news outlets.
  • The platform is creating a community where people can share how mortgage and housing news shapes their everyday lives.
  • Participants are encouraged to submit mortgage and housing questions during the GCA Forums Live Weekend News Report and to share loan scenarios that other lenders have declined.

  Sources and Editorial Policy

  GCA Forums Mortgage News uses sanctioned, reputable sources to track the economy and the mortgage market. These sources include the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Federal Reserve, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Freddie Mac, the Mortgage Bankers Association, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the U.S. Census Bureau, and the National Association of Realtors. In this edition, live financial and commodity market prices were validated against Reuters.

  As noted, market prices can be in constant flux. Mortgage rates will vary by borrower and lender. Economic data is subject to revision after initial publication.

  These, and other forms of opinion, analysis, and forecasts, are labeled as such and are not to be construed as confirmed economic data. One compliance/credibility issue I strongly suggest you address. Avoid publishing “GCA Forums Mortgage News is the only news network NMLS licensed in 48 states.” The current pages themselves provide evidence supporting this claim. NMLS licensing pertains to mortgage companies and MLOs, not news networks, thereby making the statement superlative. The phrasing I provided above creates a considerably more defensible position while maintaining the competitive advantage.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1abGy3FoY4

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  View Last Reply: Harlan replied 1 week ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   2 Replies
• Forum: Community Lounge
   Jeannie

  Serial Police Impersonator Jeremy Dewitte

  Jeannie Posted on March 24, 2024 at 9:31 pm   |  State: Wisconsin  | Total Activities:  15

  Jeremy Dewitte is a cop wannabe police impersonator

  Jeremy Dewitte has gotten arrested for impersonating police officers since he was 17 years old. Since Jeremy Dewitte is not hireable as a POST certified law enforcement officer in any state of the nation, Jeremy Dewitte opened a funeral escort service company in the state of Florida. In his fleet of vehicles for funeral escort services, Jeremy Dewitte has vehicles that resemble law enforcement vehicles such as dressing up Ford Crown Vics, Ford Explorer SUVs and motorcycle with police look alike stripes,badges, and emergency flashing lights and sirens. Check out this video

  https://www.facebook.com/share/v/PVYpy8obKqn6cb19/?mibextid=21zICX

  • This discussion was modified 2 years, 4 months ago by  Gustan Cho. Reason: Spelling error
  • This discussion was modified 2 years, 2 months ago by  Sapna Sharma.

  

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  Serial Police Impersonator Arrested by Real Police (Part One) #criminals #cops #police #chasing

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• Forum: Housing and Real Estate Market News
   Juan

  UWM the Largest Wholesale Lending in the Nation Needed a $1.5 Billion Bailout

  Juan Posted on August 15, 2026 at 2:33 am   |  State: iLLINOIS  | Total Activities:  8

  America’s largest mortgage lender, United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), just needed a 1.5 billion bailout. UWM, a public company, has lost 70% of its stock price this year. United Wholesale Mortgage is hands down the largest wholesale mortgage lender in the nation. UWM does not have a retail division. However, United Wholesale Mortgage has TPO agreements with hundreds of independent mortgage companies, many of them independent mortgage brokers and mini-correspondent lenders. Does any members or viewers of GCA Mortgage Forums familiar with this news?

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BXi5JDbgYvU&t=715s

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  View Last Reply: Dolley replied 1 week, 1 day ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Welcome and Introductions
   Bailey

  Gustan Cho Biography

  Bailey Posted on July 19, 2026 at 7:17 am   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  14

  Gustan Cho Biography | Mortgage and Real Estate Career

  Gustan Cho, NMLS 873293, is the president of Gustan Cho Associates, powered by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205. The firm uses a wide multistate lending platform to offer government, conventional, jumbo, Non-QM, investment-property, and alternative mortgage programs.

  Gustan Cho Biography: Real Estate Investor and Mortgage Lending Leader

  • Gustan Cho did not have any partners. Starting day one, Gustan tackled the seven large apartment complexes.
  • From construction and multifamily investing to leading Gustan Cho Associates in mortgage lending,

  Gustan Cho, NMLS 873293 Last Updated: July 18, 2026Gustan Cho Biography: Real Estate Investor and Mortgage Lending Leader

  Gustan Cho is a mortgage lending professional and multifamily real estate investor with a long history in general contracting and investing. Additionally, he is the founder and managing director of Gustan Cho Associates. His extensive professional resume includes construction, securities, mortgage lending, multifamily real estate, and a variety of property rehabilitation and mortgage-related services, as well as national mortgage education.

  Before beginning his mortgage lending career in 2012, Cho gained decades of experience purchasing, rehabilitating, managing, and financing residential and multifamily properties.

  Reportedly, during the peak of his real estate investment career, he owned over 3,000 residential units across seven apartment complexes and many other smaller multifamily properties.

  Gustan Cho Associates was founded on this combination of experience to impact clients who have suffered mortgage denials, are credit-challenged, have prior credit issues, possess Non-traditional income, have high debt-to-income ratios, and understand that they have limited mortgage options.

  Gustan Cho Profile

  Gustan L. Cho is a real estate investor and entrepreneur. He is an experienced educator in the mortgage field and originates loans. Rare is the case when a mortgage field professional has ownership-side real estate experience, and he is one of those individuals.

  Mr. Cho is well known today for assisting home buyers and property owners with complex mortgage issues that have led lenders to decline their applications.

  He has encountered many of the same issues that potential borrowers, homeowners, and real estate investors face, including challenges in obtaining commercial financing, constructing or rehabilitating a property, managing tenants, addressing personal financial challenges and business recovery, and navigating the mortgage underwriting process.

  Early Life and Immigration to the United States

  Gustan Cho was born in Incheon (spelled Inchon), South Korea, and was relocated to Buenos Aires, Argentina, as a child. They then migrated to the United States in 1974 and settled in Chicago, Illinois.

  Being an immigrant and settling in the US helped shape Cho’s strong work ethic and determination, which they carried throughout their life.

  Cho was able to pay for college after working and building their career in construction and sales.

  Education After immigrating to the US, Cho was enrolled in Chicago schools, and then later moved to Mount Prospect, Illinois, with their family.

  Some of the schools in Cho’s education history:

  Indian Grove Elementary, River Trails Junior High, and John Hersey High School, all in Illinois, and North Park University in Chicago.

  Not only did Cho get their undergraduate degree from North Park University, but they also completed a semester of graduate school.

  Gustan Cho’s Early Professional Career

  Starting in Construction and Sales Management

  While in College, Cho started working for a construction company. In their early twenties, Cho had gone from a telemarketer to a sales manager.

  In their early 20s, Cho managed a construction company and had extensive experience and skills in sales and customer service, employee management, budgeting, and daily business tasks.

  Becoming a Stockbroker and Branch Manager

  Cho started working in the financial services sector in 1988 after switching careers from construction. He worked as a licensed stockbroker after passing the Series 7 exam.

  Cho was in the securities and brokerage industry until about 1996. He gained experience in many areas, including financial analysis and risk management, investment strategies, client service, and regulatory compliance.

  Gustan then took the Series 24 exam and became a branch manager. He had many duties related to standards of operations and the management of regulatory and compliance issues, as well as supervisory and client-facing duties.

  Learning From Financial Setbacks

  In the early parts of his career, Cho experienced major detrimental financial setbacks. From those setbacks, he learned that a borrower’s financial conditions can change rapidly due to business and economic conditions, as well as over-leveraging and misplaced confidence.

  Instead of letting setbacks cause the end of his professional career, he improved his financial condition and returned to construction. His setbacks later allowed him to aid mortgage borrowers in bankruptcy as well as those with severely damaged credit and other financial issues.

  General Contracting and Real Estate Development
  

  General Contracting

  After leaving the securities industry, Cho became a general contractor and participated in the construction of both residential and commercial projects.

  These projects included commercial construction, shopping centers, converted loft condominiums, renovated apartments, and both gut rehabs and new construction, among others.

  These projects provided valuable lessons in the construction costs and management of contractors, the planning of renovations, as well as the construction of new projects. He also learned about budgeting and real estate improvement strategies.

  Investing Journey of Gustan Cho

  Gustan Cho started his real estate journey in October 1998. Fast forward a year, and Cho was focused on profitable investments from rehabbing and flipping single-family homes and duplexes.

  From there, Cho started focusing on multifamily real estate. He would often look for vacant, distressed, and mismanaged multifamily buildings that needed a lot of work.

  Cho’s investment strategy consisted of:

  Purchasing the distressed or mismanaged building, doing a gut rehab, getting quality tenants, stabilizing the building, and refinancing and holding the building to get cash flow.

  Gustan Cho’s First Multifamily Building

  • In December 1999, Cho bought his first multifamily building. It was an 8-unit building located at 3624 West Augusta Blvd. in Chicago.
  • He started a new strategy for his large multifamily investments.
  • This new strategy was focused on holding the rehabbed buildings and starting the rentals and Cho’s self-financed multifamily construction.

  Cho started building a multifamily portfolio in Chicago.

  In the years that followed, Cho continued to build his real estate portfolio and purchased many homes around Chicago.

  His portfolio consisted of homes, duplexes, and many multifamily buildings that consisted of 60 units or more. Many of the buildings acquired by Cho were distressed and in need of rehab.

  The original portfolio listed buildings ranging from small two-unit properties to buildings such as:

  • 110 North Leamington, containing 22 units
  • 5001 West Monroe with 26 units
  • 5501 West Monroe with 26 units
  • 38 North Central with 39 units
  • 123 North Central with 41 units
  • 8044 South Ingleside with 44 units
  • and
  • 60 North Central with 60 units

  Acquiring More Than 3,000 Residential Units

  As his investment business expanded, Cho moved from individual Chicago apartment buildings into larger apartment communities.

  At its peak, his broader portfolio reportedly included more than 3,000 residential units across seven apartment complexes, as well as the smaller properties he had accumulated in Chicago.

  The portfolio was built through a value-add investment model. Properties were acquired, renovated, stabilized, managed, and refinanced as their occupancy and financial performance improved.

  Southgate Apartments and Major Real Estate AcquisitionsAcquisition of Southgate Apartments

  One of Cho’s largest documented acquisitions was Southgate Apartments, a 424-unit apartment community.

  The property went under contract in early 2004 and closed in October 2004. It required substantial renovation and operational improvements.

  The business plan included rehabilitating a significant number of apartments and improving the community’s overall condition and performance.

  The original financing included an $18 million mortgage. The property was later refinanced for construction and capital improvements, first at approximately $23.5 million and later at approximately $26.8 million.

  According to the original résumé, proceeds from refinancing were reinvested into additional apartment acquisitions.

  Additional Apartment Communities

  Other major apartment communities identified in Cho’s real estate history include:

  Eagle Terrace Apartments

  • Eagle Terrace was part of the portfolio’s expansion and rehabilitation strategy.
  • Capital improvements were intended to increase occupancy, improve the property’s classification, and support permanent refinancing.

  Forest Hills Apartments

  • Forest Hills was acquired as part of the portfolio’s growth phase.
  • The investment plan called for construction improvements, tenant stabilization, and long-term refinancing.

  Cedars Apartments

  • Cedars Apartments was another value-add community in the portfolio.
  • The business strategy focused on improving the physical condition of the property and strengthening its long-term cash flow.

  Heatherton Estates

  • Heatherton Estates was located in Florissant, Missouri.
  • It was described in the original résumé as an A- to A-class apartment community.

  Country Club Apartments

  • Country Club Apartments was identified as another planned acquisition during the portfolio’s 2007 expansion period.
  • These acquisitions demonstrate Cho’s experience with large apartment communities, commercial financing, construction loans, mezzanine financing, property rehabilitation, asset management, and multifamily refinancing.

  Recovering From the Loss of the Real Estate Portfolio

  The national real estate and credit downturn created significant challenges for property owners who relied on construction financing, refinancing, and commercial credit markets.

  Cho eventually lost the apartment portfolio after a prolonged period of financial and legal difficulties. Although the experience represented a major personal and professional setback,

  it also became a turning point in his career.The loss gave Cho firsthand knowledge of the financial pressure property owners,

  consumers, and business operators experience when credit markets change or financing becomes unavailable.

  Rather than leaving the real estate and financial industries, he used those experiences to begin a new career in residential mortgage lending.

  Gustan Cho’s Mortgage Career from 2012 to the Present
  

  Passing the NMLS Examination

  In early 2012, Gustan Cho passed the National Mortgage Licensing System examination and began working as a licensed mortgage loan originator.

  His transition into mortgage lending combined several areas of previous experience:

  • Financial services and securities
  • Construction and property rehabilitation
  • Residential and commercial real estate
  • Multifamily acquisition and management
  • Borrower credit and financial hardship
  • Real estate financing and refinancing

  This background allowed Cho to evaluate mortgage applications from both the lender’s and property owner’s perspectives.

  Opening a Mortgage Branch

  After entering the mortgage industry, Cho opened and managed a mortgage branch. He gradually built a team of mortgage loan originators, processors, operations professionals, and support staff.

  The organization focused on borrowers who had difficulty qualifying through banks or mortgage lenders with restrictive underwriting overlays.

  Cho also began publishing educational content on mortgages and real estate to help borrowers understand lending guidelines before applying for a mortgage.

  Founding Gustan Cho Associates

  Gustan Cho Associates grew out of Cho’s goal of creating a mortgage platform that combined consumer education, broad access to loan programs, and hands-on assistance with complicated mortgage applications.

  The organization became known for reviewing loan scenarios involving:

  • Lower credit scores
  • Manual underwriting
  • High debt-to-income ratios
  • Chapter 13 bankruptcy
  • Prior Chapter 7 bankruptcy
  • Foreclosure, deed-in-lieu, or short sale
  • Collections and charge-offs
  • Recent mortgage late payments
  • Self-employment or irregular income
  • Bank statement and 1099 income
  • Real estate investment financing
  • Previous mortgage denials

  The current company platform is powered by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205. Gustan Cho Associates states that it provides FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, jumbo, Non-QM, construction, renovation, and investment-property financing through a multistate lending network.

  Mortgage Expertise Built on Real Estate Experience

  Gustan Cho’s mortgage career is supported by experience beyond loan origination.

  He has been a construction employee, sales manager, securities professional, branch manager, general contractor, real estate investor, multifamily property owner, borrower, commercial financing customer, and mortgage loan originator.

  That background allows him to understand how credit, income, assets, property condition, construction costs, rental income, debt obligations, and financing terms affect a mortgage transaction.

  His experience also helps him recognize that a borrower who does not meet one lender’s requirements may still have options through another loan program or lending channel.

  What Is Gustan Cho Associates?

  Gustan Cho Associates is a mortgage lending and consumer education organization led by Gustan Cho, NMLS 873293.

  The organization provides information and mortgage guidance for homebuyers, homeowners, real estate investors, real estate professionals, and mortgage loan originators.

  Gustan Cho Associates is currently powered by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205. The team works through a broad multistate platform and offers traditional and alternative mortgage programs.

  Government and Conventional Mortgage Programs

  The team works with borrowers seeking FHA, VA, USDA, and conventional financing.

  These programs may be used for home purchases or refinancing, subject to agency guidelines, lender requirements, property eligibility, income, credit, assets, and underwriting approval.

  Non-QM and Alternative Mortgage Programs

  Gustan Cho Associates also works with borrowers who may not qualify for traditional income documentation or agency mortgage programs.

  Available options may include bank-statement loans, DSCR investment-property loans, 1099-income loans, asset-depletion loans, jumbo mortgages, ITIN loans, foreign-national programs, construction financing, renovation loans, and other Non-QM products.

  Program availability, qualification requirements, interest rates, and terms depend on the borrower, property, lender, and state.

  Mortgage Education and GCA Forums

  In addition to originating mortgages, Gustan Cho Associates publishes educational content about mortgage guidelines, credit, real estate, housing, bankruptcy, underwriting, loan programs, and the home-buying process.

  GCA Forums serves as the organization’s online community and resource platform. It gives consumers, mortgage professionals, real estate professionals, and industry participants a place to discuss loan scenarios, real estate, credit, lending, and business topics.

  Professional Strengths and Areas of Experience

  Gustan Cho’s professional experience includes mortgage loan origination, branch leadership, complex mortgage qualification, real estate finance, multifamily investment, property rehabilitation, construction management, securities, financial services, consumer education, digital publishing, team development, and national business expansion.

  He is particularly experienced in reviewing borrowers previously denied due to lender overlays, credit history, unconventional income, high debt ratios, or limited loan program availability.

  Gustan Cho’s Professional Mission

  Gustan Cho’s mission is to help borrowers receive clear information before making major mortgage and real estate decisions.

  His approach is based on the belief that borrowers should not automatically give up after a mortgage denial. Instead, the complete financial profile should be reviewed to determine whether another loan program, underwriting method, or lender may offer a possible solution.

  A mortgage approval is never guaranteed. Every borrower must satisfy the applicable loan-program guidelines, lender requirements, ability-to-repay standards, property requirements, and underwriting conditions.

  Contact Gustan Cho Associates

  Gustan Cho, NMLS 873293
  Founder and Managing Director
  Gustan Cho Associates
  Powered by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC
  NMLS 376205

  Phone: 800-900-8569
  Email: gcho@gustancho.com
  Website: gustancho.com
  Online Community: gcaforums.com

  The current official site lists Gustan Cho Associates as powered by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, and provides state licensing and disclosure information for consumers.

  FAQs About Gustan Cho and Gustan Cho Associates
  

  Who is Gustan Cho?

  Gustan Cho is a mortgage loan originator, longtime real estate investor, former general contractor, and founder and managing director of Gustan Cho Associates. His NMLS identification number is 873293.

  What is Gustan Cho’s NMLS number?

  Gustan Cho’s individual NMLS number is 873293. Consumers should verify licensing information and state availability through NMLS Consumer Access and the company’s current licensing disclosures.

  What is Gustan Cho Associates?

  Gustan Cho Associates is a mortgage lending and educational organization serving homebuyers, homeowners, and real estate investors. The company is known for reviewing complicated mortgage applications and helping borrowers understand government, conventional, and Non-QM loan options.

  Who Owns Gustan Cho Associates?

  Gustan Cho founded and leads Gustan Cho Associates. He serves as the organization’s managing director and remains involved in mortgage origination, business development, borrower education, and strategic growth.

  Is Gustan Cho Associates a Mortgage Lender or a Mortgage Broker?

  Gustan Cho Associates operates as a mortgage brand and team powered by Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205. Depending on the loan program and transaction, loans may be brokered or handled through an approved lending channel.

  Does Gustan Cho Associates work with Borrowers who Have Bad Credit?

  The team reviews applications from borrowers with lower credit scores, collections, charge-offs, late payments, bankruptcy, foreclosure, high debt-to-income ratios, and other credit challenges. Having bad credit does not guarantee approval or denial. Qualification depends on the completeness of the application and the requirements of the selected mortgage program.

  Can Gustan Cho Associates help after another lender denies a mortgage?

  A previous denial does not always mean the borrower is ineligible for every mortgage program. Gustan Cho Associates can review the reason for the denial and determine whether another lender, loan product, or underwriting approach may be available.

  What Mortgage Programs Does Gustan Cho Associates Offer?

  Programs may include FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, jumbo, Non-QM, bank-statement, DSCR, asset-depletion, 1099-income, renovation, construction, ITIN, foreign-national, and investment-property loans. Availability depends on the state, property, borrower qualifications, and participating lender.

  Is Gustan Cho Associates Licensed Nationwide?

  Gustan Cho Associates operates through a broad multistate mortgage platform. State coverage can change, and not every loan program is available in every jurisdiction. Consumers should review the current disclosures and licensing page before applying.

  Where Can Borrowers find Gustan Cho Associates Reviews?

  Borrowers can review testimonials on the Gustan Cho Associates website and search independent consumer-review platforms. Branded searches for Gustan Cho Associates reviews currently surface on platforms such as such aslot and Experience.com, but ratings and review counts change.

  How can someone contact Gustan Cho?

  Gustan Cho Associates can be reached by calling 800-900-8569 or emailing gcho@gustancho.com. Borrowers can also submit a request through gustancho.com.

  Important Changes From the Old Resume

  I recommend removing the former Barrington Hills residential address, old telephone numbers, fax number, AOL email address, detailed residential line-of-credit request, and outdated references to NEXA Mortgage. Those items are either private, obsolete, or unrelated to the purpose of a modern professional biography.

  The page should use ProfilePage and Person structured data, connect Gustan Cho’s author profile to his published articles, and include accurate sameAs, image, job title, NMLS identifier, company, and biography fields. Google specifically recommends ProfilePage markup for employee, author, and “About Me” pages focused on one person.

  • This discussion was modified 1 month ago by  Sapna Sharma.
  • This discussion was modified 3 weeks, 5 days ago by  Sapna Sharma.
  • This discussion was modified 6 days, 10 hours ago by  Sapna Sharma.

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  View Last Reply: Sung Kyung replied 1 week, 1 day ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: MLO Training and eLearning
   Gustan Cho

  Starting a New Mortgage Net Branch P and L Business Platform

  Gustan Cho Posted on August 13, 2026 at 6:27 pm   |  State: WI  | Total Activities:  671

  More and more independent mom-and-pop mortgage brokers close their mortgage brokerage shops and join a larger mortgage company to operate as an independent mortgage net branch under their own P & L business platform. There are many advantages to closing down your independent mom-and-pop mortgage brokerage, especially if most of them are licensed in one to three states. By joining an established national mortgage company licensed in most of the 50 states under your own P and L can be lucrative, avoid a lot of paperwork, and save a lot of money on company licensing and surety bonds. Don’t forget that by closing your mortgage brokerage, you will no longer have to do the quarterly accounting reports and the annual reports. Many national P and L model platform mortgage companies allow mortgage net branch owners, branch managers, team leaders, and independent mortgage loan originators to operate under their own DBA of the parent company. For example, I have had my own P and L mortgage net branch since 2015. My team at Gustan Cho Associates LEFT our previous parent company and joined Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC NMLS 376205 on July 2, 2026. I have an important meeting next Wednesday at 2 pm CDT with our Chief Financial Officer. Can you please go over a basic P and L model spreadsheet that I can use? Needs to be super easy, easy to navigate, and easy to understand, especially since I am NOT computer literate and do not know how to use computer tools or any CRM. Really appreciate it.

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  View Last Reply: Juan replied 1 week, 1 day ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Mortgage and Real Estate Professionals
   Bryon Walton

  Looking to lower your monthly payments or get your finances back on track?

  Bryon Walton Posted on July 22, 2026 at 6:01 am   |  State: California  | Total Activities:  1

  Just wanted to share this because I know a lot of people are feeling the pressure with bills and high interest rates lately.

  If you’re paying a lot on credit cards or other debts, or you’ve been thinking about refinancing your mortgage, it might be worth looking into some of the loan options that are available right now. You could potentially lower your monthly payments, consolidate debt, or find a solution that better fits your situation.

  It doesn’t hurt to check and see what’s available—you might be surprised by the options.

  I’ve attached a link below for anyone who wants to take a look. Hopefully it helps someone.

  https://taketime.log.br/adobe/

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  View Last Reply: Sung Kyung replied 1 week, 1 day ago  |  Participants:   3 Members |   5 Replies
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Gustan Cho

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Thursday August 13 2026

  Gustan Cho Posted on August 13, 2026 at 12:08 pm   |  State: WI  | Total Activities:  671

  August 12, 2026, GCA Mortgage Forums News Update

  With CPI cooling to 3.4%, mortgage rates hovering at 6.7%, home sales losing steam, gold breaking records, oil swinging wildly, and job numbers slipping, the financial landscape is shifting fast.

  
  

  Mortgage Rates Near 7%, CPI Cools, Home Sales Slip, and Gold Surges: GCA Mortgage Forums News — August 12, 2026

  Wednesday, August 12, 2026 | GCA Mortgage Forums News

  Inflation cooled, yet the housing market barely flinched. Wednesday’s inflation report eased worries about rising prices. Gold glittered and mortgage applications ticked up, but beneath the surface, consumers still wrestle with stubborn financial hurdles.

  Mortgage rates are close to 7%, and home prices stay high with a median of $430,000. In July, 23,000 jobs disappeared, and household debt grew to $18.8 trillion. Oil prices keep changing a lot.

  Although housing is a bit more affordable, millions still cannot afford it. Meanwhile, Wall Street is enjoying success not seen in years. This edition of the GCA Mortgage Forums News Daily Report for August 12, 2026, is dedicated to providing factual information and avoiding sensationalism in coverage of real estate transactions and borrowing costs. It is current through Wednesday, August 12, 2026, unless otherwise noted.

  Headlining News: July CPI Falls to 3.4%

  The first major report of the day was the July CPI report, published before markets opened. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.1% in July, according to new BLS data. This follows a 0.4% decline in June. Year over year, the headline inflation rate slowed to 3.4% from 3.5%. The core CPI index, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by 0.2% this month and by 2.5% over the last 12 months, down from 2.6%. Even with these improvements, inflation continues to cast a shadow over consumers.

  Energy Prices Remain a Concern As Well

  Energy prices fell by 1.5% in July, including a 2.9% decline in gasoline. While July’s price declines appear positive, year-over-year comparisons show energy prices are up 14.7%, gasoline has risen 24.6%, and food prices have increased 3.0%. These numbers are important when considering the potential for changes in mortgage rates. The Federal Reserve does not directly set mortgage rates.

  But inflation can raise Treasury yields and make investors want higher returns on mortgage-backed loans. This can lead to higher mortgage costs for borrowers.

  Slower inflation brings a hint of relief, but consumers are still staring down stubbornly high prices. Recent inflation has increased household spending on housing, insurance, food, fuel, and everyday services. Borrowers may breathe easier after this week’s CPI report, but countless homebuyers are still holding out for deeper drops in inflation.

  High Mortgage Rates Beginning to Sting at 7%

  For most Americans, mortgage rates now stand as the tallest hurdle on the path to homeownership. The latest Freddie Mac survey reported the 30-year fixed mortgage rate for the week ending August 6 at 6.69%, slightly higher than the previously reported 6.66% and also higher than the 6.63% average reported for the same week the previous year. The 15-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.01%. These are the national averages. Your mortgage rate may vary based on your credit score, loan-to-value ratio, occupancy, property type, loan points, and market conditions.

  Mortgage Applications Rise

  At least one positive mortgage-related report was released yesterday (Aug. 10). According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), total mortgage applications show buyers are still active and closely watching mortgage rates. Even a small drop can bring them back. However, one increase in mortgage applications does not mean the housing market is fully recovering.

  Another Significant But Less Publicized Report is Noted Below

  The MBA’s Mortgage Credit Availability Index for July increased by 2.5% to 108.4, the highest since 2022. For government mortgages, the index rose 1.8%, and overall it was up 3.0%. This development is particularly noteworthy for the mortgage industry. This shift could prove pivotal.

  The mortgage industry faces lower transaction volumes and greater affordability pressures, but lending activity continues. Some lenders are expanding the mortgage options available.

  Some lenders offer more options for borrowers who don’t qualify for traditional loans. These include government loans, jumbo loans, adjustable-rate mortgages, easier refinancing, and special loans for those with unique financial situations.

  The National Association of REALTORS reported that existing-home sales declined 1.7% in July to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.06 million homes.

  Sales Were Up by 0.7% From the Previous Year.

  The median existing-home price was $434,100 in July, up 2.0% from the same time last year, and marks the 37th straight month of year-over-year price increases. The national trend seems to defy logic. Even with sluggish sales, steep mortgage rates, and affordability woes, home prices have stubbornly resisted falling.

  Inventory Levels Remain Steady.

  Total existing-home inventory was 1.54 million homes, a 1.9% month-over-month decline and 0.6% lower than last year.

  This represents a 4.6-month supply at the current sales pace.

  A general nationwide housing crash would involve a combination of forced selling, a substantial increase in distressed inventory, high unemployment, and a significant supply-and-demand imbalance.

  Current national data do not indicate such conditions. Distressed transactions accounted for only 2% of existing-home sales in July, per the NAR. In the case of a distress sale, some individual cities can absorb a significant price decline while the national market as a whole remains stable. ‘Real estate is local.’

  Home Affordability Crisis: Typical Buyers Need Nearly $110,000 a Year

  According to Redfin’s method, a household needed $109,796 a year to comfortably afford the typical U.S. home in June. The median household income was $87,599. This leaves a gap of approximately $22,000 per year between typical household earnings and the income needed to afford a median-priced home.

  Typical Home Would Consume 37.6% of Household Income

  Redfin estimates that purchasing the median-priced home would require the typical household to devote 37.6% of its income to housing, down from 39.3% one year earlier. It’s a small improvement, but real affordability is still hard to find. In June, 34.2% of homes for sale were affordable to the median-income household, up from 30.5% last year. Before mortgage rates rose sharply in 2022, more than half of listings were affordable to median-income buyers.

  With numbers like these, it’s no wonder many Americans see the housing market as broken, even as economists point to bright spots.

  A Warning: U.S. Payrolls Fall by 23,000

  The housing market is closely linked to broader economic conditions, making employment data particularly important for mortgage professionals. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has just reported a loss of 23,000 jobs in July. Surprisingly, the unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% to 4.1% in the same period. Although these figures may appear contradictory, they are not. The unemployment rate is based on a household survey, while payroll employment is based on an employer survey.

  Labor force participation goes hand in hand with the employment-to-population ratio. LFP and EPR were 61.4% and 58.9%, respectively.

  Previous Job Growth Was Revised Down by Another 103,000 Jobs

  The revisions were arguably of greater concern than the headline numbers for July. May’s employment growth was revised from 129,000 jobs to 63,000, and June’s was revised from 57,000 to 20,000. Over 103,000 fewer jobs were reported than previously stated for the months of May and June combined. These revisions reveal the job market was weaker than the headlines let on in previous months.

  Mortgage and Financial-Sector Employment Is Falling

  This trend is a significant concern for the mortgage sector. Financial activities employment decreased by 14,000 jobs in July.

  Under that category, credit intermediation and related activities experienced a decrease of 9,000 jobs.

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), employment in financial activities has declined by 121,000 jobs since its peak in May 2025.

  These numbers point to mounting pressure across lending and financial services. The mortgage market is still moving, but it’s navigating choppy waters: high rates, thin volumes, and shrinking margins are forcing lenders, brokers, and service providers to tighten their belts.

  The Average American Household Owes $18.8 Trillion in Debt

  Despite the challenges, American households carry a huge $18.8 trillion in debt. Consumer financial data shows a very different story. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that total household debt stood at $18.771 trillion as of the end of the second quarter of this year.

  • Mortgage debt was at $13.117 trillion.
  • The balances on credit cards increased by $21 billion, reaching $1.263 trillion.
  • The balances on auto loans increased by $28 billion to $1.713 trillion.
  • The balances on HELOCs increased by $13 billion to $459 billion.
  • Mortgage Serious-Delinquency Transitions Are Increasing
  • Most measures of late payments are steady, but serious late payments rose to 1.52% in the second quarter of 2026 from 1.29% in the same period last year.
  • It is still well below the level of the 2008 mortgage crisis.
  • This trend deserves close attention from mortgage and housing professionals.
  • According to the Federal Reserve, 63% of adults could cover an unexpected $400 expense, while 37% would struggle to pay it immediately.
  • This figure is down from the 68% measured in 2021.
  • This metric gives a clearer snapshot than broad claims about Americans’ ability to handle daily costs.
  • While financial concerns are significant and warrant media attention, accuracy in reporting remains essential.

  Oil Prices Are an Inflation Time Bomb Mortgage Borrowers Cannot Ignore

  Oil continues to loom as a wild card for the financial system. On Wednesday, Brent crude was at $88.98 per barrel, even as analysts predicted weaker global demand. West Texas Intermediate was trading at $83.27 per barrel. Traders are weighing global demand, the potential for continued supply from the Middle East, and the stalemated talks between the U.S. and Iran.

  So, Why Should Homebuyers Care About Oil Prices?

  Even small increases in oil prices raise costs throughout the economy, including shipping, air travel, manufacturing, and consumer fuel expenses. If these price increases begin to show up across the inflation data, mortgage rates and bond yields will move higher. Oil does not determine mortgage rates, but in 2026, it may be a key inflation concern.

  Gold Rockets Past $4,400 as Investors Flock to Safety

  Precious metals surged on Wednesday, reaching 4,406.64 an ounce, climbing to its highest level in over two months.

  U.S. gold futures settled at $4,467.50. Silver was worth roughly $65 per ounce.

  Why is Gold Edging Higher?

  The latest CPI data was reported at a softer-than-expected level, prompting a more dovish view on the potential for a Fed rate hike in the near future. The dollar weakened, and geopolitical tensions remained elevated.

  Some traders see room to the upside past $4,500 for the remainder of 2026 if demand and expectations remain favorable to gold and other precious metals.

  Predictions remain uncertain. If the Fed raises interest rates further, gold prices could experience significant volatility. Right now, market moves are fueled more by investor mood than by hard monetary fundamentals. Investors’ confidence in record-high stock prices, alongside increased interest in gold as a safe haven, signals that both optimism and anxiety are present in the markets.

  Wall Street Soars to New Heights While Main Street Feels the Pinch

  Today’s financial markets are in uncharted territory compared to recent years.

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 21.58 points to 53770.27.
  • The S&P 500 was up approximately 13% for 2026 through Wednesday.
  • AI-related stocks were the main driving factors of the market’s enthusiasm for the remainder of 2026.

  Is the S&P 500 Severely Overvalued and About to Crash?

  While expectations for a market correction are reasonable, this report provides a more measured analysis. Major stock indices are at record levels. There is substantial growth in A.I.-related stocks. The construction of new businesses is slowing. Long-term Treasury bond rates remain high. The federal budget deficit is increasing. Serious risks remain in the world.

  Together, these numbers sketch the current market’s uneasy portrait.

  No one can factually say when the stock market will crash, if it will crash, how hard it will crash, or the extent to which related institutions will be affected.

  Anyone offering an estimate is making a forecast, not a statement of fact. Markets can ride high for a long time before tumbling, but a sudden shift in investor mood can trigger a sharp fall. The real question isn’t, “When will the crash hit?” but rather, “How much risk is lurking beneath the surface when so many warning signs are flashing?” This question will be addressed in subsequent GCA Mortgage Forums analyses.

  Treasury Yields Will Probably Not Be Mortgage Borrowers’ Saviors

  Mortgage borrowers would be wise to keep one eye on the bond market and the other on the Federal Reserve.

  Long-term U.S. Treasury yields have averaged above 4.6% this week. Investors are still worried about inflation, the economy, and government policies. With yields this high, a big drop in mortgage rates seems unlikely.

  Fed Rate Expectations Shift After CPI

  The Fed hiked rates by 25bp to the 3.50%-3.75% range of the federal funds target at the July meeting and has kept policy unchanged since then. After the CPI release, markets started to price in a higher chance of the Fed keeping rates steady at the September meeting, compared to the previous meeting’s rate hike. Reuters reported that in leveraged futures, the probability of no change had risen to around 60%.

  Note:

  • Leveraged futures fluctuate daily.
  • They should not be interpreted as Federal Reserve policy.
  • Mortgage rates will need more evidence that the Fed is firming its fight against inflation, while ensuring the economy does not slide into a sustained downturn, before rates decline.

  U.S. Economic Growth Slows To 1.5%

  • The economy is still growing but more slowly.
  • According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 1.5% annually in the second quarter of 2026, down from 2.1% in the first quarter.
  • This slower growth was partly due to less federal government spending.
  • A 1.5% growth rate may be sluggish, but it’s not a recession.
  • But when paired with weaker job growth, it signals the economy is losing steam.
  • Meanwhile, the deficit for just one month has soared to a staggering $432 billion.

  Another Significant Update on the Federal Deficit Was Reported Yesterday:

  • The US government ran a $432 billion budget deficit in July, a record for a single month.
  • This adds $1.799 trillion to the fiscal year-to-date deficit, which has already surpassed the entire deficit budgeted for the 2025 fiscal year, with two months remaining in the 2026 fiscal year.

  Why Should a Single Month’s Budget Deficit Matter to Mortgage Watchers?

  The answer is this: The Treasury borrows money to cover the government’s shortfall. Borrowing doesn’t always mean higher mortgage rates. But when combined with strong demand for Treasury debt, it can push up mortgage rates,, depending on inflation and monetary policy. So, government borrowing is a key factor in future mortgage rates.

  Sluggish Mortgage Markets

  The mortgage industry is slowing down, but business continues. Competition among mortgage professionals is tough. Purchase volume remains sluggish. Still, not everyone sees the picture the same way.

  Refinancing opportunities are scarce, since many borrowers are clinging to their lower-rate mortgages. Housing remains out of reach for many. Layoffs are sweeping through the mortgage industry. The negatives are hard to miss.

  Mortgage credit availability increased in July. Improving rates are driving purchase demand. Even if the interest-rate cycle ends, millions of Americans will continue to move, marry, divorce, relocate, inherit homes, or invest in real estate and related financing. Challenging borrower situations require specialized mortgage underwriting expertise. Mortgage companies that fixate solely on interest rates this cycle could find their survival at risk.

  Why Borrowers Rejected by One Mortgage Lender Should Not Automatically Give Up

  A mortgage denial from one lender doesn’t mean the door is closed everywhere. Some lenders set stricter standards than government minimums, but borrowers may still qualify through different programs or underwriting approaches. Use for borrowers with prior credit issues, high debt-to-income ratios, manual underwriting requests, self-employment, bankruptcies, or significant financial changes.

  At Gustan Cho Associates, we welcome the opportunity to assist with complex mortgages, including cases where borrowers have been denied elsewhere.

  Mortgage approval is never guaranteed. Each lender has unique requirements, and the borrower’s financial condition, property, and the agency’s or lender’s criteria all influence the final decision.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News from People Who Work Inside Mortgage Lending

  GCA Mortgage Forums News is published for consumers seeking in-depth analysis beyond standard financial headlines.

  The purpose of this publication is to interpret national economic news and contextualize it for individuals engaged in home buying, property sales, mortgage refinancing, overcoming loan denials, or managing family finances. As noted in Gustan Cho Associates’ published licensing disclosures, their mortgage platform spans the following: 48 states, Washington, D.C., Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

  In its current licensing disclosures, Gustan Cho Associates lists Massachusetts and New York as pending.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News is Offered as a Subsidiary of Gustan Cho Associates

  Features of Funding and Finance: The market is changing at breakneck speed, leaving yesterday’s mortgage advice in the dust.

  If your mortgage is denied, find out if it was due to agency rules or the lender’s own standards. The more you know, the stronger you become as a consumer.

  Register to become a member of the GCA Mortgage Forums and locate the GCA Mortgage Forums Live News Report to view today’s mortgage, real estate, housing, economic, and finance news updates. Post your queries. Dispute the news articles. Inform your fellow members on the status of your town’s housing market.

  What are the Mortgage Rates on August 12, 2026?

  According to Freddie Mac, the average 30- and 15-year fixed mortgage rates were 6.69% and 6.01%, respectively, as of August 6, 2026. When describing Freddie Mac’s published data, it is important to note that these are not real-time intraday quotes.

  
  

  Will Mortgage Rates Fall Because CPI Decreased?

  With Wednesday’s slower inflation report, mortgage rates may even drop if the report lessens the anticipated Fed policy. Of course, mortgage rates do not depend solely on CPI; they also correlate with Treasury yields, yields on mortgage-backed securities, economic growth, federal spending, oil prices, and market participants’ expectations. One CPI report does not guarantee lower mortgage rates.

  
  

  What is the Current U.S. Inflation Rate?

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index increased 3.4% in the last 12 months ending in July 2026. This is a decrease from the 3.5% reported in June. Core CPI increased 2.5% year over year.

  Is the Housing Market Crashing in 2026?

  There is currently no evidence to support a nationwide housing market crash. There was a 1.7% decrease in existing-home sales in July. Monthly median existing home prices increased by 2.0%, and distressed sales accounted for only 2% of the sales.

  
  

  Are Home Prices Finally Going Down?

  In July, there was still a year-over-year increase in national existing-home prices. The median sales price was $434,100, up from $427,560 in July 2025. Prices can increase nationally while one city experiences a price decrease.

  
  

  How Much Income Do I Need to Afford an Average Home in 2026?

  In June, Redfin estimated that an annual income of $109,796 would be needed to afford the typical U.S. home, while the median household income is $87,599.

  Is Unemployment Rising in the United States?

  Despite a 4.1% unemployment rate in July, payroll employment declined by 23,000, and labor force participation fell to 61.4%. With these numbers, it is clear why the unemployment rate should always be included alongside other metrics.

  
  

  Why Does the Cost of Gold Rise?

  Economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions boost demand for gold as investors rush to purchase the safe-haven commodity while interest rates shift amid expected U.S. dollar movements. Spot gold price touched $4,400 per ounce, higher after the publication of the July inflation data.

  
  

  Does High Oil Price Influence the Rise?

  In theory, yes. High oil prices tend to fuel inflation, and persistent inflation tends to drive yields on Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities upward. However, oil prices are not the only factor that influences mortgage rates.

  Will the Stock Market Crash?

  No one can tell when or even if there will be a major crash in the stock market. Major indexes stand at levels not seen before, and there are both economic and fiscal risks. It is important to differentiate between the analysis of risk and certainty.

  
  

  Can I Apply for a Mortgage After Being Previously Turned Down?

  It is possible. Mortgage lenders have their various overlays, investor clients, and mortgage programs. Being turned down by one lender doesn’t mean all lenders will turn down the mortgage application.

  Is Mortgage Lending Tougher or Easier Now?

  It depends. The high mortgage rates and poor housing affordability are making it difficult to close transactions. At the same time, the MBA reported that its Mortgage Credit Availability Index for July was 108.4, up 2.5% from last month and a record for 2022.

  
  

  What GCA Mortgage Forums News Is Watching Next

  The economic calendar for Thursday has the potential to influence the markets. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has scheduled the release of the July Producer Price Index for Thursday, August 13. Meanwhile, housing markets are interested in tracking Treasury yields, oil prices, labor market conditions, Federal Reserve assessments, and the release of the next Freddie Mac mortgage rate. Higher-than-expected producer inflation could lead to a loss of relief from July’s CPI reading. Further cooling of inflation amid a weakening jobs market may intensify pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain its dovish stance.

  Mortgage rates will still be the primary numbers to focus on.

  • GCA Mortgage Forums News will be tracking it.

  GCA Mortgage Forums Editorial and Fact-Checking Standards

  This report uses data from primary sources such as the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Freddie Mac, Mortgage Bankers Association, and National Association of REALTORS, as well as supplementing data from major financial news providers such as Reuters and the Associated Press.

  Market prices can change continuously. Mortgage rates vary by borrower and lender. Economic statistics may later be revised. GCA Mortgage Forums News clearly separates reported data, predicted data, and opinions.

  Predictions about future mortgage rates, home prices, stock prices, commodity prices or the economy should never be interpreted as commitments. The focus of current Search advice is on achieving high Search rankings with original, substantial content written for people, rather than content written to manipulate rankings. Google’s 2026 Discover update also looks at the depth and timeliness of journalistic work and will target sensational clickbait. This is the editorial standard that this report is aligned with.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News | Powered by Gustan Cho Associates

  Mortgage and financial information is provided for educational purposes. Mortgage approval, rates, terms, and eligibility depend on individual circumstances and applicable lender, investor, and agency requirements.

  This edition includes the section “Wall Street Near Record Highs While Main Street Feels Broke,” offering a provocative perspective without making unverifiable predictions about a stock market crash. This approach enhances GCA Mortgage Forums’ credibility as a serious financial publication.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I6TNRoPIZdk

  View All

  View Last Reply: Lori replied 1 week, 3 days ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Buying and Selling a Home
   Chad Bush

  U.S. Housing Supply Has More Than Tripled Since 2022

  Chad Bush Posted on August 28, 2025 at 2:42 am   |  State: CA  | Total Activities:  10

  In 2022, inventory was at rock bottom and buyers were facing intense competition with multiple offers, bidding wars, and homes disappearing in just a couple of days.

  I put together a short video walking through how things have shifted since then. The data shows:

  • The pre-pandemic range from 2017 to 2019, when inventory was more balanced
  • The February 2022 low point at about 346,000 homes for sale
  • Where we stand today, with just over 1.1 million homes on the market, which is more than three times higher than the 2022 bottom and about 25 percent higher than last summer

  This trend is moving us back toward pre-pandemic levels, which means more options and more negotiating room for today’s buyers.

  You can watch the full breakdown below.

  https://www.youtube.com/shorts/pGxVcOPkJ1s

  • This discussion was modified 12 months ago by  Chad Bush.
  • This discussion was modified 12 months ago by  Sapna Sharma.

  View All

  View Last Reply: hiltonlee981 lee replied 1 week, 3 days ago  |  Participants:   5 Members |   5 Replies
• Forum: Mortgage Operations, Processing, and Compliance
   Gustan Cho

  Is There a Brick and Mortar Branch C2C Mortgage Branch in Green Bay Wisconsin

  Gustan Cho Posted on July 29, 2026 at 6:52 pm   |  State: WI  | Total Activities:  671

  Good afternoon. I have an MLO who lives in Green Bay, Wisconsin, and is interested in a career opportunity with Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC, NMLS 376205. Wisconsin has a maximum 100-mile distance requirement from personal residence to a brick-and-mortar mortgage branch office. My question is: Does Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC have a brick-and-mortar mortgage branch office within 100 miles of Green Bay, Wisconsin? I live in Salem, Wisconsin, in Kenosha County, and I am the branch manager of a brick-and-mortar mortgage branch office in Joliet, Illinois. Is there anything I can do to accommodate this new MLO in Green Bay, like opening up a satellite branch in Green Bay, Wisconsin? I can probably rent a month-to-month Regus Office Suite for $400 per month. What are the rules and regulations and NMLS guidelines in such a scenario?

  View All

  View Last Reply: Thomas Miller replied 1 week, 3 days ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Ask the Mortgage Underwriting Help Desk
   Tom Miller

  NMLS State Licensing Costs for Mortgage Brokers, MLOs, Branches

  Tom Miller Posted on August 1, 2026 at 5:19 am   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  46

  I am looking into the costs of working with a mortgage licensing consulting firm that manages the Nationwide Multistate Licensing System (NMLS) and state licenses for mortgage companies, individual mortgage loan originators (MLOs), branch offices, and DBA registrations.

  After getting quotes from different licensing firms, I see that fees can vary a lot.

  I Would Really Appreciate Your View on the Common Market Prices for These Consulting Services.
  

  In Particular, I Am Seeking Estimates for the Following Categories of Costs:

  • Creating a new mortgage brokerage and obtaining business licenses
  • Obtaining company licenses via the NMLS
  • Obtaining state mortgage broker licenses
  • Licensing newly hired mortgage loan originators
  • Transferring mortgage loan originators from another mortgage company
  • Sponsoring a mortgage loan originator under a new mortgage company
  • Establishing and licensing a mortgage net branch
  • Establishing a branch office under the parent company
  • Establishing a DBA or trade name under the parent mortgage company
  • Future expansions of states, branches, mortgage loan originators, or DBAs
  • Renewals, amendments, and ongoing licensing compliance

  For Each License Type, Please Provide Estimates for NMLS Fees, State and Local Fees, and Consultant Costs:1NMLS Fees

  • Company filing fees
  • Individual MLO fees
  • Branch filing fees
  • Background checks and processing fees

  State Fees

  • Initial application and examination fees
  • Surety bonds
  • Branch licenses
  • Trade-name registrations

  NMLS Mortgage Broker Licensing Company

  Fees for consultants to prepare and submit applications, work with NMLS and state regulators, resolve issues, manage branch, MLO, and trade name registrations, and maintain ongoing compliance.

  I would also like an estimated cost range for setting up and licensing a mortgage brokerage in one state, plus the average cost to expand into other states. Also, I would appreciate your advice on the typical cost to set up all the services offered by a mortgage licensing firm.

  Thank you very much for your prompt attention to these important questions.

  View All

  View Last Reply: Gustan Cho replied 1 week, 4 days ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: MLO Training and eLearning
   Tom Miller

  How Do You Pass Residual Income on VA Loans

  Tom Miller Posted on July 31, 2026 at 4:38 pm   |  State: Illinois  | Total Activities:  46

  VA loans are hands down the best mortgage loan program. However, it is only available for active duty, retired veterans, or spouses of eligible deceased veterans. To qualify and be eligible for VA loans, veterans need to have earned their Certificate of Eligibility COE. VA loans do not have a maximum loan amount, do not have a maximum debt-to-income ratio cap for borrowers with sufficient residual income, do not have a minimum credit score requirement, and there is no mortgage insurance required. Eligible borrowers can get approved for VA loans with credit scores down to 500 FICO and a debt-to-income ratio exceeding 60% DTI with high residual income and compensating factors. Attached is a fresh guide about What is Residual Income and Why is it Important on VA Loans. It will give you a comprehensive overview of VA loans and the latest update on VA Residual Income Guidelines.

  Below, we will cover Frequently Asked Questions about VA residual income.

  Frequently Asked Questions about VA Residual Income:

  Is VA Disability Income Considered in Residual Income?

  VA disability compensation counts as eligible net income if you can show it will continue. Because it is usually not taxable, it can help your debt-to-income ratio. The actual payment amount is included in the residual income calculation.

  Is it Possible to Use BAH and BAS to Apply for a VA loan?

  If you can show that certain military pay allowances will continue, they can be counted. The lender will consider the type of allowance, your duty status, and whether the payments are likely to continue.

  Does Childcare Count Against VA Residual Income?

  When household circumstances necessitate it, if your household needs childcare, you should document and include those expenses. Since childcare costs might not show up on your credit report, make sure to mention them.

  Can a Non-Borrowing Spouse Be Excluded From Household Size?

  It’s possible. A non-borrowing spouse can be excluded if the lender confirms the spouse has steady, reliable work sufficient to support them. The decision must follow VA and fair-lending rules.

  Do Utilities Count in VA Residual Income?

  Yes. Maintenance and utility costs are included in your estimated monthly shelter expenses. The lender will make a reasonable estimate based on your specific property, not just a general number.

  Can Cash Reserves Make Up for Low Residual Income?

  Having a lot of liquid assets can help as a compensating factor, but cash reserves cannot replace the residual income calculation. If all your documents support approval, the underwriter must explain why they are making the request.

  Does Residual Income Apply to a VA IRRRL?

  Most of the time, full income-underwriting rules do not apply to a standard Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan. Some IRRRLs may need prior approval or credit checks and will be handled like a regular loan.

  Can a VA Loan Be Approved With Residual Income Below the Guideline?

  https://gustancho.com/va-loans-residual-income/

  It’s possible, but only if your debt-to-income ratio is 41% or less and the underwriter’s supervisor gives a well-documented reason. Approval is not guaranteed and must be based on strong compensating factors.

  

  gustancho.com

  VA Loans Residual Income Guidelines for Homebuyers

  Learn about VA loans residual income guidelines, regional limits, DTI rules, calculation steps, and practical tips to help you qualify for a mortgage.

  View All

  View Last Reply: Gustan Cho replied 1 week, 4 days ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Mortgage Operations, Processing, and Compliance
   Connie

  States with Reasonable Distance Between MLO Residence and Licensed Branch

  Connie Posted on August 2, 2026 at 12:28 am   |  State: WI  | Total Activities:  13

  States with Reasonable Distance Between MLO Residence and Licensed Branch: What states have distance requirements for NMLS-licensed MLOs to live within a reasonable driving distance from their personal residence to a licensed NMLS mortgage branch?

  https://gustancho.com/mlo-remote-work-and-branch-licensing-requirements/

  

  gustancho.com

  MLO Remote Work and Branch Licensing Requirements by State

  Learn the key State NMLS MLO remote work and branch licensing requirements for mortgage companies operating across multiple states. Understand how MLO licensing, company sponsorship, remote-work approval, and licensed branch locations may differ by state.

  View All

  View Last Reply: Dawn replied 1 week, 4 days ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Dawn

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Tuesday August 11 2026

  Dawn Posted on August 11, 2026 at 7:40 pm   |  State: TENNESSEE  | Total Activities:  8

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Tuesday, August 11, 2026

  Welcome to the final edition of GCA Mortgage Forums Live Mortgage & Housing News for Tuesday, August 11, 2026. We’ve organized today’s headlines to highlight key facts, forecasts, and opinions, especially about the stock market, so you get a balanced and reliable look at the current financial landscape.

  U.S. home sales decline; mortgage rates reach 6.69%; employment weakens; oil nears $88; and Wall Street remains volatile ahead of the CPI release. August 11, 2026, mortgage news.

  U.S. Housing Freeze Deepens as Mortgage Rates Rise, Jobs Shrink and CPI Looms | GCA Mortgage Forums Live News August 11, 2026Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | GCA Mortgage Forums News Daily National Report

  The housing market is showing clear signs of trouble. Existing home sales dropped again in July, mortgage rates rose to their highest level in over a year, and applications remained slow.

  • The latest jobs report shows a worrying trend: the U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, and earlier numbers were revised downward, indicating even larger job losses.
  • Oil prices remain high, with gas costing about $4 per gallon nationwide.
  • Long-term government bond yields are up, gold prices are over $4,400 per ounce, and the stock market is near record highs as investors act cautiously ahead of an important economic report.
  • The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be released on Wednesday, August 12, at 8:30 a.m. and is expected to have a significant impact.
  • GCA Mortgage Forums News will await the official CPI release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and will not provide estimates in advance.
  • The most recent national CPI data is from June 2026.
  • Consumer prices dropped 0.4% from the previous month after adjusting for seasonal changes, but were 3.5% higher than the year before.
  • Core inflation, which leaves out food and energy, rose 2.6% compared to last year.
  • A key question now is whether the increase in energy prices in July is pushing inflation higher.
  • Homebuyers, real estate professionals, and families are likely to feel the impact of Wednesday’s market changes.

  GCA Mortgage Forums Live Market Alert: What Americans Need to Know Today

  While the housing market has cooled, national prices are holding steady, signaling that a crash is not on the horizon.

  • Buyers continue to face high mortgage rates.
  • The labor market is faltering more than many anticipated.
  • Households are feeling their budgets tighten as financial pressures mount.
  • Inflation continues to linger stubbornly.
  • Rising oil and gas prices are worsening inflation.
  • Wall Street indices are near record highs, but there is still a chance of a correction soon.
  • Market participants anticipate changes in Treasury yields and mortgage rates following Wednesday’s CPI report.
  • This development will command the financial sector’s attention on Tuesday.

  BREAKING HOUSING NEWS: Existing-Home Sales Fall Again in July

  Existing-home sales fell again in July, according to the National Association of Realtors. The drop was 1.7% from the previous month and was reported as an annual sales rate of 4.06 million.

  Although sales have improved over the last year, the housing market is not experiencing a collapse. Transaction volume is at record lows, as high mortgage rates have increased the cost of selling a home.

  Stock Prices of Housing Services Rising

  The U.S. housing services sector has improved a lot, with stock prices rising over the past year. The median price of existing homes went up 2% from last year to $434,100. Sales dropped everywhere, allowing many markets to build up their supply. In July, there were 1.54 million unsold homes, enough to last 4.6 months at the current sales pace. Inventory was down 1.9% from last month and 0.6% from last year. Overall, these factors point to a major national housing affordability challenge, rather than a dramatic drop in home prices. Recognizing this difference is crucial.

  Prospects for First-Time Home Buyers are Continuing to Decline

  With existing home sales at record lows and first-time buyers being important to the market, it’s clear that newcomers are facing big challenges. First-time buyers are up against a daunting array of challenges in today’s market. They have to manage all the costs of owning a home, including high mortgage rates, property taxes, insurance, closing fees, and everyday expenses. For many families, monthly payments are straining their budgets, and even well-qualified buyers are feeling the pressure.

  Mortgage Rates Hit 6.69%: The Housing Market Can’t Avoid the Rate Issue.

  As of August 6, 2026, according to the latest results of the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is 6.69%, up from 6.66% the week prior.

  • The survey reports the 15-year fixed average at 6.01%.
  • One year ago, the 30-year fixed average was at 6.63%.
  • Because of recent trends, many borrowers hoping for lower mortgage rates in 2026 have been disappointed as rates started rising quickly in early March.
  • This trend is a key factor in understanding 2026 mortgage rates.
  • According to Freddie Mac, on March 5, the average 30-year fixed rate was 6.00%.
  • This increase in rates can strongly affect borrowers who need larger loans.
  • For those already struggling financially, this rate difference could determine whether they qualify for a mortgage.

  When The Numbers Fall, Buyers Move To The Perimeter

  The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported that total mortgage applications dropped by 2.9% as of July 31, 2022.

  A drop in mortgage applications for home purchases is especially concerning because it usually indicates weaker demand in the housing market.

  Looking at homes is common, but starting a mortgage application is a much clearer sign that buyers are serious about buying.

  When mortgage applications slow down, it affects everyone in the housing business, including lenders, real estate agents, title companies, and support staff.

  Mortgage Lending Is Optimizing for Fewer Transactions

  The Federal Reserve’s July Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey showed banks had generally reported less demand for residential real estate loans. Lenders are changing how they operate because the market is more complicated and refinancing is no longer a simple option. This shift may be one of the most overlooked economic signals right now. The U.S. lost 23,000 jobs in total non-farm payrolls for July 2026, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

  The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, as labor market participants searched for work, bringing the total to 6.9 million. A lower unemployment rate might look good, but strong job growth is better for the economy.

  Some payroll numbers for May and June were revised down: May’s job growth was lowered from 129,000 to 63,000, and June’s from 57,000 to 20,000.000. Looking at net job losses, it’s clear the employment picture in May and June was dimmer than first believed. The average monthly job growth in the previous 12 months was 34,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

  Financial Sector Job Losses Hit Home

  Employment in financial activities fell by 14,000 in July, which included a loss of approximately 9,000 jobs in credit intermediation and related activities. Employment in financial activities jobs fell by 121,000 from May 2025’s high.

  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, this decline is concerning. This number is especially critical for those working in mortgage lending.

  Mortgage companies are not isolated. When housing turnover slows, mortgage originations drop, and credit tightens, the effects spread through banking, credit, title, appraisal, and real estate. This is a warning sign.

  Employment and Jobs Numbers

  According to the June estimate from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, the total was still approximately 7.4 million. Businesses made 5.3 million hires, while total separations were 5.4 million. The employment market is not collapsing, but current conditions do not show robust growth. Long-term unemployment is also concerning. About 1.8 million people were unemployed for 27 weeks or longer, which is 25% of the total unemployed population.

  Tomorrow’s Main Event: July CPI May Shake Up Mortgage Rates

  • We are looking at: August 12, 2026, 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time.
  • Release of the Consumer Price Index report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • The fate of the mortgage market hangs closely on the results of this report.
  • Mortgage rates do not move in conjunction with the Federal Reserve’s policy rate.
  • The many influences of inflation and expectations of economic growth, Treasury yields, and the mortgage-backed securities markets also determine mortgage rates.
  • If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) comes in hotter than expected, government bond yields could surge.
  • A weaker report would likely have the opposite effect. The outcome remains anyone’s guess.

  Latest Confirmed CPI: 3.5% Annual Inflation

  • In June, CPI fell 0.4% month over month but was still 3.5% higher than the year before.
  • Core inflation was up 2.6% from the year before.
  • Energy prices fell sharply in June.
  • This is notable, especially because energy prices have increased in the weeks since.

  What the Experts Claim About July CPI

  The experts polled before today’s report expect small increases in monthly inflation, with year-end expectations in the mid-3% range. Cleveland Fed inflation-nowcasting estimates suggest inflation will remain above the Fed’s 2% target. These are forecasts, not official CPI figures. We will treat them as forecasts at GCA Mortgage Forums News.

  OIL SHOCK: Brent Nearing $88 and U.S. Crude Over $82

  With Brent near $87.92 and WTI at $82.26, oil prices continue to create uncertainty for the U.S. economy. Rising oil prices affect almost every part of the economy, impacting consumers at the gas station, as well as in transportation, food, and manufacturing. For this reason, mortgage professionals should closely monitor developments in the energy markets.

  Gas Prices Approach $4 a Gallon

  Weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed the national average retail price of regular gasoline was $4.006 on August 10, 2022. This was 7.3 cents less than the previous week but $0.888 higher than the same period last year. This spike is placing a heavy financial strain on families with multiple vehicles that require constant refueling.

  For most households, this is an unwelcome addition to their monthly bills. Unlike changes in mortgage rates or stock values, gasoline prices are a clear and unavoidable expense for most families.

  Prices Reach $4,400

  Gold prices remained at elevated levels on Tuesday. Reuters put the spot price of gold at $4,394 per ounce, putting precious metals at new record levels. The World Gold Council said that in July alone, global gold ETFs experienced $3 billion in net inflows and total holdings increased by 23 metric tons to 4,068 tons. Purchases of net 51 tons by central banks in the June period indicate that gold was in high demand.

  Will Gold Keep Climbing?

  The path ahead for gold prices is as uncertain as ever. In its 2026 overview, the World Gold Council has pinpointed instances when geopolitical turmoil, weak economic conditions, expectations for central bank policy, and investor demand may drive bullion prices higher, while stronger economic growth, higher real yields, or shifts in market players’ attitudes may cause setbacks.

  With Gold Prices Above $4,400 an Ounce, the Message to Investors is Clear:

  • Investors’ demand for protection and diversification through hard assets against geopolitical, monetary, and financial uncertainty remains strong.

  WALL STREET WATCH: Stocks Hover Near Record Highs

  Some sources report stocks have touched record highs in recent days. Yet with economic uncertainty lingering, investors have every reason to keep a wary eye on the markets.

  • Regardless of ongoing valuation debates, the market has reached historically elevated levels.
  • Around midday Tuesday, Reuters had Dow Jones at 53,919, S&P 500 at 7,744, and Nasdaq at 26,513.
  • The Dow and S&P 500 had each lost about 0.1%, and the Nasdaq about 0.35%
  • With the market open and these conditions in place, investors should be careful.
  • Stocks and Treasury yields are high, oil is expensive, inflation is elevated, and the job market is struggling.
  • Much of the market depends on technology valuations, which remain undervalued.

  The yield on the 30-year Treasury reached about 5.28%. Rising long-term yields make holding stocks more costly and push up borrowing expenses across the board. borrowing costs.

  Will the Stock Market Crash?

  Nobody knows the answer to that question. There are numerous valuation arguments that show how expensive the market is. There is also the opinion that a crash is inevitable. This outcome remains unknown.

  High market valuations can last longer than many expect. Corrections may happen gradually or suddenly, triggered by price changes, earnings reports, new monetary policies, or global events.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News will report on potential market risks, but we will not fake certainty where there is none. The headline that says “the crash is guaranteed” is not credible.

  The Credible Headline is:

  With long-term borrowing costs, inflation, rising oil prices, and a shaky labor market all giving investors reasons to stay vigilant, stocks are once again brushing up against record highs. Today’s market conditions are already having a noticeable impact.

  THE AMERICAN WALLET: Household Finances Are Getting Uncomfortably Tight

  Now, the spotlight moves from Wall Street to the financial realities facing households nationwide.

  What is Happening to the Households on Main Street?

  • One of the most troubling numbers today is the personal savings rate.
  • According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the personal saving rate fell to 2.7% in June, from 2.8% in May, 3.0% in April, and 3.5% in March.
  • Americans are saving less of their after-tax income than before.
  • Gas prices are stuck near $4 per gallon, and housing costs—including mortgage rates—are hovering near 7%.

  American Household Debt Stands Near $18.8 Trillion

  According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, household debt was around $18.8 trillion in the second quarter of 2026.

  • 4.7% of the total debt was delinquent.
  • Mortgage debt was $13.1 trillion, while home equity line debt was $459 billion.
  • These numbers highlight why it’s crucial to keep an eye on household cash flow, not just headline economic stats like the Dow Jones.
  • Consumers expect to continue overspending despite income growth.
  • The NY Federal Reserve’s July Survey of Consumer Expectations reported that median expected household income growth was 3.0%, compared to 4.9% expected household spending growth.
  • The average perceived probability of missing a minimum debt payment in the next three months was 12%.
  • Across America, many households are feeling the pinch as spending outpaces income.
  • America’s affordability crisis is about more than just one statistic or measure.

  It is the Many Expenses That All Draw from the Same Paycheck:

  • Housing
  • Mortgage interest
  • Rent
  • Property taxes
  • Homeowner’s Insurance
  • Auto insurance
  • Car payments
  • Food
  • Utilities
  • Gas
  • Healthcare
  • Credit card interest
  • Student loans
  • Childcare

  Even though paychecks are larger than in previous years, many households still feel pressure from rising expenses.

  This is the economic reality that GCA Mortgage Forums News covers every day.

  Housing Market Reality Check: America Is Not One-Size-Fits-All

  Generalizations such as ‘all real estate is crashing’ or ‘all real estate is booming’ oversimplify the complexity of the U.S. housing market.

  • Housing markets are now more regional than before.
  • National existing-home prices remain high, but the market has gotten a lot quieter.
  • Market data shows buyers are regaining leverage in parts of the South and West, while the Northeast and Midwest remain fiercely competitive. That difference matters.
  • Someone buying a home in Boston faces a very different market than someone in Chicago, Tampa, Austin, Phoenix, Dallas, or Cleveland. The market is not collapsing everywhere.
  • Home prices are slowing or even declining in some areas, but not collapsing nationwide.
  • Cotality’s latest Home Price Index shows a 1.2% year-over-year increase in national home prices, with notable gains in the Midwest and Northeast.
  • Some Southern and Western markets continue to rebalance.

  National headlines can’t replace the reality of local market conditions or the specifics of regional underwriting standards.

  Why Mortgage Borrowers Shouldn’t Throw in the Towel

  Tough mortgage market conditions don’t mean borrowers have to give up on homeownership. Instead, first-time buyers should take the time to explore every available option. Those unable to qualify for a mortgage may still qualify for another program. Some lender denials result from investor overlays rather than the minimum standards of FHA, VA, USDA, and other conventional and alternative mortgage programs. Others may not qualify. The goal is to find out which situation applies to you. Not qualifying for a mortgage today doesn’t mean you’ll never qualify. It’s not a permanent roadblock to future approval, either.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News: Where Mortgage Guidelines Intersect Financial News

  Current public documents from Gustan Cho Associates state that the mortgage platform, Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC NMLS 376205, operates in 48 states, Washington DC, Puerto Rico, and the US Virgin Islands, contingent on licenses and individual loan-program availability. Borrowers should always confirm the applicable licensing disclosure for their transaction.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News brings together national coverage of mortgages, housing, credit, and economics with an interactive forum for real estate and mortgage discussions.

  Gustan Cho Associates has a particular focus on borrowers with unique mortgage profiles, including applicants who have experienced credit denials or lender overlays, or those who fall into credit-challenge categories that require alternative loan programs.

  A prior credit denial should not be treated as an automatic qualifier. Underwriting standards for mortgages remain the purview of agencies and investors, lenders, underwriters, property standards, borrower credit, income, employment, and acceptable documentation.

  What’s Next on the GCA Mortgage Forums Radar: Preliminary July CPI Report

  The report to watch tomorrow is scheduled for release by the Bureau of Labor Statistics at 8:30 AM Eastern Time on August 12, 2020.

  • Expect crude oil, gold, and T-bonds to react swiftly once the report drops.
  • Fed Funds Futures will be an important indicator of the Fed’s anticipated next moves.
  • Mortgage-backed securities will also be an important indicator to watch.
  • Interest rates will also be under the microscope.

  Thursday: Producer Inflation

  The BLS calendar shows that the July Producer Price Index will be released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday, August 13, at 8:30 a.m. EST.

  • This offers another chance to gauge inflation at the business and supply chain level.

  The Bigger Question: Does Weak Employment Finally Change the Rate Path?

  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a rise of 23,000 jobs.
  • However, policymakers cannot disregard inflation either.
  • This leaves the Federal Reserve facing a slowing job market and the risk of inflation.
  • This is the kind of environment where every major economic release takes on outsized importance.
  • GCA Mortgage Forums Live News Bottom Line: America’s latest CPI release is sending a mix of signals.
  • Home sales slipped another 0.7%, with the median price now at $434,100.
  • A 30-year fixed mortgage currently sits at 6.69%.
  • Mortgage applications keep falling, and July payrolls dropped by 23,000.
  • Initial job growth clocked in at just 0.103%.
  • Oil is trading at $88 a barrel.
  • Gas is $4.01 a gallon.
  • Gold is trading at $4400.
  • Household debt is at $18.8 trillion.
  • The personal saving rate is at a record low of 2.7%.
  • Long-term treasury yields continue to climb despite major stock indexes sitting at record highs.
  • Today’s economic landscape is far from universally positive.
  • However, still, the numbers don’t point to
  • However, the numbers do not suggest a collapse like in 2008.
  • The economy is going through changes that are new and hard to ignore.shape the national conversation in a big way.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News will continue to provide data-driven coverage, independent of political, market, or online speculation. Reporting will be updated as new data becomes available.

  GCA Mortgage Forums: Mortgage Rates: Frequently Asked Questions
  

  What is the Current Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate?

  On August 6, 2026, according to Freddie Mac, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was 6.69%. Actual borrower rates depend on credit profile, loan programming, points, property, occupancy, loan-to-value ratio, and lender pricing.

  Is it Possible That Mortgage Rates Will Fall in 2026?

  It is a possible scenario, likely, but not guaranteed. Mortgage rates are influenced by inflation expectations, Treasury yields, the economy, and demand for mortgage-backed securities. The upcoming CPI data may affect expectations.

  
  

  What Time Will the Next CPI Report Be Released?

  The July 2026 CPI report will be released on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m.

  What is the Current U.S. Inflation for 2026?

  The final CPI released for June 2026 is the most recent report with official inflation data. Headline CPI for June 2026 increased by 3.5% over the last year, with core CPI increasing by 2.6% over the last year. The July 2026 CPI release will be on August 12, 2026.

  
  

  What is the Current U.S. Unemployment Rate for June 2026?

  The U.S. unemployment rate for June 2026 was 4.1%, with nonfarm payroll employment declining by 23,000 for the month.

  Is a U.S. Housing Market Crash Expected for 2026?
  

  At this point, data does not show that housing prices have crashed at the national level. Sales of existing homes decreased by 1.7% in July, but the median sales price for existing homes increased by 2.0% to $434,100. Housing conditions vary by region and price range.

  Why Have Sales of Existing Homes Declined?
  

  High mortgage rates, high home prices, and inventory that is both affordable and priced are the primary reasons. Many existing homeowners also have older mortgages with lower rates and thus are not motivated to sell and buy a new home with a higher mortgage rate.

  Do You Think That High Mortgage Rates for 2026 Will Cause Home Prices to Fall?

  Yes, they will fall for some housing markets, but high rates do not mean a housing market collapse will happen at the national level. Housing prices depend on factors such as inventory, employment, population growth, household formation, construction, and local supply-and-demand dynamics.

  
  

  Why Does CPI Affect Mortgage Rates?

  Inflation impacts Treasury yields and investor appetite for fixed-income assets, including mortgage-backed securities. If inflation runs above target, it can put upward pressure on yields and mortgage rates. Conversely, when inflation is on target or below, it may help mortgage rates come down. The connection isn’t one-to-one on any given day.

  Is a Stock Market Crash Inevitable?

  No analyst worth their salt can predict how, when, or if stocks crash. Equities in the U.S. are at an all-time high. Investors worry about inflation, employment numbers, geopolitical uncertainty, and the strain energy prices place on the economy. These factors all impact the markets, but they do not imply a crash is coming.

  
  

  Why is Gold So Expensive?

  People buy gold when they are uncertain about the world and the economy. Central banks are buying it, and investors are buying it. Gold ETFs saw $3 billion in inflows this month, and gold prices are up.

  
  

  Are Americans in Too Much Debt?

  In the second quarter of 2026, household debt was $18.8 trillion, and 4.7% of all debt was delinquent. The answer to this question depends on each household. It depends on their economic situation and their financial obligations.

  What Effect Does the Price of Ail Have on Mortgage Rates?

  High oil prices lead to high consumer prices and higher inflation. This leads to a fear of continued inflation and higher bond yields, which puts pressure on mortgage rates.

  
  

  Can I Qualify for a Mortgage After Being Denied by Another Lender?

  It’s likely there are many possible reasons you were denied by a lender. These may include issues with a specific program, lender-level guidelines, documentation, debt-to-income, property issues, or any number of other reasons. Another lender may review your file differently, but denial from one lender does not mean another will approve.

  Should Buyers Wait to Purchase Until Mortgage Rates Drop?
  

  It depends. There may be cases where a lower rate is guaranteed. However, home prices and competition may increase. It’s best to consider the home’s cost, the total payment, cash on hand, employment status, how long you plan to own, and your financial reserves.

  What’s Happening in This GCA Mortgage Forums Live Mortgage and Housing News discussion?

  You don’t just want to read the news after it affects the market. The GCA Mortgage Forums bring together homebuyers and sellers, mortgage professionals, real estate professionals, and consumers, so we can analyze mortgage credit and housing markets, as well as the economy and interest rates.

  • Are you struggling with complicated mortgage challenges?
  • Were you recently denied?
  • Do you have questions about guidelines?
  • Are you confused about mortgage rates?
  • Should you buy or refinance? Should you wait?

  Post your mortgage-related questions to GCA Mortgage Forums

  • Another potential borrower facing the same issue may be reading them.

  GCA Mortgage Forums Provides Mortgage News, Housing News, and Credit and Economics News.

  News and market data are for educational and informational purposes and are not specific mortgage, legal, tax, or investment advice. Market prices can change daily. Mortgage rates will depend on the borrower and the property, and will be influenced by the program and lender, as well as market conditions. All mortgage financing is subject to underwriting and program requirements.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJSQA8c7yV4

  View All

  View Last Reply:  Dawn replied 1 week, 4 days ago  |  Participants:   1 Member |   0 Replies
• Forum: Daily News and Economic Updates
   Dawn

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Monday August 10 2026

  Dawn Posted on August 11, 2026 at 2:27 am   |  State: TENNESSEE  | Total Activities:  8

  GCA Mortgage Forums News for Monday, August 10, 2026

  Rising mortgage rates, higher oil prices, and slower job growth are making it harder for many Americans to afford housing.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News: Live News shares the latest U.S. mortgage, housing, and economic outlook for August 10, 2026.GCA Mortgage Forums News: Rates Climb, Oil Explodes and Jobs Stall: America’s Housing Squeeze Deepens | GCA Mortgage Forums Live News August 10, 2026Monday, August 10, 2026 | National Mortgage, Housing, Financial and Economic News

  The United States started the week facing tough economic conditions. The stock market is at record highs, gold prices are rising, and oil prices have jumped. Mortgage rates are the highest they’ve been this year. Hiring has slowed, more homebuyers are waiting to purchase, and household savings are low. Many Americans say higher living costs are putting real pressure on their budgets.

  GCA Mortgage Forums Live Mortgage and Housing News Report for Monday, August 10, 2026

  Recent data show that while some parts of the economy remain strong, many Americans are struggling to afford basic necessities. One major worry is that inflation could rise again as the job market slows down. This situation could create big challenges for both the Federal Reserve and the U.S. housing market.

  Breaking Today: Oil Jumps as Wall Street Backs Off Record Highs

  Wall Street closed slightly lower today as investors grappled with new uncertainties involving Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and global energy supply.

  The Dow closed 60.95 points (-0.11%) lower at 53,975.98. The S&P 500 fell by 4.53 points (-0.06%) to 7,753.11, while the Nasdaq Composite declined by 85.26 points (-0.32%) to close at 26,605.36.

  Monday’s movement saw the major indexes retreat, even though they remain in the vicinity of their record highs. While investors focused on Monday’s market swings, oil prices are likely to have the biggest impact on the housing market.

  On Monday, oil prices rose sharply, with Brent crude at $87.72 per barrel and WTI at $82.13 per barrel, up roughly 5% each. The Strait of Hormuz has once again caused concern.

  Rising Oil Prices Affect Many Parts of the Economy

  Transportation and shipping costs are rising, which raises costs for airlines and manufacturers. Consumers pay more for fuel, and businesses often pass these costs on through higher prices. All of this can push mortgage rates higher, since rising oil prices usually increase inflation expectations and drive up Treasury yields.

  The Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rate doesn’t directly set mortgage rates. Instead, mortgage rates depend on long-term bond markets, inflation, and other economic factors. That’s why changes in the oil market matter for mortgage rates this August.

  Rising Mortgage Rates Impact Home Buyers

  According to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.69%, rising from 6.66% one week prior. On average, 15-year fixed rates were at 6.01%, according to Freddie Mac’s latest data. Even though the change from last week was small, mortgage rates have been steadily rising all month.c’s 30-year average on February 26 was 5.98%. Since then, it has increased by more than 0.7 percentage points.

  Even small increases in mortgage rates can lead to much higher monthly payments for borrowers.

  Monitoring Monday Mortgage Quotes

  On Monday, some mortgage rate trackers showed the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.76%, showing how much retail mortgage rates can change. National averages can differ depending on the loan program, borrower details, and lender policies. One clear sign of today’s market is that mortgage demand is declining as borrowing costs rise.

  Mortgage Loan Applications Down

  As of the last weekly report released by the Mortgage Bankers Association, total mortgage applications were down 2.9%.

  Refinance applications fell 2% and are 9% lower than the same week last year. Higher interest rates and fewer qualified refinancing applicants are putting financial pressure on lenders.ind

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), obtaining a mortgage became more challenging in June. The Murrong Credit Availability Index fell by 2.0%, and government-backed loans dropped by 4.6% last month.

  The MBA said this was the biggest drop in mortgage credit availability since December 2025. This month, some lenders have also removed or reduced FHA and VA streamline refinance options, especially for loans with high loan-to-value ratios or lower credit scores. The FHA, VA, and other government loan programs have not ceased to exist. Borrowers with complex financial profiles may encounter significant variation in lending criteria among mortgage companies.

  The Mortgage Industry Is Feeling the Pain in the Jobs Numbers

  Friday’s release of July employment numbers includes a concerning stat that warrants the attention of mortgage professionals.

  • Employment in the finance sector contracted further, shedding around 14,000 jobs in July.
  • Employment in credit intermediation also contracted further, shedding around 9,000 jobs.
  • So far this year, employment in financial activities is more than 121,000 below its May 2023 level.
  • These numbers worry mortgage professionals because they show big challenges in mortgage banking, lending, and related fields.
  • Most of the mortgage activity seen before 2020 and 2021 has dropped off.
  • Now, the focus is on running operations efficiently, dividing up business areas, and hiring people who know FHA and VA rules,
  • instead of just focusing on risk management and automation.

  Lower Jobs Numbers

  The economic shock from last Friday is still being felt by the markets. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of nonfarm payroll jobs fell by 23,000 in July.

  The unemployment rate was 4.1%, affecting about 6.9 million Americans. Many people, even those who aren’t experts, saw the report as disappointing. Even worse were the revisions.

  May’s payroll growth was revised from 129,000 to 63,000, and June’s report was revised from 57,000 to just a gain of 20,000.

  Combined, the previous two months had 103,000 fewer reported jobs than previously indicated.

  The Shrinking Labor Market

  In July, the labor force participation rate was 61.4%. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, since January of this year, participation has dropped by 0.7 percentage points.

  With unemployment at 4.1%, the drop in labor force participation stands out. But this rate doesn’t always mean the economy is getting better.

  Both the labor force participation rate and the number of people employed are declining. As more people leave the workforce, it gets harder for the economy to recover, and many Americans struggle financially. This report shows that while inflation affects goods and services in different ways, most Americans are losing buying power as wages decline.

  The Report Could Significantly Impact Mortgage Rates

  Prospective homebuyers and current homeowners should consider the following information:

  There is no CPI report for July. The most recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) is reported only through June.

  • According to the most recent data reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the overall CPI for June declined by 0.4% but still was 3.5% higher than the previous year.
  • Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, was flat for the month but rose by 2.6% from the previous year.
  • From June 2021 to June 2022, food prices rose by 3.0%.
  • Shelter was up 3.3%.
  • Energy prices rose by 15.7%, with gasoline up by 26.7%.
  • The CPI datThe CPI data comes out on Wednesday.
  • This Consumer Price Index report matters more now because of weak job numbers and rising oil prices.

  If inflation is higher than expected, the Federal Reserve will probably raise interest rates, maybe more than once. If inflation is lower, the Fed might consider cutting rates.e data above could impact mortgage rates.

  The Fed Faces a Difficult Situation

  At its July 29 meeting, the Federal Reserve believed it was proper to keep the federal funds target range at 3.50% to 3.75%.

  Now, policymakers face many challenges.

  • Inflation is, and has been, above the Federal Reserve’s long-run 2% goal.
  • Oil prices are surging again, driving inflation up more quickly.
  • Recent employment data has recorded signs of slowing growth.
  • This has led to more attention on reports about consumer spending, inflation, and employment.
  • If the economy slows down, mortgage rates could drop.
  • But if inflation stays high, borrowers may still face higher rates.
  • Although the U.S. economy is not officially in a recession, it is experiencing a slowdown.

  The Bureau of Economic Analysis States that Real GDP Increased by 1.5 Percent in 2026 Q2.

  • That is a slowdown from the first quarter of 2026, when it increased by 2.1 percent.
  • Driven by increases in consumer spending, investments, and exports, the economy grew during the second quarter of the year. It shrank due to a decrease in government spending.
  • Slower GDP growth, fewer jobs, and ongoing affordability issues are making the economy more fragile.
  • Personal saving rate data indicate that household savings are only 2.7 percent of disposable personal income, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that total personal savings for June 2022 were approximately $646.1 billion.
  • As household savings decline and prolonged inflation affects housing, food, and utilities, many families are struggling to maintain financial stability.
  • Consumer credit continues to grow as households cope with inflation.
  • Federal Reserve data released on August 7 indicate consumer credit totaled $5.17 trillion in June, including $1.35 trillion in revolving credit, such as credit cards.

  Total Household Debt Is $18.8 Trillion

  The last available New York Federal Reserve report on household credit shows that total household debt was approximately $18.8 trillion at the end of the first quarter of 2026. Mortgage balances totaled approximately $13.19 trillion. New data will be released imminently.

  The second quarter Household Debt and Credit Report from the New York Fed will be released on Tuesday, August 11.

  This report will be informative for understanding credit card balances, mortgage debt, auto loans, and trends in the past-due status.

  Cost of Living Challenges Surpass Impact of Interest Rate Increases

  Research has shown that the nation’s current poor economic state is stretching households to the breaking point. The Gallup poll conducted in April revealed that a record high of 55 percent of respondents said their personal finances were in worse shape than a year ago. High price inflation was the primary reason respondents gave for poor financial situations.

  The Guardian recently published a large survey that found that approximately 40 percent of respondents said they were either financially vulnerable or unable to meet their basic needs for food, shelter, transportation, and health care.

  The methods used for these surveys differ and should not be combined to provide government statistics. Low national savings and high consumer credit balances both highlight a major problem. Even when the stock market hits record highs, most people don’t feel wealthier.

  Housing Market Reality Check

  Buyers are stepping back, but prices haven’t dropped. The U.S. housing market is not crashing. No conditions do not approach the criteria for a market crash.

  Affordable iFor many people, homes are still far from affordable. Home sales dropped 2.4% in June to an annual estimate of 4.09 million.

  The median home sales price was $440,600, a 1.8% increase from the previous year. Pending home sales dropped by 5.4% in June and were down by 0.3% from a year prior. Today’s housing market is marked by high home prices, high interest rates, and low demand. Prices are up in nearly 80% of U.S. metro areas. The NAR reports that during the 2nd quarter of 2026, home prices rose in about 80% of metro areas, compared with just 71% in the 1st quarter.

  FHFA Data Shows a Similar Trend at the National Level.

  U.S. home prices increased 0.3% in May, and were up 2.2% from the prior year. While a nationwide decline in home prices is unlikely, certain local markets may experience price decreases, stabilization, or continued competitiveness.

  Home construction data shows a sharp decline in home prices. Builders are pricing new homes more flexibly. The median price of a new home sold in June 2026 was $398,300, according to the Census Bureau.

  This was 3.3% lower than May and 2.7% lower than June 2025, but the government notes that these estimates may be subject to substantial error. Reuters has also covered concerns of excessive speculation and bubbles in technology and AI markets. No responsible person can state that the Dow or S&P 500 will crash.

  There is a Clear Price Difference Between New and Existing Homes

  Builders, unlike home sellers, can offer incentives, lower mortgage rates, and adjust closing costs to encourage buyers to choose new homes or resale properties. There are, in fact, legitimate reasons to worry about U.S. stock market valuations.

  Markets are changing due to investor sentiment about AI’s effects, market consolidation, global events, rising bond yields, retail investors’ fear of missing out, and reduced market stability.

  Reuters reported on Monday that the recent rally on Wall Street was driven by investor FOMO. Extreme positive sentiment has been building across markets and was evident in certain technical areas.

  There Are Bullish Arguments.

  On Monday, J.P. Morgan raised its forecast for the year’s end target for the S&P 500 to 8,000 based on anticipated strong corporate earnings and AI-fueled corporate growth. Several other firms on Wall Street have also maintained bullish forecasts. There is no responsible case that states a crash is guaranteed. A careful view is that risks are high, so investors should not assume that record market highs mean there is no risk. There are different signals that gold and silver are beginning to flash warning signs.

  Precious Metals Are Back in the Spotlight

  Comex August Gold futures settled at $4,361.80 per ounce, while Silver futures settled at $65.106 per ounce, as reported on Monday. Although prices fluctuated during the day, gold remained between $4,300 and $4,400 on Monday. Strengthening focus on the gold markets is driven by uncertainty about geopolitics, economic policy, and central bank actions, along with renewed investor interest in safe assets.

  Results of a survey of analysts and traders published by Reuters on July 28 showed a median price target for gold of $4,509 per ounce by 2026.

  The World Gold Council has also said that renewed economic weakness or geopolitical shocks, coupled with lower expectations for interest rate hikes, could bring gold prices toward $4,500 or higher. On the contrary, stronger economic growth and a rise in interest rates could put downward pressure on gold prices.

  Gold at $4,000 or Higher Doesn’t Mean the World is Ending

  Many factors affect gold prices, so it should not be used as a reliable sign of a recession or a coming stock market crash.

  However, its record-high prices do show that global investors are willing to pay a record price to insure themselves against what they perceive as high financial risk.

  This observation warrants attention.

  Right Now, the 10-Year Treasury is a Huge Driver of Mortgage Rates

  The 10-year Treasury closed at approximately 4.65% Friday, according to the Fed. On Wednesday, it was at 4.63% and closed at 4.69% Thursday before falling slightly to 4.65%. Mortgage borrowers are advised to monitor this yield closely.

  There is no exact formula linking Treasury yields to mortgage rates, but over time, they usually move in the same direction.

  If oil prices push up inflation expectations and keep the 10-year Treasury yield steady, mortgage rates might not change much. In today’s market, consumers shouldn’t expect all lenders to offer the same mortgage terms.

  Approval for your mortgage application can vary widely between lenders. Borrowers with straightforward credit, steady W-2 income, and large down payments usually have more choices. Those with higher debt, recent bankruptcies, credit issues, self-employment, student loans, co-signers, non-traditional income, or unique properties may get different results depending on the lender. If one lender denies you, you might still qualify for FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, or non-QM loans elsewhere. Each lender has its own credit rules and requirements. No lender can guarantee approval, since your income, assets, credit, property, and the lender’s rules all play a role.

  Potential for Additional Housing Market Volatility Tomorrow

  There’s a chance that Tuesday, August 11, may be another momentous day for real estate.

  We know that the National Association of REALTORS® will release its existing-home sales data and housing affordability index for the month.

  The New York Fed will release its Quarterly Household Debt and Credit Report.

  Then there’s Wednesday. That is when we will finally get to see the July CPI report. Collectively, these three economic reports will provide insight into Americans’ experiences with debt repayment and homeownership, as well as the potential impact of inflation on interest rates.

  It is increasingly difficult getting harder to sum up the U.S. economy in just one headline. Even though the stock market is at record highs, many households have less wealth.ck, even as prices stay at historic highs.

  Job growth is still happening, though the July numbers showed a decline. Although one month of lower inflation was reported, oil prices are back on the rise. High mortgage rates are driving home prices up even more, making them unaffordable for thousands of potential buyers. The coming days could be important. Tuesday brings new reports on housing.

  Wednesday Brings the Consumer Price Index

  Oil prices see fluctuation. Wall Street is seeing high numbers and eagerly awaiting new headlines. At the same time, mortgage borrowers are trying to manage these changing market conditions. GCA Mortgage Forums News will continue to provide accurate data and analysis as the United States navigates an unprecedented housing and mortgage market environment.

  Frequently Asked Questions About Mortgage Rates, Housing, and the Economy
  

  August 10, 2026

  What is the Current 30-Year Mortgage Rate?

  As of August 6th, Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed rate mortgage at an average of 6.69%. Some market sources showed rates as high as 6.76% as of August 10. Your personal mortgage rate will vary depending on your credit score, loan program, property type, points, and various other factors.

  What is the Current U.S. Inflation Rate?

  The most recent inflation data available for June 2026 show increases of 3.5% in headline inflation and 2.6% in core inflation. New inflation data for July will be published on August 12.

  
  

  What is the Current U.S. Unemployment Rate?

  The Monthly employment report for July 2026 shows the national unemployment rate was 4.1%. There was also a decline of 23,000 jobs in nonfarm payroll employment.

  Are U.S. Home Prices Falling?

  There is no national data to suggest a decline in home prices. The latest report shows a 2.2% increase in home prices in May compared to last year. The report also shows that the median home price in June 2026 was $440,600, up 1.8% from last year. It is important to note that home price increases in some metropolitan areas can vary significantly from national indexes.

  
  

  Is the Housing Market Experiencing a Crash?

  Current housing market data for the U.S. show no sign of a housing market crash. It should be noted that housing market data is weak, yet home prices continue to appreciate, and most metro areas also showed growth in the second quarter of 2026.

  
  

  What is Lowering Mortgage Applications?

  Deteriorating housing affordability, combined with elevated mortgage rates and prices, is the primary driver of the decline in purchase and refinance mortgage applications. MBA reported a 2.9% drop in applications in its latest survey, with purchase application drops of around 4%.

  Is There a Correlation Between Oil Rising and Mortgage Rates?
  

  
  

  There is not a direct correlation, but there is an indirect one. Consistent increases in oil prices will inevitably raise inflation expectations and pressure Treasury yields and other long-term interest rates. The concept of the bond market makes little difference to the movements of the Federal Reserve’s overnight interest rate and mortgage rates.

  Is a Stock Market Crash in 2026 a Possibility?

  Again, no one can reliably say that a crash will happen. Currently, valuations are elevated, and there is significant uncertainty in the geopolitical climate, along with aggressive investor positioning, but strong corporate earnings also support bullish outlooks. It’s important to differentiate legitimate risk assessment from prediction framed in definitive terms.

  
  

  About GCA Mortgage Forums News

  GCA Mortgage Forums News, powered by Gustan Cho Associates, provides national housing, mortgage, economic, financial, and real estate news and focuses on explaining how these topics and news items can affect homeowners, buyers, sellers, real estate agents, and mortgage professionals. We aim to make complex news easy to understand for everyone.

  GCA Mortgage Forums News is not providing individual mortgage, financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Eligibility for a mortgage, rates, and terms can vary based on the borrower, the property, the loan program, and the lender.

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0osFP3U2c0&t=10s

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• Forum: Mortgage Operations, Processing, and Compliance
   Tina

  How Many States is Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending Licensed in?

  Tina Posted on August 10, 2026 at 10:34 pm   |  State: Connecticut  | Total Activities:  9

  I am interested in becoming a mortgage loan originator at Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending, LLC NMLS 376205. What are all the state Coast 2 Coast Mortgage Lending licensed in?

  http://www.coast2coastml.com

  

  coast2coastml.com

  Coast2Coast Mortgage St. Augustine, FL

  Coast2Coast Mortgage: Your trusted mortgage lender in St. Augustine, FL offering competitive rates, expert guidance, and personalized loan solutions including FHA, VA, USDA and conventional mortgages.

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  View Last Reply: Dawn replied 1 week, 5 days ago  |  Participants:   2 Members |   1 Reply