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The U.S. mortgage and real estate market is shifting significantly as of December 18, 2024, which affects sellers, buyers, and investors alike. Here’s a comprehensive overview:
Mortgage Rates and Predictions
Let’s look at the current averages step by step. These include the 30-year fixed mortgage, which sits at around 6.78%; the 15-year fixed rate, which sits at 5.94%; and the 5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which average 7.35%. While all this was happening, the Federal Reserve steadily implemented cuts by scaling the benchmark rate to around 4.3%. However, because of the economic woes and low inflation, mortgage rates remained high, above 6%, as many analysts calculated.
Housing Market Activity
7.35% fixed mortgage rates, along with inflation and remodeling costs, severely restricted builders and home buyers alike from pursuing new projects. Most builders’ optimistic stance, hoping for a turn in market conditions, along with the continued price rise even as remodeling costs rose from $350,000 to $370,000 between 2020 and 2021, further restricted activity in the industry.
NewHome Construction
As housing construction felt the initial effects of the CR2 storm in 2021, the sudden rise in temperatures in the fall of 2022, coupled with the lack of consistent supply, felt like a final unlocking of the keyhole to this issue, with building starts in November having risen by 6.4% to an annual rate of an estimated 1 million units.
Although prices have risen, the rate of increase has been moderated compared to previous years.
Home Price Forecast for 2024-2029
Due to increased listings enabling a relatively higher home sales rate, home prices are predicted to remain flat. However, home prices will gradually rise between 2025 and 2029, with an estimated 1% increase yearly.
Housing Market Forecast for 2024
Substantial growth is anticipated in metropolitan housing markets, such as Oxnard, CA, Rochester, NY, and San Diego, CA. Prices and sales will ideally grow due to good economic conditions and stable prices.
Consumer Insights and Issues in the MarketMillennials as Homebuyers
One of the biggest blocks preventing millennials from fully engaging in the market is high home prices and higher mortgage rates. Based on current trends, 30-year-olds have a 43% homeownership rate, compared to 52% for baby boomers of the same age. Perceptions of homeownership or wealth due to economic imbalance within the generation heavily impact the decision-making process.
Concerns About Affordability: Today, as before, affordability continues to be an issue due to increased home prices and high mortgage interest rates. This led to elevated monthly repayments on existing mortgages. The increasing inventory levels would assist many prospective buyers, but the financial problem would remain.
Investment Opportunities
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT): Analysts say total returns on U.S. REITs should fall between 5 and 15 percent in 2025.
American Healthcare REIT, Extra Space Storage, and Cousins Properties are the best choices. These have made sensible investments and displayed steady occupancy rates. Still, their performance could be influenced by high valuations and anticipated changes in tax policies.
The American mortgage and real markets are adjusting to a trying period defined by high rates, low appreciation of home prices, and shifting consumer habits and behaviors. Operators must keep abreast of economic indicators to operate effectively in this economy, including the Federal Reserve’s decisions, policies, and market trends.
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U.S. Headline News Summary Between December 16th-22nd 2024 Weekend Wrap Up. This is a detailed overview of the US headlines news of December 16 to December 22 for the year 2024:
February 16, 2024
Abundant Life Christian School Shooting:
- An unfortunate event occurred on February 16, 2024, at Abundant Life Christian School in Madison.
- A school teacher and a student were brutally murdered, along with multiple others getting injured during the life firing.
- It was brought to notice that the shooter was a 15-year-old student who killed herself after the incident.
- It is being investigated if she has any connections with a man living in California who was detained for planning another mass shooting.
February 17, 2024
Investigation Further:
- The Wisconsin shooting was reported to the authorities on February 14, 2024.
- They are investigating the shooter’s personal life, including their social media accounts, to look for any information that could provide insights into her motives for the attack.
- The malefactors of the country paid condolences to the deceased.
- The families of the deceased were offered counseling services to help with the process.
Donald Trump Remarks On Transition
- Donald Trump, who was elected president, held a press conference.
- He shared with the nation his administration’s plans, which included focusing on the general welfare of the people, reforming education, and increasing the budgets for public safety.
- The potential distribution of pardons and the current administration status regarding the polio vaccine were also re-touched.
February 18, 2024
Alerts Concerning Harsh Weather Conditions:
- The National Weather Service issued warnings for Extreme Winter conditions across the northern areas of the United States, including North Dakota, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, between February 16, 2024, and February 22, 2024.
- Light rainfall and thunderstorms predicting torrential rainfall across the southern parts were also expected.
Legislative Measures Against Gun Violence:
- On December 19, 2024, in the wake of tragic incidents, the government commenced deliberations seeking to implement measures aimed at regulating the sale of firearms and tightening the background checks to prevent the sale of guns to minors.
Logistical Challenges:
- The adverse weather conditions brought thunderstorms alongside severe winter weather, resulting in massive road hazards.
- The severe winter hampered travel further, leading to widespread flight cancellations.
- Southern states were also warned about an incoming storm, with snow warnings.
Economic Outlook:
- Economic worries commenced when the approaching holiday season led to slight increases in unemployment claims being reported.
Gun Violence:
- On December 20, 2024, community members, alongside officials, participated in a vigil in Madison to honor the victims of the school shooting.
- They provided their perspectives regarding the tragedy, gun violence, and contemporary gun laws.
Shopping Trends:
- Fractured retail activity was noted due to the volatility within the economy.
- While spending during the holidays shot up, sectors exhibiting strong sales could not compete with the stragglers.
Travel Chaos:
- The storm’s movement out of the Midwest left many issues, including travel disruptions and power outages.
- Southern states suffered due to severe thunderstorms, which led to damaging flood waters, resulting in localized flooding.
Political Dynamics:
- The Trump Administration finalized cabinet appointments, with additional discussions around significant positions in education, public safety, and several other sectors.
December 22, 2023
Present Recovery Actions:
- The communities affected by the winter storm have started recovering.
- Their aim was to clear the roads and get the power back on.
- Emergency services evaluated the damage to any infrastructure.
National Insights:
- Once more, various media outlets were writing about significant developments of the year,
- This refers to the end of 2024, which does not seem to have ended gun violence, climate change, or political unrest.
This summary outlines the relevant news and developments related to the US events from December 16 to December 22, 2024, emphasizing the school shooting and its consequences, extreme weather events, and political changes within the country.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQlziWgJ6aI&ab_channel=EVAArtesManuais
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Crucial developments are changing the country as a whole in the US as of 18th December 2024.
A detailed summary is given below: Political and Government Measures
Banning of US investments in China
The American Congress is about to vote on the laws prohibiting Americans from investing in Chinese technology, targeting artificial intelligence and microelectronics. This effort is designed to resolve issues regarding national security as it shows measures to concern about the packages to fund the government so that federal activities continue until the middle of March.
Renovation of RFK Stadium
The American Congress has passed a bill that will allow Rexon to redevelop the RFK stadium in the district ardent S Senior Sc and lease it for 99 years. This will allow the Washington commanders to return to their esteemed location rent-free.
Economic Indices Housing Market Update
US single-family home building saw a strong upturn in November after a slump caused by the hurricane. US housing starts were up by 6.4%, reaching 1.011 million units on an annual basis. Recent cuts in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve have seen the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate floating around 7, affecting the housing market as well.
Transportation and Communication
Increase in the Number of Flights Operating from Washington Reagan National Airport
The US Department of Transport has confirmed five extra daily round trips from Washington Reagan National Airport.
Flights to STL, Seattle, San Francisco, Las Vegas, San Diego, and San Antonio will soon be available through United, American, and Delta airlines. These are new developments that will be available in 90 days.
Sports Segment
Significant changes have occurred recently for the Washington Commanders, who have signed Tyree Jackson as a Tight End on their practice squad. Additionally, their week 17 game against the Atlanta Falcons has been moved to SMT for its playoff participation. The team is currently reviewing the legislative news regarding the RFK stadium location.
Safety and Education
A tragic mass shooting incident took place at the Abundant Life Christian School located in Madison, Wisconsin. The Authorities stated that a 17-year-old child was the perpetrator, opening fire and killing two children while injuring five and eventually killing himself, all during a school event. The community is left devastated, and the police are investigating the shooting.
Technology/ Security
Various regions in New Jersey are beginning to voice concerns regarding the unidentified drones hovering over the area.
Federal agencies are investigating these events and the reason for the use of drones and have urged the public to report unusual drone activity.
Transitioning Politics
Donald Trump has been regularly making cabinet announcements and policy appointments, with recent updates about the current presidency and electoral results. Discussions are ongoing about decreasing funds for the implementation of charging stations and defunding electric cars, which suggests a change in energy and environmental strategies as a result of the new president.
This would encompass varied political events within the United States, new policies, economic reports, infrastructural growth, sporting events, and safety from farm technological growth.
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Since December 17, 2024, the country has witnessed key developments that have impacted the U.S. Here is an in-depth summary:
Federal Funding and Disaster Aid
Congress is reportedly close to inking a funding deal to keep all federal government services running until March 14. This bipartisan agreement allocates more than $100 billion for emergency relief to aid local and state authorities recover from natural disasters such as hurricanes Milton and Helene. Additionally, $10 billion has been allocated in aid for farmers.
The House is expected to vote on the agreement to avert a partial lockdown on government services and allow the decisions regarding the budget to be made after the new president-elect, Donald Trump, and Congress are in place. This vote is believed to push the trimming deadline to January.
Recent East Coast Mysterious Drone Sightings
The FBI and Department of Homeland Security have stated that many of the reports of unexplained drone activity that have surfaced from several East Coast states are civilian, recreational, or police drones, as well as aircraft.
There is no evidence that these UAVs pose any danger to the general population. Instead, they claim that there is a concern for drone surveillance and, therefore, many suspected incidents of antisocial behavior. Dazzling light meters are currently being conducted.
Tragic School Shooting in Wisconsin
Wisconsin School Shooting Update: The Mother is Presently Charged With Closer for the Investigation.
A male student and a teacher were shot dead by Ms Natalie Rupnow, 15. During the attack, she was armed with a 9mm pistol, which she used to open fire.
The incident took place at Abundant Life Christian School, located in Madison, Wisconsin, and it left six individuals hurt. Rupnow ended up taking her own life later on. Her community is currently grieving, and there have been fierce protests requesting the Wisconsin and American politicians to step up and put stricter regulations around gun ownership.
Environmental Concerns at the Hanford Site
Surrounded by leaking tanks and containing 56 million gallons worth of nuclear waste, it is one of the most heavily taken care of sites ever to exist.
The site underwent serious clean-up procedures to gain the vocal documentation that had been prepared since 1989. To tackle the nuclear waste issue, they turned it into glass only to make the long-term storage sit better in glass for a long time. This might be one of the most expensive projects, with costs potentially reaching the hundred billion dollar range, and might take decades to clean up completely. However, major concerns like groundwater contamination and leaking tanks are still hot topics for debate and discussion.
Economic Developments and Market Movements
- The Federal Reserve expects to go for another rate cut in the final meeting of the year.
- Political instability in Canada and Germany has resulted in turmoil in U.S. Treasury bonds.
- Long-term neutral rates are suggested to remain above 3, with the addition of long-term projections hinting at only two permitted cuts next year.
- Furthermore, Donald Trump’s plans to establish a Bitcoin reserve to eliminate the national debt have raised additional red flags among market analysts.
Sports Highlights
In the NFL, covering defender Marshon Lattimore’s endeavors have paid on the trade for the Washington Team in their showdown against the Eagles. Community efforts and field exploits define rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, who recently gifted 100 local kids bicycles. With key performances by players Daniels and Terry McLaurin, the team’s performance this season has only ever been matched in terms of initial performance in 1992.
Political Calendar
Important dates in the U.S. political calendar that coincide with the end of the year are December 17, this year, when the electors of the U.S. president and vice president will meet in their respective capitals to cast their votes for the President and Vice President.
As mentioned, the 119th Congress, with the inauguration of the U.S. president and the formal certification of the election results, will begin on January 3, 2025. These events emphasize the context of national U.S. news as of December 17, 2024, including the passage of newly aghast public legislation, public and environmental crises, concerns, economic developments, and sporting and political events.
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Mortgage and Real Estate News Weekend Edition: Market Wrap-Up Update (December 16 – December 21, 2024):
Mortgage Rates
Current Rates:
- The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is steady at 6.4% as of December 21, with the average fifteen-year fixed in the 5.8% region.
- The ongoing stability during a slow period provides some relief to home buyers.
Market Influences:
- Inflation figures and the Federal Reserve’s message on the likely direction of interest rates have contributed to fluctuations in existing economic indicators, keeping mortgage rates slightly further tempered.
Home Sales Activity
Existing Home Sales:
- In November, the National Association of Realtors registered a surge of 1.5% in existing home sales.
- This increase signals a boost in buyer activity for that month, caused primarily by seasonal changes and a subsequent boost in buyer activity.
Pending Home Sales:
- The market shows signs of strength going into the new year, as pending home sales also bumped by 2.3% during November.
Housing Inventory
Inventory Levels:
- Despite the increase in sales, housing inventory remains tight.
- The current supply of homes is around 2.7.
- This number is fairly low compared to the historical average of six over the months.
New Listings:
- In December, new listings noted an increase of 4%, which is commendable.
- This further shows that despite sellers’ affordability challenges.
- There is still a willingness to join the real estate bandwagon.
Home Prices
Price Trends:
- The median existing home price has served as a foremost determinant in history.
- The average selling price at the national level was $370,000, down almost two percent compared to the past year.
Regional Variations:
- Particular regions within the Southern and Midwestern parts of America are either showing slight rises in value or stabilization of values, in contrast to the major restructuring occurring within the Californian and New York markets.
Foreclosure Rates
Foreclosure Data:
- Financial strains on borrowers rapidly increase, resulting in foreclosure filings soaring by 10% in the last month.
- Significant activity has been done in foreclosures in Nevada and New Jersey.
Government Response:
- Local governments are trying to implement support measures for families facing foreclosure.
- These measures incorporate counseling services and monetary support.
Regulatory Developments
Federal Reserve Meetings:
- Over the recent months, mortgage rates have demonstrated signs of higher stability than in the past.
- This is due to the federal funds rate remaining steady after the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting.
Legislative Initiatives:
- Congress is paying attention to ongoing discussions on amending housing policies such as zoning laws and increasing funding for affordable housing.
Market Outlook
Outlook Towards 2025:
- Analysts expect the housing market to stabilize further in early 2025 if there are more sellers since there might be more inventory.
- However, other headwinds, like high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, may continue to dampen buyer demand in the property market.
Affordability Constraints:
- The affordability constraint continues to be serious, especially for first-time buyers.
- More attention to the developments of economic factors and interest rate fluctuations will be very important for the housing market’s health in the months close to the elections.
The picture of the mortgage and real estate market between 16 and December 21, 2024, resembles a guarded optimism given the developing challenges. There are signs of home sales picking up modestly and mortgage interest rates stabilizing, which is positive. In contrast, supplies and affordability remain key drivers in the lead-up to the new year. The key economic indicators and regulatory measures have given clues on what to anticipate in housing for 2025.
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Summary of National U.S. Headline News for December 20 December 20, 2024
Economy and Markets
Stock Market Performance:
- On the eve of Christmas, the economy is feeling a little gray, with stock prices on the S&P 500 lowering by 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial increasing by 0.5%.
- Investors are shedding any hope of seeing the stock market go upward due to mixed economic data and inflation, making long-term forecasts look dismal.
Inflation Rates
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicated in its latest report that inflation was around 3.8%. While these numbers were slightly higher than expected, this raises questions about the Federal Reserve’s policy going forward.
Housing Market
Mortgage Rates:
- Potential housing buyers were provided respite as the mortgage rates hovered around 6.4%.
- , in the long run, this will further exacerbate the issue of housing affordability.
Foreclosure Rates:
- Recently released reports indicate that the number of foreclosure filings in various states, including New Jersey and Nevada, has spiked, calling for timely state intervention measures to curb the problem of housing affordability.
Politics
2024 Presidential Election:
- Recent polls show a close race in the Democratic contest.
- While Mr. Biden is predicted to lead, Mr. Andrew has also posed a threat as the Democratic candidates put more effort into campaigning on the primaries’ eve.
Legislation Update:
- In Congress, discussions are going around the need for a new infrastructure for rural broadband transportation.
- As a bipartisan bill is being drafted, progress on the bill seems fairly realistic to come within the next few months.
Public Health Issues
October 2022 Update: The COVID-19 pandemic has shown modest rises during this period due to the ongoing hospitalization of people, which has led to a conversation surrounding vaccination campaigns and booster campaigns against variants.
Mental Health
Mental health services have seen growth. It is important to understand the root cause of poor mental health. The federal government is aiding in the improvement of the mental health of veterans and anyone else who lacks access to it.
Environment
Severe Weather:
- Weather agencies have predicted snowfall and harsh weather for parts of the Midwest in the upcoming week.
- A severe weather warning has been issued to highlight the dramatic impacts.
Climate Change:
- The ongoing climate change in America has drastically changed many circumstances.
- The American government is maximizing efforts to rectify the growing climate change through Investments in renewable energy and strategies to reduce carbon emissions.
Social Issues strictly related to Guns and Energy.
Women and Gender Rights:
- The shooting that took place recently shed light on and revived the gun control debates.
- This event alone had a touch on gun safety advocates who lobbied the government to implement regulations around guns before the new year set in.
Education Policy
- Student debt and increased education qualifications are still the center of attention around educational reforms.
- That attention will amplify as we approach the latter part of 2025.
Technology and Innovation
Cybersecurity Concerns:
- Due to the increase in threats caused by the war, the government is making efforts to ensure security through cyber attacks and is channeling more funds into those initiatives.
Political Changes and Economy
As of December 20, 2024, the country is certainly experiencing many social issues, such as political activity and economic problems simultaneously. The end of the year will clearly show the key points for the year ahead: housing, public health, or legislative priorities.
Tech Industry Developments
Most businesses in the technology sector continue to grow unbothered. However, representatives of the advertising industry have recently seen some of the world’s largest companies, like Netflix, Spotify, and Facebook, announce massive layoffs due to the drop in ad revenues caused by the economy and other factors, worrying about the industry’s future expansion.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGtUYs5iyfA&ab_channel=CBSNews
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As of December 19, 2024, the U.S. mortgage and real estate markets have made significant progress that affects buyers, sellers, and investors.
Here’s a detailed summary :Trends in Mortgages
Current Averages:
- The typical rate for 30-year fixed mortgages is 6.72 percent, compared to 6.60 percent a week ago.
- This increase is partly fueled by the Fed’s recent prediction that there will be fewer rate cuts in 2025 than anticipated.
Actions of the Federal Reserve
Revised forecasts from the Federal Reserve have altered long-run views of the economy. They are attributed to the recent increase in mortgage rates. The long-run expectations showed caution for investors who were looking for more aggressive cuts in the near future.
Expert Predictions
Economists predict that rates will remain above 6 cents through 2025. Some estimates peak as high as 6.8 cents. These estimates are attributed to the risks of inflation and rising debt issued from the government’s uses.
Dynamics of the Housing Market
Homes on Sale:
- In November, the sale of already-owned homes in America rose for a third month, reaching an annualized rate of 4.2 units.
- Considering the context of last year, this is an increase of 6.1 percent and the highest annual increase since 2021.
- In light of this surge, predictions for the year indicate a house shipment on a scale comparable to 1995.
Home Prices
The transition in the U.S. recession posted buck sales prices of up to $406,100 in November. The data shows an increasing average sales price driven by increased demand in the housing market regardless of unprecedented mortgage rates.
Inventory Levels
By the end of November, inventories comprised 1.33 million homes, a 17.7% increase from current sales. Despite this surge in homes, the market remains competitive, with >30% fewer stocks than those pre-COVID.
Builder Activity
Lennar Corporation:
- A leading bill in home sales, Lennar reported a dip in sales owing to the higher interest rates of mortgages.
- The brand hinted at a shift in strategy to lower prices further.
- However, the current quarter prediction does not seem promising, as earnings from home sales are the lowest in over six years.
Market Predictions
Looking Forward To Buying A House:
- Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran predicts a surge in condo buying activity if loan costs decrease to just 5%.
- This is because Ms Barbara believes that such a decrease in mortgage costs will cause the real estate market to explode.
- Loan costs have decreased to 6.6% from 6% to 7%.
The mortgage rate and the real estate industry in the U.S. are experiencing a combination of increasing mortgage rates, more home sales, and new strategies by builders. Economic drivers, Federal Reserve activities, and other developments should be tracked to make proper decisions in this volatile framework.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime
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Fresh Update on National Mortgage and Real Estate News highlights for December 20, 2024.
National Mortgage And Real Estate News
Trends in Mortgage Rates
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has remained consistent at 6.4, dropping fractionally compared to last week, offering a tiny amount of hope for future buyers in this market.
End of The Year Home Sales Statistics:
Data recently disclosed highlights that existing home sales have grown by 2% as of December, highlighting a slow market recovery as sellers take advantage of lower rates before the start of the new year.
Newly Built Properties
The United States Census Bureau announced a 15% growth in the start of new housing units for November; this can be attributed to the demand for individually owned homes. Builders are meeting the constant demand for housing.
Rates Of Foreclosure
The foreclosure rate continues to be at 0.4 percent, which is still lower than expected. This all hints towards stability in the economy and assistance to homeowners with increased property value in specific areas.
Dynamics Of The Rental Market
Renting, on average across the country, has surged by around 3.5 percent compared to last year. The major areas have significantly more demand because of the gradual change in work-from-home policies and tenants’ desire to be closer to their place of work.
Influences Of New Policies
New Federal housing policies to make properties more affordable and easier to obtain are expected to take effect in early 2025. These policies will affect mortgage rates and the amount of housing available.
Tech in Real Estate
The introduction of AI tools and the option of virtual tours is making real estate purchasing easier. Both buyers and agents are making good use of these add-ons.
Market Predictions for 2025
The younger generation will greatly influence the market, so it is predicted that 2025 will be a very busy and competitive housing market. It would be easy to assume that prices would also increase.
With favorable mortgage rates and encouraging sales and construction of homes, the real estate sector is exhibiting a healthy outlook as we near the end of 2024. When considering 2025, investors and buyers should be aware of market developments and potential legal changes that could impact their choices.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Arm-B_jWugc&t=481s&ab_channel=OneRentalataTime
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As far as the most recent update from December 16, 2024, is concerned, the mortgage and real estate sector is as follows:
Mortgage Rates
Current Statistics: The national average for a fixed-rate mortgage for a period of 30 years has decreased to approximately 6.6%, a reduction from 6.69% recorded a week before.
State Variations: Interest rates differ by state. Some states offer up to 6.68%, while others charge a high 7.09%.
Refinancing Rates
For the past 30 years, refinance mortgages have seen highs of 6.98%, which is eleven basis points greater than before.
Housing Market Trends
Home Sales: Compared to last year, house sales have increased by 22% over a month.
Home Prices: According to NAR, house prices will increase by 2%, and the median rise is estimated to be $410,700 thousand by 2025.
Inventory Levels
With stock inventory expectations low, more than $1.45 million housing unit sales are predicted for 2025 after the pandemic.
Expert InsightsMarket Predictions
Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran claims that if mortgage rates drop near 5%, the housing market will jump and go “ballistic.”
First-Time Buyers: First-time homebuyers account for less than a quarter of the entire market, an all-time low. There is a dire “urgency” for new buyers.
Home Renovations
Spending Trends: Due to the current state of home prices and mortgage rates, homeowners are more likely to spend more on renovations than moving.
Global Perspectives
UK Market: The UK house markets have seen exports slump for two months, resulting in average declines of £6395 in the December market.
China’s Market
During the last 17 months, house prices have depreciated slower than usual in China, which could indicate that the region’s property or real estate market is on its way to recovering and stabilizing.
Home buyers and real estate markets have been riling with activity, resulting in declining mortgage rates and stimulating purchasing and spending on home upgrades. Most experts in the field suggest that further step-downs in mortgage rates lead to much higher activity within the market, especially with those buying homes for the first time.
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This is an overview of the most recent national economic events as of December 16, 2024:
Economy and Inflation
The American economy continues to grow exponentially despite inflation, which is at its highest level since the 1970s, at around 2.8%, crossing the Federal Reserve’s target of around 2%.
Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve is expected to respond to the alarm that inflation has allegedly stayed too high, securing a default interest rate cut further to increase the rate to around 4.25-4.5%. In the upcoming years, policymakers are afraid to slow down rate cuts in 2025 to balance out the inflation risks.
Housing Market and Mortgage Rates
While the new forecast of around 6.3% in 2025 still maxes out at the affordable limits due to the ongoing sluggish housing market performance, home prices are projected to increase by 5% this year. Furthermore, the endless mortgage and home prices likely convince homeowners to spend extra income on renovations rather than buying new homes.
**The Stock Market and Treasuries: An Analysis**
U.S. stocks during President Trump’s tenure have risen by around 27%, and this increase can be witnessed along with the significant gains that the U.S. stock market experienced as the receiver of Donald Trump’s economic policies. As far as the bond market goes, it currently has signs of being under stress as the 10-year treasury note increase is above 4.4%. A reason for the increase could be out of concern regarding the rise in inflation promise and an increase in government spending.
Despite the above-mentioned inflationary concerns, the foreign interest in U.S. debt remains upward.
**Business Outlook: An Overview**
Those conducting business face the dual challenge of inflation, which only goes away with a careful approach to policymaking. The slow pace of rate cuts that the Federal Policy is expected to deploy means that interest rates on loans for both businesses and consumers are likely to remain high, which can impact plans for expansion and investment.
Considering everything, while the U.S. economy showcases signs of strength, inflation, housing affordability, and the prevailing market volatility remain concerning aspects to manage, which fall under the purview of policymakers and investors.
This is a brief review of recent national initiatives in different sectors of the economy as of December 16, 2024.
Economy & Inflation Rates
The United States economy is strong. Real GDP growth of 2.7% is expected for 2024, with added consumer expenditures and productivity growth.
Inflation is a problem regardless. It remains at a high annual rate of 2.8%, two percent over what the Federal Reserve stipulates as a limitation.
Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve will likely reduce interest rates by quarter points again this week, the third reduction in the current year. The federal fund’s target range is expected to be between 4.25 and 4.5 percent now. As the rate of increases has tapered off, a closer balance of inflation and labor capacity would result in rate cuts in 2025.
Stock Exchange Along With Treasuries
The economy will likely benefit from economic policies under Donald Trump’s second term, which translates into significant gains in stock markets. U.S. equities have risen by a whopping twenty-seven percent this year.
The bond markets, however, appear to be in distress as inflation appears to be a concern along with the rush for government debts for increased spending, as indicated by the increase in the yield for a 10-year treasury note to over 4.4%
As of December 16, 2024, here is a comprehensive overview of the latest national developments across various sectors:
Economy and Inflation
The U.S. economy is exhibiting robust growth, with real GDP expected to increase by 2.7% in 2024, driven by consumer spending and productivity gains.
However, inflation remains a concern, holding steady at an annual rate of 2.8%, above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%.
Federal Reserve and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a quarter-point interest rate cut this week, marking the third consecutive reduction this year. This adjustment would increase the federal funds rate target to 4.25-4.5%. Policymakers are adopting a more cautious approach, indicating that the rate cuts may slow in 2025 to balance inflation risks and labor market strength.
Stock Market and Treasuries
The stock market has experienced significant gains, with U.S. stocks rising by 27% this year, partly attributed to economic policies under President-elect Donald Trump’s second term.
However, the bond market is showing signs of strain, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note surpassing 4.4%. This increase reflects investor concerns about potential inflation and the growing supply of government debt to fund spending.
Housing and Mortgage Rates
The housing market is improving, as are mortgage rates and inventory, but the forecasts say otherwise. Due to a drop in mortgage rates, which are expected to touch 6.3% in 2025, home prices are expected to increase by 5 percent.
In addition, the reduction in purchasing new homes will increase home improvement spending.
Unemployment and Labor Market
The labor market remains stable as unemployment remains low and wage levels rise above inflation. The exception to this is contraction in certain industries, such as manufacturing. December saw a continuing decline in U.S. manufacturing as factory output hit 4.5-year lows.
Business Outlook
The businesses are working with a more elaborate dynamic while dealing with inflation and stagnant monetary policy.
Given that the Federal Reserve will not be slashing rates aggressively, the cost of loans to consumers and corporations could be maintained at a high level, affecting their willingness to invest or expand.
Political Developments
President-elect Donald Trump has commenced assembling his administration by making numerous important appointments. Susie Wiles has been selected as White House Chief of Staff, which is remarkable since this is the first time a woman will ever hold this position.
Also, Trump has picked candidates for various cabinet posts as he outlines the policies he wishes to pursue in the next term.
Global Political Climate
The political developments that one has recently witnessed globally present evidence of an exceptionally turbulent and transformational period. By defeating Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s election as the President of the United States marked the end of an era of benevolent scientific rule. Other examples are the surcease of the German government’s existence over budget disagreements and the South Korean military’s declaration of martial law against a president’s wish only to have Congress reverse the situation.
To summarize, the U.S. economy may appear stable, albeit the processes of inflation, stagnancy in the housing markets, and volatility in the other markets need to be addressed. Policymakers and investors are extensively monitoring all these issues and the peculiar economic situation.
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On December 15, 2024, the U.S. mortgage and real estate market is expected to see the following changes:
Trends in Mortgage Rates and Market Development: Reduction of Current Mortgage Rates
The average fixed mortgage rate for 30 years has dropped from 6.69% to 6.6% for the third week. Potential homebuyers can sigh relief, especially as we enter a low-competition winter period.
People Looking To Purchase Homes Expected To Rise
The NAR estimates selling numbers to be higher than in 2025 with the 6% mortgage stabilization rate. The sale value of previously-sector-owned homes is expected to be $410,700, which is a modest increase of 2%. The availability of additional stock and the increase in the number of people relocating to metro areas are shaping the market.
Regional Market HighlightsOuter Suburbs Advancement
According to Australia’s report, outer suburbs and non-metropolitan regions are comparatively outperforming other metropolitan regions in household demand, and the time taken to sell homes is also significantly less. Two cities in Australia, Perth and Brisbane, have seen a major decline in the median selling time, indicating significant market growth after particular times.
Attraction of Myrtle Beach
Myrtle Beach, SC, is gaining traction with retirees. Between 2020 and 2023, the nation saw the maximum adult growth rate of those over 65.
The local housing market has different types of properties that appeal to a wide range of buyers.
Innovations and Industry ChallengesFrustrations in Mortgage Credit
In November, mortgage credit availability drastically dropped, with government indices dropping to the lowest since 2012. Reduced investor interest has affected the liquidity in the market.
Technological Advancements
There is a growing trend within the mortgage field of enhancing how customers are treated and supported during the lending process. Lenders are adapting new technologies that optimize business processes, lower costs, and address changing consumer needs to enhance and deliver value throughout the customer journey.
Consumer StrategiesApps for Mortgage Overpayment
Owners use Sprive and similar applications to make mortgage overpayments, likely reducing their terms and the total interest paid. These applications are linked to a bank account and offer cash back, and these savings contribute to such payments.
Market Outlook: Predictions for 2025
According to the experts, mortgage prices will stay around 6% in 2025, the new mark. These reductions would allow more buyers to enter the market after the interest rates increased previously. However, affordability will remain a barrier, especially in the more sought-out areas.
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Several important issues are affecting the national outlook of the United States as of December 19, 2024.
The Following is a Detailed Summary:Government and Politics
Potential Government Shutdown:
- The U.S. Congress faces a possible government shutdown after President-elect Donald Trump declined the bipartisan spending bill while requiring that he remove the debt ceiling.
- A partial government shutdown will begin on Saturday if a new agreement is not reached.
- It will interrupt numerous government activities and result in more than 2 million federal employees being unable to receive their pay.
- Social Security payments, for example, are likely to be uninterrupted.
Financial Times Person of the Year
Donald Trump has been conferred the title of the Financial Times Person of the Year 2024 as he made a startling return in the political arena. This regard comes alongside the endorsement of substantial deregulation, tax reductions, and paradigmatic changes toward right-wing policies. Such plans include aggressive measures, including mass deportations, alongside stricter measures attempting to quell liberal institutions, which bear substantial repercussions across domestic and foreign business scenarios.
Public Health
Life Expectancy Increases:
- According to the America’s Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the average American lifespan expanded for almost an entire year in 2023, reaching around 78.5 years.
- The advancement has certainly been correlated with decreasing rates of prominent causes of death, including COVID-19, heart disease, and even drug overdoses.
- Nevertheless, the rate of advancement has reduced, which could mean the world is heading back to a less optimal state.
Taking Climate Action
Goals Set By The Biden Administration:
- The Biden team has projected that the United States will decrease greenhouse emissions by 61% and 66%.
- By doing so, its goal is to cut methane emissions by a minimum of 35% by 2035.
- Such action appeals to state and local leaders, especially since they are expected to take a step forward in climate action, regardless of what the Trump presidency would entail for them.
Legal Proceedings and Crime
Murder of United Health Care CEO:
- Luigi Mangione, a known hate-filled individual targeting the Healthcare system, has recently been charged with the murder of a CEO.
- He has been termed as a stalker, claiming it was only political reasons that led him to kill the United Health Care president. He was arrested after a search when the political motivations turned violent, and guns were used.
Washington Stadium Construction
Trump’s embarrassing decision to pull out of constructing a new garden for Washington’s RFt led to further construction delays.
The events have caused speculation in the public space and disinformation, e.g., Elon Musk. If the site is affiliated with the Washington Commanders football team, its fate remains in the air.
Such developments, including political stalemates, health care developments, climate change programs, court cases, and construction works, demonstrate a particular era of vigor in U.S. national life.
bing.com
National U.S. Headline News Summary for 19 December 2024 - Search Videos
National U.S. Headline News Summary for 19 December 2024 - Search Videos
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As of December 17, 2024, the mortgage and real estate markets are experiencing notable developments across various regions. Here’s a comprehensive overview:
Mortgage Rates and Trends
- Current Averages: The national average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is approximately 6.78%, rising over the past five days.
- This upward trend followed when rates reached their lowest levels since October.
- State Variations: Refinance rates vary by state, with New York, California, and Arkansas offering some of the lowest rates between 6.70% and 6.90%. In contrast, states like Kentucky, Hawaii, and Illinois have higher rates, ranging from 7.02% to 7.09%.
- Expert Predictions: Economists forecast that mortgage rates will remain above 6% into 2025, with some estimates reaching 6.8%. Factors influencing these projections include potential inflation and national debt concerns.
Real Estate Market Highlights
- Luxury Rentals: Miami Heat star Jimmy Butler rents an 8,500-square-foot mansion on Miami Beach’s exclusive Hibiscus Island for over $70,000 monthly. This property features luxurious amenities, including ocean and skyline views, a private dock, and extensive recreational facilities.
- Australian Market Dynamics: In Australia, housing has become the foremost concern in 2024, with costs escalating significantly. Mortgage holders face increased interest rates, leading to financial strain for many. The average monthly mortgage repayment has nearly doubled from $2,291 in 2022 to $4,428 in 2024.
- UK Housing Outlook: The UK propertSignificant25, such as stamp duty threshold alterations effective April 1, potential mortgage rate reductions later in the year. These factors are expected to influence the UK property market, behavior, and market activity.
Market Predictions and Buyer Behavior
- Potential Market Surge: Real estate expert Barbara Corcoran predicts that if mortgage rates drop to around 5%, it could cause a significant increase in homebuying activity, making the housing market “go ballistic.” Mortgage rates have fallen to 6.6% but fluctuate between 6% and 7%.
- Millennial Hesitancy: Millennials born between 1981 and 1996 exhibit caution when entering the housing market. Past economic crises and volatile home prices have led this generation to view homeownership as a speculative asset, contributing to a lower homeownership rate than previous generations.
The mortgage and real estate landscapes are characterized by fluctuating rates, regional disparities, and shifting buyer sentiments. Stakeholders should closely monitor these trends to make informed decisions in this dynamic environment.
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With Mortgage Rates Jumping from 2.0% to 8% in 2 years, inflation out of control, coronavirus pandemic outbreak, home values surging to all time highs, voter fraud, out of control political corruption, is the Mortgage Industry struggling?
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A true mentor, friend, business Associate, Leader, and hands down the best inspiration, Kevin DeLory, The Chief Lending Officer at Equity Prime Mortgage (EPM). I never spoke or directly ever communicated with this great man and leader, Kevin DeLory. However, I have grown very fond of this great man and seem I have known him all my life. I first became curious about The leadership of Equity Prime Mortgage became I became intrigued with working with a young talented wholesale account executive three years ago, Christian Sorenson. Having interest,friends, family, fondness, and experience in law enforcement, I started poking around the foundation of EPM and that’s how God dropped Kevin DeLory on my lap. WOW!!! Every one of his messages is spiritual and not a statement that I do not agree with this legend of a great man. Seems I known Kevin DeLory all my life. I become to know him more and more as time passed and asked a favor to Christian Sorenson if he can arrange a phone call between the two of us. There is not a person in the world 🌎 who I have prayed more for than Kevin DeLory. My foundation is you are who you hang with. It’s the people that make a great team. It’s the team that make a great company. Kevin DeLory is the type of leader we need for decades to come to make this World a better place for our children, and grandchildren. God Bless this GREAT FRIEND AND 🙏 ❤️ LEADER. WE LOVE YOU KEVIN DELORY
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Occupancy fraud, also known as occupancy misrepresentation or occupancy fraud scheme, is a type of fraudulent activity that occurs in various industries, including real estate and insurance. It involves misrepresenting the occupancy status of a property or the intended use of a property for personal gain or to obtain favorable terms or benefits. Here are some common examples of occupancy fraud:
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Mortgage Fraud: In the context of real estate, occupancy fraud can occur when a borrower misrepresents their intention to live in a property as their primary residence when, in fact, they plan to use it as an investment property or a vacation home. This misrepresentation may be done to secure a lower interest rate or down payment requirement, as primary residence mortgages often have more favorable terms.
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Insurance Fraud: In the insurance industry, occupancy fraud can occur when an insured individual misrepresents the occupancy status of a property to obtain lower insurance premiums. For example, someone may claim that a property is their primary residence when it is actually vacant or used as a rental property to secure lower insurance rates.
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Rental Fraud: In the rental market, tenants may engage in occupancy fraud by subletting or renting out their leased property without the landlord’s knowledge or consent. This can lead to unauthorized occupants living in the property, potentially violating lease agreements and causing legal issues.
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Government Programs Fraud: Some government programs and incentives are based on the occupancy status of a property. Individuals or businesses may engage in occupancy fraud to qualify for these programs when they are not eligible, potentially receiving subsidies or benefits they do not deserve.
Occupancy fraud is illegal and can have serious consequences, including financial penalties, legal actions, and damage to one’s reputation. Lenders, insurers, landlords, and government agencies often investigate and take measures to detect and prevent occupancy fraud to protect their interests and maintain the integrity of their programs and services.
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Mortgage Rates are finally dropping fast. JEROME POWELL, The Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board announced yesterday the Feds will not be increasing interest rates for the past two Fed meeting which caused mortgage rates to plummet. The 10 year treasuries started plummeting the past few days from a high of 5.0% to 4.66%
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Congratulations to former President Donald Trump. On November 5th, 2024, Former President Donald J. Trump and Senator JD Vance won the Republican ticket to the White House. Kamala Harris and her running mate Tim Waltz lost the Democrat ticket to the Presidency after Kamala Harris spent $1 billion dollars and is $20 million in debt. There are still staff members who are due their paychecks and are waiting.
Here are a few relevant points to consider:
Political Implications of Election Results
Impact on the Republican Party: Trump’s nomination could unify different factions within the GOP or exacerbate divisions, depending on how his campaign is received by various voter demographics.
Democratic Strategy Moving Forward: The outcome of Kamala Harris and Tim Walz may prompt the Democratic Party to reassess its strategies, messaging, and candidate selection for future elections.
Campaign Financing: The mention of significant campaign spending and debt raises questions about campaign finance regulations and money’s political influence.
Staff and Campaign Management: The situation with unpaid staff can affect morale and the overall effectiveness of a campaign. It highlights the importance of financial management in political campaigns.
Voter Sentiment: Understanding voter sentiments and the issues that matter most to them will be crucial for both parties’ preparations for the general election.
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It’s over folks. Comcast, the parent of MSNBC is up for sale. Viewership at MSNBC dropped 51% due to anti-Trump and anti-Republican stance. Major layoffs is also expected. On another note, CNN lost 21% of its Viewership
The mainstream media is on life support.
It is reported that Oprah Wilfrey was paid one million dollars by the Kamala Harris campaign. The Democrat Party is deteriorating and deteriorating fast
Many Democrat states are losing citizens changing parties to the Trump Team.
https://www.youtube.com/live/rdyMVnYBw1w?si=ZIiFLCLNsh7HI4DB
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Breaking News from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Effective immediately homebuyers can purchase 2 to 4 unit multi family homes with 5% down payment. Before today’s Breaking News owner occupant primary multiunit homebuyers needed 15% down payment. Private mortgage insurance is required and we don’t yet know what the PMI factor is as of today. Just wanted to share this Breaking News with our forum viewers .
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Analyst’s forecast for homebuyers for 2024 is not good. Real Estate media giant ZILLOW NEWS forecasts home prices will keep increasing into 2024 despite skyrocketing Mortgage Rates. ZILLOW estimates a 4.9% increase in home prices from August 2023 to August 2024 due to short housing inventory. There’s a shortage of homes Nationally and many first time homebuyers are getting priced out of the housing market. Many homebuyers are finding it more difficult coming up with the down payment of a home purchase.
biggerpockets.com
Zillow Predicts a 4.9% Rise in Home Prices by Next August—Is That Possible?
Zillow is really bullish on housing, but are they right? How much are they projecting prices to grow? And who's in disagreement?
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Breaking: The World’s 🌎 🗺 🌏 🌐 🌍 MOST UNLIKED & THE WORLD’S BIGGEST LYING HUMAN BEING, KAMALA HARRIS has gone postal folks. The fact-checked incompetent Kamala Harris has exploded 🤯 💥 😳 😂 and 🇺🇸 had her Howard Dean moment and it has been recorded on video. This is breaking NEWS and the American people can now see that it is NOT just President Joe Biden has mental illness and mental stability issue. Please click 🙏 the video link below:
https://rumble.com/v5j7joc-kamala-harris-just-had-her-howard-dean-moment…-shes-done.html
rumble.com
Kamala Harris just had her "Howard Dean" moment... she's done
This was Kamala Harris' "Howard Dean" moment.
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“Usually the disinformation we saw was pro-Trump… We’ll investigate, and then it goes just up to another team to take it [the post] down,” admits Matthew Fowler, a Software Engineering Manager at Meta, during an undercover date with an O’Keefe Media Group journalist. Fowler emphasized that Meta’s investigations often rely on mainstream media for verification, stating, “The news is going to do their job, and then based on what the outlets say… you have to trust that.”
Plamen Dzhelepov, a Machine Learning Engineer at Meta, agreed, “Meta has the right to suppress anything,” acknowledging the company’s political bias by noting, “they’re biased if they do that against the Republicans.” Dzhelepov detailed Meta’s censorship capabilities, confirming they target “crazy conspiracy right-wing people,” actively demoting their opinions.
Michael Zoorob, a Data Scientist at Meta, described the fact-checking process, stating, “the fundamental problem is that… the vast majority of what fact-checkers label as false is shared by conservatives,” admitting that any policy demoting content labeled false by fact-checkers disproportionately affects conservatives.
When addressing misinformation, Dzhelepov explained Meta’s approach: “it’s either censored or it says a [community note] thing, where it says, ‘this is disinformation, it’s probably fake’ under the post,” adding that Meta “actually suppresses certain voices.” Zoorob also recalled how Meta had downranked the Hunter Biden laptop story upon the FBI’s warning, stating, “We just downranked it,” making the post less visible in users’ feeds.”
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Most Americans are aware that many people from different walks of life hate former President Donald Trump. I have never witnessed the hatred people can have against one person. I will try to keep the tone of this post as objective and neutral as possible and base the content on FACTS. I want to compare which candidate is the best leader as President to be the Commander in Chief of the United States. Suppose you can focus on facts and comment on which candidate will be the best President in the best interest of America and the people of the United States so we remain the leader of the free world 🌎. In that case, we can Unite our country and get back to being Americans with one goal in mind: What’s best for our livelihood, the livelihood of our children, the livelihood of our grandchildren, and the livelihood of our future generations? The way our country is divided and the hatred that exists is not healthy. It’s more of a crisis and equivalent of stage 4 cancer. More and more Americans are beginning to speak out and not remain silent. Nobody is above the law. Not Trump, Not Biden, Not Kamala Harris. We don’t have to like or love Trump. However, take a step back and compare Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and Donald Trump. Who is the best man for the job? Who’s the man who can get us out of the rathole we are in? Who is the man who can get rid of the lying, corrupt, and politically infested system that is destroying America 🇺🇸? Let’s get a thread on your thoughts and opinions on making America a country that the entire World would envy. Let’s brainstorm and become a country of the people. A country of honesty, integrity, pride, honor, and the country helping and caring for people. Let’s decimate corruption, fraud, Treason, and criminals who commit crimes against humanity.
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It’s a real shame how people and corporations treat the elderly in 2024. These people have worked their entire lives and supported and raised families. If it weren’t for them, we would have nothing. Yet they are being discarded once they have been sucked dry of all their money, even when having a lifetime contract to live in a senior living facility.
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Kamala Harris is the nation’s biggest laughing stock. Kamala Harris is hands down the biggest jackass. Her accent imitation makes her become the dumbest Global idiot, including for the DEMOCRATS. Kamala Harris is such a FAKE. It is also alleged Kamala Harris is a severe alcoholic—more on this rambling idiot Kamala Harris. The incompetent Kamala Harris is a major embarrassment and disgrace. She’s one disgusting, unlikeable, lying, uncreditable, flip-flopping, mentally deranged subhuman blizzard piece of shit.
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Where is the housing market headed? What are your thoughts? I want to hear everyone’s thoughts about the housing market forecast. Are we headed towards a housing crisis worse than the 2008 financial crisis? Take the following into consideration:
1. Rates went from 2.5% in 2019 to today’s 7.5%.
2. Inflation at historic rates.
3. Housing prices up 50% or more since 2018.
4. Economic numbers are lies. The Biden Administration have lied about economy and economic growth. Joe Biden said our economy is doing great and Inflation is only a 4% and unemployment rate is only 3.2%. BIG FAT LIES AFTER LIES.
5. Kamala Harris, the first woman who slept her way to the White House touts Bidenomics is GREAT 👍 and that it WORKS: BULLSHIT 🐎 🐴 🎠 🏇 HORSESHIT 🫏 🐴 🫏 🐴
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The housing market forecast looks gloomy. With the average home prices up 100% since 2019 with rates at 7.5% and inflation at historic highs, homebuyers are perplexed as to buying a house now or later. Besides all the above, homeowners insurance is up as 500% and property taxes are skyrocketing.
Watch the attached video.
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