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Housing affordability is a national issue. As of April 2026, 30-year fixed mortgage rates range from 6.46% to 6.51%. Existing-home sales remain stagnant. The median home price was $398,000 in February and $415,450 in March, according to Realtor.com. Active listings have increased 8.1% year over year but are still 13.6% below March 2019 levels. Buyers continue to face high rates and limited inventory.
To clarify, mortgage rates were not 2.5% in 2019; sub-3% rates occurred primarily in 2020 and 2021. Current mid-6% rates represent a significant increase. Although the January 2026 executive order restricts large investors from purchasing single-family homes, it is not yet fully implemented, so companies and high-net-worth individuals can still buy homes.
A sharp market shift is unlikely in the near term. Homeowners with low rates and high equity are insulated from moderate-income buyers. The market remains stable despite economic pressures, pending a broader recovery.
The National Association of Realtors reports that affordability is improving too slowly. Reuters and AP also note weak sales and slow market activity.
A 2007-style crash is unlikely. A gradual correction is more probable, with stagnant national prices, slight local declines, increased price reductions, slower sales, and improved buying power in overbuilt areas. S&P Case-Shiller reports 0.9% annual home price growth (Jan 2026), while Realtor.com notes a 2.2% median price drop (March). Stagnation and localized declines, rather than a broad downturn, are expected.
A prolonged period of flat prices is likely, rather than a repeat of 2006–2008. Credit and leverage are stronger now. The Fed’s 2025 report indicates most debt is held by households with strong credit. The New York Fed reported a 1.4% increase in mortgage delinquencies (2025 Q4), but levels remain near pre-Depression norms. Market crashes typically require forced sales, weak credit, high supply, and rising defaults. Currently, the main challenges are affordability and slow turnover, with lower national risk.
Over the next 12 to 18 months, I expect sales to stagnate, prices to remain stable overall, and further local declines. Affordability will likely improve gradually through income growth rather than a sharp downturn. Fannie Mae forecasts 2026 rates near 5.9%, and NAR anticipates slow improvements. Rates below 6% will support the market, though persistent inflation or geopolitical tensions may hinder progress.
Larger deficits, capital flows, supply constraints, and geopolitical factors can contribute to inflation, but attributing it solely to the “Fed printing money” oversimplifies the issue. The dollar has not been backed by gold or silver for decades. Reinstating such a standard would require major legal changes, and no such plans are currently known.
My plain English predictions are:
No, I do not believe most Americans will be renters for the rest of their lives.
Many working households may find home ownership unattainable unless interest rates decrease and supply increases. While most Americans are not expected to be lifelong renters, home ownership could remain out of reach for some due to inflation, increased listings, stagnant inventory, and localized price declines.
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The housing market is on life support. Things were looking optimistic several weeks ago after rates were dropping and headed in the 5.0%. However, mortgage rates have been increasing the past four weeks and many experts forecast the high mortgage rates are headed higher. New home sales is collapsing and are going through the biggest discounts since 2007.
The main pressure point is still affordability: when mortgage rates rise, demand cools fast, especially for first-time buyers and move-up buyers who are payment-sensitive.
What is happening
Recent reporting says the average 30-year mortgage rate moved up to about 6.38% to 6.44% in late March, reaching a multi-month high and threatening the spring buying season. At the same time, 2024 existing-home sales were the weakest in nearly 30 years, showing how higher borrowing costs and prices have already suppressed demand.
Why new homes are getting hit
New-home demand is especially vulnerable when rates rise because buyers are comparing monthly payments, not just sticker prices. Recent reports say new-home sales have fallen, and builders are responding with deeper discounts and concessions, with Redfin data showing the typical below-list deal in 2025 was about 7.9%, the biggest discount since 2012. That does not automatically mean the whole market is collapsing, but it does show buyers have gained leverage in many areas.
Why rates may keep pressure on the market
The latest reporting points to higher oil prices, inflation worries, and geopolitical uncertainty as reasons bond yields and mortgage rates have moved up. If those conditions persist, mortgage rates can stay elevated even if the Fed is not actively hiking, because mortgages are priced off bond markets and lender risk premiums rather than the Fed funds rate alone.finance.
How to frame it more accurately
If you want to say it in a balanced way, I’d phrase it like this: “The housing market is under renewed pressure as mortgage rates have risen for several straight weeks, weakening affordability and pushing builders to offer larger discounts in some segments.” That is strong, but it stays closer to the evidence than saying the market is universally “on life support”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgOlgd8IUeE
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This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by
Doc.
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What is going on with mortgage rates? Mortgage rates have been inching up for the past four weeks. The rising mortgage rates are slowing home sales. The housing market is already depressed with many in the housing and mortgage industry hurting big time and many are leaving the industry altogether.
Mortgage rates have indeed been **rising** over the past four weeks (roughly mid-March through early April 2026), reversing some of the gains seen earlier in the year when the 30-year fixed briefly dipped below 6%. Here’s a clear breakdown of what’s happening right now, why it’s occurring, and the broader impact on the housing market and industry.
Current Mortgage Rates (as of early April 2026)
30-year fixed-rate mortgage: National averages sit in the **6.25%–6.45%** range, depending on the source and day.
Freddie Mac’s latest weekly survey (week ending March 26, 2026) showed 6.38%, up sharply from 6.22% the prior week — marking the fourth consecutive weekly increase.
Daily averages from sources like Zillow, NerdWallet, and Bankrate hover around 6.25%–6.46% as of April 1, with slight daily fluctuations (some easing in the very short term due to bond market movements).
15-year fixed: Typically 5.7%–5.8%.
Rates remain lower than a year ago (when the 30-year averaged closer to 6.65%), but the recent uptick has erased much of the early-2026 improvement.
This four-week climb has pushed rates to levels not seen since late 2025 in some weekly measures, creating noticeable sticker shock for buyers and refinancers.
Why Mortgage Rates Are Inching Up
Mortgage rates are heavily influenced by the 10-year Treasury yield, investor sentiment, and inflation expectations — not directly by the Federal Reserve’s short-term federal funds rate.
The main drivers behind the recent rise include:
Geopolitical tensions and the conflict involving Iran: This has driven oil prices significantly higher (from lows around $56/barrel to near $90 in some reports). Higher energy costs feed into broader inflation fears, pushing bond yields up as investors demand higher returns to offset risk.
Sticky inflation concerns: Even as inflation has cooled from peak levels, recent data and global pressures have made the Fed cautious. Traders now see very low odds of a Fed rate cut at the April 2026 meeting (around 97% expect no change). This reduces downward pressure on long-term rates.
Rising Treasury yields: As uncertainty grows, investors shift behavior, leading to higher yields on U.S. Treasuries, which lenders then price into mortgages.
Economic uncertainty: Mixed signals on growth, employment, and global events have added volatility.
The result? A reversal from the optimistic start to 2026, when rates had fallen toward or below 6% in February thanks to prior Fed easing signals.
Impact on the Housing Market
You’re correct that rising rates are slowing home sales and adding pressure to an already challenged market:
Higher borrowing costs reduce affordability, keeping many potential buyers on the sidelines or forcing them to look at smaller homes, adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), or wait for better conditions.
Existing home sales have been depressed for years (hovering at levels not seen since the mid-1990s in some periods), with inventory improving modestly but still tight in many areas. Recent data showed some month-to-month gains in sales, but the spring buying season — traditionally the busiest — is being dampened by the rate spike.
Home prices remain relatively flat or only slightly up nationally (0–3% expected growth in 2026 forecasts), as higher rates offset some demand.
Refinance activity has taken a hit, with applications dropping notably in recent weeks as rates climbed.
Overall, the market shows gradual year-over-year improvements in some metrics (like purchase applications earlier in the year), but the recent rate volatility is creating headwinds and prolonging the “higher for longer” environment.
Effects on the Housing and Mortgage Industry
The prolonged affordability crunch has been tough on professionals:
Many loan officers, real estate agents, and support staff have faced reduced transaction volume, leading to layoffs, commission struggles, and people exiting the industry.
Mortgage originations (both purchase and refinance) remain below pre-pandemic peaks, squeezing lender margins and forcing cost-cutting.
Builders and sellers are adapting with incentives like rate buydowns, but the overall pipeline feels constrained.
Positive notes: Some forecasts still project modest sales growth later in 2026 if rates stabilize or ease slightly, with experts like the Mortgage Bankers Association, Fannie Mae, and NAR generally expecting 30-year rates to average in the low-to-mid 6% range for the year (potentially 6.0%–6.3%).
No one expects a quick return to 3–4% rates. Most 2026 outlooks point to stability around current levels or modest declines if inflation cools further and the Fed resumes easing later.
What This Means for Homeowners and Buyers
Refinancing: Still possible if you have equity and can benefit from even small drops, especially with programs that allow flexibility (e.g., government-backed loans). Cash-out refinances or debt consolidation can sometimes help manage other high-interest obligations.
Purchasing: Shop multiple lenders aggressively — rates and fees vary. Consider rate buydowns, seller concessions, or adjustable-rate options if you don’t plan to stay long-term.
Waiting game: Volatility means opportunities can appear quickly. Locking in when rates dip (even temporarily) can make sense.
If you’re dealing with a specific situation — such as refinancing with a judgment, credit challenges, or needing options in a higher-rate environment — feel free to share more details. At Gustan Cho Associates, we specialize in navigating these exact conditions with no lender overlays on FHA, VA, USDA, and Conventional programs.
Rates can shift daily, so the best move is often a quick pre-approval or consultation to see real personalized options based on your credit, equity, and goals. The market remains resilient, but patience and the right lender make a big difference right now.
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Minnesota has been rocked by several high-profile international fraud scandals targeting public benefit programs. The most infamous is the “Feeding Our Future” pandemic food aid scheme, in which perpetrators siphoned off roughly $250 million by pretending to serve meals that never reached low-income children. The ill-gotten gains funded luxury cars, lavish vacations, and prime real estate. Heated political debates persist over whether state leaders, such as Governor Tim Walz and Attorney General Keith Ellison, should have caught the fraud earlier, but these questions still linger in the air. Notably, there is no public record of Representative Ilhan Omar being charged or implicated in this case.
Facts about Minnesota
- Feeding Our Future, a nonprofit group connected to “Feeding America,” used federal money meant to pay back schools, daycares, and community centers for feeding kids.
- From 2020 to 2021, the group and its partners reported serving an incredible 91 million meals.
- However, it later turned out that their lists of children and meal sites were fabricated, with fake names and locations that did not actually exist.
- Federal charges call this the biggest pandemic relief fraud in the country, with over $250 million in taxpayer money said to have disappeared.
- The plan involved restaurants, small stores, and community groups, all of which claimed to feed thousands of children.
- Some even said they served tens of thousands of meals each week from small shops or empty parking lots.
- The state sent federal money to Feeding Our Future, which then paid the groups it worked with.
- Prosecutors say these groups provided little to no food, falsified attendance records, and submitted false bills.
- The individuals accused of the crime moved their stolen money through fake companies and sent it to other countries, including China, Kenya, and Somalia.
- They purchased luxury homes, investment properties, expensive clothing, and luxurious cars. Court records indicate that they spent money on Porsches, designer clothing, and first-class trips to destinations such as the Maldives.
Involvement Of Somalis, Immigration Issues, And Daycare Services
- A number of those charged in the Feeding Our Future case are Somali American, with several running restaurants, grocery stores, or community groups that serve the Somali community.
- Official documents describe a multicultural web of participants from many backgrounds.
- There is no evidence that Somali Americans or undocumented immigrants make up the majority of defendants in Minnesota benefit fraud cases.
The viral story of “Somali day cares with Lambos and Ferraris” actually blends together several unrelated controversies:
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- Defendants in the Feeding Our Future case made expenditures, including the purchase of lavish vehicles, using stolen money.
- Other fraud investigations in Minnesota have examined possible Child Care Assistance Program (CCAP) fraud by some daycare owners, including instances of falsifying attendance records to inflate numbers.
- However, a 2019 state review found no evidence to support claims of $1 billion in daycare fraud.
- Videos and social media posts have accused Somali-run child-care centers of large-scale fraud.
- These claims have led to threats and damage against Somali-American daycare owners who did nothing wrong.
- Reports indicate that many of these influencer claims have not resulted in formal charges.
- There is no proof that most people involved were not in the country legally.
- Court papers typically list U.S. addresses, indicating that the defendants reside here.
- Public records do not show their immigration status.
Role Of State Officials: Walz, Ellison, And OversightTim Walz (Governor)
- The Minnesota Department of Education (MDE) raised concerns about Feeding Our Future in 2020 and began freezing certain payments.
- By early 2021, the department referred the case to the FBI.
- However, a state judge later ordered the agency to resume payments while the investigations were ongoing, which allowed funds to continue being disbursed for a period.
- Critics, including Republican lawmakers and some watchdog organizations, attribute responsibility to Governor Walz.
- Critics contend that Walz’s administration could have halted the flow of fraudulent payments by acting more swiftly and advocating for legislative changes.
- U.S. House Oversight Committee Chair James Comer has summoned Walz to testify, accusing the administration of being “asleep at the wheel or complicit” in the massive fraud.
- Governor Walz maintains that he acted appropriately, emphasizing that his agencies referred the fraud to federal authorities and that the perpetrators acted beyond his control.
- As of January 2026, Walz has not been arrested, charged, or implicated in any court proceedings related to fraud.
Keith Ellison: Minnesota Attorney General
The Minnesota Attorney General’s Office has conducted nonprofit oversight for several years; however, federal criminal charges in the Feeding Our Future case have been brought by the U.S. Department of Justice, not the state Attorney General’s office.
- Some GOP lawmakers and commentators claim Attorney General Ellison was too cautious in cracking down on fraud involving politically connected groups, including Somali Americans.
- They point to videos and statements where Ellison urged restraint in prosecuting immigrant-owned businesses.
- Still, Ellison’s office has worked closely with federal investigators, and there is no evidence he benefited from or directed the fraud.
- As of August 2023, Ellison has not faced criminal charges related to Feeding Our Future.
- References to the “rampant vulgar language of the Minneapolis mayor” appear to refer to political rhetoric or social media, rather than legal wrongdoing.
- There is no public record linking Mayor Jacob Frey to the Feeding Our Future case.
- Beyond this scandal, Minnesota officials and independent analysts have flagged inefficiencies in the state’s social services and Medicaid programs.
- Recent studies estimate up to $9 million in Medicaid funds may have been lost to fraud over several years, prompting more federal scrutiny and new audits.
- Programs such as unemployment insurance, PPP loans, and other pandemic relief efforts have been rolled out across the country.
- While states like Illinois have a long history of public corruption and warnings about systemic fraud, none have seen a case as massive as Minnesota’s Feeding Our Future scandal.
- Congresswoman Ilhan Omar is a leading voice on immigration, law enforcement, and social services, which has made her a target for partisan critics seeking to tie her to the fraud.
- She represents a Minneapolis district with a large Somali-American community.
- The filings and DOJ documents related to the Feeding Our Future prosecutions do not name Omar as a party or describe her as a public target of the fraud.
- Social media and some opinion editorials have referred to Omar as a “leader” of an alleged fraud ring in Minnesota.
- However, as of early 2026, there are no formal charges or supporting evidence in the case file.
If you are interested, a follow-up could dive deeper into one of the convictions tied to the Feeding Our Future case. A comparison of documented corruption in Illinois and Minnesota’s fraud scandals could shed light on how these cases differ in scope and scale.
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This summary of the Minnesota welfare fraud scandal reflects information available as of January 2026.
Scope and Mechanics of the Fraud
The Minnesota fraud scandal involves large-scale theft from state social services, primarily the Child Care Assistance Program (CCAP) and the Feeding Our Future nutrition program. After the audits were finished in January 2026, Governor Tim Walz announced that approximately one billion dollars was missing.
Although the scheme was complicated, the fraud occurred on a massive scale and was surprisingly easy to execute. In the Twin Cities, some people from the Somali community signed up fake children for state-funded daycare and charged the state for services that never happened. Investigators found that many daycare centers were just empty buildings with no children. According to reports, some state workers billed for the highest number of children, even when there were none. In the Feeding Our Future case, people claimed to have served thousands of meals that were never prepared. The money paid for expensive things like Lamborghinis and Ferraris, and millions were sent overseas.
Ethnicity and Immigration Status
Federal prosecutors and media sources report that members of the Somali diaspora were primarily responsible for organizing the fraud. To date, most defendants are of Somali origin, and 57 individuals have been convicted through plea agreements or trials. The available information does not specify the immigration status of those involved, whether they are undocumented, legal residents, or citizens. The Somali-American community has been most affected by the scandal. During this period, former President Trump used the scandal to advocate for stricter immigration policies and threatened Somali residents in Minnesota with deportation and loss of Temporary Protected Status (TPS). Minnesota state Democrats have called these actions racist and unfounded.
Role of Governor Tim Walz and Attorney General Keith Ellison
Governor Tim Walz faces significant political challenges because the fraud occurred during his tenure. As he campaigns for a third term in 2026, Republican opponents have made the scandal a central issue in their campaign. During a House Oversight Committee hearing on January 7, 2026, Minnesota State Representative Kristin Robbins alleged that the Walz administration “willfully turned a blind eye to crime” despite receiving multiple whistleblower and auditor reports. She also asserted that the administration retaliated against whistleblowers who raised concerns. Governor Walz has defended his administration’s policies, stating that proactive measures are being implemented to prevent future fraud and that an audit will clarify the extent of the losses. Nevertheless, his administration continues to face criticism for missing warning signs that allowed the fraud to persist. The Washington Examiner reported that Walz received just under $10,000 in campaign contributions from individuals associated with Somali-run daycare businesses; however, there is no evidence of a direct quid pro quo. Prosecution of the fraud remains primarily the responsibility of federal and county authorities.
A senior adviser in Attorney General Ellison’s office stated, during the peak of the viral video exposé, that he defended the response to the “scorched earth” tactics from the Trump Administration to protect Minnesotans, arguing that the federally enforced funding cut was likely unconstitutional.
Ringleaders and Allegations of Political Interference
Although business owners and program operators committed direct theft, there are allegations of political interference to protect those involved. State Senator Omar Fateh was named in witness testimony during the Feeding Our Future trials. One witness stated that Fateh contacted Attorney General Ellison on behalf of the accused, attempting to halt the Minnesota Department of Education (MDE) investigation. Fateh also publicly accused state agencies of racism while seeking to unfreeze payments to organizations whose funds had been suspended for questionable use. Whether Congresswoman Ilhan Omar was involved in the scandal. Based on the available information, there is no evidence of Ilhan Omar’s personal involvement in the fraudulent or embezzled funds. However, she remains a prominent figure in the political context surrounding the scandal. The actions of a few individuals should not be used to justify criticism of the entire Somali-American community. She has defended the community against attacks from former President Trump, including efforts to revoke TPS and derogatory remarks referring to Somali immigrants as “garbage.”
Certain conservative commentators and media outlets, including Blaze Media and City Journal, have attempted to link the fraud networks to Omar, citing the rapid growth of the fraud and her increasing political influence over the past decade. Most of these claims are circumstantial and lack substantive evidence of wrongdoing.
Terror Financing Allegations and Federal Response
A significant concern regarding the financing fraud is the destination of the stolen funds. The federal Treasury Department is investigating whether illegally obtained Minnesota program funds were used to finance al-Shabaab, a Somalia-based al-Qaeda group. Federal counterterrorism sources have confirmed that millions of dollars were sent to Somalia and to the terror group.
- These developments led to significant federal actions in late 2025 and early 2026.
- The Trump administration cited these fraud concerns to justify freezing all federal child care funding for Minnesota and increasing the presence of ICE and FBI officers in the state, specifically targeting the broader implications of corruption.
You asked about Illinois and the risk of similar issues spreading. While the search results focus on Minnesota, they note that the Trump administration threatened to freeze funding for five “blue states,” including Illinois, due to concerns about systemic fraud.
- Illinois has experienced political corruption before, but the type of fraud that occurred in Minnesota—taking advantage of gaps in social services and leveraging close community connections—appears to be unique to that state.
- The federal response indicates that this is viewed as a national security threat, not just a matter of lost money.
- The scandal has also started strong debates about language and public discussion.
The search results highlight the use of inflammatory rhetoric. Trump has referred to immigrants from Somalia as “garbage,” and described Somalia as a place with “no laws, no water, no military.” Right-wing communities have targeted and profiled the Somali community through video and narrative attacks. As a result, Minnesota Democrats and Somali community leaders attribute these actions to racism and xenophobia, and use the denial of the investigations to defend the community under attack. The situation in Minnesota remains dynamic; the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) continue to conduct active operations in the state. The state audit regarding the preliminary estimate of $1 billion is still pending.
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Full uncut footage of initial incident • Off Duty Nashville. Stay tuned to “Auditors of America” channel for updates on this. He will be present for the grand jury hearing next week, and will post the results immediately. I mis-spoke in the video claiming this was Springfield Illinois, it is actually Springfield. The videos on this channel are for the purposes of education, reporting, and entertainment, and should not be considered legal advice.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wRXAEr0qhbw
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This reply was modified 8 months ago by
Doc.
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This reply was modified 8 months ago by
Sapna Sharma.
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THE MOST CORRUPT POLICE SHERIFFS Convicted Of Heinous Crimes
Not every sheriff sworn to protect their community lived up to the badge. In this shocking video, we expose the darkest cases of police sheriffs across the United States who abused their power, crossed the line, and were ultimately convicted of heinous crimes. From corruption and abuse to murder and cover-ups, these are the sheriffs who turned from law enforcers into lawbreakers.
Discover how their scandals unfolded, the trials that rocked their counties, and the following prison sentences. These stories reveal the devastating consequences of unchecked power and why accountability in law enforcement matters more than ever.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0U4eSSNgnA
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This reply was modified 8 months ago by
Doc.
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This reply was modified 8 months ago by
Sapna Sharma.
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I found some of the most ridiculous and disturbing bodycam footage of cops caught doing things they never should’ve done. We’ll start with the careless and clueless… then head into the most reckless, brutal, and downright shocking moments ever recorded. Investigators
https://youtu.be/ZXyI4h0oRGU?si=W4G_FPGWVLgN1x9p
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This reply was modified 8 months ago by
Sapna Sharma.
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Open a new growth channel for your mortgage brand by launching a custom mobile app. Today’s customers demand speed, convenience, and security—with your branded app, you’ll deliver an experience that sets you apart. Imagine clients completing mortgage applications from their phones, instantly uploading documents with a tap, staying updated with real-time alerts, and accessing your expertise anytime. For professionals, your app means faster workflows, fewer delays, and happy clients who rave about your service.
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